By this point Yosarian has taken S_B's side and is trying to lynch Cobalt. He provides the voice that overpowers Monkey until tomorrow. My theory was virtually confirmed when he reacted to my cult claim. Yos put all his chips in by calling Monkey "confirmed town", instead of just "confirmed power role". Then he goes back to the myth that Cobalt is mafia and has partners.[/quote]
I was trying to lynch cobalt because SB's role was 100% confirmed to me, since she knew what I did before I claimed it.
Franky, I didn't trust Monkey at all; one possible theory I was thinking was that him and Slicey were both mafia, probably with Cobalt, and they were faking the whole "cult" thing just to mess with us, especially since Monkey was one of my suspects for much of the game; I came very close to getting him lynched yesterday, in fact. I only considered Monkey confirmed after you confessed. (And, yes, if he claimed to investigate you as cult, and then you confirmed it, I woudl think that makes him both confirmed power role and pretty much confirmed town.)
Anyway, your retraction is obviously a last ditch effort to avoid being lynched here. There's no way a town person would react to someone falsly claiming a guilty on them by ADMITTING IT. That's just insane; if you were town, you would have declared Monkey was scum and voted for him. It's quite obvious now that you're cult; you confessed to being cult when you thought we'd lynch Cobalt instead of you if you confessed, but when you realized you were about to get lynched, you retracted it. I have enough confidence in you as a player to believe you would not do something as absurd as claim cult as town in response to someone claiming a guilty on you.
On the other hand, I don't really believe Cobalt either, although his claim is more likely then yours. I'm glad I got him to confess being scum, but I think a mafia member in his position would claim SK to try to avoid being lynched today. I suspect that we're dealing with a 2 man scum group here with a nightkill that also had a one-shot daykill, and that that group is Cobalt and probably Slicey.
I don't think we have a 3 man mafia group, though. If we did, Jahudo the cult leader would have been speedlynched by now. And, if there's a two man scum group+ a cult recruiter, or else a SK and a cult recruiter, out best bet is to lynch the cult recruiter today; if he lives until tonight, then he gets to recruit someone else before he dies, and that's a headache we don't need.
So, I think the right thing to do here is to lynch Jahudo, the cult recruiter. After he's gone, we'll probably be in a 5 player endgame with 2 mafia, but that's better then having one more townie get recruited tonight and then having to track down and find that guy later, that's just a huge pain in the tush.