I am continuing to have a think on things.
I think that Coco wins this game, and I think I have very few avenues to stop her. The F4 twist actually makes idols a lot more powerful, because we're stripped of the opportunity to vote anypony out after their idol expires. This actually is another reason why it kind of sucks, but I guess you'll get a dominant winner who played a great game in her, eh?
Again, to be clear, I hate this a lot. I've not laughing my pony head off while I admire how sharp and shiny my knife is and plot which tendons are most strategic to cut. I do have an emotional attachment and I don't want to break her heart. But I think that maybe, finally, after the number of games of Survivor I have played, I may finally want to win deep down more than I want to be everypony's BFF? We'll see if I can conscience going through with something like this.
So, avenue 1 is the standard blindside. However, this will be hard to accomplish, ever.
Consider the evidence:
Exhibit A: I am not very good at lying.
Exhibit B: Soarin's irrational hatred of Rainbow will make it very hard to get them to work together.
Exhibit C: I have literally zero relationship with Grand Pear, and he likely has a warped picture of the game state because he has no idea what is going on.
Exhibit D: I have no reason to think Granny will ever turn on Coco.
Exhibit E: I have very few rounds in which to do this.
Exhibit F: For all I know, it's possible nopony but me thinks Coco is a secret mastermind and all of this is completely made up in my head so they'll just laugh me out of the room and maybe even be correct to do so.
How could I accomplish this? One way would be to split the votes at 6, 2-2-2, assuming Pear or Granny are still here and stick with her. Then if the idol comes out, I can try to get her at 5, but I run the risk of accidentally becoming a greater threat than her by making this move at 6 and being voted out myself. Other than that, I would have to hope that the game spirits her idol away very soon or somehow trick her into playing it (which I don't believe I am capable of).
There is a second, less fun, avenue. And it's sketch as fuck, in terms of probability of being able to pull it off. But the thought would be to go to 4, let's say hypothetically with Coco, Pear and Rarity somehow. I win immunity to make sure she doesn't. Because of my belief that Coco is the biggest challenge threat and also my belief that I have a better chance of beating her than anypony else, I then give up immunity to Rarity on the condition that she take Pear, and try to win the game at firemaking. I don't like these odds at all, but it may be the only viable path.
Finally, there is the boring avenue, wherein I try to improve my game, become a threat and do threat things, whatever those are, ideally giving myself a leg with which to argue that I played a good game and beat her at FTC.
Now, ask me what to do now in order to accomplish any of these paths. Go ahead. Oh, what is that you say? How will I accomplish any of these paths with my actions here at the F8? Well, dear viewer, I haven't got a fucking clue.
So in summary I am completely doomed and most likely lost the game at the Flim vote but at least we're having a good time.
Topic: Episode 15: Burn the World (Read 2577 times)