Open 34 - Dethy (Game Over) - before 474

[JDodge]

We could be insane, too, since both of the people we investigated are confirmed town.

[somestrangeflea]

Patrick could be paranoid...

[JDodge]

Alright, I have a plan.

We go no lynch today. Me and SSF investigate each other, and Piggy and Patrick both investigate SSF.

By doing this, we can probably figure out sanities a bit better.

[JDodge]

EBWOP: Unless Patrick got an innocent, of course. Which he didn't if he investigated me.

[Ms Piggy]

Since Jdodge and SSF both got guilties twice, they cannot be naive or sane or insane.

Since three people got guilties on Thok which is not possible, during the 1st night, I must be innocent, and dead Thok is too. One of us is sane, and one of us is naive, as we are the only ones that got innocents during the 1st night.

That clears Thok and me.

Then, Patrick must be insane by process of elimination, as Jdodge, SSF, Thok, and I are all not insane.

Therefore, the possible scenarios of Patrick's last investigation on JDodge/SSF:

1) a guilty on Jdodge, then Jdodge is paranoid, and SSF is scum.

2) an innocent on Jdodge, then Jdodge is guilty, and SSF is paranoid.

3) a guilty on SSF, then SSF is innocent, and JDodge is scum.

4) an innocent on SSF, then SSF is scum, and JDodge is paranoid.

[Ms Piggy]

No more no-lynches. Patrick must be insane and investigated either Jdodge or SSF.

[somestrangeflea]

Since Jdodge and SSF both got guilties twice, they cannot be naive or sane or insane.

We can be insane...

An insane cop gets 4 guilties and 1 innocent.

[JDodge]

WE CAN BE INSANE. INSANE MEANS ALWAYS THE WRONG RESULT.

SINCE PATRICK AND THOK ARE CONFIRMED TOWN, WE CAN BE INSANE.

[Ms Piggy]

Patrick could be paranoid...

WRONG.

Thok was sane or naive.

I am sane or naive.

JDodge and you both got guilties twice, so both of you aren't insane.

Therefore, Patrick must be insane.

[JDodge]

Patrick could be paranoid...

WRONG.

Thok was sane or naive.

I am sane or naive.

JDodge and you both got guilties twice, so both of you aren't insane.

Therefore, Patrick must be insane.

HELLO.

INSANE MEANS THAT IF SOMEONE IS INNOCENT, THEY COME UP AS GUILTY, AND VICE-VERSA.

BOTH OF THE PEOPLE WE INVESTIGATED ARE INNOCENT.

WHAT DOES THAT MEAN?

[Ms Piggy]

That means Patrick is insane or paranoid.

Yeah I really shouldn't be up at 3 hours past midnight hehe.

I hope that Patrick got an innocent on JDodge or SSF, so that he can be insane, and the game will be over.

[somestrangeflea]

From a neutral POV:
There is a 50% chance that Patrick's investigation will out the scum, through an innocent result.
If Patrick's investigation doesn't out the scum, then there is a 50% chance of either me or JDodge being scum.

That is what this game boils down to now. Agreed?

[Ms Piggy]

Alright, I have a plan.

We go no lynch today. Me and SSF investigate each other, and Piggy and Patrick both investigate SSF.

By doing this, we can probably figure out sanities a bit better.

That might not work.

If the mafia kill Patrick, and I am actually naive, then both of you will say you got an innocent or guilty on each other and say you're insane or paranoid or whatever result could make the other scum, or whatever. Then, it's just luck on who is lynched.

[Ms Piggy]

*prays that Patrick gets an innocent result and goes to sleep for 2 hours because of tiredness from staying up late for 5 nights in a row.*

[JDodge]

Alright, I have a plan.

We go no lynch today. Me and SSF investigate each other, and Piggy and Patrick both investigate SSF.

By doing this, we can probably figure out sanities a bit better.

That might not work.

If the mafia kill Patrick, and I am actually naive, then both of you will say you got an innocent or guilty on each other and say you're insane or paranoid or whatever result could make the other scum, or whatever. Then, it's just luck on who is lynched.

It's lylo either way, we can only increase our chances.

[Ms Piggy]

You know, the mod could really pattern the game to make us lose.

Thok got an innocent on Patrick definitely, as did I.

Therefore, he could make me sane and give me a 50/50 chance on investigating scum, or could make me naive on purpose and make me get an innocent and know nothing.

[Ms Piggy]

That's just assuming the moderator is evil, which hopefully is not the case here.

[somestrangeflea]

You're right!

Vote: bird1111

[Ms Piggy]

Vote: bird1111

Bandwagon!!!

[Ms Piggy]

Moderator Bird111, you are at lynch -1. Please claim.

[Ms Piggy]

Let's plan ahead in case Patrick did not get an innocent.

If Patrick got a guilty on either of you, that means he is paranoid.

What are our investigations tonight, then? Maybe we should keep our investigations a secret?

[Patrick]

Blah. Ok. Checking in after work I see that I am cleared by virtue of these two both having a guilty on me. Unfortunately, we haven't got this one in the bag yet it seems. I investigated SSF, and got a guilty. I'll think about this. Don't no lynch or do anything until I get a chance. We can probably still have good odds here.

[Patrick]

So I'm 50/50 insane or paranoid. Ms Piggy is 50/50 sane or naive. SSF has a guilty result on him from me which makes it more likely he's town (if I'm insane, SSF is town). JDdodge has an innocent on him from Ms Piggy which makes it more likely he's town (if Piggy is sane, JDodge is town). So they're on an equal standing from that point of view. Unfortunately, at least one of myself and Piggy must be a useless cop, and possibly both of us are useless.

The play tonight is for me to investigate JDodge, and Ms Piggy to investigate SSF. JDodge and SSF investigate each other. Whoever is nightkilled, tomorrow the two suspects should probably have to claim their results simultaneously, and before the confirmed innocent.

It's late here, so if that doesn't make any sense, someone point out why. I think that's the situation though. I'll think a bit more but that may be the best we have.

[Ms Piggy]

Darn!

So it looks like:

Patrick: Paranoid Cop
Ms Piggy: Sane/Naive
JDodge: Insane/Scum
SSF: Insane/Scum

I think this is virtually impossible to have a 100% chance of winning, because:

Since one of JDodge of SSF is insane, and one is scum, they can basically make up ANY result to show that they are insane. As in, JDodge could say he got a guilty on me, or an innocent on SSF. SSF could say that he got an innocent on JDodge, or guilty on me.

[Ms Piggy]

Oh wait, I messed up my post, disregard it. I got 2 hours of sleep last night and it's still in the morning. I keep messing up my posts today grrrr....