In post 7590, The Cool Cucumbers wrote:
Yosarian, how is the 7 players alive thing nonsense? We have a SK and 2 scum flips. Do you think there are 3 scum AND me remaining? It's far more likely that there are *2* scum and me remaining. If there are 2 scum, and me, then in order to ensure that I'm not groupscum hiding behind this claim, you lynch me at 7 people, and you have successfully passed LYLO #1. If you seriously think there are 3 scum plus me left, then sure, the same things apply, you just lynch us at 9 players instead of 7. There is nothing nonsensical about it.
Are you really going to pretend you haven't gamed this all out? Because I'm pretty sure you have.
If we say "Ok, we lynch CC when there are 7 people left alive", then the game won't get to a state where there are "7 people left alive",
because you have a nightkill
. You have the ability to kill someone that night and make it so there are only 6 people left alive, and then, gee, we can't lynch you, how convinenet.
I mean, maybe we still have a roleblocker alive that can stop you, maybe we don't. That would be a hell of a thing to bet the game on.
Plus, this probably goes without saying, but it's much better for the town if using a day 3 lynch on you instead of a day 5 lynch or whatever; the later a lynch is, the more info the town has, the more the lynch is worth.
"Wait a few days and lynch me later" is really not a realistic option. And, again, you've clearly thought this all through, so I'm pretty sure you already know this.
And yes, of course the most likely result in a 3p lylo is I win, EXCEPT WHY WOULD SCUM EVER LET ME LIVE KNOWING IF I LIVE THEY LOSE??
The scum can't kill you, and the townie won't vote for you, because the townie will hope that you'll kill the scum at night instead of him. You won't, of course, you'll murder the last townie and then dance on his grave laughing, but hope springs eternal, and a small hope is better then a guarenteed scum win. So it'll go to no-lynch, and then you'll murder everyone and win.
This isn't a long-shot, either; if we don't lynch you today, it is very likely to happen.
I want us to win just for Yos' inevitable rant alone. -CrashTextDummie