In post 227, A Papaya wrote:
I'm claiming.
I'm a mason. My fellow masons can prove it true.
I really don't understand this claim.
In post 208, Lowell wrote:
Here's my take on claiming:
1) IF A PAPAYA is SCUM-
(a) he claims MASON. A mason emerges to call him out. We kill a scum, we lose a mason.
net PLUS for the town
(b) he claims TOWN. Tries to argue his way out. Probably can't. We kill scum and masons remain hidden.
HUGE PLUS for the town
2) IF A PAPAYA is MASON- he claims mason. No counterclaims. We kill someone else but lose a mason at night.
BIG LOSS for the town
3) IF A PAPAYA is TOWN-
(a) he claims town and tries to argue his way out. Mabye can't. We lynch him.
NET Loss for the town
(b) he panics, claims MASON. Mason emerges to counter. We lynch Papaya, then lose mason at night
GAME-BREAKING Loss for town
Applying the above logic, unless A Papaya is scum, the town loses no matter what happens. First of all, if A Papaya is a mason, then:
1) Some one confirms this claim
2) No one confirms the claim
If the claim is confirmed, we have 2 masons unearthed. Scum get them in to NKs, and you have the threat of masons negated.
If the claim is not confirmed, we lynch A Papaya. We lose one mason, and possibly another one in NK.
If A Papaya is townie, then no one will confirm this. We lynch a town. Combined with a NK, we have 2 townies gone. 3 Mafia out of 9 on day two doesn't look good to me at all, especially if the scum can get a mason at night. If not, then we would have 3 scum, 3 town and 3 mason, which might make the job of hunting scum a bit easier if the masons coordinate well.
If A Papaya is scum, he is finished. I'd take 1 scum for 1 Mason NK anyday, because only 2 scum out of 9 with 2 masons remaining tilts the game in the favour of the town enormously.
The point I am trying to make is -- and what I think Lowell was saying is -- I feel that A Papaya's claim will not really help the town at all unless he is a scum. It is, I feel, anti-town and will cause only trouble for us.
That is the reason why I am keeping my vote on A Papaya for now.