Finally did my re-read. These PBPA's take a while to put together, and I didn't really want to comment on the game until I went back and examined that Day. The bottom line: Xtoxm stood out as the scummiest player there.
Bionic's posts 618 and 622 made me question whether I was on the right wagon, but now I'm sure.
I'm completely disregarding the cop investigations - with sanities in question they tell us nothing whatsoever, they are just a distraction at this point.
I'm also going to disregard all of the meta analysis on Xtoxm. (I wish I'd done the re-read before I posted 639) It's a huge null-tell. Here's why:
Xtoxm, when he replaced in, must have recognized immediately that he has played with several of the players in this game, including bionic, who knows him well enough to say this:
bionic wrote:I have completed 2 games with him (I think) and am in 3-4 games with him now. Since I am in my 16th game on the site, that is a high percentage for him to be involved in.
He also has a distinctive play style, so he would know that if he was scum, he couldn't just fly under the radar. He said this:
Xtoxm wrote:
I haven't been watching my own meta as such, I am simply aware of it
and this:
Xtoxm wrote:I haven't played anything like my fucking scum meta, this is the most fucking pro-town i've been in ages.
You are idiots.
He also said this early on:
Xtoxm wrote:RBT has played with me before and knows this is how I play. Even though you admit you know this, FOSing me is ridiculous.
I believe Bionic has seen a good example of similar play of mine as town...Razz
So being aware of his own meta, and also being aware that many players would call him on it if he started acting "off" by his own standards, it's clear that any arguments for or against Xtoxm based on his meta will quickly devolve into a huge steaming pile of WIFOM.
So back to Day 1. Here's what xtoxm said when he first replaced into the game, when Adams was close to being lynched:
Xtoxm wrote:Okay, skimmed through.
The miller claim is horrible...Not that I find it scummy, infact I think he's probably town, but it gives the scum more information that we don't want them having this early on.
On Adams.
I notice someone mention this...
I agree that I don't find his voting of X scummy.
Overall, not really sure what to make of him, but I don't think such a quick lynch is warranted...Well, maybe i've gotten too used to Day One's being much longer than this. But I think we have potentially better options for today, as of now.
Right off the bat, he's already trying to mis-characterize why Adams was nearing a lynch. Notice these:
Directed to Adams:
Q21 wrote:For me I don't see scumminess in your vote. I saw scumminess in the fact that you removed your vote for no reason other than to lessed the pressure on yourself. "if that makes you guys comfortable" is I believe the wording you used. A few things you have said since then have bothered me too.
Same here:
KoC wrote:
Make that 4. Vote: MrAdams
The fact you unvoted for no reason other than to try and get votes off you stinks. If you'd said "Okay, I was wrong about wanting to lynch unconfirmed Miller", it might have made more sense, but you didn't. I suspect if people had left you alone about it that vote would have stayed there all the live-long day.
Fark wrote:I see no reason to switch my vote. All of Adams' posts do one of 3 things:
1- illustrate, quite pointedly, that he is a newbie. We get it. But newbies can be scum, too. They're just easier to catch.
2 - restate his utter surrender and desire for this day to end quickly, or conversely,
3 - inject doubt into his possible lynch (the jester thing, trying to make us think that he's an innocent townie who's learned a lesson the hard way)
So Xtoxm's doubts (and the doubts he has about everyone's votes for Adams) seem trumped up to me. He later said this:
Xtoxm wrote:Pretty much any lynch on...What was it, page 5...The votes are probably complete shit.
He doesn't say that the arguments are complete shit, just the votes. This is a clever way of disparaging his wagon without having to single anyone out.
q21 wrote:But the votes directed his way weren't complete shit.
QFT.
From there he goes to absolute certainty about Adams' townie status, always just stated, with no reasons why, sometimes along with a "I'll defend him to the death" statement. I honestly can't remember the last time I was in a game where anyone defended someone that vociferously on Day 1.
Also on Day 1, Xtoxm went after Zaz from the start. Fine, Zaz has looked suspicious to others as well. But it's Xtoxm's interactions with KoC that I find most interesting.
Many times on Day 1, he implies that KoC is scum:
In response to this:
KoC wrote:You went from not having any concrete suspect other than just saying "there are better lynches" with no evidence for any of them, to leaping on Zazier with a single line of evidence, without even asking Zazier if there was any reasoning behind her vote still being there.
Xtoxm says this:
Xtoxm wrote:I read the thread.
And that's a such a horrible post it makes me almost want to change my vote.
Then this, again directed at KoC:
Xtoxm wrote:3 suspects?
OMG SO SCUMMY
. It's not like there's 3 scum in this game...No, there's just one scum, isn't there?
Seriously, that is crap...
Then this:
Xtoxm wrote:Lol.
Thing is i'm not sure this is actually a scumtell from you after how you played in Lover's Multiball...But I think i'll feel better assuming you're scum...
So yeh, you're scum.
So he clearly thinks that KoC is scum.
Why didn't he vote for him on Day 1? Why keep his vote on Zaz throughout (he's pushing pretty hard for her lynch right now, doesn't even want to wait for her replacement) I find it exceedingly scummy to accuse someone of being scum but not actualy backing it up with a vote.
When he does finally vote him on Day 2, this is what he says:
Xtoxm wrote:Vote KoC
As as i'm concerned,
even if he's town
he's been far too scummy for me not to vote him.
He also did the same thing to me on Day 1:
Xtoxm wrote:
I'd be ok with a Fark lynch too I think he's being to anti-town right there's a fair chance he's scum.
When I challenged him to back this up with a vote, he responded 20 minutes later with this:
Xtoxm wrote:Actually I think you look more like a townie who is certain they've caught a scum, and nothing anyone says is going change your mind.
SCUMMY. AS. HELL.
Vote:Xtoxm
"This is one of the best posts I have ever seen on this site. Congrats on being so logical, Fark." - Alabaska J