Thestatusquo wrote:I'm not sure 17 games is statistically significant. O.o
17 is more then 11.
Assuming a 75% chance to be protown (which is probably high), the relevant probability is .7517, which is about 7/1000. Make it 66% chance to be protown, and you get about 1/1000.
That's a surprisingly high probability (I'd have intuitively guess a number off by several magnitudes.)
I've played 11 Newbie games and been pro-Town in every one. Probability = (5/7)11. Is that statistically significant? More importantly, is it of the slightest interest to anyone?
Actually, I think a meer townie is pretty funny. I'm not sure if it really warrants a title, but I still like it.
(the bad thing about titles like this is that they will invariably end. I used to have "The Unlynchable" in my sig off-site because I had never been lynched. Then I was lynched. That kinda ended it)
Mr Stoofer wrote:I've played 11 Newbie games and been pro-Town in every one. Probability = (5/7)11. Is that statistically significant? More importantly, is it of the slightest interest to anyone?
Not that significant (it occurs for about 1 out of 50 people),
I'm amused that people actually feel that complaining about mathematical calculations being boring has any useful value. (Possibly it's a need to mock me about a part of my personality that I've already accepted even though it may not make me popular, which is even funnier IMHO.)
I replaced into Chess Mafia for 6 months, and all I got was a win and this lousy sig.
: the person with the higest (win % as scum + win % as town) in newbie games, with more than 15 newbie games completed, for
"eats newbies"
Is that even a real name? Seems a bit long.
"This should be an absolute car crash, but let's try it." - CDB
"did you get ces to look disgusted by their offer? i thought that might work" - Patrick Cracking Idea Mafia
Adel wrote:what is the threashold for significance? 1/500? 1/250
Unclear. Plus, in my opinion a good title isn't just about numbers. There's also humor/appropriateness. (The first part is about making people laugh when they see it, the second is if a title is honoring something that people actually care about with respect to that person.)
I replaced into Chess Mafia for 6 months, and all I got was a win and this lousy sig.
Adel wrote:what is the threashold for significance? 1/500? 1/250
Unclear. Plus, in my opinion a good title isn't just about numbers. There's also humor/appropriateness. (The first part is about making people laugh when they see it, the second is if a title is honoring something that people actually care about with respect to that person.)
How many people does our site have. As in, statistically, what percent of our users should have had that 17/17 townie streak.
Tamuz is the expression of the alienated, of the ambitious, of the dispossessed.
Zindie's point was the best: these will eventually stop, however other titles will not: shea will be ironically opimistic, korlash will hardly mark sense, Yos will keep doing that (shrug) thing that makes him seem relaxed and defuses much of the fierocity of the segment and I will continue to be a horrible fake-claimer. That's the beauty of some of these.
It's unfortunate that good oral sex excuses bad chemistry. - Korts
Actually Oman, it's not really your fault, it's the meta's. Mods need to start including more NK Immune Miller Vig's so that your claim would be viable. You were just ahead of your time.
(1:55:11 AM) ahallucinogenic: it's ok drench
(1:55:21 AM) ahallucinogenic: it's perfectly normal for young children to walk in on their parents making love
(1:55:31 AM) Drench394: i can't wait
(1:55:11 AM) ahallucinogenic: it's ok drench
(1:55:21 AM) ahallucinogenic: it's perfectly normal for young children to walk in on their parents making love
(1:55:31 AM) Drench394: i can't wait
(1:55:11 AM) ahallucinogenic: it's ok drench
(1:55:21 AM) ahallucinogenic: it's perfectly normal for young children to walk in on their parents making love
(1:55:31 AM) Drench394: i can't wait
shaft.ed wrote:Mods need to start including more NK Immune Miller Vig's
I approve of this product
OBV PEOPLE HAVENT SEEN BAMPEG!
I had to modkill the NK IMMUNE MILLER VIG THOUGH
It broke my heart when I saw that. A mods dream is watching that poor guy claim.
I agree with shafted's sentiment
When I joined this site, I was a software tester for mobile business applications and the song PokerFace was not yet written by Lady Gaga
Now I test lottery and gambling software as my job. It's funny how my life has turned out. Somewhere a Time Traveler is laughing madly
Guys I found someone who was town 22 times and scum 10 times in newbie games. The probability of that is 0.14294513101713777887107171639054% (22C10*(5/7)^22*(2/7)^10) meaning it happens to about 1 in 700 (699.569) people. I think that is pretty statistically significant as 1 in 700 is pretty rare.
:sadtorch Ken Hoang, A.D/Fuzzie, Cameron Ferris, Taj Johnson-George, Annie Duke, Patti Blagojevich, Maria/Tiffany :sadtorch
:torch Tammy/Victor, Dan/Jordan
