I don't trust even myself to hit scum. As you'll see, I don't have a great track record right now. Now that you say it, though, I'm even more convinced that you're scum, since you trust me as vig to kill correctly. The person I would kill as vig is you. Luckily for you, no lynch is a better plan than gambling that I am correct today.Oman wrote:Vollkan wrote:I severely doubt that 2:1 is better than 3:2 at all,
Claims would have a lot to do with it. Unless we lose the vig earlier.
Another thing is, MoS has been very anti-vig. Now with the quality of some of the players here (unfortunatly I include MoS in that), the vig is scums biggest threat. I mean, MoSvig would find scum well. Vollkvig is synomous with scumdeath to me (:(). You look at that kind of thing and think "what would scum want the vig to do?" the answer is a nokill, as they can win without a miskill easily enough.
Also, mafia would want to lynch today, because that gives them the best chance of winning. There is no way to prevent the vig from killing tonight if we mislynch, because it's the obvious thing. However, by lynching today, the scum have a chance of smoking the vig out in the open with a bandwagon, which means they can kill the vig and hope that the vig misses his 50% chance of hitting scum. Even if the vig hits scum, 2:1 with a dead vig is decent odds for the mafia. Right now our odds are 4:2, and I'd prefer to have chances at scum at 3:2 and 2:1 than just hope that we'll reach 2:1 through a lucky vig kill.
Also, if I had to put money down on the table right now, I would say Oman and Tarhalindur are our scum. Pwayne also looks likely. Just sayin'.