Hi. This next post will be dealing with some vote-count analysis, perhaps the most effective, consistent way of catching scum. Please don't dismiss this as wifom, because it is
not
.
(7):
, Peabody, Hoopla,
, charlatan,
, AlmasterGM
AlmasterGM (2): Looker, Messiah
Peabody (1):
Not Voting (2):
,
Current thinking:
There is probably two scum left, and I don't think they were both bussing hiphop, nor do I think they were both voting Almaster. I deem it a strong chance there is one scum on the hiphop wagon, one off.
The casual observer may interpret this as merely a guess, but I put a lot of stock in my theory about a collective consciousness as scum. It's a psychological effect that warps scum's play - they subliminally tailor their play to comply with what they deem as appropriate stances for townies to take, but they have the added goal of not being tied with each other in the event of one of them dying. In this sense, it's very impractical for all scum to share the same views, as this creates strong ties. Many scumteams will spread their suspicions enough to blend in and minimise/muddle ties.
This vote count I've shown is very informative. I seriously doubt Looker/Messiah are both scum together (this is even without factoring my town read on Messiah). I also doubt both scum bussed, but to a lesser degree. I also think this is a strong town tell for Peabody, which is where hiphop left his vote at the end. Usually this is a good tell by an inexperienced scum player - they're trying to divert attention from themself and get a wagon on someone else (usually town). At the time of hiphop's vote, he only had 3 people on him, so I don't consider this an attempt to distance himself from Peabody.
--
I'm going to talk about some more vote-counts soon, but my preference for lynch is charlatan. I'm having trouble quantifying my gut read due to his large walls of text, but I endeavor to fix this through some more vote-count and wagon analysis.
Also. We are NOT lynching Peabody today. If I can't get charlatan, Looker will do, as this lynch will be very informative of Messiah's alignment.