Head_Honcho wrote: If we try to lynch scum today, NK, scum are 3/10. mislynch lovers, NK, scum are 3/7, lynch lovers, nk, scum are 2/4 which is lylo.
Erm, that's completely wrong HH
Let's say we scratch the reads and doc protects for a second
If we try to lynch scum today (let's say we fail)
3/8
Then we mislynch lovers
3/5
MyLo
39% to happen
If we try to lynch scum today (let's say we fail)
3/8
Then we lynch lovers
2/6 with town lovers alive (this is worse than 2/5 without lovers, fyi)
39% to happen
If we try to lynch scum today and succeed!
2/9
mislynch lovers
2/6
11% to happen
If we try to lynch scum today and succeed!
2/9
lynch lovers
1/7 with town lovers alive
11% to happen
If we mislynch lovers today
3/7
Lynch lovers correctly tomorrow
2/5
50% to happen
If we lynch lovers
2/7 with town lovers alive
50% to happen
It's clearly better statistically to lynch the lovers.
Nikanor (4): Vino, animorpherv1, Looker, Snow_Bunny
Khamisa (3): Kirbyoshi, Netlava, Yankee
Yankee (3): Khamisa, dramonic, Locke Lamora
Vino (2): Nikanor, Head_Honcho
Not Voting (0)
With 12 Alive, 7 is needed to lynch.
4 Needed to lynch at Deadline.
Don't forget Rules 7-1 and 7-2 at deadline.
The extended deadline is October 24th, sometime in the evening.
I'm installing Windows 7 tonight. Chances are it'll all go fine and I'll be back within hours. Just a pre-warning.