Open 21 - Friends and Enemies (Game Over), before 453
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Sir Tornado Mafia Scum
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Sir Tornado Mafia Scum
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So, are you saying we should just wait for the Masons to take the lead?Lowell wrote: My personal goal will be to drag on conversation and make sure the masons don't think I'm scum. The one advantage we have is that the masons have a much better chance of catching the scum (3/8 of remaining players AND controlling 3 of 6 necessary votes) than any pro-town players usually do at the beginning of the game. They can almost hunt by process of elimination if they can guess at enough townies.
On the flip side, if they do, wouldn't the Mafia have a better chance in spotting them?I'm back!-
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Actually, I think we are in deep trouble if we don't get one scum on the first lynch. The Mafia can get a mason at night too. That is exactly what happened in theLowell wrote: The key, to me, will be to hit scum EARLY. As in, day 1. As soon as even one mason gets lynched we're pretty much playing a vanilla game (2 person mason team not nearly as powerful) with a huge scum percentage. I cannot realistically see the town winning should we lose a mason before we find a scum.Mini 232Adel gave a link to in post 31. Actually, in that game Mafia got 3 masons in the first 3 nights, but the difference is, that there were 4 Masons in that game compared to only 3 in this one.I'm back!-
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Well, if I were a Mason, I would want to behave exactly like the other townies. I would not want to attract any undue attention from the Mafia, at least not before at least one of the scum were lynched. So, since most of the players seem to be lurking right now, the masons would try to lurk. I think it is absolutely essential that the rest of the town lead, before the masons take over. Sitting back and making sure that you don't come across as scum to the masons, and then hoping masons eliminate the scum won't really help as of now like Lowell suggested won't help us right now.bird1111 wrote:
Why would a Mason lurk?Lowell wrote:If I were a mason OR scum, I'd probably be lurking right now. Just something to think about.I'm back!-
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Sir Tornado Mafia Scum
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*sigh* Look at my signature... I was out of town from 3rd till 6th. Just back actually, and I can't post anything today till I set everything in the house in order.Lowell wrote:unvote, vote Sir Tornado
My day 1 policy, vote for whoever has gone the longest w/o posting. Tornado, post and my vote leaves.
FOS A Papaya... were my policy to vote for the person with the least CONTENT, this would be a vote.
Seriously, this is how I'm going to play. We need to be able to draw connections on D1. I very firmly believe this is more essential than other games.
Unvotebecause my vote was a random vote.
FOS A Papayaforstillnot posting anything at all (it has been 4 days since you said you would post something)
I am not voting anyone right now, though a couple of more days of inactivity from A. Papaya and my FOS on him would change into a vote.I'm back!-
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Ok, now, I am fully functional. A recap of the last 4 days if you please:
Post 66: Lawrencelot votes Theopor
Post 68: Adel votes Theopor
The reason given by both is lurking.
Theopor gives post 71 and votes Ryan for being "too eager" and both promptly unvote him. Ryan questions them for voting and unvoting so quickly and Lawrencelot gives the excuse of trying to flush the lurkers out.
Adel votes for A Papaya till he stops lurking, Albert and Ryan ask A Papaya to post too. He posts some non post commenting on little activity in the game, with which Ryan, Adel and Ripley do not agree. followed by Adel posting some chart (one mistake I found in that diagram was, that I had voted for Ripley, albeilt randomly, which is not depicted there, that I could spot without consulting my notes. So, there could be a few more) which, I really am not sure depicts anything except that Adel seems to be too eager to take the game by the scruff of it's neck. He also asks to unvote all random votes, which Aimee agrees to, but Theopor and Albert decline. . Aimee posts some comment about liking pictures (we still haven't really had a real comment from Aimee all game, which does make me wonder why people are jumping on A Papaya's throat)
Lawrencelot and Lowell vote me for lurking, but intrestingly, Adel does not. I find it funny, because he is usually the first one to jump at the lurkers. But here, he seems to have ignored both me as well as Aimee until someone else has pointed out (or, the explaination could be that he knew we were both away... don't know much about it)
Adel then posts about being on the same wavelength with Lowell. I think that makes me think that they are both townies. Scum would not be bring out the fact that they are voting or FOSing lurkers or any players for that matter in co-ordination themselves.
Ripley then voices her suspicions about Lowell being a major force in the game. In the next post (113) Adel defends Lowell (although he could be defending himself too, because the same logic Ripley used for Lowell could be used against Adel too). He then once again reiterates his plan for voting the lurkers out (or, atleast voting the lurkers enough to get them posting) Ryan makes a comment about being suspicious about people who start posting after votes have been placed upon them. Papaya posts another post saying there isn't anything to be commenting on, when in fact, he would have voiced his opinions about lurker lynching and defend himself. For some reason, he prefers not to.
In post 117, Albert says he suspects A Papaya, thinks Adel is clean and is not too sure about Lawrencelot. In the next post, Adel again asks A Papaya to post something meaningful.
Then, I post, and Albert immediately unvotes me in post 121. I must admit, I was a bit surprised. I never really liked the strategy of unvoting people just because they posted. A post, should have some actual content other than just aI am here, will post something tomorrowin order to merit an unvote for a lurker vote, and I very much agree with Lowell's post 122.
Bird then defends lurking, and says that scum do not lurk, but post enough to not appear as a lurker (by this defination, Ryan and Ripley should be prime suspects. Intrestingly, Adel and Ryan himself applies this principle against Ripley in post 127 and 128)
Then, some talk about having the mod to prod/replace them.
Bird then votes for A Papaya,despitehaving defended lurking.
Ripley defends herself from Ryan and Adel's accusation. Albert then wants to have Lowell's claim by the end of the day (what claim?) and votes for him. In the insuing posts, Albert voices his suspicions about Lowell which are based on the behaviour of Lowell in past games. Adel then quickly jumps to Lowell's defence (again), which leads to anotherWhether we should lynch the lurkersargument between Adel and Albert.
This, followed by a discussion between Ryan, Adel and Albert over whether A Papaya is merely being anti town or scummy by not posting, followed by some pointless bickering between Adel and Albert, ending with Albert being accused as being A Papaya's scum partner. Then, A Papaya pops up with a post claiming he is town, accusing of Adel being the scum.
My opinions about players:
Lowell and Adel: Seems to be very keen to hunt down the lurkers, and they could be either way. I think, however, that if one of them turns out to be a scum, the other will too.
Ryan: Can't say much. But, I am leaning a bit of his being on scummy side.
Albert: He seems to be defending A Papaya rather vehemently, without him having posted anything substantial as of yet. So, I willFOS: Albert
A Papaya:
Till I read that, I thought A Papaya was just a townie, persuing anti-town activities or just being too busy, especially since he seems to be deliberately posting non posts. But, this post, seemed very scummy to me. Personally, I am deeply suspicious of any person who says only "I am town" without actually participating in the discussions, so, my FOS changes into a vote.A Papaya wrote:Adel don't do this. I'm town, and if I get lynched and the rest of the town finds that out, you'll seem like scum. Which you probably are.
Vote: A. Papaya
I can't say much about Aimee, because haven't heard much from her. Ripley, I think is pro-town, because though she seems to be anti lurking, she is not over doing it like Adel or Lowell. Lawrencelot too, I think is townie. Bird1111, has defended lurkers, but, I gather that the bird is a lurker type of player in general by posts on pages 1 and 2, so, I would not put my suspiciouns on him for now.
That's all for now!I'm back!-
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Sir Tornado Mafia Scum
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It's more of a gut feeling rather than anything concrete. The thing is, that right now, there seem to be a few people who are going on an all out attack on lurkers (Adel, Lowell) and there seem to be a few people bent upon defending the lurkersAlbert B Rampage wrote: Tornado, could you clarify your ideas on ryan ? Why did you say you were leaning on his scummy side ?to some extent(yourself, Bird and Ripley).
Ryan seems to be all out against lurking, but is trying to not put himself in too much spotlight like Adel is. Not really sure if that is scummy or not, but that seemed a bit strange to me... but that's not something that can nail anyone as scum, but I just got some bad vibes from it. But, not enough for a vote or even a FOS. (well, call it anail of suspicion)I'm back!-
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Ok... but that leads me to another question which anyone can try to answer really...Ryan wrote: Sir Tornado: I do have a problem with lurkers and definetly don't appreciate them BUT lynching a lurker could put the rest of us townies at risk especially if the lurker towns out to be a townie who's just not posting. Papaya promised content than basically thumbed his nose at us by not commenting, I found that to be extremely anti-town and also scummy. That is why I placed my vote on him. As for putting myself in the spotlight, I guess I figured with the frequency of my posts that would show I'm 100% on board with catching scum and figured I was posting enough thoughts to show that.
If A Papaya were scum, why would he do something so blatantly scummy?
This has really vexed me...I'm back!-
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I really don't understand this claim.In post 227, A Papaya wrote: I'm claiming.
I'm a mason. My fellow masons can prove it true.
In post 208, Lowell wrote: Here's my take on claiming:
1) IF A PAPAYA is SCUM-
(a) he claims MASON. A mason emerges to call him out. We kill a scum, we lose a mason.net PLUS for the town
(b) he claims TOWN. Tries to argue his way out. Probably can't. We kill scum and masons remain hidden.HUGE PLUS for the town
2) IF A PAPAYA is MASON- he claims mason. No counterclaims. We kill someone else but lose a mason at night.BIG LOSS for the town
3) IF A PAPAYA is TOWN-
(a) he claims town and tries to argue his way out. Mabye can't. We lynch him.NET Loss for the town
(b) he panics, claims MASON. Mason emerges to counter. We lynch Papaya, then lose mason at nightGAME-BREAKING Loss for town
Applying the above logic, unless A Papaya is scum, the town loses no matter what happens. First of all, if A Papaya is a mason, then:
1) Some one confirms this claim
2) No one confirms the claim
If the claim is confirmed, we have 2 masons unearthed. Scum get them in to NKs, and you have the threat of masons negated.
If the claim is not confirmed, we lynch A Papaya. We lose one mason, and possibly another one in NK.
If A Papaya is townie, then no one will confirm this. We lynch a town. Combined with a NK, we have 2 townies gone. 3 Mafia out of 9 on day two doesn't look good to me at all, especially if the scum can get a mason at night. If not, then we would have 3 scum, 3 town and 3 mason, which might make the job of hunting scum a bit easier if the masons coordinate well.
If A Papaya is scum, he is finished. I'd take 1 scum for 1 Mason NK anyday, because only 2 scum out of 9 with 2 masons remaining tilts the game in the favour of the town enormously.
The point I am trying to make is -- and what I think Lowell was saying is -- I feel that A Papaya's claim will not really help the town at all unless he is a scum. It is, I feel, anti-town and will cause only trouble for us.
That is the reason why I am keeping my vote on A Papaya for now.I'm back!-
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You know, this is my first real game here (my newbie game -- newbie 378 -- was messed up royally), so I may be wrong here, but is it normal to just focus on one player only? As it stands right now, most players are going after A Papaya, or defending him. Shouldn't we enlarge our perspective a bit? Take a look at other players? We still don't have any deadline, so, we don't have to be too hasty in lynching anyone.
I supported A Papaya bandwagon earlier on so that he may come under pressure and atleast post, or give out something scummy. All we got from him is a mason claim. I am not sure we would get anything else from A Papaya. He seems to have clamed up.
I feel that we shouldn't lynch just for the sake of lynching the lurkers, but lynch only when we are absolutely certain about the scumminess of the lynchee, especially when we do not have a deadline in the place.
Having said that, I would still keep my vote where it is (on A Papaya), at least until we get a confirmation or a denunciation of A Papaya's claim. But, at the same time, I think we should also start looking else where -- at the active posters -- the avid lurker hunters as well and try to put them under pressure and get something out of them tooI'm back!-
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I am not sure I like this post at all. This is tantamount to a blackmail by Albert to vote for players he wants voted out, else, he would reveal masons.In post 278, Albert B. Rampage wrote: GUYS GUYS! C'MON!
Forget about the alphabetical order, and let's get jiggy with it!
Adel asks you to post an analysis on EVERY PLAYER except papaya.
Albert just asks you to post an analysis on Adel and ryan.
WHO'S SIDE YOU ON ?!? SERIOUSSSLY!
Join my campaign! VOTE FOR ALBERT!!! (well, not literally)
*ryan smacks Albert back to his Machiavellian self*
Vote for Adel.
If you don't do what I ask, I will reveal the third member of the masonry within 72 hours.
Don't make me push the red button. 72 hours. Time is of the essence. The clock is ticking. Etc.
I've got a question for Albert: You are clearly a more expirienced player than A Papaya. Why are you threatening to reveal the names of your fellow masons (if you are a mason that is)?
We do not have a deadline as of yet, and we do have a healthy discussion going on, so, the probablity of a deadline being issued is less too.
I say we donotlynch anyone quickly, but go after each and every player before day 1 is over. So far, we have put A Papaya on the hotseat, and now Adel and Ryan are being put under considerable pressure.
I say we get what we can out ofeach and every playerbefore the first lynching. A quick lynch is obviously in favour of mafia, because, the quicker we lynch, the less information we gain about the other players. So, I agree with Adel when she says a hasty lynch is not a pro-town move, and nor is threatening to reveal the name of the third mason.
Going to post a bit more as I re read.I'm back!-
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Ok, here we go:
One small thing before that though:
I had no idea the Masons and the Scum could PM each other during the day. If that is the case, then we must take that into account. Before this, I assumed that the Scum had made their plans at night and were simply implementing it during the day. If they can PM like the Masons, then it means that they can change their plans in coordination with each other even during the day. Did we take this into account?In post 257, Albert B Rampage wrote: I can attest to the claim my foolhardy mason made.I PM'd A Papaya to not reveal he is mason no matter what,but I underestimated his cowardice.emphasis mine-- Sir T
On ARB
First of all, I must say I am convinced by Albert's mason claim that Papaya and he are masons, which is why I took my vote off Papaya. I believe in ABR's claim 100%.
For the reasons I gave in my second last post, I do not agree with ABR's countdown to "reveal" the third mason. I confess to being torn on ABR right now -- on one hand, I don't think ABR's claim to being a mason with Papaya could be false, and on the other, I am surprised that a mason would actually want to reveal the third one.
On Adel:
I think she is the most scummiest looking player as of now. But, I think we must take into consideration that this was her first game. People get over excited while playing their first games (diagrams and what nots), which could lead them to get the game go a bit faster, and one way to do this is to get lurkers to post.
On Ryan:
I am more concerned about Ryan than about Adel. I said Adel looks the most scummiest. That's right. But, at least Adel was right on the forefront of flushing the lurkers out, but Ryan, well he was 100% for flushing out, like he said, but, I wonder, if he would have done the same without Lowell and Adel leading him. Like Theo said before, he was trying too hard to fit in.
On Lowell:
Until this, I wasn't paying too muh attention towards Lowell -- I was too distracted by A Papaya's non posting, and Adel and Ryan's crusading against him along with their petty bickerings with ARB. But, if either Ryan or Adel or both turn out to be scum, Lowell will certainly be the person I would vote for next.
A Papaya:
All we know about him is that he is a mason (I think he is telling the truth).
Lawrencelot
He is 4th on my list, after the three I mentioned. The reason is his refusal to believe in ARB's claim. However, though I say he is 4th on my list, I don't think the reason is good enough to even have a FOS on him, so, for now, if I have to say, I'll say he's a townie.
Aimee
No clue whatsoever. But, I think, it would be a great idea for the scum to have one lurker as a back up, and 2 people out and out flushing out the remaining lurkers. Even if they are called bluff, the remaining scum can stay on. So, I am looking for Aimee to post some content after she returns from her vacation.
Theo and Ripley
I'd say Townie. Haven't rung any alarm bells as of yet. Both seem fairly consistent in their opinions, no wishy washy voting so far...
Bird1111
I almost missed him out here. Can't say anything on him at all.
I would like to say one thing though:
We should not lynch anyone at all until all the people -- those who are on vacation that is -- have had their say. It means, ABR: Stop your countdown until Lowell returns on Tuesday. (if not permantantly)I'm back!-
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I see no point in lynching ABR right now. He is claiming to be a mason. Who do you think the Mafia would NK first?Lawrencelot wrote:@Sir Tornado: I appreciate you don't FOS me, while your reasoning about me is logical, and I respect your opinions, but, how can you be 100% sure about ABR's claim? Same goes for Ripley and Theo, I don't understand how you guys can believe ABR so easily. To me, he is scummier than scummy.
Sir Tornado seems to be in the same group as ripley and theo I think, and because there are no more than 3 scum, I'llUnFOS: Theopor and Ripley. My suspicion of ABR and A Papaya stays, as I am not convinced by the post above but I can see the logic of Theo, Ripley and SirTornado. I hope you understand why I do not believe ABR.
So, my list above changed a bit, one scum is gone. So to make it 3 again, I agree with SirTornado: it's likely one of the lurkers is scum too.
If the scum do not NK him, then it would be proof positive that he is the scum and is lying, and we lynch him on day 2.
If the scum do NK him, then we will know whether he is indeed a mason or a townie claiming to be one falsely. If it is the later case, we go after A Papaya on day 2.
If he does turn out to be a mason, then we would know that A Papaya is one too, and that gives us one person less to consider as a scum on day 2.
Oh, and Lawrencelot, you do realise the fallacy of your statement, don't you? I don't quite get how I am in the same group as theo and ripley. In fact, I had thought you would accuse me of being A Papaya and Albert's scum buddy...
And, there is one more thing that is quite nagging me.
Has anyone considered what happens if Bird1111 and Aimee are scum? We go chasing after Adel, Ryan and Lowell because they are trying to flush out lurkers, while the lurkers themselves may turn out to be the real scum. Right now, if I were scum, the best thing I could do is to disappear for a while. The heat is currently on Adel and Ryan, precisely for trying to flush out lurkers. I don't think anyone else would try to flush out the remaining lurkers right now. So, the best strategy for the scum would be to lurk (which seems to be what Lowell, Bird and Aimee are doing, I might add)
The worst case scenario is (assuming Albert is telling the truth) that we fail to lynch the right persons in the next two days. We already have 2 masons out in open. If we don't get 2 scums during the next 2 lynches, we would be facing the possibility of having to play with 2 or 3 scum out of 7 without any masons. It is potentially game losing situation for us.
PS: One of my queries in my last post went unanswered: Are Masons and Scum allowed to PM during the day time? ARB seems to imply that he PMed A Papaya. Is that allowed? The game rules just say Masons and Scum are allowed to speak with each other during the night time and pre confirmation stage. Because if they are, it may change the game a bit (We have to make allowances for the scum managing to change tactics during the day time via private conversations)I'm back!-
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Ok. We already have, I think all the pay dirt we need on Adel and Ryan. I find it hard to see that this would go anywhere other than returning to the name calling and pointless bickering that Adel and Albert seem to engage in every few pages apart.
I suggest we keep this Adel-Ryan slip up firmly at the back of our minds and move on to get some thing from our other posters. Since Adel and Ryan seem in no condition to flush out the remaining lurkers, and Lowell seems to be away till Tuesday, I'll start the bandwagon
Vote Aimee
She should be returning from her vacation tomorrow. Let us put enough pressure on her till then so she is compelled to actually post something relevant about the game. I have got a sick feeling that at least one scum is hiding and trying not to come in the spot light. Seems a good idea, doesn't it? Two scums go on all out attack on lurkers while third on just stays quiet. If the quiet one is found out and lynched, then the lurker flushing scums can claim the credit. If the lurker lynching scum are caught and lynched, no one shall actually try to lynch the remaining lurkers without trying to appear scummy, and the third one can survive.I'm back!-
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When did I say that? (I will assume that this post was directed at me)In post 321, Ryan wrote: I'm more scummier than somebody else?
Because, it will look like you are deliberately trying to shift the blame to someone else. I assumed you would not try to do this. But if you want to, then go ahead.In post 321, Ryan wrote: I'm in no condition to flush out the remaining lurkers?
Look, I am not comfortable with lynching anyone until we have heard from everyone. That is what I have been saying for a long time. So, before someone extends the already extending Adel-wagon, I'd rather hear from the rest of the lurkers.
Well, I am interested in hearing this too. I thought that was pretty anti-town move, but I understand that he rescinded it later on.In post 322 Adel wrote: I want to hear how each player really feels about Albert trying to blackmail the town into a quick (72 hours!) lynch on me, while three players were on vacation.
Yet, why did you set up the deadline at all Albert?I'm back!-
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I have already given my reason for that.theopor_COD wrote:Adel wrote:Sir Tornado why are you ignoring the current situation and voting Aimee?
If the voting goes as per the current trend, we will have our lynch before we hear from everyone and I don't want that to happen. I will be happy to vote for Adel, Ryan or Lowell before this day is over.
However, I don't think now is the time, because I sense this as a potentially lynchable situation. I feel that we are lynching too quickly.I'm back!-
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EBWOP: Please ignore my last post as there were some formating errors in it. I will retype (or, rather copy-paste) it again hereIn Post 326, theopor_COD wrote: Sir Tornado why are you ignoring the current situation and voting Aimee?
I have already given my reason for that.
If the voting goes as per the current trend, we will have our lynch before we hear from everyone and I don't want that to happen. I will be happy to vote for Adel, Ryan or Lowell before this day is over.
However, I don't think now is the time, because I sense this as a potentially lynchable situation. I feel that we are lynching too quickly.I'm back!-
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That was in effect, exactly what I was saying for the last page or so.In Post 330, theopor_COD wrote: I'm eagerly awaiting some input from Bird and Aimee, a fresh face to scan over everything, shall we say.
But, I am "going after the lurkers" while you are not.
Moral of the story: I really need to learn to express myself better...
The vote on Aimee was not of any great consequence. It will be off the moment she posts... besides, I wanted to put my vote on someone, and that someone was not to be Adel, Ryan or Lowell (for reasons I gave above) nor on A Papaya or Albert (because I believe in their claim) nor on you or Ripley (because I feel I am already getting all I want out of both of you without prodding)
A vote on Lawrencelot seemed to be a bit idiotic, because I feel he is a townie who has a grudge on ABR for some reason I cannot fathom, and me voting on him might start a bandwagon on him, which would be anti-town.
So, whose left? Bird and Aimee... I choose Aimee because Bird had actually posted something early on.
Having said that, I really don't think I should have actually taken efforts to type exactly how my brain is working right now, but there you are anyway...I'm back!-
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[quote="In post 331, theopor_COD]
Okay fair enough, although I don't see why your voting Aimee when she hasn't posted for yonks. As I state above hearing from Bird and Aimee is something that I'm looking forward to, both have been detached since the claim and there input would be appreciated.
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Actually they have been detached since before the claim...
What is your take on ARB's 72 hour issued and then canceled deadline? Can you guess the reason for him to issue it in the first place?I'm back!-
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EBWOP
In post 331, theopor_COD wrote: Okay fair enough, although I don't see why your voting Aimee when she hasn't posted for yonks. As I state above hearing from Bird and Aimee is something that I'm looking forward to, both have been detached since the claim and there input would be appreciated.I'm back!-
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Or, that could be exactly what the scum wants us to think... that's a possibility we shouldn't neglect either.In post 337, Ripley wrote: I agree with Sir Tornado that we need to hear from the absentees and that scum could easily be found among them. I think the ryan/Adel/Lowell scum group is probably too obvious.
Put it this way: If we get a scum right now, and they don't get a mason in NK, their chances are really very slim. 9 players, 2 scum, 3 masons, and that on day 2 when we have some information on everyone. It really becomes too easy for us after that.You can surely see the flaw with that. You just offered the scum a free pass to use their first night kill to try and find the third mason, and promised that the town would lynch ABR next day for them.I'm back!-
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Hmm... I had missed this part earlier it seems...theopor_COD wrote:
He may well be scummier than scum, but he and Papaya have both claimed mason, without a counter-claim I believe them. End of story.Lawrencelot wrote:Same goes for Ripley and Theo, I don't understand how you guys can believe ABR so easily. To me, he is scummier than scummy.
Here's a question for you and Ripley. If anyone (especially one of the guys on the hotseat) counter-claim now, would you believe them?I'm back!-
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Adel wrote:
Does ABR's claim that Lawrencelot would only post that way out of a grudge hold water with you? I read it like "Hey guys, ignore his logic because his case is nothing more than a personal vendetta" without addressing the actual points raised.Sir Tornado wrote:A vote on Lawrencelot seemed to be a bit idiotic, because I feel he is a townie who has a grudge on ABR for some reason I cannot fathom, and me voting on him might start a bandwagon on him, which would be anti-town.
Well, there was something else too... he marked you down as a mason when you'd claimed early on that you weren't. Then there was this:
That, for me is simply logic defying. It makes no sense whatsoever for ABR to claim if both were scum. Wouldn't he try to cut the scum losses and dissociate himself from his doomed scum mate when he felt the game was up? Remember that A Papaya was heavily besieged at the moment, with 3 people doubting his claim, which, if false, would be snubbed by a counter claim.In post 308, Lawrencelot wrote:Theo is on the same side as ABR I think. I agree it doesn't make sense for Albert to claim mason if they were scum, but claiming mason while they were both mason makes just as much sense. ABR thought A Papaya was getting lynched or something, so claiming mason while he's scum makes as much sense as claiming mason while he's mason.I'm back!-
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Sir Tornado Mafia Scum
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Give me one reason why we shouldn't lynch YOU or ABR if your choice of lynch turns out to be a townie? Ok, so, you've claimed mason, and I believe that for now, but I will have major doubts over that if your lynch does not turn out to be a scum.A Papaya wrote:I really think that the answer here is quite simple. Today, we lynch Adel/Ryan/Lawrencalot. If one of them is scum, then we're good to go.
If the one we lynch is town, then we try the second possible group, of Aimee/bird, etc.
And if none of those are scum, we take it from there. It seems to me to be worth finding out if one of Adel/ryan/lawrencalot is scum before day 2.
Your saying we lynch A/R/L today and Aimee/Bird tomorrow if the first lynch is a townie sounds highly suspicious to me. The reason being, that if we get 2 lynches incorrect, we lose the game. It is as simple as that. This is exactly what a Scum would do.
And, even if you indeed are a Mason (which I believe at least right now) you seem dripping with scuminess.I'm back!-
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Sir Tornado Mafia Scum
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Ripley, I have been giving some thought on the numbers...
scum/players
Assuming we get first 2 lynches wrong:
Day 1: 3/11
Day 2: 3/9
Day 3: 3/7
That brings us to a LyLo situation and we have to get themthree times in a row. It is as good as a loss, because then you can have a situation where one of the scum can start a bandwagon on another and claim to be a townie later on... it's just too risky.
The second case Why is it important for Scum to bump off one mason if we strike out one scum today:
Assuming they don't:
scum/masons/vanilla townies
Day 1: 3/3/5
Day 2: 2/3/4
This is at a time when we have a good idea about who is who at least for half the vanilla townies too. So, the masons just have to shift through a couple of townies before hitting their mark. It becomes too easy for the town after that.
Plus, there is this one other thing:
Supposing in the next 2 days, we have 1 townie lynch and 1 scum lynch and even 2 mason NKs...
Day 4: 1/1/3.
With 1 mason NK...
Day 4: 1/2/2
If all the masons are made known at this juncture, the game is as good as over (with the amount of information we would have on the players at that juncture) with a town win.
I will not say that my reasoning here is air tight. But, it is quite close to the truth.I'm back!-
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Sir Tornado Mafia Scum
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I don't quite get the connection between what you have quoted me and what you are asking me.Ripley wrote:
Sir T, you seem convinced that the scum will NK a known mason if possible, so you must surely believe that if ABR and A Papaya are masons it will be apparent to everybody on Day 2 by the fact that one of them will be dead.Sir Tornado wrote:Give me one reason why we shouldn't lynch YOU or ABR if your choice of lynch turns out to be a townie?I'm back!-
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You are assuming quite a lot here...Albert B. Rampage wrote:
Sir T, please inquire me if I fail to explain this concept to you:Sir Tornado wrote:
I don't quite get the connection between what you have quoted me and what you are asking me.Ripley wrote:
Sir T, you seem convinced that the scum will NK a known mason if possible, so you must surely believe that if ABR and A Papaya are masons it will be apparent to everybody on Day 2 by the fact that one of them will be dead.Sir Tornado wrote:Give me one reason why we shouldn't lynch YOU or ABR if your choice of lynch turns out to be a townie?
If we lynch Adel, and she turns innocent, and the mafia don't NK a mason then the last mason will claim, with me and papaya confirming his identity. We will then lynch ryan. If ryan turns innocent too, and the mafia still doesn't NK a mason, we are at 4-3, with 3 players confirmed to be of the same alignment. It isimpossibleto mislynch that way. You lynch one mason, if he is mafia, town wins. If he is mason, town loses. This is of course the worse possible scenario, and I am always against predicting so far in the future when the obvious move would be to NK me and papaya.
Firstly, we have to assume that you and A Papaya are telling the truth. Fine. Right now, there is no counter claim, so we do.
But, what happens if Bird or Aimee turns out to be the mason and you do not, and he is, for some reason holding a counter claim? You take out Adel, and she turns out to be innocent. Then, you go and take out Ryan. HE turns out to be innocent. So, you go after Bird or Aimee and they turn out to be mason. At this point, the town realises that you are scum and have taken them for a ride.
This was, primarily the reason why I was deeply suspicious of your 72 hour deadline early on. You see, the players on vacation would not have been back in those 72 hours. So, if either one or both of them were masons, then the third one, who could be active right now, would not have any way to counter claim, because there is no one to verify it. And, in the mean time, in order to get your quick lynch (before the vacationing players turn up) you set up your 72 hour deadline to get one townie out. Then, you NK a mason at night, and the game swings in your favour.
I realise that what I have said in the last para or so would sound highly fantastic to a lot of people, but that was my actual thoughts when I read about that deadline. (But it sounded a bit far-fetched to me because it would mean you being sure of the identity of the three masons, which is would be hard to detect)
Then there is another matter: Even if you are not masons, I don't think any counter-claim against you could actually stand right now. The general tendency has been to believe you, and I doubt whether it would be stemed if we get a single counter-claim from anyone at all... in fact, that counter-claim may be the first to be lynched, followed by a possible mason NK, which would be disasterous. Plus, I don't think revealing masonry on day 1 is a very nice play at all... I wouldn't have done it if I were a mason. And, even if I was a mason in this situation, I would not counter-claim two mason claims, not on day 1 anyway. It's foolish to reveal all your cards on day 1.
The only reason I believe your claim, despite all this foolishness, is not because there is no counter-claim, but because I find it hard to believe that a scum -- let alonetwoscums -- would make a mason claim on day 1. That would be a height of foolishness surpassing all others.
But, if you turn out to be a townie... god help you.I'm back!-
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Sir Tornado Mafia Scum
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If A Papaya/ABR's choice of lynch for today turns out to be a townie, my trust in their claim will be shaken. See my post above this one (I think I posted it while you were typing this one) for more.Ripley wrote:
You were saying (or I thought you were) that if ABR and Papaya led the lynch on someone who turned out to be town, they should expect one of themselves (ABR/Papaya) to be lynched the next day. But you had earlier said you were sure the scum would Nk a claimed mason (if they are indeed masons). Therefore according to your own theory (which I don't support) we would know by Day 2 whether ABR and Papaya were masons. Therefore their choice of lynch on Day 1 would be irrelevant towards the issue of their innocence.Sir Tornado wrote:
I don't quite get the connection between what you have quoted me and what you are asking me.Ripley wrote:
Sir T, you seem convinced that the scum will NK a known mason if possible, so you must surely believe that if ABR and A Papaya are masons it will be apparent to everybody on Day 2 by the fact that one of them will be dead.Sir Tornado wrote:Give me one reason why we shouldn't lynch YOU or ABR if your choice of lynch turns out to be a townie?
Or maybe I've misunderstood you somewhere along the way. Actually I see ABR has answered you as well, maybe his answer is the one you wanted.
I am not sure. She seems scummy to me. But I am not 100% sure because of one thing: She hasn't really wavered much. Has kept her "lynch all lurkers" line right till the end. And, I think that the feud between ABR and Adel got a bit too personal that it may be interfering with their perceptions of each other.Adel is either scum or the most disastrously deluded townie I've seen in a considerable while. I still think, and I believe somebody else has agreed, that she's trying all she can to bait ABR into revealing the third mason, or if that doesn't work to build up pressure on him to do so by campaigning to have either him or Papaya (uncounterclaimed masons) lynched today. Scum, or a townie blinded by the inability to accept that she's been totally wrong? I'm still not sure.I'm back!-
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Yes but what iftheopor_COD wrote:I've considered it. I just think it's very unlikely.
Papaya's claim alone yes - there'd be more of a case for thinking possibly scum. Scum I think would just as likely claim townie than mason. Albert's second claim is totally non-sensical if he isn't a mason. If Albert's scum he is seriously stupid, I know he rubs people up the wrong way but he's a competent player.
Go back and re-read around page 8 or so pre-Payapa claim, Albert acts like he knows Papaya's innocent, the scum ain't stupid they had probably figured if Papaya was a mason, then Albert was likely to be one aswell.they are the scum?
I will not consider this possibility right now because both of them have claimed. Unlikely if they were both scum. But, if their lynch for today is not a scum, then I will have to consider it. (and, we may have a counter claim too by then, if indeed there is to be one)I'm back!-
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Hmm.. I like it. For it, I think we should postpone any lynchings till all the players come back from vacation. We need to have all of them active and posting for this purpose.Albert B. Rampage wrote:theo you are by far the most just and objective person I have ever played with. You never cease to impress me with your air of detachment in the middle of all this chaos and bickering. You sure set the bar high, even tough I know you were tempted at least a few times to attack me. Please do not respond to this, as I'm only speaking my mind.
Sir T, that was a very sharp observation, and you bring a fresh perspective to view this situation from. Indeed, I agree with most of what you say, however, I invite anyone to counter-claim. This is what will happen if someone counter-claims:
1) We will ask that person one of his partners. We will need confirmation from both players that they are indeed mason to eachother.
2) I will reveal the third member of my masonry, and each member will confirm this.
3) We will ask the third member of the counter-claimant party to reveal themselves. At this point we can lynch me, Adel or whoever you want in the two opposing parties, and then it will be a straight lynching without possibility of error from that point, with an resonant town victory.
Now, that brings be back to saying exactly what I was saying 6 hours and 3 pages ago... we do not need a quick lynching. So, stop the adel-wagon till we get everyone on board and have all possible pay-dirt on everyone.I'm back!-
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I was still reading page 17 as I typed this, so I may have missed any developments on page 18, if that's the case, then kindly excuse me, but I think the personal feud between ABR and Ryan is getting quite out of hand (at least in page 17) and I would appreciate it if, in future, both of you behave like mature people and keep this petty bickering out of the thread.
Thanks.
Sir TI'm back!-
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I was still reading page 17 as I typed this, so I may have missed any developments on page 18, if that's the case, then kindly excuse me, but I think the personal feud between ABR and Ryan is getting quite out of hand (at least in page 17) and I would appreciate it if, in future, both of you behave like mature people and keep this petty bickering out of the thread.
Thanks.
Sir TI'm back!-
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Ok, the way I see things:
1) Adel, Ryan and one of Lawrencelot/Lowell may be scums. We lynch one today, see if they turn out to be innocent. If they do, we go after the scummiest looking person on board: A Papaya (I would definitely be voting A Papaya right now, had he not been a claimed mason)
2) A Papaya, ABR and a third person are scums.
Now, why would they claim otherwise?
The theory would go like this (I have a thing for making up unbelievable theories, so please bear with me)
It could be possible that the above mentioned trio could be scum. In the ensuing persecution of Papaya by Adel, Lowell and Ryan, we saw ABR jumping to his rescue one time too many. Despite that, A Papaya had reached -1. So, if the hammer were to drop then, and A Papaya were to turn out to be a scum, who would be his most likely scum buddy? Based on the situation at that time, I would have said ABR. So, A Papaya panics and claims, and, left with no option, ABR claims with him.
However, I will not be believing in anything like this unless the first lynch turns out to be a townie.
On another note, I would like to seeA Papayapostsomething. I feel that, as a claimed mason he should be on the forefront trying to hunt the scum down. Why the heck is not doing it right now? I am, frankly speaking sick of A Papaya's behaviour in this game. Had I been a vig, and he not been a claimed mason, I would have got him night 1, I swear, I would have. He is, basically a scum's dream mason.
So, A Papaya: May I have your views on what you think of all the players? And, please don't give any of your"I don't think there is anything to comment on"bullshit anymore. Because, I would seriously begin to question your sanity if you do so.
Sorry if the attack on A Papaya sounds too personal, but I am totally frustrated by his behaviour in this game.
Sir T.I'm back!-
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What do you mean? I admit that I can't quite make the connection between the post your quoted and your reply. Are you trying to say that Adel should be lynched even if she's a townie?Albert B. Rampage wrote:
This is exactly why you should die no matter what your alignment. We have to cull the weak. The herd cannot survive with you alive.Adel wrote:I don't get it. Are you trying to psyche me out or something? The reality is I've been telling the truth, and I know I'm fairly articulate, and I've stated my case fairly respectfully and completely, so I still feel pretty good that this game will work out very well for town. By trying to buy your scummate another day, I think you exposed him on accident.
If you somehow succeed in mis-lynching me today, my only hope is that the mason's claim is believed tomorrow and your scummy crew gets lynched in three quick days.
In any case I do not think your illusion will last much longer.I'm back!-
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Albert
I would like Bird and Aimee to post a bit more. Personally, the timing of Ryan's elimination wasn't good for the town. Well, at least I don't think so, because I am for hearing fromeach and every memberbefore the first lynch. Since that did not happen, I suggest our first order of business would be to hear Bird1111's and Aimee's take on the game as it has progressed till now. Also waiting for Lowell to come back tomorrow. I will reserve my judgement till then.I'm back!-
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Ok, Albert accused Lawrencelot of being scum. I would say, looking at Lawrencelot's last post, it definitely has a lot of scum tells:
Throughout this post, I will be refering to this:
In post 510, Lawrencelot wrote:As everyone would expect, I admit I was really wrong on who was scum etc. Ryan being mafia makes the chance that ABR and Papaya are mafia less than 1%. They both acted very scummy the whole game, but I will believe them now. Luckily it took only a mafia kill for me to believe it, no mason is killed. So, I have less doubt that ABR and Papaya are mafia, but there is one important question left: why isn't ABR or Papaya nightkilled if they are mason?
For the record, although I now believe ABR and Papaya, I still don't think Adel is that scummy. She acted very townie-ish to me, and although she was wrong, there were more people wrong (more than 3 I thought), so that doesn't necessarily mean she's scum. But, Adel, me and Lowell are most suspicious, but I don't think we should vote one of us right away, at least until the lurkers catched up.
@ABR 1: I don't think we should lynch anybody yet. Wait for the lurkers.
2: Alright.
3: No. I will not let you lead the town. No one should do that, and especially not you. Even though I believe you are mason now, you definately did not act pro-town the whole game, and you definately don't deserve to become the leader of the town. If I wasn't wrong all the time, I would laugh at this proposal, but I have no rights to do that now.
In more detail:
I never thought ABR acted much scummy. A Papaya, yes, acted tremendously scummy. But, I always had ABR somewhere in the middle, more scummy than Theo and Ripley (and, obviously myself!), but less than Lowell, Adel, Ryan and Lawrencelot (will leave Bird and Aimee out of this, because no idea on them yet). But, as I had stated several times on Day 1, I too had said that unless the claimed masons get their choice of lynch 100% correct, I would not believe them on day 2. Well, they did call Ryan scum, and he turned out to be one, so, I believe them completely now.As everyone would expect, I admit I was really wrong on who was scum etc. Ryan being mafia makes the chance that ABR and Papaya are mafia less than 1%. They both acted very scummy the whole game, but I will believe them now.
What I don't understand here is, why is Lawrencelot sticking up for Adel if he is a scum? I don't think Ryan/Adel/Lawrencelot can be a scum team. It is too obvious a team. I don't think they would all be on the same side day 1. Some one would pretend to be a town or lurk.For the record, although I now believe ABR and Papaya, I still don't think Adel is that scummy. She acted very townie-ish to me, and although she was wrong, there were more people wrong (more than 3 I thought), so that doesn't necessarily mean she's scum. But, Adel, me and Lowell are most suspicious, but I don't think we should vote one of us right away, at least until the lurkers catched up.
Lawrencelot says that there were more than 3 people wrong... I don't know where he gets it. The only people who thought Ryan was not a scum were Adel and Lawrencelot. I, Ripley, Theopor, ABR and A Papaya all at some point or other claimed Ryan as scummy. One of us (Theo?) even voted him after RBR and Papaya claim.
Agreed! I think everyone would agree to this one. Seems fair enough to me.@ABR 1: I don't think we should lynch anybody yet. Wait for the lurkers.
I agree to this too. And, if the day 1 vote is carried forward to day 2, then2: Alright.unvote(my day 1 vote was on Aimee till she posted, which she has now, and if it is carried to day 2, I don't see a reason why I should keep it)
Why not? I remember that early in the game, we agreed that Masons should be on the forefront to hunt the mafia. They can formulate strategy during the night (which they seem to have) and they know the third innocent mason whom they can eliminate from the equation, and we can. I do not have doubts of ABR's claim any more, not even a shred of it. I think it would be a good idea to follow ABR right now, because that seems to be our best chance.3: No. I will not let you lead the town. No one should do that, and especially not you. Even though I believe you are mason now, you definately did not act pro-town the whole game, and you definately don't deserve to become the leader of the town. If I wasn't wrong all the time, I would laugh at this proposal, but I have no rights to do that now.
More to follow.I'm back!-
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Lowell,Lowell wrote:Haha this is hilarious. Look at Lawrence's and Adel's posts today. It's clear what the plan is.
"I defended Lowell and ryan repeatedly." -Adel, said with sincere regret
"[ryan] had a couple posts defending Lowell and Lawrencelot." -Adel, poingiantly
"Adel, me, and Lowell are the most suspicious." -Lawrence, factually
"Lowell sure had a change of mind." -Lawrence, aghast
1) Lawrence, nice try grouping me with you two. "Change of mind"? Really? Show me where I doubted anyone's claim and I'll give you a cookie. In fact, the one hasty post I DID make after the claim was to chide albert for REVEALING himself. No one is confused by the "uh, oh, 3 suspicious people but only 2 scum left!" tactic.
2) Here, I'll answer your "important question": ABR and Papaya aren't dead because, by killing them, you're exposing them as masons, whereas now you can try the pathetic "still not sure about them" angle.
Hey, I love the shotgun approach to confusing the town here (throw a bunch of theories, hope one hits), but it just isn't working. Wow this win was easy. I mean, just wow.
You seemed on the same wavelength to me as Adel during the day 1. She defended you many times, and you did not make any comment regarding it. You both went lurker hunting -- I remember an incident where both of you unvoted Theopor and voted A Papaya within 10 posts of each other. If I would be honest with you, had Adel been lynched and turned out to be a scum on day 1, you would have been 2nd or 3rd in my list of suspects after Ryan and Lawrencelot
I found this a bit intriguing too. The only reason I could surmise is, perhaps, that the scum might have felt that NKing ABR would confirm that he is the mason.Lawrencelot wrote:Why is ABR or A Papaya not nightkilled if they are masons?I'm back!-
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Throughout this post, I will be referring to this post by Aimee.
Now,In post 514, Aimee wrote:I am going to do a post focussing exclusively on Adel. I think that is the best course of action. I will then do another post focussing on other players.
Adel's early game policy can be summed up entirely from this quote:
In the same post, she refers to "lynching all lurkers", and from this point on, an intense lurker hunt was established, and followed, by Adel, Ryan and Lowell. Speaking of Lowell, an early connection was formed from Adel to Lowell. In the same post as the above quote, she comments:Adel wrote:Lurking is an anti-town action.
I am immediately uneasy here. Not only is it clearly apparent she is seeking to form a connection with Lowell, she proposes a sort of bizarre alliance system. A group of active players pressurising the lurkers. Sounds far too structured and tactical, and merely like alliance play.Adel wrote:Lowell: from your post I take it you agree with me- am I correct in this assumption? I think it will take a group of active players cooperating to pressure the lurkers, and that may mean following "lynch the lurkers" to succeed. I am not sure how far we can safely take it though.
After then voting against Theo for lurking along with Lawrencelot, she immediately takes her vote off after he posts. Her post when she says this is interesting though:
Two things here are established. Firstly, the lurker "flushing out" scheme is shown, when she immediately moves towards a new lurker, A Papaya. Also, she attempts to give an excuse for her vote hopping which may occur in the future. Excuses here are irrelevant - what is clear is that Adel is attempting to open herself up to allowing her vote to freely move between all lurkers.Adel wrote:unvote: theopor_COD that is what i would call a content-filled post. One lurker flushed. Next up: let's flush A Papaya. I'll place the second vote again.
vote:A Papaya for not posting. I'll move it once some real content is shown under your by-line.
BTW: I am totally going to qualify for that Wishy-Washy tell. I'm expecting to move my vote two or three more times over the next few pages, so long as there is a lurker left to be flushed or until I am totally convinced that someone is scum. More information is better for town, and I can't think of a better way to flush lurkers than being Wishy-Washy like this.
A diagram is posted in post 93. Whilst I do love my pretty pictures, I do find them a bit pointless. It is like players doing vote counts (one of my pet hates). Players doing diagrams and vote counts just annoys me. It is just an attempt to look active, without actually doing much. In this case, the diagram wasn't useful, because it focused heavily on random voting and not on real votes, as it was too early for this. As a result, it has basically no use.
As well as moving onto another lurker, she focuses again on the link she seems to desire between herself and Lowell. Whilst Lowell doesn't seem to be saying anything Adel, Adel is almost leading Lowell - in the above quote she is seemingly coaching him and leading him into following her "lynch all lurkers" scheme. It seems again like an attempt to form links with active players so she can achieve her personal goals.Adel wrote:Lowell: we are on the same page. That is a great metric to track. Are you willing to track people's time since last post and list them in order here periodically, say every three or four days? It would save several of us from having to do the same work, and quality assurance would not be a problem. FoS: Sir Tornado
Adel's playstyle does seem very strategic. As Ripley argues:
I agree completely with the above quote, which emphasises completely the ways Adel is acting.Ripley wrote:The last time I saw a player like Adel, he was scum. The resemblances are uncanny: the bounding enthusiasm, the helpfulness, the taking charge, the quirky approach illustrated by posting charts and diagrams in thread. Maybe he (the other guy) always played that way, but I can say for sure that it's a most effective cover for scum.
After Ripley's post, which was also against Lowell, Adel replied with this defence for Lowell:
This is, of course, far-fetched to the extreme. Lowell's actions have hardly all be pro-town. Note on page 2, for example, when he seemingly wanted to hide and make all the masons do the work. So this is clearly a blind defence of Lowell. As Albert later argues:Adel wrote:I don't buy the anti-Lowell argument for a second. Everyone of his actions has been pro-town...
Adel then replies to Ripley with:Albert wrote:I find Adel too quick to rise in support of Lowell with lack of evidence and little explanation for her rejected proposal.
Again, she argues the importance of her lurker hunt, placing suspicion on those who actually look at other actions.Adel wrote:Fos: Ripley for trying to derail the lurker hunting, again.
Isn't that slightly hypocritical? Adel wants the lurkers to post so she can get real content from them. But when Ripley utilises previous content from Adel, she plants a FoS on them for "derailing the lurker hunt". Isn't that actually derailing therealdiscussion, though, which is clearly more important? Suspicion should be able to flow naturally.
Ripley then makes an excellent point:
I fundamentally believe that Adel's lurker hunt actually prohibited discussion during the early pages. It was attempting to bring lurkers into the light, and meant Adel wasn't actually focussing on the actions that had already happened. Raradoxically for Adel, who was arguing she was helping the town with her lurker hunt, in my opinion it was a detriment to the town and its discussion.Ripley wrote:Adel, you are sounding somewhat obsessive about lurker hunting, and I'm also starting to question your following Lowell so blindly and uncritically. It's not something I've seen before, especially so early in a game.
On page 6, Adel has a bit of crap logic:
Wrong. Absolutely ridiculous. The problem is she seemingly bases her argument around this. She seems to presume Lowell is innocent, with absolutely no reason for doing so.Adel wrote:The player who thinks like me and acts like me is likely to be playing the same alignment as me, therefore I will think Lowell is likely town until some real evidence comes to light.
Why are you doing it then? You understand that lynching lurkersAdel wrote:Promoting a system that would facilitate a scum victory is indeed scummy...benefits the town in no way whatsoever. Only scum benefit from lynching lurkers. Therefore by attempting to lynch the lurkers, you are acting scummy, something you freely admit is scummy. Therefore, you admit you are scummy. Argument is therefore flawed.
Also, at this point, Ryan seemingly latched himself onto Adel. Oh no for Adel. Especially since now Ryan has been proved to be scum. Although initially Adel ignores Ryan's linking, just like Lowell ignored hers. This, to me, suggests that she is scum trying to link with town (Lowell), and Ryan is an idiot scum trying to link with his partner.
After this, Adel seemingly "calls" the scum as A Papaya and Albert. Oh dear. How this occurred I don't know. But it fits with her whole "Lynch all Lurkers or die" approach.
Not much occurs until page 10, where Adel and others' forceful play pushed a mason out of the closet (although not in that way). She then refers to Ryan as "part of the posse", which indeed shows that links do exist.
Adel then makes a fatal blow.
Horrible idea. So you want to lynch a claimed mason on day 1? That is a horrible horrible idea. If I had been there I would have pounced on you for that. And saying he is useless doesn't help - if he is a mason, he is a mason, and they are incredibly useful to have. Lynching a mason would be horrible.Adel wrote:...if nothing convincing and serious comes up my vote goes back to A Papaya. I'm mostly convinced that he is scum; if he is town or mason he isn't much good to us as town or mason.
I've got to page 11, but I am missing things and stuff, so I am giving up now. I will be back for more later. But it is clear, Albert and everyone, that Adel is who I suspect today.
I want to know Lowell's take on this. I have already mentioned this incident in less detail than Aimee has in my last post (well, actually my post before the last one)Adel's early game policy can be summed up entirely from this quote:
In the same post, she refers to "lynching all lurkers", and from this point on, an intense lurker hunt was established, and followed, by Adel, Ryan and Lowell. Speaking of Lowell, an early connection was formed from Adel to Lowell. In the same post as the above quote, she comments:Adel wrote:Lurking is an anti-town action.
I am immediately uneasy here. Not only is it clearly apparent she is seeking to form a connection with Lowell, she proposes a sort of bizarre alliance system. A group of active players pressurising the lurkers. Sounds far too structured and tactical, and merely like alliance play.Adel wrote:Lowell: from your post I take it you agree with me- am I correct in this assumption? I think it will take a group of active players cooperating to pressure the lurkers, and that may mean following "lynch the lurkers" to succeed. I am not sure how far we can safely take it though.
After then voting against Theo for lurking along with Lawrencelot, she immediately takes her vote off after he posts. Her post when she says this is interesting though:
Two things here are established. Firstly, the lurker "flushing out" scheme is shown, when she immediately moves towards a new lurker, A Papaya. Also, she attempts to give an excuse for her vote hopping which may occur in the future. Excuses here are irrelevant - what is clear is that Adel is attempting to open herself up to allowing her vote to freely move between all lurkers.Adel wrote:unvote: theopor_COD that is what i would call a content-filled post. One lurker flushed. Next up: let's flush A Papaya. I'll place the second vote again.
vote:A Papaya for not posting. I'll move it once some real content is shown under your by-line.
BTW: I am totally going to qualify for that Wishy-Washy tell. I'm expecting to move my vote two or three more times over the next few pages, so long as there is a lurker left to be flushed or until I am totally convinced that someone is scum. More information is better for town, and I can't think of a better way to flush lurkers than being Wishy-Washy like this.
However, I disagree with Aimee on one count. I don't think Lowell or Adel actually meant to lynch the lurkers. I think that she and Lowell both wanted the lurkers to post, and they have, consistently taken the votes off the lurkers after the lurkers posted. Personally, I favour the policy of pressurising the lurkers -- consistent pressure ensures that there aren't any lurkers in the first place. However, care must be taken that while applying the pressure that the lurkers should not be lynched without giving them adequate time to put forth their views.
Actually, I remember you saying it rather differently after diagrams were posted. Personally, I love diagrams, especially the ones created by Adel. And, since Adel was about the most active poster back then, I don't think you can accuse her of posting diagrams because she had nothing else to post. I appreciate the effort she would have put in creating them.A diagram is posted in post 93. Whilst I do love my pretty pictures, I do find them a bit pointless. It is like players doing vote counts (one of my pet hates). Players doing diagrams and vote counts just annoys me. It is just an attempt to look active, without actually doing much. In this case, the diagram wasn't useful, because it focused heavily on random voting and not on real votes, as it was too early for this. As a result, it has basically no use.
Ok, I agree with you on this point. I do believe, that at some point on day 1, the lurker flushers lost the plot completely and went overboard being obsessive about their lurker hunting, and that pretty much stopped all discussions except lurking. However, that lead to pressure being put on Papaya, and the double claim later on, which lead to the eventual modkilling of Ryan, so, I don't think it went too badly at all.
As well as moving onto another lurker, she focuses again on the link she seems to desire between herself and Lowell. Whilst Lowell doesn't seem to be saying anything Adel, Adel is almost leading Lowell - in the above quote she is seemingly coaching him and leading him into following her "lynch all lurkers" scheme. It seems again like an attempt to form links with active players so she can achieve her personal goals.Adel wrote:Lowell: we are on the same page. That is a great metric to track. Are you willing to track people's time since last post and list them in order here periodically, say every three or four days? It would save several of us from having to do the same work, and quality assurance would not be a problem. FoS: Sir Tornado
Adel's playstyle does seem very strategic. As Ripley argues:
I agree completely with the above quote, which emphasises completely the ways Adel is acting.Ripley wrote:The last time I saw a player like Adel, he was scum. The resemblances are uncanny: the bounding enthusiasm, the helpfulness, the taking charge, the quirky approach illustrated by posting charts and diagrams in thread. Maybe he (the other guy) always played that way, but I can say for sure that it's a most effective cover for scum.
After Ripley's post, which was also against Lowell, Adel replied with this defence for Lowell:
This is, of course, far-fetched to the extreme. Lowell's actions have hardly all be pro-town. Note on page 2, for example, when he seemingly wanted to hide and make all the masons do the work. So this is clearly a blind defence of Lowell. As Albert later argues:Adel wrote:I don't buy the anti-Lowell argument for a second. Everyone of his actions has been pro-town...
Adel then replies to Ripley with:Albert wrote:I find Adel too quick to rise in support of Lowell with lack of evidence and little explanation for her rejected proposal.
Again, she argues the importance of her lurker hunt, placing suspicion on those who actually look at other actions.Adel wrote:Fos: Ripley for trying to derail the lurker hunting, again.
Isn't that slightly hypocritical? Adel wants the lurkers to post so she can get real content from them. But when Ripley utilises previous content from Adel, she plants a FoS on them for "derailing the lurker hunt". Isn't that actually derailing therealdiscussion, though, which is clearly more important? Suspicion should be able to flow naturally.
Ripley then makes an excellent point:
I fundamentally believe that Adel's lurker hunt actually prohibited discussion during the early pages. It was attempting to bring lurkers into the light, and meant Adel wasn't actually focussing on the actions that had already happened. Raradoxically for Adel, who was arguing she was helping the town with her lurker hunt, in my opinion it was a detriment to the town and its discussion.Ripley wrote:Adel, you are sounding somewhat obsessive about lurker hunting, and I'm also starting to question your following Lowell so blindly and uncritically. It's not something I've seen before, especially so early in a game.
Agree with this.On page 6, Adel has a bit of crap logic:
Wrong. Absolutely ridiculous. The problem is she seemingly bases her argument around this. She seems to presume Lowell is innocent, with absolutely no reason for doing so.Adel wrote:The player who thinks like me and acts like me is likely to be playing the same alignment as me, therefore I will think Lowell is likely town until some real evidence comes to light.
Why are you doing it then? You understand that lynching lurkersAdel wrote:Promoting a system that would facilitate a scum victory is indeed scummy...benefits the town in no way whatsoever. Only scum benefit from lynching lurkers. Therefore by attempting to lynch the lurkers, you are acting scummy, something you freely admit is scummy. Therefore, you admit you are scummy. Argument is therefore flawed.
Also, at this point, Ryan seemingly latched himself onto Adel. Oh no for Adel. Especially since now Ryan has been proved to be scum. Although initially Adel ignores Ryan's linking, just like Lowell ignored hers. This, to me, suggests that she is scum trying to link with town (Lowell), and Ryan is an idiot scum trying to link with his partner.
After this, Adel seemingly "calls" the scum as A Papaya and Albert. Oh dear. How this occurred I don't know. But it fits with her whole "Lynch all Lurkers or die" approach.
Not much occurs until page 10, where Adel and others' forceful play pushed a mason out of the closet (although not in that way). She then refers to Ryan as "part of the posse", which indeed shows that links do exist.
Adel then makes a fatal blow.
Horrible idea. So you want to lynch a claimed mason on day 1? That is a horrible horrible idea. If I had been there I would have pounced on you for that. And saying he is useless doesn't help - if he is a mason, he is a mason, and they are incredibly useful to have. Lynching a mason would be horrible.Adel wrote:...if nothing convincing and serious comes up my vote goes back to A Papaya. I'm mostly convinced that he is scum; if he is town or mason he isn't much good to us as town or mason.
I've got to page 11, but I am missing things and stuff, so I am giving up now. I will be back for more later. But it is clear, Albert and everyone, that Adel is who I suspect today.I'm back!-
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Aimee has already posted a analysis of Adel in post 514 (and which I have replied to in the last post), which is why I un-voted her. She has posted and is no longer lurking, and am think she would post analysis on other people soon (Albert B. Rampage wrote:
Sure 8)Sir Tornado wrote:Albert
Well, I am not fussy about who puts the case out, really... just be done with it
Sir Tornado, could you continue placing your vote on Aimee until she posts the person-by-person analysis she promised ?
Lawrencelot case coming up asap.), so I don't see any point in voting her again.To Aimee: Make sure you do post it!I'm back!-
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No idea at all.
Right now, attacking Adel and Lawrencelot seems to be a very safe option to everyone. I don't know if you can call anyone a townie just because they take potshots at the aforementioned duo.
But, since there an be only 2 more scums, Aimee is not high up on my suspect list... above Ripley, you and A Papaya but below everyone else.I'm back!-
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In post 554, Albert B Rampage wrote:Tornado, what do you think of a Bird/Lawrencelot scum pair ?
Lawrencelot is currently at first position, especially after I reconsidered after reading your post: 527.
I don't think Lawrencelot and Adel would be the remaining pair. That is too obvious... and I do not believe in anything that seems to be easy (my general belief in life is that nothing is easy. If something looks easy, I am suspicious of it).
However, I am not excluding Adel from the possible suspects list yet. Adel, as I had said on day 1 looked pretty scummy then.
About Bird1111, I can say absolutely nothing at all. So, I really can't comment about Lawrencelot/Bird1111 being scum at this instant. I would like to reserve my judgment on Bird1111 till he returns and starts posting.I'm back!-
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In post 557, on being asked my list of suspects, I clearly said:In post 580, Lowell wrote:Tornado, read from papaya's claim (page 10, I think) until the end of D1. You can't seriously believe that anyone other than Law and Adel are scum, can you? Can you???
I stick to that. Adel and Lawrencelot are the most probable scum. But, I don't both of them can be scum.Lawrencelot is currently at first position, especially after I reconsidered after reading your post: 527.
I don't think Lawrencelot and Adel would be the remaining pair. That is too obvious... and I do not believe in anything that seems to be easy (my general belief in life is that nothing is easy. If something looks easy, I am suspicious of it).
However, I am not excluding Adel from the possible suspects list yet. Adel, as I had said on day 1 looked pretty scummy then.
I seem to remember you strongly recommending against the mason claim altogether. And, back then, I agreed with you. (But, as it turned out, both of us were wrong. Mason claim turned out pretty good one for the town because Albert B is going on a rampage against the scum) But, my problem isn't what you did after the claim. It is what you did before the claim. You seem too much in league with Adel before the mason claim, especially at the start of Day 1.In post 580, Lowell wrote: Tornado, I'm growing a little weary of your caution. First, no scum will "quicklynch" someone when they get to lynch-2. It's not lynch or lose, so that tactic would be idiotic. Stop acting like we're treading on pins and needles when the game is clearly in hand. Also, quit grouping me with Adel and Law. Show me anywhere, at ANY TIME, that I attempted to cast doubt on papaya or albert. Show me where I asked for a 2nd mason to come out after the first one did. In fact, I DIDN'T WANT a second mason exposed and WASN'T VOTING PAPAYA. I'd be suspicious of you if I weren't so sure that you're innocent.
And, you could never have cast any doubt on Albert. You posted exactly once after ABR claim till the end of day 1. Not much to analyze your reaction to the claim. All we have about your take on ABR's claim is your behaviour on day 2, about which, I concede that there is nothing scummy to note.
I also concede that my case against you is a very, very weak one, based too much on early day 1 incidents. But you do have to consider that Ripley, I think is the most townish looking person right now, in fact, he appears even more townie than Papaya and ABR who are the masons.
Bird1111, and Aimee, I have too little information about, which is the sole reason why you are on my list after Lawrencelot and Adel.
However, be assured, that whatever my suspicions about you may be, they aren't enough for me to even consider voting you.I'm back!-
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I don't agree with this at all.
I don't seeANYTHINGscummy about Ripley at all. I think his (or is it her?) play has been great so far, and totally townie.
I said I would follow mason's lead. But if that lead includes voting Ripley out, then I put my foot down and sayNO!
I would much prefer to follow my own instincts in this case, which say that Ripley is innocent townie.I'm back!-
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