In post 5064, FourTrouble wrote:This is for Tomorrow:
Ooba's first comment about beast ain't a townread.
In post 2463, ooba wrote:
- I thought scum-beast would have been more active - but I don't like how he's hiding behind a role ('Oh I'm voteless - I cannot be scum'). Still would lean town.
But 1000 posts later, as some folks have begun voting beast as a potential D1 wagon, beast is slight town.
D1 ends, D2 starts, and Ooba starts "reevaluating" his reads:
In post 4192, ooba wrote:Beast pushes: TD, House, Vezok, MS, Skybird
I can safely say that at least four of these are town or town equivalent. I've given him enough leeway - he promised to post today and is lurking hardcore. Consider my vote as standing for this wagon too.
Ooba explicitly states that his vote is, at least in effect if not in actuality, on beast. Also note the strong townread on TD here.
About 60 posts later, farside asks for three choices of scum, and Ooba lists beast in the group:
40 posts later, beast is still scum:
In post 4290, ooba wrote:
Re-evlauated. I'd put Rach in the town pile. Vezo is town.
I would have said TD is town but he's not done anything D2. The above {beast, TD, FT} looks like a good team. If two of those three flip scum, you can add SW to the scum pile.
Ooba's reevaluated -- TD's scum now -- but beast is still scum. That read hasn't changed.
In post 4298, ooba wrote:Ah. A three way executioner thingie.
Heartless and me are discussing beast.
Vote: FT
Based on everything Ooba's been saying, you'd expect him to vote beast. Yet Ooba reverts to voting me. I'm gonna pause here to go through Ooba's last two posts regarding me on D2 (before reevaluating and sanctioning farside's 3 choices of scum):
In post 3188, ooba wrote:
FT, I specifically ISO'd you yesterday during the break and came up with 'most prob town' - please post more
Then:
In post 3276, ooba wrote:
You will not get my vote for the following lynches:
21. Magua iHouse (House and Eyestott), House
8. TiphaineDeath
12. Farside22
13. Solar Wind (F-16_Fighting_Falcon and fferyllt)
14. FourTrouble
18. The Mask
22. vezokpiraka
3. Mastin2 Dcane
24. Xombie
How does voting me over beast square with anything Ooba has said throughout D2?
The next relevant post:
In post 4500, ooba wrote:I'll be busy with some RL personal stuff for the next couple of days. Expect skimmed one liner replies. Right now - I still think FT is the best bet for scum (like adorkable in Capcom). But I'm no where as sure since FT's not as bad a adorkable. I think beast will be today's lynch and I'd rather we do this mislynch now than in D6. Probably never going to vote TD.
After supposedly reevaluating things, Ooba sanctions farside's 3 choices for scum -- beast, me, and TD. Yet now -- although nothing has changed since the last time beast, me, TD have posted -- beast and TD are both strong townreads, and I'm a meh read. Unless I'm missing something, either this post is fake, or Ooba's scumread on beast, me, and TD (based on sanctioning farside's 3 choices) is fake. Or both.
Finally:
In post 5007, ooba wrote:
In post 4989, FourTrouble wrote:Ooba, why are you voting me? What changed your read on me from "not lynching" to "scummiest player among beast and TD"?
Currently, I think there's a high chance that all three of you are town. You at least fall into the bucket of 'scum player who could be playing well'.
- TD's roleblock and the fact that he hasn't even voted one of the two counter wagons makes him town
- I had a mild 'town because he doesn't care' on beast throughout and Oz's switch on you sounded genuine
beast being mild town throughout "because he doesn't care" is more bullshit; it doesn't square with anything Ooba has said. Saying he wants to get beast's "mislynch" over with isn't saying beast is "mild town"; that's calling him strong town. Saying that his vote is effectively on beast isn't saying beast is "mild town"; that's calling beast scum. And listing beast as one of his 3 top scumreads (which is effectively what farside asked Ooba to do) isn't saying that beast is "mild town"; that's calling him scum, too.
Lynch Ooba Tomorrow. Please. That's all I ask. I'm as certain about his lynch as I can be about anything in mafia. beast's flip is not relevant to the above analysis.