DEFCON Mafia 4.0 - СЛАВА РОССИИ МАТЕРИ
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Untrod Tripod Fat and Sassy
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Andrius The Baker
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In post 5048, mastina wrote:Mod: if the aircraft carrier blocked the holder of a submarine, would the submarine still be able to launch the next day?The ACC would prevent the Sub from launching, as it blocks all nuclear launches the following day."This is the true face of a man who plays paladin."-
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GreyICE Fifty Shades
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I'm still not sold on Vax town. Number 2 I'd put as LLD.
Not sold on you being town either Mastina, recall or no recall.ShowThat which is done out of love always takes place beyond good and evil
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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mastina She/HerFalse ProphetShe/Her
- False Prophet
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- Joined: October 7, 2016
- Pronoun: She/Her
- Location: Between Snohomish and Monroe, WA
There's a nuke headed my way.In post 5052, GreyICE wrote:Not sold on you being town either Mastina, recall or no recall.
I just threw my chances of having that nuke cancelled away, because the CONDITION of the nuke headed my way being canceled was that if Cephrir failed to kill himself (he did), UT would come on and cancel the nuke heading my way, and allow my nuke to hit Cephrir.
I literally sealed my fate by canceling the Ceph nuke. I was going to live if I let it go, because UT was going to cancel the nuke if Ceph didn't kill himself. But now, I have breached my contract. I did not hold up MY end of the bargain. So now I am going to die, period, end of discussion. You know how I know this?
Because it was UT who nuked me. If SpyreX sabotaged UT's nuke, that quite literally would be called a scumclaim on SpyreX's part. Never in a MILLION years would SpyreX dare sabotage UT. So there's absolutely zero chance of a nuke sabotage on me, and I'm the ONLY player being nuked who has that. (SpyreX could have sabotaged me, hiplop, OR Cheetory last night, especially me or hiplop.) And we saw from yesterday that even when UT had EVERY DAMN REASON to recall his nuke on Reck, he did not.
So there's no talking my way out of this.
There is absolutely zero wiggle room. No way of holding sway over UT. No way to convince him to blow the nuke up. There's nobody in this town who COULD convince him. And even if there was! Let's say, for instance. Even if, saaaaay, LLD was able to successfully bargain with him such that if she told him to, he would.
There's no way to convince THAT PERSON I am WORTH saving.
Absolutely none.
So I am dead.
Period.
End. of. discussion.
I have a little over one day until I die, but that nuke is never getting recalled so make no mistake.
I am going to die.
And with that knowledge.
I tell you.
If I were scum the best thing I could possibly do is shut the fuck up and not be talking/helping right now, because as scum my job is to give as little information as humanly possible.
I'm not scum.
Fuck, the fact that I canceled the Cephrir nuke is evidence enough of that. Aside from the fact that I had a deal in which me nuking Cephrir meant UT might cancel his nuke on me (meaning, nuking Ceph = chance of me living, me canceling = no chance of me living), there's the fact that Cephrir isn't scum especially if you think I am scum so why the fuck, as scum being nuked, do I CANCEL the nuke headed towards the fucking town doctor?
I am town.
Period.
I will be flipping town.
Vaxkiller is also going to be flipping town, unless SpyreX sabotaged hiplop's nuke.
So yes. While I am still alive. I am demanding people answer for my inevitable townflip, who they think the scum are.
Wishing for a scumflip won't make one materialize. The SAD lynch should have taught you that.-
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Untrod Tripod Fat and Sassy
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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Man fuck right off.In post 5054, mastina wrote:Wishing for a scumflip won't make one materialize. The SAD lynch should have taught you that.
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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mastina She/HerFalse ProphetShe/Her
- False Prophet
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- Joined: October 7, 2016
- Pronoun: She/Her
- Location: Between Snohomish and Monroe, WA
To address the bolded: see also my reply to GreyICE. I signed my fate when I launched, then canceled, a nuke on Cephrir. I could have maybe lived if I pandered to people on who to nuke. I could have maybe lived if I chose to keep the nuke going on Cephrir without canceling it. But I made the choice to nuke him because I didn't care about my own life, I knew I was going to be dead sooner rather than later and frankly am surprised it's taken this LONG to get a nuke headed my way. And then I made the choice that I'd rather die and NOT nuke the doctor than live while nuking the fucking town doctor. With only the chance of SpyreX sabotaging me again to stop the missile past a certain point. So I'm out of contention because no fucking duh. I'm flipping town in less than 36 hours. No ifs. No ands. No buts. Just pure, simple, fact. No way to convince UT to call it off. Tell me I'm wrong there. Tell me that I, knowing what I know about UT, think he would EVER back down. Think he would ever back off. Think he would ever recall that nuke. He won't. So I'm dead. Period. And I am telling you, in advance, exactly what you know will happen: I am flipping town.In post 5049, Cheetory6 wrote:LLD and Spyrex are my kneejerk scumreads.
I really don't see why Nahdia/you/Vax are out of the pile though.
Like, sure? I flux between thinking there's townie moments from you and Nahdia and to some extent I struggle to imagine Vax being able to come up with all of this for so long.
But that's literally nothing that would make me pull all of you out of the sortpile entirely. That's fucking ridiculous.
The only name in there that isn't surefire town is Nahdia. And Nahdia is basically the player I feel least likely to be scum, between a combination of the scum chatter (it doesn't seem to fit), Nahdia's open declaration of role, and Nahdia's content in the game, along with how players have been pushing for Nahdia's death. Nahdia's role is useless to the scum as of today. Additionally: with the radar out of play and down to only two scum members...why would the scum bother killing the cop with Nahdia's role in play? She could just tailor her scumbuddy and hope for an innocent. So it makes no sense that a scumteam with Nahdia's role would actually bother killing GiF, ESPECIALLY when the doctor is in the game.-
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SpyreX POWERFUL WIZARD
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Ok i need some logic spelled out nice and bullet pointed.
What in the christ all of a sudden with this discussion makes cephir town. Where is the night action that miraculously fixes what happened last night.-
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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SpyreX POWERFUL WIZARD
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SpyreX POWERFUL WIZARD
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Andrius The Baker
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Yes."This is the true face of a man who plays paladin."-
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SpyreX POWERFUL WIZARD
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GreyICE Fifty Shades
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Not only reason.In post 5061, SpyreX wrote:Thank you. Giant stupid walls i was missing it.
I need to sit down with an actual computer.
Nukebringer did not nuke GIF. If Cephrir is scum doctor than hitting the BP N3 means that Nukebringer would be keenly aware he could nuke GIF and give Cephrir an amazing out to the issue of being the scum doctor while needing to kill the cop. "Oh gee, well I stopped the first, but second nuke went through, too bad amright? Nothing you can do about that."
See therein lies the issue. Nukebringer didn't shoot GIF, so they figured he was still protected.
Battleship: Mobile, hidden in the wide open sea away from population centers, capable of withstanding even the most directed air strikes, and armed with an array of incredibly powerful weapons, a battleship is one of the safest places on the planet. {Each night, you may target a player. Until the next night phase,the first timethat player would be eliminated, they survive instead. You cannot target yourself.}ShowThat which is done out of love always takes place beyond good and evil
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GreyICE Fifty Shades
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This I am much less certain of.In post 5064, SpyreX wrote:Hmm well i guess my total distaste in cep today is unwarranted.
God and that means mastin town probably tooShowThat which is done out of love always takes place beyond good and evil
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SpyreX POWERFUL WIZARD
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Right and the terrorist would have 0 reason at that juncture. And terrorist taking sub doc is drunk.
Pedit. So am i but the truth is thats guaranteed death on not recalling. So god in heaven.
Nadhia scum could be creating gfs.
God i need like two town so we can go mad-
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SpyreX POWERFUL WIZARD
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Ok I'll look at vca tonight hopefully. Can someone step up and help me look at the defenders of ss versus who is alive.
Actually hmm him claiming cop makes me think nad is town cause aim there worth gfmaker is better-
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GreyICE Fifty Shades
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Hi I'm town and I'm fairly certain Nahdia is town. I mean sure until we see the flip we can't 100% trust the... what, the mafia-clear on Hiplop? I just don't see scum bidding on a role that means they'll get POE nuked then begging to be POE nuked. I mean if the scum took it I'd imagine they'd stick it on a weak member and have them hide the claim as long as possible, not go "I have the godfather creator" right at the start of the first day.ShowThat which is done out of love always takes place beyond good and evil
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SpyreX POWERFUL WIZARD
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Ps I'm fine i think with being nuked. Just after i get everything squared up.
Pedit yes. I think nad town running through it. Im leaking hard on you town and cheet town. I think ut town some too.
What baffles me is we have had no data collection and i don't get it. I want to make sure that's remedied-
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Untrod Tripod Fat and Sassy
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mastina She/HerFalse ProphetShe/Her
- False Prophet
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- Pronoun: She/Her
- Location: Between Snohomish and Monroe, WA
In post 1625, Andrius wrote:Vaxkiller [9] -Ser Arthur Dayne, SpyreX,Fate,Something_Smart, Cheetory6, Cephrir,Spiffeh,Accountant, Papa Zito
Ser Arthur Dayne[2] - Lady Lambdadelta,Vaxkiller
Ircher [2] - McMenno, ErrantParabola
Something_Smart[2] -Ircher, GuyInFreezer
Untrod Tripod [1] -xRECKONERx
Lady Lambdadelta [1] -mastina
Not Voting [7] - Everyone ElseIn post 1701, Andrius wrote:Vaxkiller [9] -Ser Arthur Dayne, SpyreX,Fate, Cheetory6, Cephrir,Spiffeh,Papa Zito, GreyICE, MagnaofIllusion
Untrod Tripod [5] -xRECKONERx, Ircher, Accountant, mastina,Something_Smart
Ser Arthur Dayne[2] - Lady Lambdadelta,Vaxkiller
Ircher [2] - McMenno, ErrantParabola
Something_Smart[1] -GuyInFreezer
Not Voting [5] - Everyone ElseIn post 1782, Andrius wrote:Vaxkiller [9] -Ser Arthur Dayne, SpyreX,Fate, Cheetory6, Cephrir,Spiffeh, GreyICE, MagnaofIllusion,Nukebringer
Untrod Tripod [6] -xRECKONERx, Ircher, Accountant, mastina,Something_Smart,Papa Zito[2] - Lady Lambdadelta,
Ser Arthur DayneVaxkiller
Ircher [2] - McMenno, ErrantParabola
Something_Smart[1] -GuyInFreezer
McMenno [1] - RedCoyote
Not Voting [3] - Untrod Tripod,hiplop, NahdiaIn post 1950, Andrius wrote:Vaxkiller [10] -Ser Arthur Dayne, SpyreX,Fate, Cephrir,Spiffeh, GreyICE, MagnaofIllusion,Nukebringer,Accountant, xRECKONERx
Untrod Tripod [5] -Ircher, mastina,Something_Smart,Papa Zito, Cheetory6
Ser Arthur Dayne[2] - Lady Lambdadelta,Vaxkiller
Ircher [2] - McMenno, ErrantParabola
Something_Smart[2] -GuyInFreezer, Untrod Tripod
McMenno [1] - RedCoyote, Nahdia
Not Voting [2] - hiplopIn post 2119, Andrius wrote:Vaxkiller [9] -Ser Arthur Dayne, SpyreX,Fate,Spiffeh, GreyICE, MagnaofIllusion,Nukebringer,Accountant, xRECKONERx
Untrod Tripod [4] -mastina,Something_Smart,Papa Zito, Cheetory6
Something_Smart[4] -GuyInFreezer, Untrod Tripod,RedCoyote, Cephrir
Ser Arthur Dayne[2] - Lady Lambdadelta, Vaxkiller
Ircher [2] - McMenno, ErrantParabola, Nahdia
McMenno [1] - Ircher
Not Voting [2] - hiplopIn post 2205, Andrius wrote:Vaxkiller [7] - SpyreX,Fate,Spiffeh, GreyICE, MagnaofIllusion,Nukebringer, Lady Lambdadelta
Untrod Tripod [5] -mastina, Papa Zito, Cheetory6,Ser Arthur Dayne, xRECKONERx
Something_Smart[5] -GuyInFreezer, Untrod Tripod,RedCoyote, Cephrir,Accountant[1] - Vaxkiller
Ircher [2] - McMenno, ErrantParabola
Ser Arthur Dayne
McMenno [1] - Ircher[1] -
GuyInFreezerSomething_Smart
Not Voting [2] -hiplop, NahdiaIn post 2325, Andrius wrote:Untrod Tripod [7] -mastina, Papa Zito, Cheetory6,Ser Arthur Dayne, xRECKONERx,Nukebringer, SpyreX
Something_Smart[7] -GuyInFreezer, Untrod Tripod,RedCoyote, Cephrir,Accountant, MagnaofIllusion,Spiffeh
Vaxkiller [3] - GreyICE, Lady Lambdadelta,Fate[1] -
Ircher [2] - McMenno, ErrantParabola
McMenno [1] - Ircher
GuyInFreezerSomething_Smart
SpyreX [1] - Vaxkiller
Not Voting [2] -hiplop, NahdiaIn post 2516, Andrius wrote:Untrod Tripod [5] -mastina, Cheetory6,Ser Arthur Dayne,Nukebringer,Fate[5] - Lady Lambdadelta, SpyreX,
mastinaPapa Zito, GuyInFreezer, Untrod Tripod
Something_Smart[5] -RedCoyote, Cephrir,Accountant, MagnaofIllusion,Spiffeh
Ircher [2] - McMenno, ErrantParabola
Vaxkiller [1] - GreyICE
McMenno [1] - Ircher[1] -
GuyInFreezerSomething_Smart
SpyreX [1] - Vaxkiller
Not Voting [3] -hiplop, Nahdia,xRECKONERxIn post 2579, Andrius wrote:Something_Smart[8] -RedCoyote, Cephrir,Accountant, MagnaofIllusion,Spiffeh, Untrod Tripod,GuyInFreezer,Nukebringer
Untrod Tripod [6] -mastina, Cheetory6,Ser Arthur Dayne, Fate, Nahdia,McMenno[3] - Lady Lambdadelta, SpyreX,
mastinaPapa Zito
Ircher [1] - ErrantParabola
Vaxkiller [1] - GreyICE
McMenno [1] - Ircher[1] -
GuyInFreezerSomething_Smart
SpyreX [1] - Vaxkiller
Not Voting [2] -hiplop, xRECKONERxIn post 2662, Andrius wrote:Untrod Tripod [10] -mastina, Cheetory6,Ser Arthur Dayne, Fate, Nahdia,McMenno, hiplop, ErrantParabola, Accountant,Nukebringer[6] -
Something_SmartRedCoyote, Cephrir, MagnaofIllusion,Spiffeh, Untrod Tripod,GuyInFreezer[4] - Lady Lambdadelta, SpyreX,
mastinaPapa Zito, GreyICE
McMenno [1] - Ircher[1] -
GuyInFreezerSomething_Smart
SpyreX [1] - Vaxkiller
Not Voting [1] -xRECKONERxIn post 2701, Andrius wrote:Untrod Tripod [10] -mastina, Ser Arthur Dayne, Nahdia,McMenno, hiplop, ErrantParabola, Accountant,Nukebringer,Ircher, MagnaofIllusion
Something_Smart[5] -RedCoyote, Cephrir,Spiffeh, Untrod Tripod,GuyInFreezer, Fate[4] - Lady Lambdadelta, SpyreX,
mastinaPapa Zito, GreyICE
GuyInFreezer[1] -Something_Smart
SpyreX [1] - Vaxkiller
Not Voting [2] -xRECKONERx, Cheetory6In post 2753, Andrius wrote:Something_Smart[10] -RedCoyote, Cephrir,Spiffeh, Untrod Tripod,GuyInFreezer, Fate, SpyreX,Accountant, MagnaofIllusion, GreyICE
Untrod Tripod [8] -mastina, Ser Arthur Dayne, Nahdia,McMenno, hiplop, ErrantParabola,Nukebringer,Ircher[2] - Lady Lambdadelta,
mastinaPapa Zito[1] -
GuyInFreezerSomething_Smart
Not Voting [3] -xRECKONERx, Cheetory6, VaxkillerIn post 2775, Andrius wrote:Something_Smart[10] -RedCoyote,Spiffeh, Untrod Tripod,GuyInFreezer, Fate, SpyreX,Accountant, MagnaofIllusion, GreyICE,Nukebringer
Untrod Tripod [9] -mastina, Ser Arthur Dayne, Nahdia,McMenno, hiplop, ErrantParabola, Ircher,Something_Smart, Cephrir
mastina[2] - Lady Lambdadelta,Papa Zito, Cheetory6, Vaxkiller
Not Voting [3] - xRECKONERxIn post 2889, Andrius wrote:Untrod Tripod [11] -mastina, Ser Arthur Dayne, Nahdia,McMenno, hiplop, ErrantParabola, Ircher,Something_Smart, Vaxkiller,Fate,Spiffeh
Something_Smart[7] -RedCoyote, Untrod Tripod,GuyInFreezer, Accountant, MagnaofIllusion,Nukebringer, Cephrir
mastina[3] - Lady Lambdadelta,Papa Zito, SpyreX
Lady Lambdadelta [1] - GreyICE
Not Voting [2] -xRECKONERx, Cheetory6In post 2937, Andrius wrote:Untrod Tripod [9] -Ser Arthur Dayne, Nahdia,McMenno, ErrantParabola, Ircher,Something_Smart, Vaxkiller,Fate, RedCoyote
Something_Smart[5] - Untrod Tripod,GuyInFreezer, Accountant, MagnaofIllusion,Nukebringer
mastina[4] - Lady Lambdadelta,Papa Zito, SpyreX, GreyICE
Lady Lambdadelta [1] -mastina[1] - Cephrir
ErrantParabola [1] - hiplop
RedCoyote
Not Voting [3] -xRECKONERx, Cheetory6,SpiffehIn post 3050, Andrius wrote:Untrod Tripod [9] -Ser Arthur Dayne, Nahdia,McMenno, ErrantParabola, Ircher,Something_Smart, Vaxkiller,Fate,Nukebringer
mastina[8] - Lady Lambdadelta,Papa Zito, SpyreX, GreyICE,xRECKONERx, Accountant, Untrod Tripod,RedCoyote
Something_Smart[2] -GuyInFreezer, MagnaofIllusion
Vaxkiller [2] - Cheetory6,Spiffeh
Lady Lambdadelta [1] -mastina[1] - Cephrir
ErrantParabola [1] - hiplop
RedCoyoteIn post 3145, Andrius wrote:Untrod Tripod [8] - Nahdia,McMenno, ErrantParabola, Ircher,Something_Smart, Vaxkiller,Fate,Nukebringer
mastina[6] - Lady Lambdadelta,Papa Zito, SpyreX,xRECKONERx, Accountant, RedCoyote
Something_Smart[3] -GuyInFreezer, MagnaofIllusion, Untrod Tripod
Lady Lambdadelta [3] -mastina, GreyICE,Ser Arthur Dayne
Vaxkiller [2] - Cheetory6,Spiffeh
ErrantParabola [1] - hiplop[1] - Cephrir
RedCoyoteIn post 3478, Andrius wrote:Ser Arthur Dayne[12] - MagnaofIllusion,RedCoyote, Vaxkiller,hiplop, GuyInFreezer, Lady Lambdadelta,xRECKONERx, Cephrir, Nahdia,Ircher, GreyICE,McMenno
Nukebringer[3] - Cheetory6,Spiffeh, Untrod Tripod
RedCoyote [1] - mastina
Not Voting [6] - Everyone elseIn post 3725, Andrius wrote:Errantparabola[7] - GreyICE,Nukebringer, Lady Lambdadelta,GuyInFreezer, MagnaofIllusion, SpyreX, Untrod Tripod
Ircher [4] - McMenno, mastina, Nahdia,Accountant
McMenno [1] - Ircher
Lady Lambdadelta [1] -xRECKONERxIn post 3800, Andrius wrote:Errantparabola[7] - GreyICE,Nukebringer, Lady Lambdadelta,GuyInFreezer, SpyreX, Untrod Tripod, Cephrir
Ircher [4] - McMenno, mastina, Nahdia,Accountant
McMenno [1] - Ircher
Lady Lambdadelta [1] -xRECKONERx[1] - MagnaofIllusion
hiplop
Not Voting [6] - Everyone elseIn post 4025, Andrius wrote:Errantparabola[4] - GreyICE,Nukebringer,GuyInFreezer, Cephrir
Ircher [4] - McMenno, mastina, Nahdia,Accountant
Lady Lambdadelta [2] -xRECKONERx, Ircher[1] - MagnaofIllusion
hiplop
mastina[3] - Lady Lambdadelta, Untrod Tripod, SpyrX
Not Voting [6] - Everyone elseIn post 4060, Andrius wrote:Ircher [5] - McMenno, mastina, Nahdia,Accountant, RedCoyote[4] - GreyICE,
ErrantparabolaNukebringer,GuyInFreezer, Cephrir
mastina[3] - Lady Lambdadelta, Untrod Tripod, SpyreX
Lady Lambdadelta [1] -xRECKONERx[1] - MagnaofIllusion
hiplop
Not Voting [6] - Everyone elseIn post 4136, Andrius wrote:Ircher [5] - McMenno, mastina, Nahdia,Accountant, RedCoyote[3] - Lady Lambdadelta, Untrod Tripod, SpyreX
mastina
McMenno [3] - Ircher, Cephrir,Nukebringer
Errantparabola[2] - GreyICE,GuyInFreezer
Lady Lambdadelta [1] -xRECKONERx[1] - MagnaofIllusion
hiplop
Not Voting [5] -Papa Zito, hiplop, Cheetory6,Errantparabola, VaxkillerIn post 4259, Andrius wrote:Ircher [4] - McMenno, mastina, Accountant, RedCoyote[4] - Lady Lambdadelta, Untrod Tripod, SpyreX,
mastinaxRECKONERx, Cephrir,
McMenno [3] - IrcherNukebringer
Errantparabola[2] - GreyICE,GuyInFreezer[1] - MagnaofIllusion
Accountant [1] - Papa Zito
hiplop
Not Voting [5] -hiplop, Cheetory6,Errantparabola, Vaxkiller, NahdiaIn post 4325, Andrius wrote:mastina[5] - Lady Lambdadelta, Untrod Tripod, SpyreX,xRECKONERx, GreyICE
McMenno [4] - Ircher, Cephrir,Nukebringer,Accountant[1] - MagnaofIllusion
Ircher [2] - McMenno, mastina
Errantparabola [1] - GuyInFreezer
Accountant [1] - Papa Zito
hiplop
Not Voting [5] -hiplop, Cheetory6,Errantparabola, Vaxkiller, NahdiaIn post 4407, Andrius wrote:McMenno [5] - Ircher, Cephrir,Nukebringer,Accountant, GreyICE
mastina[4] - Lady Lambdadelta, Untrod Tripod, SpyreX,xRECKONERx, MagnaofIllusion
Ircher [3] - McMenno, mastina
Accountant [1] - Papa Zito, Cheetory6, Vaxkiller, Nahdia,
Not Voting [5] - hiplopGuyInFreezerIn post 4554, Andrius wrote:McMenno [6] - Ircher, Cephrir,Accountant, GreyICE,xRECKONERx, McMenno[3] - Lady Lambdadelta, Untrod Tripod, SpyreX
mastina
Ircher [1] - mastina, Cheetory6, Vaxkiller, Nahdia,
Not Voting [6] - hiplopGuyInFreezer, MagnaofIllusionIn post 4650, Andrius wrote:McMenno[4] - Cephrir,Accountant, McMenno, Lady Lambdadelta
mastina[2] - Untrod Tripod, SpyreX
Ircher [1] - mastina
Lady Lambdadelta [1] -xRECKONERx
MagnaofIllusion[1] - GreyICE
Not Voting [7] -hiplop, Cheetory6, Vaxkiller, Nahdia,GuyInFreezer, MagnaofIllusion,IrcherIn post 4762, Andrius wrote:McMenno[8] - Cephrir,McMenno, Lady Lambdadelta, Nahdia, Cheetory6,xRECKONERx, SpyreX,GuyInFreezer
MagnaofIllusion[2] - GreyICE,mastina[1] - Untrod Tripod
mastina
Lady Lambdadelta [1] - Vaxkiller
Not Voting [2] -hiplop, MagnaofIllusion-
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MagnaofIllusion has been killed Night 1
- has been killed Night 1
- has been killed Night 1
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- Location: Assimilating the world ...
Tonight or tomorrow I will get on this.In post 5068, SpyreX wrote:Ok I'll look at vca tonight hopefully. Can someone step up and help me look at the defenders of ss versus who is alive.
Actually hmm him claiming cop makes me think nad is town cause aim there worth gfmaker is better"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
Pretty much Geriatric game restricted at this point ... unless there are players I REALLY want to play with.-
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mastina She/HerFalse ProphetShe/Her
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- Joined: October 7, 2016
- Pronoun: She/Her
- Location: Between Snohomish and Monroe, WA
Things that immediately stick out:
-Vaxkiller is not a Russian.
That, or literally every fucking scumbuddy decided to bus him at some point. Something_smart, Spiffeh, and Nukebringer were all prominently on his wagon. Seriously. He is not flipping Russian. I almost greened his name out for this analysis, but I restrained because there's a significant chance SpyreX sabotaged hiplop's nuke so technically he won't be flipping if the nuke fails. Still, all the same: Vaxkiller is NOT a Russian.
-UT is also not a Russian. This is obvious from his voting history and also his persistent nature as a counterwagon to Something_smart, along with the fact that scum were evenly distributed between him and Vaxkiller.
-Another player who looks good by the VCA is Cephrir. While he was on the Vaxkiller wagon, he was among the first to push Something_smart, and among the last to hop off. He did hop off on 2227 to UT, and then to RedCoyote, so his record's not as good as UT's is, but it's more likely than not that he's town.
-SpyreX in contrast looks pretty bad: he chose the Vaxkiller wagon. In 2325, given the choice between UT and Something_smart, he chose UT. He also switched to me in 2516. He did eventually join--in 2753, during optimal bussing range. And at the first available opportunity (by 2889), he was back off of that wagon. (Which by the way marked Cephrir's return.)
-Nahdia is another name who doesn't look so great: didn't wagon many people, and when they have, it's been on town.
-LLD is another name to watch as not the best in appearance.
-MoI, GreyICE, and Cheetory all have so-so histories: nothing in their voting history is damning, but nothing in it is particularly promising, either.
-Unless you think all eight names listed in 3050 are town, there's probably at least one scum on my wagon. If we assume that UT is town (safe), the possibilities there are LLD, SpyreX, and GreyICE. I think we'll find at least one mafia there. Possibly two, though that's not strong. 3145, last useful votecount of the day, suggests it's between LLD/SpyreX, though GreyICE could be scum who switched off to start a counterwagon on LLD.
-Look at that SAD lynch. We can safely assume Vaxkiller and Cephrir are town on it. But that leaves MoI/LLD/Nahdia/GreyICE.
Unless the scum went out of their way to create an all-town lynch, it's a fairly safe bet there's at least one if not two scum in there.
-The Errant wagon in 3725 is also pretty terrible. Between GreyICE/LLD/Magna/SpyreX, there's no way that's all town.
Though, of note, if there were scum on Ircher Nahdia's the only possible candidate.
-3800 takes Magna off of Errant, though he's switched from one town to another.
-In 4025, with UT as town, I have a strong inclination once again to think both of LLD/SpyreX cannot be town.
-It's worth noting GreyICE did some switching around. he went from Errant, to me, and then to McMenno, the mislynch for that day.
Meanwhile, Magna moved to Ircher in 4407--that's actually a sign to me against Magna being scum, given that Nukebringer spent their last moment nuking Ircher. There's the chance he went there for the town credit, as in, "Look at me making this case on this player who I know is about to be nuked and therefore flip town!", but I'm doubtful of that.
-I'd like to point to the progression between 4554, 4650, and 4762. In the first, the only one not proven to be town on that L-2 wagon is GreyICE (assuming Cephrir town which is not at all a stretch).
Then, GreyICE switches off, and LLD on.
Then we get the pile-on: Nahdia, Cheetory, AND SpyreX all come on.
Given this, I'd say:
Figure of most interest, SpyreX.
VOTE: SpyreX.
Secondary figures of interest: LLD, Nahdia. (Maybe GreyICE?)
Tertiary interest: Cheetory. (Also, GreyICE if he's not a secondary.)
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