Spoiler: Reads - Day 1 #1
Confirmed Town
(From my perspective) (98%-100% Confidence)1. Ircher (100%) - Role PM
2. Grey (99%) - Picking up at Post 198 with my previous read in mind. The word of advice in 202 reads as town stepping back and reconsidering before continuing a push. 303 was a decent observation of Alisae's behavior around voting and joining wagons. Don't like the instant Gin scumread in 336 very much -- too accusatory versus trying to come to the same conclusion. 400 comes across as a bit too cautious. (Primarily cuz of the "Eh," start) . Grey doesn't make very concessions but he did in 478 which reads townish considering his previous remark in 476. (Even though I dont know scum!Grey, I'm inclined to believe he'd not give in quite so easily. Possibly a bad assumption on my part). 403 was a good catch even if the slip (still a slip regardless if Naomi is town or scum) is somewhat null. Refusal to reconsider makes 501 seem scum motivated, though this seems to be a thing for Grey. Somewhat hard to believe Grey's comment that he reread my ISO in 610, but I do see that as genuine read on me at the time. 752 is a weird assumption, but given Grey's claim, it makes some sense to assume. Not sure what to make of 788 -- my vote wasn't extremely serious and more a reaction test. (But, it was late, and I had the misfortune of no more wifi until this afternoon. Cop claim in 799 which I totally buy. The read on Gin in 805 feels new and unsupported, but a lot went on where he focused elsewhere. 823 is bad setup spec imo. Not necessarily alignment-indicative. Definitely town imo at this point.
Likely Town
(85%-97% Confidence)3. Human Sequencer (92%) - Beginning after 156. Not sure what to make of 454 - kinda feels Human hasn't really read the thread. Read maybe a few posts here and there, but not the majority. Concur fully w/ the town case for All Alone in 461. Though 582 looks like a really dumb question, it's actually a decent question cuz Flubber is giving info versus actual analysis and reads. Why do you doubt Gamma's claim (see 851)? I mean, its alignment is questionable, but the claim fits his earlier behavior. 858 is flawed setup spec (most roles dont know if their action fails). This guy's still town by a long shot.
4. All Alone (88%) - Starting after 195. 310 disapproves All Alone's point, but it's excusable considering my earlier read. 422 feels a bit too jumpy.... Maybe it's hindsight? The interaction with Alisae feels meh and not really alignment indicative on Alone's side. The case on Asphodel in 875 is well backed and sensible. Biggest complaint really is the small number of posts, but when Alone posts, they are quality posts that read as genuine posts that make sense. Still thinking town here, but I think I might end up paranoid with this slot in the long run.
Leaning Town
(60%-84% Confidence)5. Alisae (80%) - Starting after 187. 279 feels too buddy-buddy w/ TwoFace than necessary. Caring too much about self-image in 305. 319 does not feel authentic -- Pretty sure I haven't seen Asphodel really mentioned a bunch in this ISO. 323 also pings my radar for being a very dumb question that anyone reading the thread critically would know the answer to. (No Offense) 344 is an ok question. The OMGUS in 366 is bad, but is it scum-motivated? 373 is just buzzwords and nothing else -- Gin is not guilty of IoA (well, by your flawed definition, perhaps, but giving info isn't a bad thing, just when its info without any attempt to analyze or very little that its a problem). 376 reads more as confirmation bias than a scum agenda tbh. 389 probably confirms my suspicion -- Alisae considers stepping back but cant quite manage to focus elsewhere. 406 is prob. a good indicator for town. My assumption is scum!Alisae would be more jumpy at such a comment. 423 is again OMGUS in disguise; this is starting to become a personality tell. 444 I kinda feel is a weak response to Naomi's way out, but meh, I'd prob. do something similar given the chance. 597 feels important, but it prob. be better if I didn't elaborate here. Nvm 597 -- see 674. 727 is just bad logic as that scumtell works just as much as the information scumtell. 734 is confusing, but feels more authentic than the previous readslist. The person referenced in 772 is unfortunately wrong as universal scumtells just never work. (One-Size-NEVER-Fits-ALL) 943 feels legitimate to ask. Overall, this reads as self-conscious town.
6. Naomi-Tan (+65%) - Guess I'm starting after 27 here. Serious Q -- Are you being facetious in 218? What was your read on Grey and me after making 230? 266 is a good readslist imo. 292 reads really town to me -- scum care, town don't. Starting to see what Naomi said for her introduction (and that's a good thing). 482 was a slip regardless of alignment, but that doesn't necessary mean Naomi is scum. Town "slip" all the time cuz they're less cautious. 549 gives an associative tell if either flips scum. Why did you feel the need to requite me in 660? (Not that it was necessarily a bad thing, I just wanna know why). Yeah, I kinda glazed through a lot of posts cuz they were hard to read, but I think the assessment during her intro is very accurate, so she's probs town.
Null
(0% - 30% Confidence; No/Very Weak Read)7. Rainbowdash (+20%) - 324 is null (but I somewhat disagree w/ the perspective). 357 makes logical sense. Setup spec in 736 (null). 739 feels off, but I think I'm biased. More setup spec throughout. Really hard to get a read here.
Neutral
(31%-59% Confidence; Mixed Read)8. TwoFace (+42%) - Last one, this time, we're starting after 280. To be honest, 455 reads as confirmation bias. 471 is a weird and clearly scum-motivated remark. Townies don't ignore their scumreads; they work with them. Scum ignore their "scumreads" so as to discredit them and plead innocent when a mislynch occurs. Also, TwoFace never explained why he couldn't trust Human. (Conflicting Views does not mean either of your views are wrong). The follow up in 517 reads anti-town behavior versus scum motivation though. 558 as town trying to come to a common understanding w/ his target. 614 reads as genuine frustration. 619 is a scummy misrep as reads can change. Grey made it pretty clear (despite not explicitly) that he had reevaluated. 638 reads as arrogant town who
thinks
they've caught scum. 670 reads as fake considering the answer is in the quote. 1003 is tbh a sign towards town. Looking through, reads mostly as confirmation biased town, but it's hard to tell at first glance cuz there's a lot of other scummy stuff that TwoFace has done in addition.9. Krylea (+40%) - 679 is a good first impression. 699 is meh -- think he should've read but not really a thing I see scum doing versus lazyish town. 794 reads as a genuine response to Grey's Q. 971 is blatant misrep, though I feel this is misguided/biased town versus scum. Eh, 993 was unexpected and felt like it came from scum. Peer pressure? Yeah, I'm realky mixed here, good intro but feels like Kry is sheeping more than anything tbh. Easily manipulated seems the best way to put it.
10. TheRealGin-N-Tonic (-45%) - So, picking up after 196. 333 would be fine except I don't see how Gin can be null on Alisae at the time he posted that. 362 also reads strange to me. (Mainly the 3rd paragraph's accusatory tone). 485 reads as naivety and inexperienced player tell. My response to 538 is that daytalk is pretty common and only doesn't exist in the newbie queue due to the greater skill gap in every game and balance reasons. Pretty sure 796 was a L-1 vote. 802 seems like a pointless question to ask. It also reads as shade-throwing and fluff. In response to 978: And? Fence-sitting just like sheeping is not a scumtell. Don't try to use it as such. 982 -- Logical fallancies abound! Seriously, there are more than 2 possibilities here. Not everything is black and white. 1007 is a VERY suspicious 180 you did. There's 3x as many posts to consider this time. This slot does not read town, but it doesn't read as scummy as some of othe other slots.
Leaning Scum
(60%-75% Confidence)11. Flubbernugget (-65%) - 503 makes me roll my eyes. What do you mean "starting to look more like scum hunting than it did before" in 507? Did you scumread the interaction earlier? (I'm assuming you're NOT referring to the earlier semantics thing). What's your point in 705? 706 is a horrible demand and prob. a logical fallancy.711 is also a fluff post. 713 feels too accusatory. It also feels that Flubber looked at the post for like 500 milliseconds then decided to jump on it. Too much fluff imo and not enough analysis. Some things are stated matter-of-fact but they seem to be just that -- info. Not feeling good about this slot.
12. Asphodel (-70%) - Continuing after 203 where I left off last time. The "test" from 201 and the subsequent analysis in 208 feels... not right. I think Asphodel was too set on trying to prove me as having a fake read (a bit stretched read? definitely! fake? not really) but in the end, the end resukt wasn't what Asphodel expected. What I don't know is Asphodel'send read on me after this -- feels like it could've gone both ways and is ambiguous. 286 reads super faked and on purposely done to get towncred. Some of the later posts like 847 look a good deal better. 850 is pretty suspicious looking like he just cant bring himself to make a case on someone he
knows
is town (cuz he's scum).Likely Scum
(76%-100% Confidence)13. Gamma (-80%) - Resuming after 93 with this. Gonna evaluate the truthfulness of 339, cuz a lot of posts are null / about his (future) claim. 413 is a non-sensical Q --> blank quotes generally express agreement. 431 is a bit too far. Not sure where 443 came -- a bit defensive much? 525 is pure WIFOM. 533 is also overly defensive when it's been like 100+ posts since Sequencer asked you stuff and you never responded. (More than enough time). 548 feels fake as well -- elaborate. In response to 589 -- you never stated how it felt more honest. 598 is clear shade-throwing without just cause. 617 is more a demand rather than cooperative request.629 feels hypocritical -- if that's your philosophy, explain your Grey and TwoFace reads in-depth. 652 is some kind of logical fallancy and totally uncooperative. (You assume Grey holds himself a low standard of play. Really, cant express what I'm thinking in words right now). 668 is an authentic claim imo. 764 reads like a chainsaw or something except Alisae is town imo. 818 is truthfully a weird scum move. 836 is once more doubt-casting just-to-doubtcast cuz I'm sire Gamma w/ over 5k posts understands what a breadcrumb is. Reads as scum considering Gamma!/ experience and the amount of shade-casting being conducted.
Fyi, this was 3x as much work as the previous. Be patient.