My gut says Xiao is scum. Problem is evidence, if true says otherwise. Bah, I guess I can't be too concrete anyway.
In post 2812, CherryDrPepper wrote:Speaking of Dys, my other head just told me something interesting:
"If not Xiao, I think Dys is a good lynch. Varsoon was targetting lurkers, and just said Dys looked town."
I don't remember this happening, does anyone remember?
I remember Varsoon "accusing" me of being tacitly town (or something similar).
In post 2815, TunnelVision wrote:Case Against Dyslexicon:
1) Content light/Active lurking. 10 posts? C'mon bro.
2) Fence sitting, open back door to escape arguments/positions. (Pasche hinted at this with all the maybes in Dys's most recent post.)
3) Trying to appear town with comments like, "Thank god D1 is over, and with a Varsoon lynch." If you read all 10 of his posts, you'll see some other examples.
4) Setting up to support a lynch on JMO, Cherry, and Xiao for today? Town, town, and town. Fail. But mafia needs to hang town, so makes sense. (They're way behind in the numbers game now, and I think frustrated/hopeless after Varsoon's play D1.)
5) There's some failed logic in a number of his posts, but it's minor in nature and is tied into some of the WIFOM in them. Just the same, it's filler content, no real substance.
6) Contradiction, in the same post no less:
In post 2797, Dyslexicon wrote:Why would a potential SK try work against town, wouldn't that get them lynched? I don't think we need to worry about a potential SK until we know there is one.
I think there's likely scum among jmo, cherry and Xiao, however I wouldn't really think of jmo as other than nully if it hadn't been for the block thing.
Why is CherryDrP in your lynch list if you're not worried about an SK? If CherryDrP is scum, and setup for/claimed Vig on D1, alongside scumbuddy Varsoon's fake claim then.... no. No No NO. This scenario is too much fail to even consider. CherryDrP is town. Let's stop talking about CherryDrP. They'll be dead in a couple days anyways (
2784.) Move along.
7) Avoiding directly engaging TunnelVision... "Fear of the Tunnel". See
2797, no mention of TunnelVision, despite talking about other outted role holders/confirmed roles, players, etc. Very strange. See
183, before the death tunnel was engaged, simple and direct question to Tunnel that subtly opened a door, casting potential doubt on something totally genuine. But see
985 asks Titus a direct question about TV/Titus interaction, does not ask TV. (this was post death tunnel.)
Explaining 7 a bit: We've found that mafia like to avoid us when we play very aggressive. They don't want us to latch on and engage in a direct line of questioning... so they don't poke the sleeping bear (so to speak.) You may think this is self-important, but it isn't. It's true of many mafia interactions with any player that has an aggressive play style. Though I'll concede that it becomes more obvious/disturbing if you are the player.
8) Intriguing Stances:
On JMO: Thought he was town. Then, "Because he was blocked, he probably needs to flip, but I don't think he's scum." Fail. Mafia loves to do this.
D1 pressured/postured around hanging: Titus (town), Cherry (town), Saki (town)?
Varsoon lynch: Jumped on the Varsoon wagon early and stayed there (note it was after that fail train gained steam.) But where was his vote? First on the train. Convenient. Too convenient for somebody who was barely reading/posting and considering the mass confusion that existed around Varsoon for awhile. Not to mention the open doors he left to back off of the Varsoon lynch despite leaving the vote there.
9) This:
This point alone is weaksauce, I'm just adding it in because it fits in with my theory that oriole is scum alongside Dys.
VOTE: Dyslexicon
There's a few other things that we can develop as well, but I think this is a sufficient starting point.
-1-
I'll answer point by point.
1. I know -_- I can agree to being lynched based on this. This game has been terrible for me to follow. It is unfortunate.
2. I don't think this is entirely true. I state my thoughts as they are, just because I don't go all caps lock like some people doesn't mean I'm fence sitting. This would probably be a style issue.
3. Lol, it's true though. D1 was a nightmare at the end. What are the other examples you're refering to here?
4. My top suspect apparently have a "innocent", and jmo who he tries to get lynched got blocked on a one kill night (with claimed vig kill). So that's what you're seeing. I won't support any lynch, and it's still early in the day to say that.
5. Ties in with 2. Where's the failed logic?
6. Why can't Cherry be scum? I don't really get that.
7. This is awkward, because I must admit I haven't payed that much attention to you, other than you being all over Varsoon, and not much more that I can remember. Probably also ties in with my low post count.
8. About jmo, yes I'm not convinced, but I'm sure he got blocked, obviously this is conflicting, and you see a conflicted response to it.
About Varsoon I don't really get what was "comfortable" with my stance on him if I were to be scum with him. I was quite clear I wanted to lynch between the claimed blockers, Varsoon being my priority.
9. Still true, I've read Oriole town throughout the game. About your case on him I think your first point is intriguing.
Honestly I think this is vague. Seems like you're attacking me mostly for being more soft spoken which is a style issue. It's fine lynching me for being inactive, obviously I totally admit that, and it's unfortunate and not normally my preferred style. So do that, but not this case.
In post 2821, oriole wrote:This is the Dys vote on Varsoon. It's interesting because he actually talks about bussing in a reply to Flench in the same post.
What do you find interesting about that?
In post 2842, Bulbazak wrote:It's more gut based, but I really didn't see what everyone else did when they said that you were scumhunting in your posts. Your posts read kinda wishy washy to me, and you avoided making strong stances. Also, out of all the inactives, you were the one that was focused on the least, which made you the most likely choice for a potential scum lurker.
I think I'm more soft spoken than most of you guys, but I definitely had my stances where I felt strongly about something. I can't control not being focused a lot on though, why would this make me more likely scum?
For the moment, yes. Even if they aren't, that is something that we can deal with later after more flips. There's no need to just start randomly lynching the PRs, simply because one of them MIGHT be lying.
No lynch should be random. I do agree, although I only find one of the claims (apart from Pasch obv) that is totally convincing to me.
Stubbs got behind and was genuinely frustrated, so frustrated, in fact, that he replaced out of the game. That's a town reaction, not a scum one. Scum may pretend like they were frustrated with the way Varsoon was spamming the thread, but they wouldn't care, precisely because Varsoon's actions were muddying the waters, making it easier for them to survive as a team. Scum would not replace out of an ideal situation such as that simply because they couldn't catch up with the game and were frustrated by the spammers. In fact, scum in that situation probably wouldn't be reading too much into the game in the first place.
I don't see Varsoon getting lynched as an "ideal situation" for scum. Actually it's annoying for everyone. I considered replacing out too, but I didn't want some poor replacement having over 100 pages to catch up on. Anyway, I don't see this as alignment indicative.
In post 2872, TunnelVision wrote:1) This is tricky, read it a couple times. Oriole states in
361 an if/than situation based on game setup. He commits to this probability argument on game setup before Varsoon claims. Varsoon claims full roleblocker in post
384. And right then, Oriole subtly suggests an opportunity for Varsoon to weasel his way out of the shitty probability false claim he made: post
392. "Any chance either of you is a 1 shot roleblocker (hint hint, Varsoon you're going down in flames bro.)" He does this because he recognizes we're going to filet Varsoon for his BS claim and he wants to give him an out. Varsoon's response says "I can roleblock each night" and shuts down this chance.
Any comments to this, Oriole?
In post 2886, SalmonellaDreams wrote:Anyways, I don't like Dys, due to what's been stated so far. No need to clog up the thread with regurgitated reasoning.
I'd rather like to hear it.