Primate – Is the deadline still in effect? Because I’ve only just got here and made an analysis, and haven’t had a chance to vote.
I’ll post the analysis anyway!
OK, having read through only once, here is my current analysis of each player. I apologise in advance for gender confusion, and the fact that I can’t read post numbers!
YagamiLight - In post #58, she votes for Phate, and then in post #60, says she doesn't want to lynch him, saying it's not enough to lynch. She makes the point that Phate is joking, and says that these are the only things standing out. Could be, as she says in post #59, that she’s just looking for somewhere to place her vote, or could be that she trying to spark discussion, either way, quite pro-town behaviour. Then we don't hear much until post #92, saying she agrees with groinhammer. Since we don’t know what part groinhammer plays, this might just be irrelevant. Or possibly two scum buddies (highly doubtful), or two masons, or just casual agreement. Then, in post #104, she posts supporting kabenon. We know that kabenon was pro town, backing up the fact that Yagami is pro-town. However, she hasn’t posted as much as others, but what she does post is good stuff.
Scumdar level – 10%
Theopor_COD/thedragonprincess – Really hasn’t posted much, so not much to point out. The only thing I can find is her backing up of Phate in post #184, and her subsequent vote for spambot. Again, as we don’t know what phate is, we can’t really get much from this, but it is of note for later.
Scumdar level – N/A% (mainly due to there being not enough data!)
Shanba – In post #53, she votes Phate. At this point, the wagon was just beginning to form, so it may not be as random as it says. However, it was probably to spark discussion, and to get Phate to react and defend himself. In post #119, she votes groinhammer, with no reason given. All I ask is, why? In post #191, she says she dislikes the way the wagon on spambot is growing, but in post #102, she said spambot was getting tunnel visioned. However, the problem is (mainly) cleared up now, so is not much of a scum tell.
Scumdar level – 20%
DragonsofSummer – Again, not a lot to go on. In post #115, he backs up Phate, spambot and groinhammer, but says he finds kabenon scummy. This is probably just an analysis. In post #127, he backs up YagamiLight. Since I don’t find Yagami scummy, I don’t really think this is a scumtell.
Scumdar level – 10%
CrashTestDummy/Vampyrussddg/Me – Yes, I would analyse myself, if there was anything to analyse. I hope that I can be of more use than my predecessors.
Scumdar level – 0% (obviously!)
Zakarum/Creampuffeater – Really hasn’t posted anything that’s useful. He’s really just been lurking in plain sight, saying that he doesn’t want to post anything, and has really just been posting so that he’s there. IMO, that’s not a huge scumtell, but might suggest something.
Scumdar level – N/A
Tyhess/mole – err…I can’t really put much here. There isn’t really anything at all. So, if you post a bit more, it might redeem you.
Scumdar level – N/A
Somestrangeflea. – His first post, post #105, doesn’t really contain much at all. In post #196, he backs up spambot, and has a big post about a ‘Too Townie’ argument. Again, there isn’t really a lot here.
Scumdar level – N/A
Groinhammer/elias – Posted quite a bit more than others, so there is more stuff to go on. In post #56, he seems very eager to lynch Phate, but this might just be a townie wanting to lynch the scum. However, this was quite early on in the Phate debate, so could be possible in game scum communication, but this is quit doubtful. We then don’t hear anything until about post #91, where he says he was scared to post. Can I just ask why? If you’re townie, you want more stuff to talk about, not less. Later, in post #111 he says spambot was switching, and adds that he is echoing shanba. This is probably just agreement, but could be something else… However, in post #199, he makes an analysis, saying that he finds shanba scummy (distancing?) but phate pro-town. He also says that he finds a link between phate and shanba. If they’re on opposite sides, how can they be linked? He also adds that he’s suspicious of somestrangeflea for pressurising phate, but then resolves his suspicions.
Scumdar level – 25%
Phate – Now we get interesting! I think Phate has posted the most out of everyone, which means there’s lots to talk about, and lots to use against him, and lots to support him. In the early game, he was very talkative, and made quite a few jokes. This seems mainly having fun. IMO, I think he was got at for a rubbish reason. In post #59, he gets at Yagami for voting, and supports shanba and groinhammer. Seems very slightly tunnel visioned. He defends himself well in post #63. In post #51, he asks for activity, doing nothing in that post to look for scum, however when challenged, he defended well. In many cases, if you’re being targeted, and you switch attention to someone else, that’s seen as a scumtell. In this case, there wasn’t really anyone else to switch to. He was up in a bit of a corner, and got himself out well. When defending himself in post #71, he has a minor slip. He says spambot uses WIFOM, which is fine, but then plays the ‘I’m not very experienced’ card, which managed to slip unnoticed. This may just be him trying to climb out of the hole he dug. Then in post #80, he admits that he’s scummy. Generally a scumtell, but not always. He then realises he has a random votes still on, unvotes and votes Yagami. This makes me rather suspicious. If he was town, he would want to vote for who is scum, and not knowing who he’s voting for makes him seem scummy. However, if he’s scum, he wants to get rid of the townies, so that he can get rid of two people in a night/day cycle. Scum have the real power at night, so he might just be waiting for night to fall, and not worrying about his vote. Moving on, in posts #81 and #109, he is quite rude to kabenon, who had earlier said he was scummy. This may just be retaliation, or broadcasting pro-town-ness by aiming at the most scummy person there is. In #129 he claims a town powerrole. He again plays the ‘I’m not very experienced’ card, and by saying ‘town powerrole’ he doesn’t have to say what. He later says it affects NPCs, but doesn’t say how. This is quite suspicious to me. If he’s a town powerrole, why doesn’t he claim? It would make us less suspicious, and after kabenon claimed, the scum can only get one or the other. The SK just has to be alive, so he’s not going to go for anyone in particular (usually). In post #133, he wants to know what the rest of the town thinks, pehaps trying to appear more friendly and less scum-like. He then doesn’t want to vote for kabenon, and switches to spambot. Seeing as kabenon is pro-town, shows perhaps that he’s pro-town. However, in post # 177, he says it ‘turned out as expected’. If he’s scum, of course it’s going to turn out as expected if they attacked him in the night. On the other hand, if he’s town, he might be showing sympathy, or just saying that he expected the scum to kill one of them. However, why did the scum go for kabenon, rather than Phate?
Scumdar level – 55%
Spambot/kison – Again, there is a lot to talk about here. In the early game, he gets very tunnel visioned, concentrating only on Phate. Either he’s a townie who’s sure he’s scum, or he’s scum either trying to look protown, or doing some major bussing. The fact that he later backs down makes me suspect the latter. In post #78 says he is going to act scummy. Again, often a scumtell. He also voices suspicions about groinhammer. Then, in post #101 votes for kabenon. He seems to be flickering a lot, as if he a scum unsure who other than him looks the most scummy, or a townie doing some unorthodox scumhunting. We then don’t here much for quite a while, and then in post #227 simply says that theopor is ‘Scum’ (exact wording) Why do you find him scummy? While there isn’t a lot here, he does look rather scummy.
Scumdar level – 50%
And a list of the (IMO) scummyist people.
Phate – 55%
Kison – 50%
Elias – 25%
Shanba – 20%
YagamiLight – 10%
DragonofSummer – 10%
Everyone else – N/A because of little posting.
And if it’s not too late –
vote:Phate
Logically, by careful analysis of the workings of this primitive device, that is hardly like the machines that I am used to, I have come to the logical conclusion that this is a signature.
That was long!