NY 189 - Flower Viewing Festival [~fin~]

Shiro · Post Post #1750 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:14 am

In post 1747, Davsto wrote:That may be true, but that's irrelevant to Gambler's Fallacy.

The whole point of Gambler's Fallacy is that, supposedly, if a coin flips heads, say, 20 times in a row, it is more likely to flip tails next, presuming a fair coin.

While, overall, it is more likely for the coins (with a true 50/50 chance) to have a 1/1-close H/T ratio, previous flips do not affect what the next coin will flip.

(basically what i'm saying is that if you use gambler's fallacy as actual reasoning i'll slap you)

But hey assuming that in a 13 people game with 3 scum a 2 people neighbrhood(Assuming randomised) is town based on chance was correct right : D

Spiffeh wrote:Is this really a thing that we're talking about rn lol

Accept it

Shiro · Post Post #1751 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:15 am

In post 1749, Flubbernugget wrote:I missed the reasoning behind a mafia doc being worth discussing

We missed you being part of the game

I Am Innocent · Post Post #1752 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:16 am

In post 1207, ika wrote:
In post 1205, MarioManiac4 wrote:
In post 1177, Davsto wrote:
In post 1080, MarioManiac4 wrote:Read davsti's ISO and not convinced he's scum
Although the vote on banana and ne in one post felt weird

In post 1161, MarioManiac4 wrote:
VOTE: davsto

I get a townvibe from pretty much everyone except this guy and the post where he voted me anf banana felt fake

Quite a change, don't you think? From a "not convinced he's scum" to what is essentially an OMGUS vote?

Not convinced means not a full scum read. Only you and I A I were competing wagons.
Also when did you care about claims Ika

i always cared about claims, i jsut hammer anyway.

the only time i dont really care about it is if we are in like the firest 5 pages where i can end day 1 real quick

^scum

Salamence20 · Post Post #1753 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:17 am

IAI PLZ INVESTIGATE PISS PLZ

Salamence20 · Post Post #1754 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:17 am

DO IT FOR ME

ika · Post Post #1755 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:17 am

In post 1752, I Am Innocent wrote:
In post 1207, ika wrote:
In post 1205, MarioManiac4 wrote:
In post 1177, Davsto wrote:
In post 1080, MarioManiac4 wrote:Read davsti's ISO and not convinced he's scum
Although the vote on banana and ne in one post felt weird

In post 1161, MarioManiac4 wrote:
VOTE: davsto

I get a townvibe from pretty much everyone except this guy and the post where he voted me anf banana felt fake

Quite a change, don't you think? From a "not convinced he's scum" to what is essentially an OMGUS vote?

Not convinced means not a full scum read. Only you and I A I were competing wagons.
Also when did you care about claims Ika

i always cared about claims, i jsut hammer anyway.

the only time i dont really care about it is if we are in like the firest 5 pages where i can end day 1 real quick

^scum

your cute

Salamence20 · Post Post #1756 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:18 am

Petal Dance: Flubber

GOGOGOGO

Salamence20 · Post Post #1757 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:18 am

IKA ITS YOU'RE*

You bitch

Sakura Hana · Post Post #1758 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:19 am

In post 1745, Shiro wrote:I was thinking of buying that game but I ended up never doing so. I was told that the AI cheats and the game, makes you want to break your pc

It's more fun in multiplayer, in campaign the AI does indeed cheat, but only dice rolls, and that's even if you play on Normal or harder (Easy AI rolls are always fair).

In post 1746, ika wrote:skaura if i got the game would you playw ith em?

I wouldn't mind, i like playing it with people but i haven't played it much lately.

Shiro · Post Post #1759 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:20 am

In post 1758, Sakura Hana wrote:It's more fun in multiplayer

I doubt I would be convincing anyone I know to buy it xD

Davsto · Post Post #1760 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:22 am

In post 1750, Shiro wrote:
In post 1747, Davsto wrote:That may be true, but that's irrelevant to Gambler's Fallacy.

The whole point of Gambler's Fallacy is that, supposedly, if a coin flips heads, say, 20 times in a row, it is more likely to flip tails next, presuming a fair coin.

While, overall, it is more likely for the coins (with a true 50/50 chance) to have a 1/1-close H/T ratio, previous flips do not affect what the next coin will flip.

(basically what i'm saying is that if you use gambler's fallacy as actual reasoning i'll slap you)

But hey assuming that in a 13 people game with 3 scum a 2 people neighbrhood(Assuming randomised) is town based on chance was correct right : D

As long as you kept the possibility in mind that there

might

still be a scum in there, and still going on reads over just going "yeh they're in a neighbourhood so they must be clear"? I guess. It would be more likely for them to both be town.

Gambler's Fallacy would be "well last time there was a scum in there despite it being against the odds, so there can't possibly be this time".

ika · Post Post #1761 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:28 am

In post 1759, Shiro wrote:
In post 1758, Sakura Hana wrote:It's more fun in multiplayer

I doubt I would be convincing anyone I know to buy it xD

ill get it this thurday and me, yo, sakura and pie can all play it

sound good?

Sakura Hana · Post Post #1762 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:30 am

Would have to ask pie. She's a pretty busy person.

ika · Post Post #1763 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:32 am

In post 1762, Sakura Hana wrote:Would have to ask pie. She's a pretty busy person.

Spoiler: dont look pie

ika · Post Post #1764 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:33 am

aaaaaaaannnnnndddddddd

ika · Post Post #1765 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:33 am

so anoyne wanna play hangman?

ika · Post Post #1766 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:34 am

also i now have town reads on shiro (not already said), sakura, sala

Shiro · Post Post #1767 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:34 am

In post 1756, Salamence20 wrote:
Petal Dance: Flubber

GOGOGOGO

Sakura Hana · Post Post #1768 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:35 am

Oh God Shiro that's hilarious XD

ika · Post Post #1769 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:39 am

im nomming that one post game for kodak moment

Sakura Hana · Post Post #1770 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:40 am

I still find this one better: http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.ph ... 9#p7122249

ika · Post Post #1771 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:42 am

i saw that is it was meh to me...

i quit readint he posts

Shiro · Post Post #1772 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:44 am

In post 1768, Sakura Hana wrote:Oh God Shiro that's hilarious XD

I tryied to put my visualisation into an image

ika wrote:im nomming that one post game for kodak moment

What kodak ?

Salamence20 · Post Post #1773 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:44 am

In post 1767, Shiro wrote:
In post 1756, Salamence20 wrote:
Petal Dance: Flubber

GOGOGOGO

DAMNIT

Sakura Hana · Post Post #1774 (ISO) » Sun Sep 06, 2015 8:52 am

Dem petal dances.

In post 354, White Narcissus wrote:
petal dance: lufan