Scien wrote:Zorblag, do you still think that myself and you are the least likely to be chosen? If so, should we be talking about that win condition more seriously now?
Actually, with those flip Troll no be so sure anymore. Both Papa Zito and Nikanor now be pretty attractive options for not being the chosen as well now that Troll has additional information and Scien might actually be looking more like a Chosen to Troll than him did before.
Part of the reason for Troll to say as strongly as Troll did who be unlikely to be the chosen at the start was to give the scum more incentive to kill either Troll or Scien during the night. qwints wasn't a kill Troll had expected but it no was overly surprising given what Troll knows of him. Sajin on the other hand wasn't a kill that Troll expected at all. Troll was pretty sure that him was town but him also had a fair chance of being a chosen so him would have been good to leave around merely for the purposes of distraction. His play didn't strike Troll as strong enough to eliminate someone over so Troll would have expected him to be low on the list of those likely to get killed.
That neither Troll nor Scien be dead now be interesting.
Scien wrote:Of course now that it is down to a single suspect on my list, that means that I am starting to second guess my conclusion that it had to be either Nik, Sajin, or PapaZ.
That clearly should be hohum rather than Papa Zito on your list.
MiteyMouse wrote:Now, the other angle is that the Scum could have put the people that are the Chosen on their list. I would have put the Chosen on my list if I were Scum, to make it look like they have less chance of being the Chosen.
And this was what MiteyMouse came up with the last time as well. Troll no bought it then and Troll buys it even less now. Troll no thinks that scum would be significantly more likely to put the chosen on their list than other players. It be an overly simplistic idea and those that people be listing be largely those Troll would expect from them regardless of their roles.
Nikanor, you said you wanted to say something once people had given their choices. Has this now been said or was there something else?
At this point Troll has the following thoughts:
MiteyMouse got much attention during the first day but almost none the second day. Troll still thinks that Cojin's mistake was faked and that Cojin and MiteyMouse be the ones that be least likely to have come up with that plan. Given all that Troll sees in the game it just be unlikely in Troll's opinion that she be mafia.
The Sajin kill actually probably makes Nikanor look a bit better than him did before. It takes away much of the issue Troll had with him considering switching to Sajin or hohum towards the end of day one (the only reason left would be to save a scum partner rather than trying to switch to a chosen.) It would still be worth trying Troll supposes but the rewards go down. Day two Nikanor also didn't do anything to pursue anyone who might be a chosen.
Papa Zito has voted for every single dead vanilla townie we have thus far and was on the Cojin wagon (him more or less lead the Cojin wagon, starting it when it no was a clear best choice and pushing it along throughout day one.) Of those that still be alive him has voted for just Scien Troll believes. If Papa Zito be scum then him no be doing much to actively get the chosen lynched (possibly excepting a Scien chosen case but him no did that much along those lines.) Troll be a bit inclined to think that him should be town.
That leaves Scien who be letting the game happen much more than actually trying to influence it. Troll has talked already about the troubles Troll had with his day one play. Day two him was more concerned about living than Troll would like but that be a pretty common issue for people to have. Again, him hasn't made any sort of push on whoever the chosen might be as him has only ever voted for qwints and hohum Troll be pretty sure.
Right now, of those that be alive, here be the ones who have voted for them (who still be alive.) Troll no thinks Troll has forgotten any votes but if there be something that be missing please fill it in.
MiteyMouse: Nikanor, Zorblag
Nikanor: Zorblag
Papa Zito: None
Scien: Papa Zito, Zorblag
Zorblag: None
Troll needs to think on this a bit.
-Zorblag R`Lyeh