Also
House of the Dragon - Game Over!
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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I am flattered to make your list, but I do not want the king position.In post 17, mastina wrote:For the record, the first three are the only three I would definitively trust to be competent in the King position.
Outside forces means I likely won't be able to give quite as much focus to this game as I normally would for the beginning of this game, and being king would make me feel kinda shitty about that.
Dann would probably be my first choice in a vacuum, lld would be pretty close (mainly losing out because I think she would be more dangerous scum king, not because she would be less beneficial as a town king).
Datisi would be a funny choice, based on how much stressed tinfoil posting he did in Guardians when he was made an IC
Spoiler: How i picture Datisi ever other game day as king
Like, I think he would do a good job at it. But it would also be funny to watch
Enchant would be the ultimate meme choice-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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I want to say that this is town, because what scum is going to fake this argumentIn post 66, JunkoChan wrote:Yeah yeah,I read the post, and I can't find the seven days thing
Did someone ask this is the scum pt and you forgot?-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Seems more like they saw information that they did not know previously, went back to the OP to see if they missed it, did a ctrl+f for "7" and got foiled by pooky spelling it out lolIn post 94, Lukewarm wrote:
I want to say that this is town, because what scum is going to fake this argumentIn post 66, JunkoChan wrote:Yeah yeah,I read the post, and I can't find the seven days thing
Did someone ask this is the scum pt and you forgot?-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Wait. Do you want the king position?In post 41, Datisi wrote:Spoiler: live footage of me every other day if i were made king
lukewarm is right, btw. i do a lot of stressed tinfoil posting when i'm town in an important position. and i don't think i'm capable of replicating that stressed tinfoil posting as scum. so i would also be a very easy read if i were made king. wink wink nudge nudge-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Maybe. I remembered you being very vocally against going to the IC minigame in guardians, because you did not want to be made into the IC.
I just looked back at the game, and I did see lines along those lines with
But looking back at it directly, I saw that there was more context of having a bad history of being the deciding vote in Elo, outside of just "I don't want to be in the hot seat"In post 197, Tanner wrote:i want to avoid the gate at all costs
So, feeling less like my original thought was actually valid.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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There are certain arguments that don't make a lot of sense to me to come from scum. Going hard into accusing someone of having scum slipped setup information from the scum chat is one of them.In post 168, Dwlee99 wrote: HURT: Lukewarm
I don't think this is legitIn post 94, Lukewarm wrote:
I want to say that this is town, because what scum is going to fake this argumentIn post 66, JunkoChan wrote:Yeah yeah,I read the post, and I can't find the seven days thing
Did someone ask this is the scum pt and you forgot?
Scum!Junko would know that Andante is town, and therefore their information is not a scumslip, and therefore that information is *somewhere* that a VT had access to it, and therefore immediately falls apart the moment anyone looks at it. I would not expect scum Junko to even think to fake call it a scum slip, and even if it crossed their mind, I would expect them to dismiss it as wasted effort given the above.
So, yeah. My conclusion is that scum is not going to fake this argument
Alternatively, a town!junko, seeing someone say information that they did not know, and did not see in the OP, could reasonably think that it was a TMI slip of information that the scum team had but the town did not.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Oh shit... I have not been reading anything above the vote count, assuming it was all flavor. I see now that the PRs are going thereIn post 272, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:Read: "Prince of Dragonstone" and their abilities. They're a member of the small council the King selects.
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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I feel odd making your short list here, given the fact that I have not been doing much.In post 282, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:I like Rhae, UNOwen, Luke and Junko for town, currently.-
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Funny running into this. I typed out "so why are you town reading me?" in my last post, but then remembered that you in general have a stance of being willing to explain scum reads but being adverse to explaining town reads, and kind of thought it was a futile question for me to ask.In post 286, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:skipping over asking me the intermediary step of "why do you think X is town?"-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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The series of LLD posts I have read have actually had the effect of me reconsidering giving Andante the kingship.
I had originally written her off because of her impulsiveness, but LLD's points have swayed me somewhat that landing on town is actually more important then that person being the best possible king, and Andante is kind of the only person I am very confident is town atm.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Ah, it happened anyways lmaoIn post 378, Lukewarm wrote:
Funny running into this. I typed out "so why are you town reading me?" in my last post, but then remembered that you in general have a stance of being willing to explain scum reads but being adverse to explaining town reads, and kind of thought it was a futile question for me to ask.In post 286, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:skipping over asking me the intermediary step of "why do you think X is town?"
In post 312, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:I'll note you still haven't bothered to read UNOwen yourself, interestingly.
Tell you what, here's the deal.
You go back and read those two players, and tell me what your reads on them are and why, and I'll explain to you why I have a townread on them.
Unless you think I pulled names out of a hat, in which case... feel free to think that?
Like you either want my reasonings to be convinced, or to use against me. If it's the later, I don't care to waste my breath, sorry. You can just push me on not answering your questions instead.
If it's the former... go read them and develop your opinions and then we'll see.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Just for perspective "I don't explain my town reads because it helps the scum team" is a standard town!LLD thought, that I have seen from her in more then one game.In post 316, Dannflor wrote:this is frustrating
I'm not asking you to "use them against you"
I am asking you because I think it'll probably be a more effective method of sorting you than arguing with you about the same point over and over again
I was more shocked seeing her ask you why you didn't ask her, then I am seeing her refuse to answer.
I do agree that that it can be frustrating to deal with.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Your math from earlier stops if the throne goes King -> Prince -> We no longer have a king for the game, which I think is also a perfectly valid reading of the Prince Role. (all small council positions are named by the first king, including the prince)In post 328, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:
I assume that when a Prince ascends, they name a new prince, or there is a line of succession for small council and they appoint a new 7th member.In post 325, JunkoChan wrote:
wait... *re-reading 190* I read that as the council is permanent..(?)In post 319, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:Do you think small council positions are reselected by each new king, or mostly retained until death?
but it lead me to another question, so the council members are the only ones that can be king right? so there's a limited amount of times a new king can be selected right?
also
it's not clear if it's possible to have more than 1 heir (in the case that the first one dies)
That much I think is... reasonable? But I think I agree that small council positions are probably for life.
So I think you need to be a lot more worried about being temp pocketed than you normally should be, because you're not really goign to be given a good chance to re-evaluate I suspect. I think once we make our chocies, it'll be in the hands of the king and small council, not us.
Someone should ask Pooky how the succession works lol-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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In post 361, VP Baltar wrote:I'd probably townbin andante and andres at this point. Dann and datisi are maybe in town lean territory for me. Dwlee I could see as town who hasn't had a real chance to engage yet.
Um... if these are your reads, why are you voting for dwlee?-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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<3In post 410, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:
Take care of yourself and have a good day friendIn post 409, Lukewarm wrote:I get town vibes from Andres's responses to LLD. I am also getting town vibes from LLD's play as well, although, not as strongly. With a splash of knowing she is good at scum.
So atm, I am at [ Andante, Junko, Andres, LLD ] town, in that order.
Thats alll the time you guys get from me today.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Lots of little things. (this time with out quotes and post links )In post 466, Dannflor wrote:Lukewarm can you put words to your LLD read beyond town vibes
what about her play here do you think is unlikely to come from scum!her?
Her outing the math for "If we get a scum!king, and we do 1 normal miselimination, then we could potentially mechanically lose this game on day 2 even if we kill a scum king every single day that the kind does not have his execute power"
No one was thinking or talking about that, and if scum!lld thinks that that is a valid wincon for her team, I doubt she brings it up and goes that hard into detail shooting that wincon down.
(although to be clear, I am sure pooky must have put something in this set up to not make that the case. My theory is that we only ever get a max of 2 kings. I asked if the prince would get to name a new prince after he took the throne, and pooky said we don't know)
I also don't think that scum!lld would be interested in the popcorn plan for king selection at all, but can see town!lld finding the information that could generate valuable. (and I have seen her, as town, propose popcorn style plans for the purpose of information before)
The way she reused to explain her town reads to you.
The way that is very much how town!lld thinks about how sharing town read logic helps the scum team, to the point that I predicted response and so I did not ask, was then surprised (and a little suspicious actually) when I saw her say something that insinuated she would explain if asked, and then went back to her being squarely inside my expectation when I saw her actually refuse was actually a kind of funny experience while catching up earler.
Scum!LLD could easily fake a town case on almost any player. And doing so would likely result in most players being more likely to town read her, and definitely more likely to get other people to listen to her suggestion for king. Doing so would almost certainly help her with her #scumgoals right now, but she didn't because her paranoia about sharing town reads
(I also don't expect LLD to do this to trick me in particular, because this expectation that I have developed about her town play came in part from me spectating a game that she was in, and I have not played in a game with her since then)
This is kind of a spin off from my last point, because they are kind of similar, but this is the more broad version. I also felt like she was doing this thing where she was being not very diplomatic at all to the point that I don't know that there are many people who would read her back and forth with Andres (for example) and end up more inclined to give her a PR if they made it to the kingship-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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I have literally been on VLA since the start of the game, and I have more posts then 9 other players.In post 656, Firebringer wrote:Lukewarm needs to do more if he wants maintain position as master of ships
I think I have been doing okay lol-
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I was wrong on how Pooky was stopping the insta loss train, but right that he was!In post 542, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:Coup in the Castle
If 50% or more Kingsguard Members decide to overthrow the King - they may murder him at night and install his chosen successor onto the throne.
If all Kingsguard Members agree to overthrow the Monarchy - they may murder him and his successor. The Small Council will be role blocked from committing any actions on this night. New elections will be held on the following day.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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I did follow up on it.The follow up just didn't lead me to believing in my original thought anymoreIn post 697, Datisi wrote:ah, now that you mention it, another thing that bothered me about lukewarm is that he seemingly shaded me for the king stuff but didn't actually follow up on it
@baltar, no thoughts on my andres thoughts?
After I asked you about it, i then went back and looked at your iso from the other game.
Realized there was more context then just the "I don't want to be ic" that I remembered (like the fact that you had a full game plan at the start of day outside you being ic'd, so it was not just "dont make me an ic" it was "i can win this ither thing better" and eventually decided you were not against goings to the gate anymore because you were not being town read. Like you *did* put yourself into that minigame once you thought it was better. And seeing that, I stopped thinking my original paranoia at the idea you wanted to be king was valid.-
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This response feels slimyIn post 757, GuiltyLion wrote:
I'm certainly open to the idea but I'm not at a place with all my reads where I'd commit to that.In post 756, JunkoChan wrote:Lion would you consider executing Rhae?
why are you pushing to execute her specifically? and also, do you think she would be particularly hard to get eliminated the usual way?-
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Also slimyIn post 763, Datisi wrote:also, i swear i never understood the "this person is being widely townread, must be town that mafia is afraid to challenge". like, why can't they be scum that mafia has no intentions of challenging?-
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Opening with "im certainly open to the idea"In post 816, Thestatusquo wrote:
whyIn post 814, Lukewarm wrote:
This response feels slimyIn post 757, GuiltyLion wrote:
I'm certainly open to the idea but I'm not at a place with all my reads where I'd commit to that.In post 756, JunkoChan wrote:Lion would you consider executing Rhae?
why are you pushing to execute her specifically? and also, do you think she would be particularly hard to get eliminated the usual way?
That being there instead of... just asking why feels like GL is focused on appeasement.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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AyeeIn post 778, VP Baltar wrote:
Weren't you just arguing andante town? Not sure why you're making this point.In post 763, Datisi wrote:also, i swear i never understood the "this person is being widely townread, must be town that mafia is afraid to challenge". like, why can't they be scum that mafia has no intentions of challenging?-
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Because it is abstracted away from your read on the person in question.In post 820, Datisi wrote:
whyIn post 817, Lukewarm wrote:
Also slimyIn post 763, Datisi wrote:also, i swear i never understood the "this person is being widely townread, must be town that mafia is afraid to challenge". like, why can't they be scum that mafia has no intentions of challenging?
Just before this you were arguing about why Andante is town. If you think that Andnante is town, then your PoV should also the the same as the one that you are disagreeing with here.
But it does not feel like you are talking about andante. You are talking in abstraction. Which feels less likely to come from someone whose primary focus rn is sorting the playerlist.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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I do not think that she is slam dunk always town all the time. But, gth, when I seen someone repeatedly playing exactly how I would expect them to play as town, while making steps that I feel like they could have easily skipped, with little expectation that they would be making those steps, as scum (like pointing out the danger math). I am naturally drifting towards thinking that she is town.In post 822, Dannflor wrote:
how familiar are you with LLD's scum playIn post 657, Lukewarm wrote:snip
I don't disagree that generally antagonizing a bunch of people 1 on 1 is like... not intuitive for scum
but LLD specifically focuses on those 1 on 1 interactions positive or negative in order to build her relationships and ensure she's never in danger
that's my point of hestitation
I don't think her reactions to people not wanting her on the council are ingenuine. I hate being treated like that for simply having a reputation and I empathize with feeling stuck regardless of what you do in that position
but my worry is that I feel like she might be focusing more on her relationships in this game than actually pushing for what she wants
what do you think
I also did not feel like her methodology even made me, someone who landed on this being more likely to be a town approach from her, more inclined to name her king-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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The end result of that statement is to make people doubt Andante town reads, and it never acknowledges that. It doesn't have the "I think Andante is town anyways, but..." aspect in there, which I would expect from an uninformed view point that is entering into that conversation with a town read on Andante.In post 827, Dannflor wrote:I think town would be more likely to be critical of questionable methods even if they agree with the conclusions? whereas scum would just be happy someone was agreeing with their reads? I don't understand why that isn't more likely to be town trying to get high quality reads / sorting than mafia... weakening a position in the game they support?
It does not engage with Andante's alignment, or even engage with your alignment for making such a post.
It is just... there.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Getting cop checked by the Hand of the King probably lol.In post 830, VP Baltar wrote:
Where would you want LLD if you could decide?In post 829, Lukewarm wrote:I also did not feel like her methodology even made me, someone who landed on this being more likely to be a town approach from her, more inclined to name her king
But actually, I have not really been able to put a lot of brain power towards the PRs. This game is getting about 20% of the brain power I normally bring to games atm.
Maybe the PR slot on the council that could do the least amount of damage if she were scum, but also lets her be in on the council meetings in case she is town (I would value her having imput in those conversations). And then likely also getting her cop checked, meaning she is both clear *and* a weak PR meaning the scum team would have to choose between killing her or a stronger PR. (or outed if scum, obvs)-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Oh. I don't think that your actual goal was to make people doubt Andante.In post 835, Datisi wrote:
yeah this is utter bullshitIn post 833, Lukewarm wrote:
The end result of that statement is to make people doubt Andante town reads, and it never acknowledges that. It doesn't have the "I think Andante is town anyways, but..." aspect in there, which I would expect from an uninformed view point that is entering into that conversation with a town read on Andante.In post 827, Dannflor wrote:I think town would be more likely to be critical of questionable methods even if they agree with the conclusions? whereas scum would just be happy someone was agreeing with their reads? I don't understand why that isn't more likely to be town trying to get high quality reads / sorting than mafia... weakening a position in the game they support?
It does not engage with Andante's alignment, or even engage with your alignment for making such a post.
It is just... there.
the idea that i have to repeat my townread of andante for the nth time in order to call out bad reasoning is nonsense
because literally less than 10 minutes earlier, i wrote 761 outlining difference between town and scum andante and why i think she's town this game; i had literally just got out of saying "i think andante is town" - and i'm trying to make people doubt town-andante by that one line? k
I am talking more about PoV's that would lead to the post being framed that way.
I think that the approach makes less sense coming from the perspective of of a town with a town read on Andante.
And more sense coming from scum who is just engaging to engage.
Given the lack of focus on the alignment of either the person who is being talked about or the alignment of the person who you are responding to, it was just empty engagement.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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If a scum hand of the king fakes results, they die the moment any of their faked results die.In post 852, JunkoChan wrote:Asking luke, but as a general reminder a cop check is very unreliable this game
So like, in this scenario
Scum!HotK fakes a guilty on town!LLD. They are doing a 1 for 1 trade. Bad plan
Scum!HotK fakes an inno on scum!LLD, they are making it so neither of those slots can end game, because town!cop and CopCleared!LLD are both slots that will be questioned why the scum team did not kill them before ELO.
So not super worried about the world where we are forcing a scum!HotK to choose between giving real or false results.
I kind of think HotK might be one of the worst slots of scum to end up in actually.-
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Yes. This.In post 854, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:
And what will they do, precisely, Junko?In post 851, JunkoChan wrote:
You know hand of the king can be scum right?In post 850, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:
eyyy chill chill you tryin' to get me shot by the mafia bruv ahahahIn post 836, Lukewarm wrote:
Getting cop checked by the Hand of the King probably lol.In post 830, VP Baltar wrote:
Where would you want LLD if you could decide?In post 829, Lukewarm wrote:I also did not feel like her methodology even made me, someone who landed on this being more likely to be a town approach from her, more inclined to name her king
But actually, I have not really been able to put a lot of brain power towards the PRs. This game is getting about 20% of the brain power I normally bring to games atm.
Maybe the PR slot on the council that could do the least amount of damage if she were scum, but also lets her be in on the council meetings in case she is town (I would value her having imput in those conversations). And then likely also getting her cop checked, meaning she is both clear *and* a weak PR meaning the scum team would have to choose between killing her or a stronger PR. (or outed if scum, obvs)
in all seriousness i'm fine being checked by hand of the king
They can either state my true alignment or trade one for one with me.
And if a scum is trusted enough to become hand of the king and wants to trade one for one with me? I'll accept.
Otherwise, they have to clear me, in a sense. Obviously we could both be scum and it could be a gambit but... how long will I live while cleared? With a cleared status the havoc I would wreck in this game... ahaha.
So.. yes, I've considered the outcome, and it doesn't much matter to me. I either get cleared or I get traded for. Both are fine outcomes, for me.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Decided to take stare at the playerlist and try to take stock, and this is vaguely where I landed
Spoiler:
Some thoughts:
VP Baltar is largely vibes feeling right, but I also like his advocacy for Andres king, who I also think is town. Also felt good to see him point out the same Datisi post that I did.
Bellaphant: her approach with me is very different then her approach with me was when she was scum. Not a strong thought, which is why she is a tier down, but I vaguely thought "huh, this is different"- but obviously, she could be doing something differerent on purpouse, but also, I have been low impact enough that I feel like a strange target.
Dann: I am conflicted here, because in our last game together, he repped in and it felt like I was reading my own thoughts typed out by him. He became my single strongest town read pretty rapidly because it felt like we were reading and thinking about the game in very similar ways, but this time I feel like we are not on the same page about literally anything. But also not really sure that that makes him scum basing it off of just the one game. But it does make me sad. (also, see Firebringer)
Dwlee: I feel like him jumping on me saying that Junko would not make that argument as scum, and even bringing it up much later again, while also not commenting on the like 4 other people who expressed a similar thought feels like he is not consistently applying reading metrics.
Firebringer: bad vibes from 416, which felt like it was designed more to frustrate LLD's attempts this game then actually engaging with what she said in her post. Like, she literally just floating an idea, and his resposne was
Also bad vibes from 411 which feels like he knows he is talking to a Town!Dann.In post 416, Firebringer wrote:lets just play the game and not be dictating how everything goes down
Drapion: Feels wildly different then his town game in Lost, where he was like the most self assured wild west gunslinger ready to take down the dirty mafia with just the sheer force of his bluster.-
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The main confliction is that I don't know that that is even a reasonable metric to sort you on.In post 899, Dannflor wrote:
can you elaborate on what has you conflicted? this is a bunch of words that don't really say anything at all about my alignment but the wording of "I am conflicted" makes it sound like you do have thoughts on my alignmentIn post 895, Lukewarm wrote:Dann: I am conflicted here, because in our last game together, he repped in and it felt like I was reading my own thoughts typed out by him. He became my single strongest town read pretty rapidly because it felt like we were reading and thinking about the game in very similar ways, but this time I feel like we are not on the same page about literally anything. But also not really sure that that makes him scum basing it off of just the one game. But it does make me sad. (also, see Firebringer)
is there towny stuff that you're balancing against this sad feeling?
Because, I don't like how out of step we are compared to that last game, and I want to them say that that is because that time we were the same alignment and this time we are not, but then I am not actually all that sure that that is a good way to sort you since being in perfect lock step is a one game experience we had together.
That really is the biggest thought I have had about you this whole time, and I don't know if it even makes sense to use to sort.
Only other thoughts have been not liking the way firebringer responded to you, and weakly thinking that scum!you does not gain much from picking a fight with the OMGUSer-in-chief herself Andante (but also, you don't seem to have played together so you might not know that, but also also, at some point a member of the scum team would have had to have talked to you about it, so maybe not).-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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As I read this, I get the feeling that you believe what you are saying hereIn post 909, UNOwen wrote:
Why advocate Andres to be king if you're going to try to undercut him before he's been crowned? Why not make the case for full democracy then elect the king once that has been agreed? Or why not advocate himself as king if he wants to be in a position of power? It feels underhand and treasonous to me.In post 901, GuiltyLion wrote: do you think positioning himself in that way is inherently scummy? I feel town!VPB would want to do that as well
But I think I fundamentally disagree that the idea should to "either name king, and let king do all of the PR naming without other people's input OR democracy all positions" so I am not surprised at all to see VP giving input on the roles, and dont view it as "undercutting".-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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He is literally a slot in the null section of my reads that asked me to voice more of my thoughts on his slot. Not sure why you would were expecting, but those are my internal thoughts there.In post 948, GuiltyLion wrote:
sorry to keep harping on you but this is the kinda stuff where it feels to me like you're finding reasons to justify your reads rather than arriving at them from a full thought out processIn post 943, Lukewarm wrote:at some point a member of the scum team would have had to have talked to you about it, so maybe not
That is literally just all the spoons that I have atm.I know you've said you're only giving 20% so far this game so give a bit more of that remaining 80% please-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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no, but I am pretty sure that is a fairly common conception of Andante?In post 951, GuiltyLion wrote:
actually I guess Datisi said this exact thing earlierIn post 471, Datisi wrote:also the tinfoily part of my brain is telling me that if you were scum, *someone* in your scumteam would know andante and warn you that she's basically an omgus machine and also that she is just like that as town and so it's not worth the struggle in early game... but tinfoiling
hmmmmm were you referencing this at all @Luke?-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Did you even look at where Dann was on my reads list? lolIn post 958, GuiltyLion wrote:I think you misunderstand me, I'm questioning Luke's reasoning for why he thinks Dann is town on that basis there, because it feels kinda half-baked/shallow from Luke. I'm not trying to argue for town!Dann in that post, you've misread it if you think I am
Spoiler:
When he asked me more about my thoughts on him (almost certainly because he was the only person in my null section that I had enough thoughts about to have commented on despite his placement), and my response was :
~Here is a reason that I think you might be scum, but I don't know if it makes sense actually
~Here is a thought I had about you, but depends on a preflip of someone.
~Here is a really weak thought I had about you
Which, I am aware is not going to convince anyone of swaying him either direction [see me, myself, being unswayed one way or another]-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Like, sure. They never would have talked about it before post 204.In post 959, GuiltyLion wrote:
like Andante this was exactly my point, and I thought it was kinda silly & suspect that Luke was saying that Dann being warned about Andante in the scum PT certainlyIn post 955, Andante wrote:like you don't sit in scum chat and go "I'm gonna push andante!" and you don't spend pregame going "don't push andante"wouldhave happened
It was when I saw him bring the suspicion back up in 715 that I had that thought, because that would have given them time to have potentially discussed it after he made 204.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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From an outsider's pov, it seems to me like you are the one more focused on the fact that the two of you have differing opinions.In post 990, Rhaenyra wrote:I don't know why I bother. So go ahead! Mock me! Stomp my feelings into the ground! Go ahead, say how worthless I am over and over! Cause you clearly enjoy castigating me for having a different opinion!
He made a comment about his thoughts on Mastina's posts (unrelated to you entirely) and you then interjected.
And you have interjected yourself every time someone else made a comment about not wanting a king mastina.
The way you have engaged with the discussion feels like you believe other people are not allowed to have the opinion that Mastina would not make a good king.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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This feels like you are also taking my posts out of context, and twisting them to call me scum.In post 1085, GuiltyLion wrote:with the overly explanatory LLD townread based on (imo) flimsy justification and lacking any visible doubt/paranoia, the extremely bad Datisi shade where he took Datisi wildly out of context, the busywork null read on Dann, it all just feels like pretend solving to me
Here was my read on LLDthe overly explanatory LLD townread based on (imo) flimsy justification and lacking any visible doubt/paranoia
And then I was asked to explain those town vibes. And I did.In post 409, Lukewarm wrote:I get town vibes from Andres's responses to LLD. I am also getting town vibes from LLD's play as well, although, not as strongly. With a splash of knowing she is good at scum.
So atm, I am at [ Andante, Junko, Andres, LLD ] town, in that order.
So you skipped past the post where I stated how strong my read was, and jumped to the post where I was directly answering "what part of this is giving you those town vibes" and are calling it scummy for it being "flimsy justification and lacking any visible doubt/paranoia."In post 466, Dannflor wrote:Lukewarm can you put words to your LLD read beyond town vibes
what about her play here do you think is unlikely to come from scum!her?
---
And you did a similar thing with my comments on Dann when you said this
Because, you skipped past the point where... I was not even making the arguement that Dann was town.In post 958, GuiltyLion wrote:I'm questioning Luke's reasoning for why he thinks Dann is town on that basis there, because it feels kinda half-baked/shallow from Luke. I'm not trying to argue for town!Dann in that post, you've misread it if you think I am
But since that has been explained, you shift the arguement instead to be
Your original take was that it was too bad of a reason for me to call Dann town, but when i responded to tell you I was not calling him town, now the issue is that it is "busy work" for a null read... skipping past the fact that I was directly asked you explain it more.the busywork null read on Dann
----In post 899, Dannflor wrote:can you elaborate on what has you conflicted?
As for Datisi
That simply did not happen. My entire point was about the exact context that it was said in.the extremely bad Datisi shade where he took Datisi wildly out of context
But I am sure that this will be hit with a response that even with the context, you did not like the conclusion. But "looking for people who are talking about reads in the abstract instead of being focused on the particulars of this game" is just... something I look for. Whether other people think it is a valid reason or not.
I actually just used that same line of thinking to call scum!Titus scum in Datisi's cafe. Albeit on a different scale because of the context where Titus was doing it vs what I saw from Datisi.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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I do not want a GL king.In post 1126, PenguinPower wrote:okay - quick read through
Agree that mastina should not be king
Firebringer probs scum – yw warmpuppy
Datisi probably scum
Tsq/gl/luke/dann town
Junko town?
Had a townread on andante but lost it by 920
No idea what to make of rhea
I’m gonna withhold comment on mastina assigning alignment to my v/la so I don’t lose it..she’s probably town though
Charloux probs scum
VOTE: gl
this seems good.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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My response to the one line was to think "oh, I did not like that"In post 1084, Datisi wrote:i find it really dubious that that *one* line from me that luke considers empty engagement would actually shoot me down in the bottomest tier in his reads
It was the following interaction that I had with you that actually moved you to the bottom tier.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Well, you had me down as town, so I thought it worth a shot to tell you that I am scum scum reading him, and ask you to reconsider.In post 1131, PenguinPower wrote:
not sure why it blanked my text...In post 1130, PenguinPower wrote:In post 1128, Lukewarm wrote:
I do not want a GL king.In post 1126, PenguinPower wrote:okay - quick read through
Agree that mastina should not be king
Firebringer probs scum – yw warmpuppy
Datisi probably scum
Tsq/gl/luke/dann town
Junko town?
Had a townread on andante but lost it by 920
No idea what to make of rhea
I’m gonna withhold comment on mastina assigning alignment to my v/la so I don’t lose it..she’s probably town though
Charloux probs scum
VOTE: gl
ok - but i do
this seems good.
I said - "ok - but I do"-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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I'll walk you through my process:In post 1135, PenguinPower wrote:yes - i'm aware that both of you are scum reading each other.
why do you think should baltar be king?
I looked at the people that I thought were townAnd I don't really trust Andante or Junko to be a very good king (sorry) - I am a little scared to make LLD king. - That left Andres and Baltar.
I went and checked the vote count
Reconsidered if I was willing to just relent for LLD, but decided against it.In post 855, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:mastina, Charloux, Titus, Rhaenyra,Lady Lambdadelta [4]:
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DatisiVP Baltar [1]:
VP BaltarAndresvmb [1]:
I saw that Datisi was voting Baltar, and went and looked at when / why he did that.
this does not look like a scum nominating another scum, because it does not actually even try to look sheepable. Even his follow up in 381 is not made in a way that is particularly digestable by anyone other then Baltar himself and is buried as a single part to a much larger post responding to multiple things.In post 228, Datisi wrote:ok so uhhh
andante town, dannflor firebringer and vp baltar feel town
VOTE: vp baltar anyone?
my usual way of reading vp baltar is "townread him if he does something that i don't think scum-him would do", HOWEVER i have realized that i can use a "townread him if he does not do something that i know scum-him would do" here
i'm realizing how much i actually rely on being able to push stuff with my votes and how it's throwing me off, which is annoying but oh well
So, I figured it was limited to 3 worlds:
The bad one:
Town!Datisi nominating scum!Baltar. Which requires both my own read on Baltar and a town!Datisi's read on Baltar to be wrong here.
The good ones:
Town!Datisi nominating town!Baltar. Which great.
Scum!Datisi nominating town!Baltar, in an attempt to pocket him. Which if we *are* in this world, that is a town Baltar with a scum vote already on him that would be kind of *locked* on him once he became a viable wagon, because he would not want to look awkward leaving it after making the case that he did, the moment that Baltar started getting votes.
Making it an easier wagon to actually go through between him and Andres.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Because we were 256 posts into the game, literally every single person had posted in the game, and not a single person was posting as if they were cognizant of the way the math worked out.In post 1161, GuiltyLion wrote: Like here are all of his reasons for town!LLD, in his own words:
^why not? what if scum!LLD thinks town!LLD would do this? does Luke even think it's a realistic wincon for scum? he doesn't because he gave a reason why that would not work in the very next section of the post.In post 657, Lukewarm wrote:if scum!lld thinks [scum King running executions] is a valid wincon for her team, I doubt she brings it up and goes that hard into detail shooting that wincon down.
Scum!LLD never catches any flack for not pointing it out, because... no one was aware of it. Even if *someone* did eventually run those same numbers, and tell the thread... no one is then going to look back and say "LLD in particular did not catch this!"
And no, I felt like there had to be a way to stop it. But LLD definitely thought about it, and even ran the numbers, and then made the decision to out those numbers to the thread. And if scum!LLD runs the numbers, she can just... not out them.
From my PoV, there was no downside for scum!LLD to keeping those numbers to herself, and there was a potential upside for her keeping them to herself. So my reaction is to think that scum!LLD would have been likely to make the choice to keep them to herself .
This is dumb. This is not a matter of "scum must shoot it down" it is a matter of "would scum be the first person to suggest it"
^why not? what if scum!LLD thinks town!LLD would do this? is the popcorn plan so damaging to scum that all scum must not engage with it and must shut it down?In post 657, Lukewarm wrote:I also don't think that scum!lld would be interested in the popcorn plan for king selection at all
There is no down side to her just... not suggesting it. And once again, literally no one else is going to look back and say "LLD in particular did not suggest this!"
My point was not that town lld never explains reads, and scum lld would... I am really sure that both town!lld and scum!lld have explained reads in lots of games... once they feel like doing so is more beneficial their wincon then not doing so.
^town!LLD doesn't share read logic, and she's not sharing read logic in this game, so she's town. Scum!LLD could make a town case, but she didn't, so she's town. These don't feel like real thoughts!! Plus, if this is known meta about LLD, why would she break it in this game with a bunch of players who have played with her? Luke acknowledges that she probably isn't playing around him specifically, but seemingly gives no thought to the other 19 players in this game?In post 657, Lukewarm wrote:The way that is very much how town!lld thinks about how sharing town read logic helps the scum team, to the point that I predicted response and so I did not ask, was then surprised (and a little suspicious actually) when I saw her say something that insinuated she would explain if asked, and then went back to her being squarely inside my expectation when I saw her actually refuse was actually a kind of funny experience while catching up earler.
Scum!LLD could easily fake a town case on almost any player. And doing so would likely result in most players being more likely to town read her, and definitely more likely to get other people to listen to her suggestion for king. Doing so would almost certainly help her with her #scumgoals right now, but she didn't because her paranoia about sharing town reads
My point was that town!LLD defaults to : "there is an inherent negative associated with explaining how or why I think any slot is town." And the benefit of doing so must outweigh that inherent negative that she perceives. For example, someone she is pretty sure is town is getting close to elimination
Scum!LLD, whenever explaining a town read helps her, all she would need to do is have a reason that it makes sense to explain it. And it is *very* easy to fake that. There is inherent reason to do that BUILT IN to this day phase, given the fact that we are not voting out scum and are instead voting for a king.
So, her being asked why she thinks certain people would make a good king automatically hands her the get out of jail free card to explain it, if she is scum, and wants people to follow her or ever to town read her for her choice.
And she did not take that. Which read to me, like that benefit genuinely did not out weigh that inherent negative that town!lld sees vs scum!lld purposefully not explaining it in order to imitate her town self.
tbh, most of this feels like GL is arguing "Because Luke is not explaining why scum!LLD would NEVER do these things, it is BAD and FAKE that luke would think that LLD is more likely to be town this game"
Which is dumb, because I don't think that there is very much that scum!LLD would NEVER do. That is not how I sort anyone, because scum can do literally anything.
*Could* scum!LLD out the numbers that outlined scum being closer to winning then anyone seemed aware of? Yes.
*Could* scum!LLD suggest the popcorn plan, which takes agency away from her determining the king? Yes.
*Could* scum!LLD stick to her "I don't explain town reads" thing, even when she would want to be in a position to sway people? Yes.
I was making the argument that scum!LLd seemed Less Likely to do each of these things, and therefore her having done all of these things left me to feel like she is more likely to be town.
I have also found that people who make arguments adjacent to "unless you are arguing that someone would/could never do it as scum, you cannot call them a townread" are scum-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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I feel like Mastina is prone to forming a read Day 1, and then it is nearly impossible to engage her about them because all she does is double down. Any counter arguments only cause her to reexplain her read over and over, and become even more sure that she was right - seeming to talk herself more into it the more she puts it into words.
(See my last game with her, where she decided that Roden was scum on like page 5, and did not relent until he died, no matter how much I town cased him as an example)
That and the fact that I have seen her be stuck in a constant catch up loop in more then one game are the primary reasons I don't want her to be the king-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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There is no town motivation for this post.In post 1197, GuiltyLion wrote:
stop responding to me is a good idea because we don't seem to be able to communicate productively, but frankly you should still be casing me because I'm your top scumread and currently a leading King vote, andIn post 1195, Lukewarm wrote:I am going to stop responding to GL.if you really believe I'm scum I'd expect you to keep doing that. I will have no chance of finding you town if you don't
If GL is town who thinks I am scum, he is telling me what not to do to get scum read by him, which is pretty ??
Contrasted to just... not saying this, and then seeing what I do in order to either further sort me / case me for it.
It also has that same twistiness built in to just call me scum for the sake of it. Seeing as how I was, like an hour ago, trying to get PP to not vote him for king.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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This is kind of an off shoot from my thinking on what I wanted to do with LLD earlier.
I had thought it good to cop check her, because she is scary, but at the time I had said that that would put her in a weak PR.
Thinking about it more, the first cop check should likely just be someone who becomes a permanent member of the kings guard.
This narrows the hunting pool if the king is ever killed, and gives the commander of the kingsguard someone in that pt that they can trust.
Furthermore, it spreads the power out more, forcing the scum team to decide between : the cop cleared player OR any and all of the PRs
That could still be LLD, with her serving the game as an IC instead of a memeber of the council. Otherwise, I am down for taking that role if for no other reason then to stop letting GL use "spin scum motivation into everything that Luke has to say about the game" as a tactic.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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I feel like this was ignored by you Rhea.In post 1194, Lukewarm wrote:I feel like Mastina is prone to forming a read Day 1, and then it is nearly impossible to engage her about them because all she does is double down. Any counter arguments only cause her to reexplain her read over and over, and become even more sure that she was right - seeming to talk herself more into it the more she puts it into words.
(See my last game with her, where she decided that Roden was scum on like page 5, and did not relent until he died, no matter how much I town cased him as an example)
That and the fact that I have seen her be stuck in a constant catch up loop in more then one game are the primary reasons I don't want her to be the king
And to be clear, I don't think poorly of Mastina for this. I have played lots of games with her, and keep signing up to do so again.
This tendency is not that big of a deal when she is one vote amongst many, but feeling like I could not work with her this way makes me hesitant to give her so much control.
And to be honest with you, it does not feel like you are asking for your opinion and experience with Mastina to be treated as equally valid. It feels like you are demanding that your opinion and experience be elevated over that of other peoples.In post 1226, Rhaenyra wrote: Of course, this is my experience, not anyone else's. However, just because it is my experience doesn't mean it's any less valid.
Your experience makes you want to vote her to be king || My experience make me not want to vote her to be king.
Equal treatment of those two experiences is for you to let your experience guide your vote and for me to let my experience guide my vote. But you are asking us to vote her anyways.
Which would meanignoring our own experience, andvoting based off of yours.
That is not treating them as equally valid-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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I did notice that he moved to Baltar after me, and I did think that it was weird. But did not really know what to make of it.
With the biggest two wagons being at 4 out of 11 votes, it is kind of hard to say where scum would or would not be willing to go imo. Even now, him simply moving his own vote to himself makes him the distinctly bigger wagon.
I also found his reasoning pretty odd given at the time that he wrote this message, he was tied for the largest wagon, and had just recently gotten there.In post 1200, GuiltyLion wrote:VPB I'm voting you largely because I'm most confident you are town and you have momentum, and I'm really curious to see who is really actively against you being King because we are getting to a stage where I find scumreading you somewhat implausible on the whole.
Meaning, if town, he *should* be thinking about the fact that he has momentum and he knows he is town, meaning he actually fits that part of the bill better then baltar does from his own PoV.
But he is not.
I get the feeling that he is actively avoiding saying he should be king even when he is tied for the largest wagon to be king, which does not sit right with me.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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I would say no, because your posting seems singularly focused. I am willing to compromise if my preferred king cannot get enough votes. Seeing as how he is the biggest wagon atm, I don't see the need to do so though lolIn post 1232, Rhaenyra wrote:First of, doesn't everyone? Aren't you just as unwilling to compromise as I am? If you were willing to compromise, then someone should have been elected by now.
You seem to not care about the actual electability of the person you are advocating for.
I never said that advocating for Mastina to be king was bad in and of itself. You were right to make the case for the person that you wanted to be king.Second off, what is wrong with me lobbying for who I think is the best possible candidate? Sure, I may be forceful, but that is because none of you are taking my arguments into account, while expecting me to take yours into account. Consider my stance and I will consider yours, basically.
The issue is that you seem to not be able to accept that other people have different experiences then you do with Mastina.
You are never going to convince me that my experiences were not what they were, just like I will never convince you that your experiences were not what they were either. -- But neither of us should have that as a goal imo
And instead, working towards finding someone that we can agree on :
-Would be a good king
-Is likely town.
You can likely sway people's opinions on whether someone is likely town, but I doubt you, or I, or anyone will ever effectively sway someone's opinion on whether another player "would be a good king" or not, because that is so incredibly subjective and based on each persons unique past experience with that player.
Basically focusing on doing so is locking yourself into an unwinnable battle.
And I wish you would instead focus on compiling a full list of people you think would be a good king and is likely town, and seeing how many of those alternatives actually have a chance to be elected.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Risk:RewardIn post 1212, PenguinPower wrote:
why?In post 1141, Lukewarm wrote:I am a little scared to make LLD king
I think that if a scum!LLD landed the king position, we would lose the game.
I think that if a town!LLD landed the king position, she would be effective -- but not massively noticeably more effective towards a town win condition then if she were to be in a council position or in the IC-esque position I described.
I won't stand in the way of king LLD, and can see myself compromising there if the other two look like they might lose to GL, but it kept her from being my first choice - which is what I was working out at the time.-
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Lukewarm Paragon of Mafia Hunters
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Ah yes. The good old "I need to vote for the counter election of the person scum reading me, so I am going to vote the person with 1 current vote instead of the person with 4 votes and is town reading me" strategy.In post 1235, GuiltyLion wrote:Luke's vote on VPB is about the only thing he's done that I haven't had a problem with. I don't think it's necessarily town-indicative because I am one of the main counterwagons and I am calling for his head
If I was primarily concerned about you being king because you scum read me, I just... vote LLD there lol-
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That last post made me want to look back at when he started "calling for my head" and noticed this
I made my post about LLD with 657
At the time, he did not seem to care about (or at least enough to comment on) LLD read at all.
Even saying
But then, suddenly when he wanted to case me.In post 996, GuiltyLion wrote:I actually mostly like Luke's townreads
In post 1085, GuiltyLion wrote:he's given me the worst vibes by far with the overly explanatory LLD townread based on (imo) flimsy justification and lacking any visible doubt/paranoia