Post
Post #6124 (isolation #600) » Tue Mar 14, 2023 2:10 pm
Postby furtiveglance »
In post 6122, Klick wrote:
So the main reason I felt the need to play around Gimli's actions is because I was concerned your read on me might never budge. If you were planning on voting for me at 3p, and Gimli is scum, Gimli could just... wait for you to vote me for the win. So I wanted to arrange a scenario where that could be avoided.
Does that make sense?
I get this, but if Gimli votes for me at 4, what does that prove? To me he could just be wrong town.
Post
Post #6250 (isolation #615) » Fri Mar 17, 2023 7:45 am
Postby furtiveglance »
In post 6246, fireisredsir wrote:
i ask because i want you to explain your thought process but also because it isn't clear at all from your posting where that change in mindset came from
During that time, if I had to have voted I would have gone Klick.
In post 5088, Firebringer wrote:
MT can u go over everything that happened in hood with u and rest of dead townies?
I feel like there could be something there.
Absolutely.
Grimme Troupe (Black + Peta)
Black knew he was going to die. He said well-played to me if scum, but also said I should have been replaced so im a little confused what exactly he was saying about me.
Peta said that smart cash money $$$ is on Klick, he thinks.
Black questioned whether Klick was trying to find scum -- pointing out for instance that Klick votes for wagons even if he thinks they're town (Alisae for instance). He concluded off with saying that he thinks it's either FB or Klick, but expressed dissatisfaction with himself
I agreed with Black regarding the Alisae point (I thought E was obvtown immediately after the cakez flip, so much so i healed em) but I dont think he could tell what i was saying lol.
Petapan says that he's been turned off to the game for a while (mood) but thinks from gameplay and role perspective, klick made the most sense
Black said that he didn't understand why scum isn't killing Firebringer.
-----
My lingering questions:
The Firefluffer problem
Why isn't scum killing Firebringer? I understand that he hides behind people and clears them somehow -- so... why no kill that. The obvious answer to that would be "He's hiding".
In post 4311, Firebringer wrote:
i can hide behind someone to prevent my death. if they die that night i die.
alternatively if i hide behind someone who is performing a kill, i will die instead of their target.
Ah. That's a supremely good role, isn't it? Now that you've claimed that last bit and turned it into an investigative
But in order to do that, you have to announce your targets. So why hasn't scum shot one of those targets and killed Fire? Black's last thoughts and my own at this point.
Even if the target is nullish/scummy, it's more than worth it to shoot Firewoofer too. From what i can tell after he claimed, he said he'd hide behind either FireR or redFF.
Fire's role isn't gated like everyone else's. And it's so good. Get rid of him. Why aren't they?
It was a 50/50 shot, so scum couldn't kill him for sure, they had to guess between FireR/redFF (he didnt indicate which he was picking). So that could be why. Would be disastrous to miss that. That's probably why Fire's alive as town.
,,,,,,,,
Petapan's final remaining suspicion
Petapan said that role-wise and gameplay-wise Klick made the most sense to him. He didn't elaborate much on that but it is interesting to me he would say tgameplay and role -- what is Klicks role
In post 3753, Klick wrote:
Scum already know my role and I'm gonna get hero shot by furtive tonight so I'll jump the queue
Each night I can choose to write an anonymous message for the mod to post at day start
N1 I deliberately chose not to do this because I had nothing to say - I was hoping Cakez would be an investigative and I could out his results anonymously
N2 I just fell asleep before writing a message (evidence: it's 3:45am right now)
Bruh
So it's a reporter and functionally not very helpful. What were the other scum?
In post 998, Aristeia wrote:I'd really like him to explain why he's townreading Cakez though.
I've had thoughts on this since last night but I went to sleep instead of responding.
Basically, I think my Cakez townread was poor. Early in Cakez's posting I thought his forwardness and willingness to bring a lot of opinions to the table was towny. I think this was biased somewhat by comparing him to Lycanfire in my head and thinking, 'well Cakez is being pretty free with his reads and Lycan isn't doing anything so if there's a scum between them it's more likely to be Lycan.' Which isn't a well-thought-out point.
In my last reads list I brought Cakez down a bit because I kinda realised this but still wanted to give credit to my initial gut ping.
I think ultimately I townread what you are scumreading. I ISO'd Cakez late last night and felt pretty similarly to you, that what he was doing could pretty easily be scum projecting false confidence. I don't feel strongly about it but with you saying it's his scum meta I kinda want to sheep you on it.
In post 1036, Klick wrote:
TOWN
Morning Tweet
Black
Asri Teroka
Firebringer
LEANING TOWN
Cat Scratch Fever
Aristeia
furtiveglance
Alisae
VP Baltar
NULL
redFF
Gimli
Mistyx
Taly
LEANING SCUM
petapan
{Lycanfire, SirCakez}
SCUM
Considered thoughts are closer to here
The whole list is ordered
At this point petapan being leaning scum is kind of a meme but I like it anyway
In post 2150, Klick wrote:
I'm going to make a reads list completely from scratch based on my very removed impressions of everyone right now
TOWN
Aristeia
Black
furtiveglance
Asri Teroka
Thestatusquo
Firebringer
LEANING TOWN
fireisredsir
Cat Scratch Fever
SirCakez
Morning Tweet
NULL
Alisae
petapan
redFF
LEANING SCUM
Gimli
Mistyx
ActionDan
Klick has Cakez town early, reconsiders at the behest of Ari questioning the TR, has him in scum for a while, then he shifts back to being a townread but i dont see a discernible reason why anywhere
Cakez stays as town for Klick a long while (i wont bother quoting the many posts where Cakez is around the 4th or 5th most highest TR for Klick) all the way up until the guilty. Klick tried to get Cakez to claim his role privately to him, which he did, and Klick believed it and defended cakez (until he got guiltied a little later)
Klick also has TSQ as high town during D1 before any deaths (2150, 2207) -- but as soon as TSQ gets guiltied, Klick says:
Makes me feel good about where my reads list was up to last night
Spoiler: reads
100% TOWN
petapan
Aristeia
furtiveglance
OBVIOUS TOWN
Alisae
Cat Scratch Fever
Black
VERY LIKELY TOWN
Asri Teroka
Gimli
Firebringer
LEANING TOWN
redFF
Mistyx
fireisredsir
POE SCUMMY
Morning Tweet
Thestatusquo
Klick apparently TSQ as town but then started suspecting him the night before the morning of the guilty happened. Which is a little convenient, Klick's might be trying to get away with keeping Cakez and TSQ as high as possible until they can't anymore. Maybe because ActionDan got limmed so early in part thanks to Klick
I mean, I'm grasping a little bit here because my own interactiojns with TSQ and Cakez are YIKES because i recall townreading them both (Cakez primarily). But still seems very noteworthy.
Especially considering there is NOTHING role-wise that clears klick, and it *seeeems* to me based on about an hour skim that Klick didn't cause the thread to go in TSQ or Cakez directions, only ActionDans
I see what peta was trying to get at when he said role-wise and gameplay-wise he couldnt rule out Klick. So far I'm with him.
Firebringer - See: firefluffer problem
Aristeia - guiltied multiple scum
fireisredsir - INNOed by Firebringer
Gimli - Obviously suggested killing himself and me but also he just kinda seems towny. Also the giving guns ability, didn't need to give it to Ari and suggest shooting him with it,
furtiveglance - I actually forgot about furtive. Sorry. He's a Lazy Jailkeeper. I see he shot Misty. I skimmed and couldn't find the precise reason why it's not him. I assume it's night action based
Klick -
Morning Tweet - not in a PT with living players
My role for anyone that cares
I'm Hornet. I think it's like a tsundere type deal where i attack but also, i
protect
. I dig it.
I think it's Klick, but barring that, it's technically possible for it to be Gimli. And everyone is taking furtive as town for granted, I assume he did a jailkeep that was pivotal and i just cant bother to find it RN. I believe Firewoof/Aristeia/fireisred can safely be ignored.
peta and black were solving it as being just klick and then peta died and ari shot black
those conversations never had the relevant impact ITT, that's why klick is still here
If you're in a place where you flat-out can't see yourself coming to the conclusion that Gimli is the correct vote, I'll put a vote down on furtive to clear-check him
I keep coming back to Gimli as my answer but I won't say I'm definitely right
Post
Post #6444 (isolation #641) » Thu Mar 23, 2023 9:51 am
Postby furtiveglance »
Right, it did, but for most of the time it was on Klick
Fire, if you vote me here, Klick will join. He said as much. And that makes zero sense if he thinks it's Gimli like he said he did! It's very clearly desperation. I know it's hard to see when you're the one getting pocketed but you are.
In post 6434, fireisredsir wrote:
elo is hard for scum. it's hard to maintain solving, it's hard to keep your thought processes consistent and show progression and explain yourself without ever slipping up in your mindset. it's hard to realtime with people and talk to them and make sure your reactions are what they will think looks town
you and klick have both dove headfirst into doing all of that
because you're trying to solve the game and it's genuine
furtive hasn't
I get what you're saying here and understand it
My main conflict I'd that I wouldn't expect different from furtive here if furtive were town
I wouldn't expect that kind of solving, furtive hasn't shown evidence to me previously of solving at that level
Embarrassing attempt at a discredit, Gimli's right it's strategic.
Post
Post #6467 (isolation #643) » Thu Mar 23, 2023 11:55 am
Postby furtiveglance »
In post 6464, Klick wrote:
Klick: *says anything*
Gimli AND furtive: 'What a terrible and blatant attempt at manipulation, could you make this any more obvious?'
That's what it looks like to me, you're saying I never play well as town
In post 6464, Klick wrote:
Klick: *says anything*
Gimli AND furtive: 'What a terrible and blatant attempt at manipulation, could you make this any more obvious?'
That's what it looks like to me, you're saying I never play well as town
I don't have a high opinion of your town play.
I'm sorry but that is a truthful statement of hoe I view your current town play.
That's fine, but it's also convenient as I'm pushing you in this game.