Mini 490: Speed Mafia - GAME OVER.
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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@BM - I've seen you in lots of games ... I've gone through a bunch of games and remember having seen your name pop up regularily. It's a name that stands out too ... it's memorable.
I myself am pretty new, so this is the first time I'm in a game with any of the rest of you guys. Though of course, now I will probably check all of you guys out a little to get a feel for your style - as much as I have time for ... this is a Speed game after all.
No sweat about the OMGUS BM - you gotta vote someone, right?
Yeah, I tend to be verbose. That's something I guess you'll have to get used to.-
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Gorgon Goon
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@BM - Well, the Jester game (Open 25) was a good and memorable one all around; I like the idea of the jester and would probably to like to play a Jester game at some point. With regards to your performance in that game, I think you did quite well - I didn't look at who was who before reading through (wanted to guess for myself) and it surprised me quite a bit that you turned out to be Mafia, given the seeming helpfulness of your comments, and the bussing. I was dead sure YogurtBandit was the remaining scum in the endgame ... so I felt pretty ashamed when JDodge came out afterwards and said you were obvious scum.
Learning through experience is probably the best way to get better at the guessing game, though.
Want me to comment on more games? I'd be happy too, but I'm afraid maybe it would be way too distracting for the game now in progress ...-
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Gorgon Goon
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=Confused= is actually a she - I checked the profile.
And yeah, it's a slightly strange choice given that she's a pretty new player. That is why you say she's a strange choice, right, BM?
Anyway, you can always WIFOM choices like this to death, I guess. A possible reason for not picking an experienced player for an NK is to cast doubt on the experienced playes ... if they didn't get killed, they have to be scum, right?
@distad - Why the sudden vote change?
Anyway, a lot of players still haven't checked in yet. I think I'd like to wait for all of them to show up before letting the discussion drag on. I think a common mistake that the town does is to start out with only a part of the players actively discussing, picking at each other, while scum lurk under the radar.I want to concentrate on playing one game at a time so I'm not available for replacements. If this changes I will change this sig accordingly.-
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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Meh. Yeah, I see that I was rash in jumping onto VampanezeHunter's interpretation of your words; that you were saying that he had done a FoS-Vote. But chill, it was only a second vote on you. I do find it interesting that you chose to pull an OMGUS, but fair's fair I guess. Your reason is about as warranted as mine.d3sisted wrote:That said, Gorgon you were pretty rash in voting without so much as asking for clarification. I would've at least expected a "VH didn't FoS you" much like VH asked.
By a fluke, you have a bit of a bandwagon on you now. Not sure it's justified, but I see no particular reason to change my vote just yet ...
Point taken and agreed with.Battle Mage wrote:lol its hardly arrogance. From what i gather, the vast majority of the players here are fairly new to the site. I know from when i was new, i generally had a tendency to get rid of the most experienced players at night, simply because they might be more of a threat during the day.
Not sure how this sits with me. You're pretty much asking the Doc (if there's one left; or a Nurse ... how reasonable is it to assume that's likely btw?) to protect you here. If you're scum, this would be great for explaining why you'll still be alive tomorrow (and don't get lynched, of course): "Hey, the Doc/Nurse must have taken my hint and protected me!"Battle Mage wrote:Having said that, i'd hope a half decent Doc would realise this, and probably protect the more experienced players.
I agree he was stretching it with the d3sisted / =Confused= connection, but he was following a train of thought started by you yourself ...Battle Mage wrote:Unvote, Vote: HeH
He's not giving me the best vibe atm, primarily his Post 20.-
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Gorgon Goon
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I agree. Too much is being made out of the scums' NK choice ... at this stage in the game, at least. It might be useful later, depending on what happens, but it's peripheral at the moment. Right now, we just can't be sure. As the days drag on, we might begin to see a pattern in the choices, but making a big deal out a single choice is fruitless, IMHO.
But this discussion still has raised some interesting food for thought ...
This bothers me a bit. No one has come out and jumped to the conclusion that you must be scum, because you're still alive. There has only been a pondering over this fact ... granted, a possibility that has been mentioned is that you are scum, but I think you're making too much out of it, especially since you yourself say that you'd be a likely, obvious target for a first kill. Looking at the profiles of all the other player and seeing that all the other players have more or less considerably less experience than you is what led me to acknowledge this.Battle Mage wrote:The number of people who came out and said 'ooh BM is still alive, he must be scum', is quite alarming
Anyway, what 'number of people' are you talking about? The only people I have seen pondering why you didn't get NK'd are HeH, myself, andyou.
By the way, Mr.PIGG still hasn't shown his face. This bothers me ... as well as the fact that quite a few players haven't said anything for a while now. It would be very interesting to see what they have to say about the discussion so far.-
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Gorgon Goon
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Okay ...
I'm not seeing the case against YYCguy at all. What's it based on? A flippin' die roll? Firstly, I believe his explanation that he removed himself from the list, then rolled a 10-sided die and selected from the list that didn't include himself. Makes perfect sense to me. Also, I can't see how he could have possibly faked it. Can you do that? And what would be the point?
d3sisted and HeH are both giving my good vibes at the moment ... d3sisted's post 52 looks solid and reasonable enough, and so do HeH's last few posts.
The person I find most suspicious right now is Battle Mage - he's confusing, and I don't like the way he's going on about how lots of people came out and accused him of being scum because he's still alive. I'm not seeing it myself. Does anyone else see it? Then again, BM is hard to read, as he says himself ... I just don't know ...
With regards to VampanezeHunter, I'm inclined to believe that he is genuinely busy, although I think getting replaced in a Speed game like this is not cool at all. We should watch him, or his replacement, carefully.-
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Gorgon Goon
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I agree with BM. This is a very quick game, and we need to check out everyone by putting pressure on them. The deadline is not far away, and there is still no clear candidate for a lynch, that I can see.
That said, I find that some of Mr.PIGG's comments are questionable. This may sound like major OMGUS, but I for instance don't like how he said that I had 'gotten on the d3sisted bandwagon' ... is putting a second vote on someone 'getting on the bandwagon'? I'm not sure I agree.
Also, as YYCguy pointed out, Mr.PIGG neglected to notice that YYCguy was no longer voting for d3sisted.
Unvote: d3sisted
Vote: Mr.PIGG-
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Gorgon Goon
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Man - I just noticed that SurveySays hasn't even checked in! Someone should have asked for a prod much earlier ... he just kind of slipped through the net.
Also, Antipathy needs to be prodded, if this hasn't been done already. Prolonged absence is inexcusable in this game.
Just to fuel the flames of conspiracy, Antipathy voted for SurveySays, saying that a 'calculator' provided the randomness, as distad pointed out. Possible distancing combined with lurking?
I dunno, but I certainly don't like their absence ... they need to say something before the deadline, preferrably sooner than later.
Mod, can you prod Antipathy and SurveySays, please?
Also ... a vote count would be nice at this point-
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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Greetings to the new guys. Much thanks for helping to salvage this game.
I particularily like Raffles' contribution ... BM's NK ponderings never sat too well with me, at least not how they seemed to drag on.
Anyway, the player list would now look something like this:
Mr.PiGG
Battle Mage
YYCguyRaffles
d3sisted
Hang ‘em High
Sonicpulsar
Honary HitchhikerGorgon
SurveySaysChronX
VampanezeHunterAtticus
Antipathycurioskarmadog
distad
Mr.PIGG has been gone for a while now, though. Hope he turns up soon.-
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Gorgon Goon
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Man ... I don't know.
Reading over, I think I'm agreement that there's not really all that much that's useful in the posts so far. BM seems to be the only one who thinks so, but who knows. Maybe he has an ace up his sleeve. He says this all this NK discussion might be useful 'later'. Now, this could be true, but what if he gets killed? What good will his info do then? He says that "Later on, someone else can process it, and we have a good chance of using against the scum", but it seems he's the only one with any idea how one would go about doing this. I would prefer that people share any insights they have right away. Also, why would this info only be useful 'later'? Why not right now? What's your big secret, BM?
And oh, I could easily see this 'my info might be useful later' thing as a ploy to stay alive.
BM also says he doesn't understand this:
I think it's pretty clear to me. BM defended himself from Raffles' accusation that the BM-led NK discussion is distracting by saying that Raffles was the only one to base his suspicion on the NK convo. In this quote, Raffles replies to say that him being the first to offer an argument does not nullify it.Raffles wrote:I find your attitude to rasing suspicions particularly dangerous. If no one else speaks the same pitch as I do, does that mean my argument is nullified? I damn well hope not. Does an argument only become verified when everyone else follows it in the same manner? If that's the case, scum would always win since they can voice their opinions in a co-ordinated manner.
Also, I can point out that Raffles was, in fact, not the first to criticise BM on these grounds. It was distad:
So, if I have to point fingers, I'd say BM sticks out the most, for being way too confusing and distracting at times. I'm sure a lot of it has to do with his playing style, but it still bugs me. Do I vote him for it? I'm not sure. Not yet, anyway.distad wrote:Oh good lord...
Analyzing night moves is always WIFOMish. I learned that one in my very first game on here.
I am CERTAINLY not reading a different game for this.
Unvote, Vote: BMfor encouraging this completely fruitless pursuit.
Also, Mr.PiGG (whom I seem to be voting for) is a little suspicious for ... well, his die roll accusation, mostly. Also he seems a little reckless in general. It's pretty weak, I know ...-
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Gorgon Goon
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Well, I'm not sure that's a fair characterisation, at least in a relative sense. Who in this game has been more active in scumhunting, and in what way? Mind you, I ask also out of curiousity and a desire to better myself, if there's something lacking. I know that I have a tendency to give people the benefit of the doubt, and to avoid jumping on them in what I would see as an aggressive manner - and if this is something that's hurting my play, it's something I'm going to have to work on.Atticus wrote:Gorgon is very hard to read to me. He posts quite often enough, but as I think of it, there weren't too many actual opinions and not enough scumhunting going on. But of course, he's knew, so I don't know him, and I can't tell if this is what he would do regardless of alignment or whatever.-
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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I don't know ... HeH's post that distad quotes immediately follows BM's post where he says:
So following this up with some research into this issue seems like a natural thing to do to me. Anyway, it seemed natural to me at the time.Battle Mage wrote:my reason for asking about Confused, was simply that in a game like this, he seems a peculiar N0 kill, unless there was perhaps a grudge involved, or somebody had played with him before, and knew him to be a potent player.
Also, if HeH is scum, bringing up the NK ponderings again, and with such an elaborate theory, seems like a pretty reckless gambit at this point ... it would make more sense to me to just lay low and let the time tick away, given that we're on a tight deadline.
That said, we seriously need a bandwagon to get things moving, IMO, so ...
Unvote: Mr.PiGG
Vote: HeH
Plus, the fact that HeH was the first to mention suspicion against BM for having survived N0 is actually an interesting point to note ...-
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Gorgon Goon
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Agreed. It's become quite clear to me that BM's style is highly unique, and he does tend to get attacked just simply on the basis of his style. ChronX's points are very weak, IMO. If he could elaborate a little more on his thoughts, perhaps that would get me interested.Atticus wrote:I don't think that that's particularly scummy. I think Battle Mage plays prolifically and he involves himself with everything he can.
And oh, it actually does seem that BM's NK discussion might be getting us somewhere.
So yeah, BM is not my top priority right now.-
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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Yes, for a Speed game, this game has been plagued by way too much inactivity. It's pretty annoying.
Right now it looks like we're waiting on the bandwagonee, HeH, and still more players haven't posted in a while now. It's very hard to play this game correctly when the level of participation is this lax.-
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Gorgon Goon
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It's an interesting theory, and one that I find plausible. If we ignore the players who have been replaced (Why? Because it's easier to get a full picture of the actions of the people who have stayed throughout the game as a whole), the following are all candidates for lurkerscum:
d3sisted
Mr.PiGG
Sonicpulsar
I don't see any great reason to pick one over the others, as none of them has posted that much content to analyze, so Sonicpulsar is as good as any to pressure. If I had to pick one personally, though, it'd be Mr.PiGG, whom I have tried to pressure before. There's a lot in his posts that stinks of lurking in plain sight.
My second choice would be d3sisted, but probably mostly because he has actually posted the most of these three, so he has more suspicious stuff that sticks out.
But yeah, Sonicpulsar also displays a lot of lurking in plain sight, so he is a good one to pressure as well.
I'm going to commit to the bandwagon I'm on until HeH shows up; after that may reconsider my vote, depending on what HeH has to say.
One question though, ckd; in post 173 you mentioned d3sisted as a possible lurkerscum candidate, and your second choice after HeH. You had also mentioned d3sisted in post 154 ... but post 206 is the first one where you mention Sonicpulsar. Any particular reason for the switch from d3sisted to Sonicpulsar?-
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Gorgon Goon
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I find HeH's defense credible, and am ready to concentrate on other targets. I'm not sure who it's going to be next; mind you, I must say I don't like ChronX's post 211 as much as BM - I find his theory to be overly elaborate; it hinges on too many unlikely factors coming together. I also disagree with that it's scummy to push for pressure bandwagons in this situation, and interestingly, ChronX does not mention others, i.e. Raffles, who have been doing the same.
I'm also waiting for ckd's reply to the questions posed to him, though ... and for the people I've pegged as lurkers to comment.
What I know is that I don't think HeH is the play of the day, soUnvote, for now.-
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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Fair enough. While I don't agree that it's likely that three different scum would have no idea that BM is an experienced player (the join date alone should tell anyone that much), you do have some points against ckd. He has been a little undecided in who to go for, but if he is scum, why didn't he get on the HeH bandwagon; a guy who he had already expressed suspicion for? Well, I think there are two 'ckd is scum' hypotheses that could explain it:ChronX wrote:
Please note that the essence of my case is that CKD has put pressure on SP for lurking, while if you look at CKD's contributions most of them have consisted of lurking in plain site. I have deteailed these posts in my original post, and I don't think that pressuring someone with the same logic they are using to pressure someone else "hinges on too many unlikely factors". My original hypothesis was to look for newbies who were playing at game start who might not know of BM's formidable rep. By coincidence, Antipathy fit that bill and led me to examine his replacement CKD, whose behavior when isolated has some scummy elements to it, notably 90% or so posts with no content. Note his most recent OMGUS FoS on me.Gorgon wrote:I find HeH's defense credible, and am ready to concentrate on other targets. I'm not sure who it's going to be next; mind you, I must say I don't like ChronX's post 211 as much as BM - I find his theory to be overly elaborate; it hinges on too many unlikely factors coming together. I also disagree with that it's scummy to push for pressure bandwagons in this situation, and interestingly, ChronX does not mention others, i.e. Raffles, who have been doing the same.
I'm also waiting for ckd's reply to the questions posed to him, though ... and for the people I've pegged as lurkers to comment.
What I know is that I don't think HeH is the play of the day, soUnvote, for now.
1) HeH and ckd are both scum, and the latter didn't want to put his partner in danger.
2) ckd is scum, HeH is not; but ckd didn't want to raise suspicion by jumping on what could be an unstable bandwagon.
However, I still maintain that ckd is onto something with the lurker theory. And I disagree that his posts are devoid of content. So possibility 3) cdk is town, is looking good to me atm. He certainly looks more town than you, truth to tell.-
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Gorgon Goon
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Mind you, I'm not saying you're necessarily scummy. I'm just saying that I agree more with cdk's logic and ideas than yours ... so perhaps 'town' was the wrong word to use, when what I was really saying that to me, cdk's ideas seem more helpful than yours.ChronX wrote:You may not like or agree with the logic but I amquitespecific with 2 of the three instances. Its a lot more to go on than "looks more town than you, truth to tell".-
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Gorgon Goon
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Heh. I'm pretty much a newbie to Mafia in general, and words are flying fast and loose here - which I guess is exactly what we were waiting for. Just don't be surprised if I get a little carried away in these conditions.
Now that I think about it, ckd hasn't really answered why he chose Sonicpulsar over guys like Mr.PiGG and d3sisted when he came up with his lurker theory ... it is admittedly a weak point in his rhetoric.-
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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If you're gonna pounce, pounce. Please do explain what you find suspicious about that move. I already said I was interested in a wagon on a lurker, and I joined one. I got tired of waiting for other people to show up and decided to vote.Battle Mage wrote:I'm now torn between pouncing on Gorgon for his post 230 ...
I find it interesting that you should single me out for this instead of, oh, HeH.
Day 1 Deadline = Thursday 20th September - 10PM uk time, which equates to about 5PM Eastern US timeBattle Mage wrote:How long do we have till deadline?-
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Gorgon Goon
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At this point, I'd love to hear from the following people about the following things ... but shock and horror, they're not here right now:
ckd- Why did you pick Sonicpulsar over the other lurkers?
BM- See my post above. Also, I would like to hear your own case against ckd; you seem to be just following ChronX blindly here, at least judging from what you've said.
People like Atticus, Raffles, d3sisted, Sonicpulsar, MR.PiGG, Raffles ... heck, I'd be happy just to see anything from them at this point.
Also, I actually went back to look at ChronX's post 152, and he has some good points against d3sisted. It's a pity I missed it before - as I truly did. Looks like everyone else did, too - that case kind of just died. I note that d3sisted didn't even reply to those accusations. Although ChronX's other theories seem a little off, that one strikes me as plausible.
d3sistedhasbeen lurking in plain sight, especially these past few days. And he alsohasbeen overly defensive. He deserves further scrutiny.
I'm therefore going to go with my gut and not join some random wagon, but to vote for a lurker who has actually popped up as suspicious in my mind. Funnily enough, this way I'm combining elements from ChronX's and ckd's theories - isn't that just dandy?
Unvote
Vote: d3sisted
Happy with that, BM?-
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Gorgon Goon
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You haven't explained fully. Was it just a gut feeling? Mind you, I'm not sure what to make of Sonicpulsar's last post. He still doesn't seem all that helpful. If he survives this day and night, I sure as heck hope he'll be more active on day 2, that's all I'm saying. I don't much like this sort of behaviour. I'm almost sorry I let BM annoy me into changing my vote, but I am happy with my current one though. The reason that I myself voted Sonicpulsar is that I wanted to create a bandwagon on a lurker, as I've already explained. There wasn't that much motive apart from that.curiouskarmadog wrote:because something about him stuck out to me..
same question back at you.
Well, actual bussing, as in lynching a scumbuddy, would be absolutely pointless right now, especially if you're going to do it by being the first one to vote. If you're talking about distancing, it makes somewhat more sense, though. What are you talking about, exactly, though? I think I know what you're referring to, but as you quote all of HeH's post it's hard to be 100% sure.d3sisted wrote:Two words: Bussing scumbuddy.
I still wish you'd make longer posts; it's very hard to get a handle on you through a short single sentence.
...
Raffles has a an interesting point. HeH mainly echoed my own thoughts in his defense; I found it un-scumlike to voice such elaborate theories - so he pretty much said what I wanted to hear. I didn't really notice his "I know I'm town, so I'm clearing everyone who doesn't attack me as town" sentiment. I'm not sure how much to make of it though. I felt that the bandwagon on HeH was weak all along and just waiting to derail ... but maybe because I was never that sold on HeH to begin with.-
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Gorgon Goon
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God, I was hoping no one would go down this path. I felt HeH's post you're quoting might have possibly revealed a powerrole breadcrumb that Sonicpulsar dropped, which is why I didn't like that post that much - but I also didn't want to go into the issue of Sonicpulsar possibly having breadcrumbed, but now that it's out there ... HeH, did you really not consider the possibility that Sonicpulsar might have been breadcrumbing a powerrole when he said that?curiouskarmadog wrote:I am not liking how one prssure vote turned into 3...since post stood out to me.
what if he is a power role? Putting that 3rd vote on him would be dangerous, right?Hang 'em High wrote:
Unvote: Battle Mage
Vote: Sonicpulsar
I think we've got to pick a lurker to threaten and since two people have already picked SP, I'll go along. Besides, he told us scum and power roles lurk -- and he's lurking.-
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Gorgon Goon
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Well, HeH ... while your theory that Sonicpulsar might be setting up a false claim later is plausible, the possibility also exists that he was subtly hinting at the fact that he does indeed have a powerrole, and was going to lay low, and that people shouldn't draw attention to him. Risky, I know, but possibly worthwhile if successful. Kind of like "I'll lay low today and observe, but I'll come through tonight" I myself, for instance, had not noticed this until you pointed it out.
Although I must say that the risk is greatly amplified by the fact that we have a dead doctor ... so I'm not sure. I'm just annoyed that this got brought up, this soon anyway.
That's what I was thinking, so I'm very much looking forward to hearing from d3sisted again.Hang 'em High wrote:
I don't get it -- CKD was the first vote on SP. How is that bussing him?distad wrote:no, HeH... it seems that he's accusing CKD of bussing SP...
@distad - Mr.PiGG is highly suspicious, but unfortunately he's been AWOL from the entire site this past week. I don't think pressuring him will get us very far, I'm afraid. I also note that d3sisted has it in his sig that he's going away tomorrow, so the situation isn't looking all that good with regards to lurker pressuring, I'm afraid.-
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Gorgon Goon
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FOS-ing means you're saying you suspect someone of being scum. Please explain how what you construe to be bad logic to come up with the conclusion that you might have been breadcrumbing a powerrole and expressing alarm over the fact that HeH may have stumbled upon this fact makes me likelier to be scum. Were I scum, what would my motivation be?Sonicpulsar wrote:FOSed Gorgon for the above reason (his illogical conclusions of me being a power role).
Btw, okay, you were not breadcrumbing. Fine - that clears that issue up.-
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Gorgon Goon
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SP, I'm not voting for you, but d3sisted. The only one voting for you right now is HeH. Are you paying attention at all? You seem to be overly concerned about defending yourself, as opposed to actually being in this game and trying to figure out what's going on.
Regarding the breadcrumbing issue, I'll spell it out for you. HeH quoted your posts where you said that both scum and powerroles were more likely to lurk. I was alarmed over this, because I genuinely thought that when I saw these quotes both together (two separate instances where you were saying scum/powerroles were both likely to lurk), you might have been indicating that you were a lurkish powerrole. I was already confused about whether you were lurking on purpose or not (since you have explained that you were watching the game at first, but didn't want to contribute anything because you thought the discussion was fruitless), so I thought this was plausible. I didn't want to mention anything over fear of giving this away to the scum ... but when ckd raised the possibility that you might be a powerrole, I figured the game was up and decided to chastise HeH for this; what I saw to be a possible error of judgement on his part ... and warn people in general about saying things that might indicate in an overt manner that someone might have a powerrole (although I didn't say as much - but I'll say it now then). HeH didn't have to quote those posts of yours in order to argue that scum are likely to lurk.
I believe this to be a dead issue now, and find it odd that you continue to pursue it. And you still haven't explain how this makes me scummy. Yes, you have explained that you believe it to be silly, crappy logic, but you still haven't explained how it's scummy. Crap logic is not the same as being scummy, although there are correlations. You need to offer some theory that as scum, I would have some motivation to do what I did, and that I would have less motivation to do it as town - and this you have not yet done.
@ChronX - very, very interesting.-
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Gorgon Goon
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Fair enough ... it's clear that you're confused and distracted.
I can somewhat see that HeH's accusation that you might have been setting up a possible false claim could be scummy (painting you in a bad light; if he's scum and you're town he benefits from this by spinning the issue towards the idea of you being scum), but to me there's nothing scummy about my take on this issue ... so it's good we got that sorted out.
I very much hope that you'll be able to contribute something more useful later ... the deadline looms, and people not focusing on the game is very harmful and confusing to others.-
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Gorgon Goon
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Good effing question. BM got himself replaced in another game that I'm in with him, so I don't know what's up with him these days.Raffles wrote:Unvote
Where the heck is BM?
@Atticus - Do you mean to say that you'll stick with voting HeH? Because, you know, it doesn't seem you're actually voting for anyone ...-
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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Fair enough. Seeing you're in an awful lot of games, I don't blame you ...Battle Mage wrote:1. I didnt 'get myself replaced' in Jordan's game. I quit because i wanted to dedicate more time to the games i can keep up with.
Also fair enough, as per the point above. I'm amazed at the number of games you manage to be active in.Battle Mage wrote: 2. It cant have been more than a few days since i last posted. This game is active, and i am following, but sometimes i dont get the chance to reply to everything.
Well, it was just that you didn't say anything about your own feelings towards ckd, just basically that you agreed with ChronX, so I found it a little odd that you would bandwagon with no explanation beyond that. I do agree that bandwagons are a must, though.Battle Mage wrote: 3. The only thing that has been directed at me in particular recently from what i can see, is the accusation from Gorgon that i am 'following Chronx blindly', by voting for the same person. I need to reread, but Chronx gives me protown vibes, and his vote made sense to me. We need a lynch soon, and BWing seemed like a good idea at the time.
You also haven't explained why you wanted to pounce on me for the SP vote.
I concur.Battle Mage wrote:A vote Count would be loverly.-
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Gorgon Goon
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I'm almost tempted to shout "NO U!"Battle Mage wrote:
ah yes. I remember now. This post just sounds like you are giving a fairly meaningless excuse for a BW vote, in order to avoid suspicion. Its a little scummy, but not really enough to go with at this stage of the day.Gorgon wrote:Okay, I'm ready to vote again. If the next bandwagon is going to be an anti-lurker wagon, it makes sense to add to the vote that's already out there.
Vote: Sonicpulsar
BM
... except I note now that you didn't actually vote at all, despite your declared interest in bandwagons.
Raffles has an interesting point as well, btw.-
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Gorgon Goon
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I have no problem with BM's declared interest in bandwagons. What I was getting at is that BM says that bandwagons are good, was interested in following ChronX and voting for ckd, but didn't actually do it ... and still hasn't voted for anyone in a while now. I'm not sure either way to make of it, but I did think it was interesting. It's just something to note.distad wrote: I don't like the "declared interest in bandwagons" either, but since I just joined one, I guess I can't complain too loudly.
Let's hope d3sisted shows up now ... if he's gone away already I'm very much afraid we might be in a deadlock situation.-
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Gorgon Goon
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I checked, and I can confirm that HeH is indeed right ... d3sisted has posted in various games since he made his last post here; in fact, his last post here almost doesn't make it to the first page of his list of posts. HeH's theory that d3sisted left this game on purpose in order to put us into a position where we'd have to refrain from lynching him is therefore credible. It also does not look good that d3sisted has been very terse of late in this game, and he wasn't all that vocal to begin with.
Looking at it through cold, hard logic, even if we lynch completely randomly, we have a little over 1/4 chance of getting scum. Seeing that a not unreasonable number of people have voiced suspicions against d3sisted, and his absence is indeed suspicious, I think the chance is somewhat higher than this in his case.
To me, this says that d3sisted is our deadline lynch, unless someone comes up with avery crediblealternative, or there is reason to assume that a no lynch would be a better option.
I have some reservations over the fact that d3sisted will probably not have a chance to claim, though, so I want to hear from as many of you as are able to post before the deadline about your take on this.-
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Gorgon Goon
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I expect BM is going to do an analysis on everyone - perhaps he has some ace up his sleeve.
Anyway, d3sisted is a more logical choice than MR.PiGG in my eyes, sucky as I find MR.PiGG. At this point he's more likely to be replaced than not, IMO. I think it's very dangerous to go after someone who's in that position on the basis that his content so far is of little use, and therefore he is dispensible.
Also, BM, to be honest, I think you're concentrating too much on scumtells. If d3sisted is scum, why would something necessarily stick out as uberscummy in what little he has posted? I may be a newbie with only one completed game behind my belt, but to my mind I think it might be useful to consider people's motives as well. For instance, as town, what motivation could d3sisted have for acting the way he did? What motive does he have as scum? I myself am finding it hard to find a motive for him doing what he did as town, but then again, as I've said, I am inexperienced. Truth to tell, d3sisted's play in this game baffles me. He certainly has not been very helpful to the town so far. While this may not mean he's automatically scum, I think it is something to consider.
I know you've been looking for ways to improve your play, so that was my two cents. Of course, if you're scum, it's a moot point in this game anyway, but I think it could be useful in general.-
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon
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Gorgon Goon
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Okay ... now this is really getting confusing.
I think ckd's reason for voting ChronX is pretty weak. Sure, it's a little unorhodox to just switch votes without any further ado, but given the situation, this is not something he should be lynched over. His explanation is reasonable, that he was just responding to recent developments. MR.PiGG had indeed made himself a better candidate than d3sisted with his post.
Let's say ckd is scum. What motive does scum-ckd have for a false claim now? The only reason I can think of is that he and MR.PiGG are scum together, and ckd wanted to save him through a reckless gambit. His post 338, along with his defensiveness now kind of supports this theory, IMO. I don't know why ckd would have posted 338 as town. It sounds extremely WIFOM to me. I don't think ckd should be worried about this possibility right now as a real Mason. He should be focusing on who to lynch. If he and MR.PiGG both survive the night,thenthe time has come to worry about a scum trap against the Masons.
However, if he's scum, he's worried about tomorrow, knowing he and MR.PiGG will both be alive if neither of them gets lynched. So he sows the WIFOM seeds in advance.
There is one thing about the 'ckd is scum' theory that troubles me, though. Why then didn't he just go after d3sisted, a much more obvious and easy target? Also, there is consitency here. Looking through the game, I never see much of an attack by ckd on d3sisted. He mentions him a few times, but offers little opinion either way. When the pressure on d3sisted was on, he said nothing, and didn't vote for him. Also, he picked Sonicpulsar over both d3sisted and MR.PiGG. However, he has shown some antagonism against ChronX before.
A scum in this situation would benefit much more from just following the earlier bandwagon - unless of course ckd (still, from the assumption he's scum) has some reason to protect d3sisted as well as MR.PiGG, which would mean those three are the scum, and the game is pretty much up. Is it really that simple? I'm inclined to believe not ...
There is also the possibility that ckd and ChronX are scum who are distancing ...
I'm not at all sure what the best thing to do here is ... and I thought things couldn't get more complicated.
EDIT: I wrote this while there were lots of new posts coming in. I see them now, but I'm still going to post this. I'll add something later that may be more relevant to the latest situation than this is, but if I'm going to wait constantly until I'm sure no post sneaks in ahead of mine, I'm afraid that will be pretty difficult.-
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Gorgon Goon
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Okay ...
I agree that we should not lynch MR.PiGG or ckd today. I'm still waiting for ckd's answer to Raffle's query as to whether he's a confirmed Mason though; it's better to be clear on those details of course. Also, it would be good if MR.PiGG could show up and confirm the claim, just for the record ...-
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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Okay, calm down ckd ...
This sounds reasonable to me. I'm afraid the scum probably won't fall into this trap now, but I agree that ChronX's reaction is interesting. Also, you were suspicious of him earlier, so like I said, there is consistency there.curiouskarmadog wrote:Well, this post is obviously lost on the town..so let me explain...before the post, it was a sure thing that either Pigg or I were to be NKed. This sucks for all of us. My thinking was, the mafia will kill one of us because we are fairly close to a confirmed town. SO I posted that thought hoping the mafia might say hey...maybe we should avoid lynching him and hit someone else, thatwillmake them look sketchy (especially after the post)...If they leave us alive, this helps the masons help the town figure out who is town vs. mafia. I figured that day 2, if Pigg and I werent NKed, the mafia would come out swinging saying that we must be scum because we werent NKed...but before the day had ended, Chronx did it....it was a trap of sorts..
Well, you voted him on the basis that he voted without commenting, before he started going on about you having false-claimed and wanted to stick to his vote ... but I agree that there is a more solid basis for suspicion now.curiouskarmadog wrote:the fact that Gorgon does not get this also warrants suspicion Gorgon thinks my only case against Chronx is that he voted without commenting? No..that just adds to it. My case against Chronx is that he wants to lynch a claimed mason Day 1 eliminating any advantage that the town has.
Yeah I know ... this was of course assuming that MR.PiGG was the third scum. I was mostly thinking out loud in that post.curiouskarmadog wrote:really? then we must be very crappy scum, because Pigg's counter claim (I am not a mason) would screw us...Gorgon this is ridiculous.
I think you and MR.PiGG are indeed masons, and I will vote neither of you.-
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Gorgon Goon
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Well BM, if you get me lynched, I can only say that I hope I'll do better in later games. I guess I could have been more confident in this one, my second game, and the first one with 12 players, although funnily enough you say at one point that I have been confident in my own abilities ...
At least I have beentryingto analyse things and post regularily, but I'm sorry if it hasn't been useful.
I ended that post with:Battle Mage wrote:I don’t understand the last commented in this post, which appears to be directed at me.
Explanation needed I think.
... because I found your comment about my post 31 annoying, and was sarcastically asking if you were happier with me voting d3sisted.Gorgon wrote:Happy with that, BM?
Either that's a typo, or you read incorrectly. I thought Sonicpulsar's posts, that HeH quoted, were a powerrole breadcrumb. I find it a little insulting that you should believe otherwise.Battle Mage wrote:Rofl. He also thinks that HeH’s post was a power-role breadcrumb. Boy, I hope this guy is scum. Lol-
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Gorgon Goon
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BM, I'm not trying to lay a guilt trip. I was just surprised by your analysis and felt it was unfair, although I guess I can see where you're coming from. Also, there were some parts where you just misunderstood things (mainly, the powerrole breadcrumb issue), which annoyed me. You truly have annoyed me from time to time in this game, but it's nothing to cry over .... and it's just a game too, anyway.
Btw, I'm thinking now that you're town, since you seem to be going against the flow in your analyses and theories in this game in general.
I basically agree with your take on things with regards to things that look scummy or not, but again I must say that I'm not sure that's the whole picture. For instance, I don't think that distad, whom you gave a 'good review', and now seem to have cleared of all doubt, has been very active in scum-hunting, although he has posted a lot. His posts are all fairly 'safe' and noncommital, IMO. At least I admit that I often don't have much of an idea of who to go for, or what to think of things.
I don't take things personally, and it's only one game anyway, and only one guy who's said I'm scummy. It's a learning experience, I guess; at least now I should have some idea of how to act in order to not give off heaps of scumtells for others to pick on.
Also, call this sucking up if you will, but I think your game is indeed improving. This idea of analysing everyone PBP is a good one, and you state your case clearly and concisely. You're much less confusing than you were early on in this game.
I'm not sure how much I'll be on until the deadline, but I support a d3sisted lynch. He's at 4 votes now, so I'll play it safe by not voting though.
P.S: SP's posts that I thought might have been powerrole breadcrumbs are his 2 & 3 ... HeH quoted those posts in his post 22.-
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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Yes, this is indeed an odd development.
It's a good thing that both of the guys we lost are vanillas. Yes, I know it's supposedly a scumtell to express sentiments over who gets killed, but I really am glad. Also, one of the positive aspects of townies dying, obviously, is that their past words and actions are confirmed as that of a townie. We still have to judge for ourselves whether they have merit or not, but at least we know they're not lies or deception.
It's annoying that Raffles didn't state his case against ChronX - now we'll never now why he voted him ... but cdk's theory that he was killed to setup ChronX is interesting. We have to be careful here. But maybe ChronX really is scum, and this is what hewantsus to think ... damn WIFOM. Or he just wanted to take out someone who could go after him forcefully today. Another possible reason for killing Raffles is that he opposed the d3sisted lynch. Since d3sisted was actually town, eliminating anyone who stands out by not having gone with lynching him helps blur the lines between scum and town. As it stands, BM is the only living guy who opposed it, although opposing a popular lynch can also be a tactic to look town; you know the guy's town, so when he really comes up as town, you'll look good the next day.
I find it unlikely that cdk and MR.PiGG aren't actually Masons. If cdk really is scum, he was taking a huge gamble on the fact that there might actually be real Masons out there who could take them down. It's possible of course, but it's more likely IMO that they are Masons, and that the scum are trying to muddy the waters by springing the WIFOM trap ... in a quick game, I can see this as a tactic to distract us from finding the real scum.
If we are in agreement that we probably have two confirmed innocents out of nine players, things are looking pretty good right now.-
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Gorgon Goon
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Gorgon Goon
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Because I really was expecting a claimed mason to end up dead, as per people's suggestion that the scum wouldn't want to risk keeping them both alive, and because I believed the claim. I haven't seen many games with masons, and I've certainly never seen a game where there are two claimed masons on day 1, so I went with the expectations already voiced.Battle Mage wrote:how is it an 'odd' development?
With regards to HeH's explanation, I can see how he could have got carried away with his assumption that the mason claim was real, and thus not minded his phrasing. I was mostly testing his reaction ... and I'm keeping my eye on him, not least because as he was one of the guys Raffles went after yesterday. The same applies to BM, although I'm not sure how much of that was just personal antagonism ... but I do know that he wasn't the only one to call BM scummy for dragging the NK discussion along.
Raffles is an experienced player and a good scumhunter, from what I've seen. Now that we know he's town I think it's likely that he must have been onto something. 100% of what he had to say can't all be crap, IMO. The same applies to d3sisted. At least now I know two people whose words I can trust, even if they're dead.
Btw, why was Raffles scummy in your opinion, BM? I saw him as very aggressive, which is supposedly town-like. The most dubious thing was voting ChronX without explanation, but I'm sure that was mostly due to time constraints.
I'm trying to play more aggressively today, since I got called on my lack of assertiveness at the end of yesterday. We really need to bag a scumbag today or we'll be at Lylo tomorrow, and mucking around isn't helpful. I will review and post some player analyses later today.-
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Gorgon Goon
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