Had this written last night.
Spoiler: Nachomamma8 - Survivor (Neutral)
I have found no reason to disbelieve his claim at all throughout the game, and no reason to lynch him given the contributions he's put forward. Though I can understand a potential lynch on him if a position arises where we have no other leads and lynching elsewhere could lead to a potential loss. Until then I'm just going to leave him to the side.
Spoiler: GreyICE - Town
I honestly don't understand the push towards Jedo's lynch to begin the game, I thought his actions were moreso obvious town than anything. Although mafia may want to be preemptively defend acttacks cast against them the way that Jedo was phrasing his posts showed geninue frustration.
The following are reasons why this slot is town:
1. Post #29, Push for discussion to get on track this early in the game only benefits town, mafia like the fact that the game is begun with irrelevant discussion.
2. Post #152, The solidity in his defence as well as the sheer amount of frustration shown int his post read as sa town-tell.
3. GreyICE's push towards Seatel when she was happily skidding on by screams town, Seatel is a fairly strong player and thus bussing her in a position such as yesterdays isn't something I see him doing.
The following are reasons why this slot is town:
1. Post #29, Push for discussion to get on track this early in the game only benefits town, mafia like the fact that the game is begun with irrelevant discussion.
2. Post #152, The solidity in his defence as well as the sheer amount of frustration shown int his post read as sa town-tell.
3. GreyICE's push towards Seatel when she was happily skidding on by screams town, Seatel is a fairly strong player and thus bussing her in a position such as yesterdays isn't something I see him doing.
Spoiler: LlamaFluff - Leaning Scum
There are a few things that have made me second guess this read but overall it sticks, reading through the thread Glass was one of my strongest scum-reads, mostly due to the fact that allof his posts were fluff, he avoided stating his opinion whenever possible. I disagree strongly with Llama's catch up post, I'll go into it.
No, you don't. That's an awful policy. Lynching any 'third-party claims' means you're openely admitting that you prefer a lynch other than scum. If you believe that he's fake claiming and actually scum that's a different story however at the current moment he's no immeditate threat towards us and nor was he on day one therefore lynching him would give us NO new information as the flip would be openely known before it occured.
So, lets get this right. There are "a few scummy reactions" to Nachos claim, one of them being Nacho? If you don't include Nacho then the only people you've stated had a scummy reaction to his claim would be Doom and AV with you openely stating that only one would be scum.
This is what made me question my scum-read on this slot, I really don't know what to make of it.
You've stated that you have claimed survivor as scum before making it possible that Nacho is scum however you've never stated if you believe it to be the case or not, and this post just screams of fecensitting over it.
This attempt to move the lynch is incedibly weak, I know LLama is capabale of much more and I know he himself has links to prove the effectiveness of the VT claim principal that I believe he would have posted if he was town, especially knowing of the impending deadline.
I find it interesting that he doesn't mention the 'strong' town-read he has on Twisted in either of these posts, especially because it would lead towards him being quite confident in Packbat being scum. He attempts to cover it by stating:
Nowhere in here did he say what 'new information' was released that changed his mind.
LlamaFluff wrote: You ALWAYS ALWAYS lynch non-town claims, very simple fact of the game. Survivor is no exception, as it is an inherantly anti-town role.
No, you don't. That's an awful policy. Lynching any 'third-party claims' means you're openely admitting that you prefer a lynch other than scum. If you believe that he's fake claiming and actually scum that's a different story however at the current moment he's no immeditate threat towards us and nor was he on day one therefore lynching him would give us NO new information as the flip would be openely known before it occured.
LlamaFluff wrote: Lucky for us there are a few really scummy reactions to that claim. Page three and I am already happy with a lynch of Nacho or Doom. I would put down some money on one of them is scum (exactly one, not two). AV is another great bet on scum (also not with Doom), AV has the added bonus of being scummy on other levels too, consider him my vote for early game.
So, lets get this right. There are "a few scummy reactions" to Nachos claim, one of them being Nacho? If you don't include Nacho then the only people you've stated had a scummy reaction to his claim would be Doom and AV with you openely stating that only one would be scum.
LLamafluff wrote: Side point #1 - My lifespan in this game will likely be tied directly to what alignment my neighbors are. When I flip it will be obvious.
This is what made me question my scum-read on this slot, I really don't know what to make of it.
LLamaFluff, can you explain this please. It reads as you soft-claiming a PR and stating that the people in your QTS have been made aware of what PR you are exactly, however the fact that you soft-claimed PR in the thread means that you dying would no longer indicate them being mafia. The soft-claim really does seem pointless.
LlamaFluff wrote: Scum by far are happier with Nacho-survivor living then town is, as if the game hits lylo, all scum claim and nacho wins with them. No matter what Nacho says, he will side with scum if it gets close to an endgame, which is why you always lynch the claimed survivor. Yes I know im not voting him, but there is one tiny thing.
You've stated that you have claimed survivor as scum before making it possible that Nacho is scum however you've never stated if you believe it to be the case or not, and this post just screams of fecensitting over it.
LlamaFluff wrote: Go read past games and look at who got lynched day one and what they claimed. Look at the porportion of scum who claimed VT and something else (especially in closed games).
Lynch JJ here, Quar is town.
This attempt to move the lynch is incedibly weak, I know LLama is capabale of much more and I know he himself has links to prove the effectiveness of the VT claim principal that I believe he would have posted if he was town, especially knowing of the impending deadline.
LLamaFluff wrote: Pack/Twisted/Krypt has at least one scum in it from that BS wagon on NS in the early game. More likely then not Pack/Twisted is where the scum is with the other one being town, since this exchange is not scum-scum.
LlamaFluff wrote: Almost sure its one of Pack/Twisted at this point.
I find it interesting that he doesn't mention the 'strong' town-read he has on Twisted in either of these posts, especially because it would lead towards him being quite confident in Packbat being scum. He attempts to cover it by stating:
LlamaFluff wrote: Im allowed to change reads when more information comes out.
Nowhere in here did he say what 'new information' was released that changed his mind.
Spoiler: AurorusVox - Leaning Town
Although a lot of his posts have been logical they haven't really led anywhere, his push on Quaroth was awful but the fact he's been considering LlamaFluff makes me feel a lot better about him. Also, Post #174, makes me fairly certain that AV is town. Even though he was drunk during it I think he'd have realized if Seatel was his partner or not thus the questioning over what slot she has replaced reads as geninue.
Spoiler: Seacore - Leaning Town
Although at times his play has been questionable I can see a lot of town motivation behind his play, take for instance Post #45,although I don't agree with the case it reads as a geninue attempt at scumhunting, as does what he was attempting to do with his selfvote. To top that of his interaction with Seatel makes me doubt that they're partners to be honest, although there was some slight avoidance at voting each other I think given the set-up ie. Him stating suspicion of her throughout the day I think if it was a buss he would have been perfectly fine to continue pushing her at the conclusion of the day. I haven't seen the posts but I've been told that Seacore and Powerrox are 'discussing reads', as scum I don't see him attempting to bother discussing reads with Power due to Powers lack of a) activity b) interest in scumhunting c) influence over the lynch verdict.
Spoiler: Feysal - Leaning Scum
Intially he was one of my town-reads but as the days progressed his content reduced more and more. The big things I noticed were these:
1. The fact he votes Llama with the reasoning behind my gut, wicked and your backpeddaling tell me so and then he votes him again 5 minutes later saying methinks you're mafia. AV and I were discussing the possibility last night. The change reasoning just five minutes later seems like a horrible attempt to seem as if he's scumhunting.
2. The fact he goes from:
1. The fact he votes Llama with the reasoning behind my gut, wicked and your backpeddaling tell me so and then he votes him again 5 minutes later saying methinks you're mafia. AV and I were discussing the possibility last night. The change reasoning just five minutes later seems like a horrible attempt to seem as if he's scumhunting.
2. The fact he goes from:
To:Twistedspoon wrote: I read set as town. just thought I'd say :/
Twistedspoon wrote: I shall say that set's play has been different to the last one I played with set where she was town. Seems less... genuine.
For that reason I won't be objecting too strongly to a set lynch
Spoiler: kryptinen -Town
Honestly, just from QT discussion alone I'm quite positive of this read, on top of that a lot of her earlier day one play screams town, for example her Frustration over being called a he rather than being voted doesn't make sense coming from a mafia standpoint. Really having difficulty putting this read into words really all I can say is her posts have shown geninue scumhunting and have included logical and reasonable conclusions.
In summary:
Town:
GreyICE, Kryptinen, AurorusVox, Seacore, Powerrox93.
Neutral:
Nacho.Null:
Packbat.Scum:
LLamaFluff, Feysal.There's currently 8 alive, I'm willing to bet two scum and a survivor making today mylo.
LLamaFluff and Feysal are scum, Nacho is survivor.
I'll refrain from voting, I want everyones thoughts on the possibily of no lynching today.