If you believe all the power role claims it means we have/had the following power roles in the game: Doctor (=Confused=), Cop (me), Mason (Curiouskarmadog), Mason (d3sistedII), Tracker (ChronX), Role Blocker (Gorgon) and Jack-of-all-Trades (Battle Mage). That’s 7 power roles and there’s no way the town has that many – even in a speed game. Since I don’t think we have that many power roles on our side, I can think of 4 explanations: 1) One or more of the power roles are mafia aligned; 2) There is a Godfather to help balance things out; 3) I’m either an insane or naïve Cop; 4) One or more of the claims are false. Obviously more than one of these things is possible (and probable). Now I’m going to look a little closer at everyone.
The following are all dead, so their roles & alignments are obviously confirmed:
=Confused=: Doctor
d3sisted I: Vanilla
Raffles: Vanilla
Curiouskarmadog: Mason
d3sisted II: Mason
Now for the living, claimed power roles.
Hang ‘em High: Cop. I’m proceeding under the premise you believe my claim, although obviously you’ll have to judge for yourself. If you have any doubts about my claim, please raise them and I’ll be happy to answer. As for my sanity, in the Wiki it says: “All variant sanities are uncommon in Mini Games or other situations with just one Cop in the game.” Since we only have one Cop (so it seems), I think I’m probably sane and am proceeding under that assumption.
Gorgon: Role Blocker. Somebody role blocked me the first night, which makes his claim sound valid. The Role Blocker is a common role according to the Wiki, so it seems reasonable it would be in this game. Overall, I see no reason to believe he’s not a Role Blocker. However, according to the Wiki, “The most common Mafia power roles are the Mafia Doctor, the Mafia Cop, and the Mafia Roleblocker (this one also known as Prostitute).” I think there’s a good chance that Gorgon is a filthy whore. As I said above, due to the number of power roles out there, some of them must be mafia aligned in order to balance things out. I think this is most likely one.
ChronX: Tracker. The Tracker is not a common role, so it would be a little surprising (but certainly not out of the question) for one to be in the game. ChronX specifically stated he knew someone targeted BM on night 2. It would have been a real stretch to make such a specific statement unless his claim was true
or he knew in advance who someone was going to target at night
. I think it might be the latter. I don’t think ChronX is the Tracker – I think it’s likely ChronX is the Godfather and Gorgon is one of his scum buddies. He would know Gorgon was going to roleblock BM on night 2 and used that knowledge to claim Tracker, knowing Gorgon could back him up. BM says he investigated ChronX and he came back innocent – but that still fits if ChronX is the Godfather. Of course this whole theory only works if Gorgon is a scum Role Blocker. I have to do a reread to see if ChronX’s and Gorgon’s play fits this theory. If I recall correctly, it was ChronX’s claim that led to the mason lynch, which would explain why he claimed and makes me think this scenario is possible.
Battle Mage: Jack-of-all-Trades. This seems to be a very unusual role to have in a normal mini, so I think it’s also possible BM is the Godfather. He investigated innocent, so if he is scum he’s got to be the GF. Just going from memory I think ChronX’s play fits the GF role better than BM’s, but I’ve got to reread to get a better understanding.
To summarize, I think there are two likely scenarios. Here’s scenario one:
Town:
=Confused= (Doctor)
d3sisted I (Vanilla)
Raffles (Vanilla)
Curiouskarmadog (Mason)
d3sisted II (Mason)
Hang ‘em High (Cop)
Battle Mage (Jack-of-all-Trades)
distad (Vanilla)
Either Atticus or Sonicpulsar (Vanilla)
Scum:
Gorgon (Roleblocker/Prostitute)
ChronX (Godfather)
Either Atticus or Sonicpulsar (Goon)
Here’s scenario two:
Town:
=Confused= (Doctor)
d3sisted I (Vanilla)
Raffles (Vanilla)
Curiouskarmadog (Mason)
d3sisted II (Mason)
Hang ‘em High (Cop)
ChronX (Tracker)
distad (Vanilla)
Either Atticus or Sonicpulsar (Vanilla)
Scum:
Gorgon (Roleblocker/Prostitute)
Battle Mage (Godfather)
Either Atticus or Sonicpulsar (Goon)
I think either scenario is pretty balanced. Based on what I remember from the game, I’m thinking the first scenario is most likely. I’m now going to reread to see if either fits the past actions and I’m also going to try and come up with other scenarios and assess their likelihood.
Agree? Disagree? Point out any holes in my reasoning. Let’s discuss and figure out how to proceed.
Another possibility just occurred to me – there are two mafias. This would be unusual in a mini, but given the large number of power roles floating around it may be possible. That would put the current count at 3 town, 2 mafia & 2 mafia. I don’t even know if this is reasonable, but I wanted to put it out there for consideration as well.
There are two types of people in the world -- those who divide people into types and those who don't.
Note: I've got LA on weekends and in the evening.