Newbie 800 ~ Mafia: The Reality Show (Game Over!)
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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- Posts: 215
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Echo Goon
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- Posts: 215
- Joined: June 9, 2009
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Echo Goon
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- Posts: 215
- Joined: June 9, 2009
- Location: New Zealand
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Echo Goon
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- Posts: 215
- Joined: June 9, 2009
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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- Posts: 215
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Echo Goon
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From Forum Rules and Guidelines:
Now although technically it's not a "secret message", itmith wrote:Do not talk outside the game thread about an ongoing game except where allowed to do so by your role.Likewise, do not use bbcode to hide secret messages - this equates to discussion outside the thread.ishard to read, especially when you don't have much time and are trying to skim through the posts.
Mod:Can I get a verdict on this?
No action will be taken for now. ~Vi-
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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I will only be a little less active this week (just one week) due to exams, like I said in one of my earlier posts.
I didn't say that understanding is not possible, I can understand it fine. But, in my opinion, writing in verse avoids a certain *something* that makes dropping tells much less likely, and thus my vote. It's not a "i-hate-you" vote, it's a "you're-trying-to-hide" vote.
btw is there some search I can use to find all the posts made by any one person? I triedwhich works on another phpBB board I use but it doesn't seem to work here.Code: Select all
search.php?t=[topic]&author=[name]
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Echo Goon
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Firstly, I take back what I said about skimming. I have found some time to thoroughly read all the posts so far and have come across some interesting points.
The first section is mainly in response to Anticollie and Raeil.
As a side note, like Anticollie, I also prefer to have nicely set out posts when they are fairly long. It makes reading much easier when the layout is fresh.
Oh, and @anticollie I just use good ol' humble notepad for my note keeping-
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Echo Goon
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(115)onion wrote:Echo, you quote me out of context, how scummy of you. 075 is stated as a refinement from my previous statement, while 101 is a much more generalized statement taking into account all possible alignment flips. are you having trouble with the inclusive Or in that statement? i solidify my position because other players want to know it, and i stand by my statement that if someone hammered, Cyran and/or the hammerer is scum.
I don't think I was quoting out of context? The "refinement" and progressive "generalisation" of your position is exactly what I'm getting at. The posts are taken in chronological order, and the two posts in between (75) and (101) are not regarding the case at point.
(53)onion wrote:when someone is at L-1 on the first day, no townie would hammer, which means thatanyone who hammers would be scum.
This is the only sentence in the whole post that deals with the topic at hand. At this point, you arecompletely surethat anyone who hammered would be scum.
(75)onion wrote:i was concerned thatsomeone else (scum/otherwise) would quickly hammerand argue that they were writing while i posted, which would have been a great move for scum or a catastrophe for town, and i'm glad that didn't happen. i would not believe someone saying they mis-counted because our mod announced it, and i expect most of us can count to 5. thus i suppose i shouldrefine my argumentto 'only scum or townies who are stupidly anti-town would hammer.' doesn't sound quite as good though.
Under pressure from others to explain your action, you've diluted ("refined") your assumption to include stupid townies.
(101)onion wrote:it seems like an acceptable practice because if a trade will prevent lynch-or-loose day 3. remember that i'm not voting for a confirmed townie here. she has a chance of being scum only a sqeezey bit higher than anyone else.so if someone hammered, either Cyren is scum and/or whoever hammed is scum.either way, we get at least 1 scum in the first 2 days. that seems acceptable.
And finally, when Anticollie asked to to state your position clearly, you "generalise" even further to include Cyren as scum.
Now, if you "stand by my statement that if someone hammered, Cyran and/orthe hammerer is scum" (115), why were you so sure back in (53) that the "anyone who hammers would be scum"?IfCyren is indeed scum (this is assuming one of the "or" possibilities, and I am certainly not suggesting she is), I highly doubt her scumbuddy would hammer that early in the game, which means your generalised statement in (115) is a clear contradiction of your statement back in (53).
In short:
053: anyone who hammers would be scum
115: either Cyrenorthe hammerer is scum, meaning the person who hammered might not be scum after all
Until you explain how you can generalise to a degree where your general statement contradicts with your more specific statement, I think my point stands.
Unvote-
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Echo Goon
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Exams have finished for me, so I should be getting back into the hang of things. In other news, my hard drive died on me two days ago, but that's another story. Oh, I also got around to watching a few scenes from The Princess Bride ;P
There were a few posts beforehand (eg. 116, 117) that discussed the benefit/drawbacks of revealing information. I would personally never choose to withhold information unless it's a lure to trap scum in a contradiction or something like that. In general, I feel that as individuals we'll be bound to miss certain points no matter how carefully we read, so with more information flowing we'll be able to combine our resources and might even be able to find links between people in ways we never thought of before.
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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Despite stating this is an analogy, the way you're asking this question makes it sound like you've already decided (or already know) that neither sideney nor onion are likely scum and the *real* scum are manipulating the Day 1 votes. I disagree with you on both counts.(197) raskol wrote:it has to do with being realistic and knowing that even our best D1 guess is very likely to hit town.
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You may or may not agree with the analogy, but this is kind of how I see it: which is better for scum and allows them to keep attention off themselves better: a townie who doesn't add anything but doesn't particularly stand out either, or a townie who takes attention off the scum by drawing it all to himself?
Your post sounds to me like, "They're both acting scummy, but they're probably townie because we'll probably miss scum on Day 1 anyway." If that's the case, are you suggesting it would be better for us if we vote for the seemingly protown players? Or the players in the middle of our suspicion lists?-
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Echo
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Echo Goon
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I think getting a read from his indifferent attitude just leads to WIFOM thinking.(207) raskol wrote:Couple that with his response, in which he seems indifferent to being lynched, and moreover stays consistent with his (admittedly strange) attitude that getting a lynch is going to give us more information than post analysis (even if it's him!), and, well...he could still be scum, but I'm much less confident of it now.
In the same post, the Haylen link doesn't work for me.
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(206)
Your equation looks a bit wonky to me; shouldn't it be P(scum) * weight + P(townie) * weight?
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Maybe I should rephrase my question:(197) raskol wrote:it has to do with being realistic and knowing that even our best D1 guess is very likely to hit town
Like I said before, that line (and the analogy you write at the end of the same post) makes you sound like you're pretty sure the lynchee today will turn up townie. If you think that way, then doesn't it make sense to not lynch the scummiest, who apparently turns up townie more often than scum, but maybe the third or fourth scummiest?
That's first thing I'd think of doing in that situation. (Not that I'm suggesting we do such a thing.)-
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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Do you check posts before/after for context?Haylen wrote:(filtering posts again)
At least three people (myself included) have suggested this already: type it in Notepad or your favourite text editor, and save as you go along. Losing your post six times isn't exactly a great reason for not posting. You'd think you'd learn your lesson after you lose it the first time >.>Haylen wrote:by lost, I mean I've either lost it because the systems logged me out, lost it because microsoft crashed, or lost it because because my computer's crashed.-
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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(114) haylen wrote:I find things difficult at the beginning of games, you see, I'm a Meta Queen, meaning I read as many games as possible from the players in the game to check out their game technique as scum and town ect and similarities with the game they're in with me. But it has recently been drawn to my attention that meta-ing is inappropriate in Newbie games so I must refrain from doing it. Trouble is, because we usually have very little information Day One, this is where I tend to get the majority of my info from.
Are you referring to the same playstyle in these two posts?(247) haylen wrote:Oh dear! I have a selfconfessed controversial playstyle. Other people say the same, it's still developing.
I couldn't find an exact article, but that sounds like something along the lines of Appeal to Majority or Argument from Repetition (in a sense) to me. Also, Haylen is telling Raskol that(247) haylen wrote:
Um, no it's not! I've done it plenty of times and people have actually said they agree with me, if you'd actually taken note of the posts you linked, you would've seen that.(246) raskol wrote: Telling me to stop "tunneling" you because someone might find me scummy for it (ohnoes!) is super scummy.someone elsewill find him scummy for focussing only on her. I don't think anyone here can speak for anyone else.
Your sentence here doesn't really make sense, but since you said you don't support the later two points, I assume you mean that you don't think Haylen forgetting who replaced who should be used against Haylen?(249) onion wrote:but i don't support later two points. Haylen posting less content than Auditor should not be a factor in determining which one has a better point, nor is Haylen (who seems rather scatterbrained)forgetting who replaced whoout of the question.
If so, I disagree. Bringing up the first post of the topic only takes one click from any page you're on - clicking the "1" or the topic title. Saying you don't know who replaced who so you don't extend your argument to the person who replaced sounds either like laziness, which can be anti-town, or trying to avoid plotholes in your argument, which is scummy.
I'm curious now. When does this apply?(252) haylen wrote:Tunnelling or selective scumhunting is a scumtell. By not questioning other players and concentrating on me, you're tunnelling.-
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Echo Goon
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Ok, so first of all, I've never played a game where a player has been replaced - that never happens in my rl games.(268) ric wrote:raskols been going after haylen pretty hard. she fights back because raskol is being kind of unreasonable and very aggressive - they literally have a post war where its like every other post, haylen vs raskol for a couple pages....it just doesnt seem suspicious at all that she should forget who replaced who
However,in my opinion, there's no point inonlypointing out possible inconsistencies in the post of someone who has been replaced,unlessyou extend it to include the person who has done the replacing. Two different people would have two different playstyles, which may be completely different.
Regardless of alignment, what if the first person acts protown but the replacement acts scummy? Or vice versa, what if the first person acts scummy but the replacement acts protown? Does either player's play negate the other player's scumminess/townieness? Because of this, I feel it's necessary to examine both the firstandthe second player's play before making a decision.
Since Haylen has given advice to other players on how to play the game, which means she's pretty confident about her skill at this game, I completely expected Haylen to have at least looked to find out who the replacement is and extended her argument to cover the new player in her post. (Yes, I know she posted the adviceafterher post, but the point still stands, since a person's skill level (or perceived skill level) would be pretty much constant within such a time period.)
If I'm barking up the wrong tree, I would like an explanation as to why this sort of reasoning is incorrect.
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Sideney, on the other hand, is acting so scummy, he can't be scum, right? But then he would have known we'd think that, so he must be scum. But we would know he'd think that, so... What's this called again?
Not to mention ignoring questions, lurking, openly pushing for lynches without any good reason, etc.
I totally intend to vote Sideney for his completely anti-town and destructive behaviour. But first, I want to hear fromAnticollieandLynch, who have both been pretty quiet, before putting sideney on L-1.
Oh, by the way, if you feel like answering questions, please answer mine. I'm truly curious as to why anyone would think post analysis is pointless in a game where that is all you can do to win.(195) echo wrote:
The only basis for any evidence in an online mafia game are the posts made by people, since there are no reactions/emotions/etc. that you also get from a RL game. Can you explain what you think is wrong with post analysis?(163) sideney wrote:I hope someone place that hammer-vote on onion, this will sure give us more information than any so called post analysis.-
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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Raeil pointed me to the Wiki soon after that, and iirc I acknowledged that in a post soon afterwards. I've read and reread the Theory sections in the Wiki many times since then, and I like to think of myself as a person who learns fast. I'm still ignorant about details not discussed in the Wiki (or at least the Theory section) such as replacement and the generally accepted way to deal with analysing such players. I never intended to "play a newbie card", and if I ever do feel free to lynch me for it.(275) Lynch wrote:It seems as if he tried to establish himself as a player new to mafia concepts in his opening posts ("what's a FOS?"), possibly to permit the playing of the newbie card later on. Yet in recent days, he seems to come off as an intelligent player with knowledge of various phrases and terminology.
If you are knowingly overloading yourself, do you think that would hamper your ability to scumhunt? If not, why not? Personally I need to spend quite some time reading and rereading each post in order to find contradictions or to note ways in which it might be possible to trap suspected scum in lies.(280) haylen wrote:I am well known for overloading myself with work, and all that work piles up whilst I'm being distracted. It's not crap, I'll give you a full list of what I've had to do if you like, everything I've said has been true. The games i have on my wiki are not a complete set of games I'm in right now. And don't yell at me for overloading myself, I can't see that changing anytime in the future.-
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Echo Goon
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Great to see you guys fervently discussing the lynch from 2:00am to 2:30am my time >.>
That's not true - even if I were awake at 2 in the morning, I would have been hoping against all hope that Anticollie would come back 3 hours before the deadline and make his long awaited post.Nikanor wrote:Echo, Anticollie, Lynch, Raskol
If any of these people post without hammering, they are scum. Only scum would have reason not to hammer someone at this point.-
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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Sorry for the wait guys. I've read through the thread again and don't really find anyone *that* suspicious, certainly not suspicious enough to warrant a vote.
There are a few things I want to clear up with Nikanor though:
A townie who's got some degree of sanity wouldn't roleclaim either, right?(299) nikanor wrote:I assume he doesn't want to lie by saying he's town. That's the only reason I can think of that someone would not roleclaim when put at L-1 on the deadline.
That sounds kinda like an excuse to be not around during the deadline in case anything unexpected happened.(310) nikanor wrote:Err, that's what I meant, sorry. Just trying to get as much posts in as possible before leaving for work, as I won't be home before the deadline.
Also~(330) lynch wrote:I'm aware that I hammered, but I was not aware that apparently we still had half a day or so until the deadline would have arrived (or so somebody said earlier).
Can someone link me to the post which made both Nikanor and Lynch think the deadline was early? I can't find the post that implies this :/(333) nikanor wrote:Yeah, time zones screw me up, too. I was under the impression the day was going to end really soon when I posted that. >_x-
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Echo Goon
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Oh, you mean claiming vanilla townie. For some reason I was under the impression "roleclaim" only applied to claiming power roles >.>Nikanor wrote:
I don't see any reason why a Townie wouldn't claim when he's about to be lynched. Am I just missing something?Echo wrote:A townie who's got some degree of sanity wouldn't roleclaim either, right?-
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Echo Goon
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I'm waiting for posts to come in >.>
I guess this is as good a time as any to ask for everyone's opinions about lynching lurkers.
The way I see it, when I play as mafia in RL games, I tend to not want to participate in anything because 1) I'm afraid of saying something scummy, and 2) I'm afraid that by fingering innocents all the time people will catch on to me. Therefore, lurking/staying silent is usually a scumtell for me, especially in games with new people. Why do some people say it's a null tell?-
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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I'll start with the meat and work my way to the outside. I can't be bothered with all the formatting stuff anymore, so from now on it'll just be plain posts.
Nikanor:
Nikanor's interesting. He hopped onto me claiming he misread (366, 371). Well... hard to make a call on that. He could potentially have misread, but then again, would anyone really think the mafia would make such an obvious slip? (wifom, I know, but only borderline considering it's a bit *too* obvious)
Nikanor ignored onion three times (374, 388, 406) when onion asked for reasons as to why he voted ric (I'll look at the onion-ric relationship later). It's pretty hard to miss something that many times, so I'm inclined to believe Nikanor is either intentionally skimming over onion's posts (because on page 16 he reads every single Haylen post) or avoiding answering the question.
Finally, promising to make a post citing the prod as the reason, then ducking out less than 3 hours later (417, 419). It's not the first time he's done that either, he used hot weather as an excuse in (395). The problem isn't with the lurking itself, but promising posts sounds scummy since it feels like you're trying to maintain presence in the game without doing anything.
Haylen:
I don't see how the two things in here are related. How does not doing things the way most people do them lead to being accused of lying? Being accused of scumminess, I can understand, but lying? Quite honestly this looks like you're trying to set up a soft landing in case you ever get accused of lying, for a reason that doesn't actually tie in logically.(369) haylen wrote:Lynch all liars policy. This is a policy that I really don't like but can see the use of. I get accused of lying quite a bit, but it's generally not true in my case because I tend to be a different kind of thinker to others.I don't do things the way most people do it and they see it scummy.
Also, your conversation with Nikanor on page 16 is a bit :/ ... I'm not sure what I make of it. You're also making excuses for not posting (396, 401, 402, 407, 410, 413) - basically in every single post. I eagerly await your big, detailed, referenced post on Lynch.
Onion + Ric (Erik):(406) onion wrote:oh noes Ric got replaced. i liked that guy.
+ ric's general wishy washy attitude towards onion (don't mix up with wishy washy voting please)(349) onion wrote:dammit i keep having high opinions of ric! i don't want to give more credit to what he says simply because we share a major, but i agree with what he says and don't suspect him much at all
Onion "liked" having ric around. Now, is that because ric is nicely deflecting all attacks against onion for him? Onion admits to be reluctant in having suspicion against ric, while ric's "attack+defend at the same time" attitude due to some "grey area" read is actually pretty suspicious. Suppose you're playing a game as town, and someone attacks you every now and again BUT defends you every other time, would you be suspicious of that person? Yet onion isn't.
Onion also says that he doesn't suspect ric because they share a major and because he agrees with what ric says, both of which aren't really valid reasons. Personally, I'm not too sure about ric - it could just be his play style. I'll have to see how Erik behaves, and how onion reacts to him. (btw "ric" "erik" )
Of course "has" can be shortened to "'s" - eg. he has got a bike, he's got a bike(406) onion wrote:i didn't know America Has shortens to America's.
Conclusions:
I will refrain from voting until I get some replies.-
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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The combination of "perfectionist" (as in it's there but not perfect yet) and "procrastinater" (you've been working on it but keep getting distracted) is what gave me that impression.(461) haylen wrote:I lied, it isn't ready. I'm a perfectionist and a procrastinater, If i have to much to do, I say i've done things and put them off and off and off until I get called out on it. I should've gone V/LA days ago just so I can keep up with everything. But that's me, I overload myself with work. A combination of perfectionism and procrastination usually leads to dramatic explosions. And yes, I haven't got the hang of knowing my game limits yet.-
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Echo Goon
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Echo
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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Echo Goon
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I wanted to kill anticollie because I didn't want someone replacing into the game (and therefore possibly giving new insight for town).ric wrote:the reason why we killed anticollie was because he had political pull. he would say something and people seemed to listen and respect it. it seemed like he was building a case against everybody.
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