Open 19 - Nightless (Over?) before 430
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Elias_the_thief He/HimNot Statistically SignificantHe/Him
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Guardian Mafia Scum
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- Location: Warning: Always looks scummy. Is town.
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Elias_the_thief He/HimNot Statistically SignificantHe/Him
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Simenon Entitled
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Guardian Mafia Scum
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Elias_the_thief He/HimNot Statistically SignificantHe/Him
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Guardian Mafia Scum
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I've thought you were town all game, and I think I'm right.
Thok changed the lynch from a VitaminR lynch to a Tony-scum lynch. Also Tony was really 'suspicious' of Thok.
VitaminR was pushed by Skruffs (and Tony to a lesser extent), as an alternative to Tony scum lynch.
I don't really think we need more than process of eilimination.
But, Skruffs I haven't liked all game. He acts town, then not, then town, then not, and has bad logic and good, and his inconsistency and confusingness make me think he is a good candidate.Do not lynch me.
[wiki]Great Nibbler Takeover of 2008[/wiki]-
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Skruffs Pantsman
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???
Now I'm inconsistent, when in your last post you were saying I was 'consistently pushing VitaminR for five days", when in fact it had been for three days, and for MUCH better reasons than you had been pushing for IH?
You are assuming that VitaminR didn't bus Tony - which is one of the main reasns I think he is likely to be scum, because as scum, he more easily busses his partners than town.
OH LOOK! VitaminR's been on every lynch. But that's town. which is also why you were targetting IH as scum.
Fortunately I can rule off a Guardian/VitaminR scum pairing, but I think your push on me (which is continued from the day before (hmmm when did Guardian suspect TOny??) is pointless.-
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Skruffs Pantsman
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"I don't really think we need more than process of eilimination."
This is just wonderful.
A process of elimination that is completely biased, at that. And the coming from the same mind who said he would be willingly lynched if IH turned up town.
I'm not going to coutner vote you because I think it is likely you are town, and the reasont hat has been further cemented is because Tony pushed for the "Didn't someone they would agree to be lynched if IH turned up town" theory, after *not* trying to defend IH and letting him be lynched, whh indicates he was probably hoping for a double mislynch.
so Yes:
Vote : VitaminR
If VItaminR is not scum, I will *most likely* go after Thok, but that is said by a man who has fesasted ont eh entrail of birds and fish for too long this day. (Happy tghanksgiving, all)-
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Thok Disgrace to SKs everywhere
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I'm confused about how VitR's vote for Tony can be seen as anything more than VitR trying to keep himself alive. In my mind, it's a null tell.
Mod, can we get a prod on VitR, as I want to be certain he knows he survived the lynch and still needs to participate.I replaced into Chess Mafia for 6 months, and all I got was a win and this lousy sig.-
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Simenon Entitled
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VitaminR Mafia Scum
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Thanksgiving miracle!
I just read it.Thok wrote:I'm confused about how VitR's vote for Tony can be seen as anything more than VitR trying to keep himself alive. In my mind, it's a null tell.
Mod, can we get a prod on VitR, as I want to be certain he knows he survived the lynch and still needs to participate.
Skruffs, check the first Nightless. I was on every lynch then too. I was town.
Also, Thok is right concerning my Tony vote. I was saving my own hide.
I need to read this game from start to finish. I only have gut impressions of everyone to share at this point and I don't think they're very helpful.-
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VitaminR Mafia Scum
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First 10 pages
First two posts:Drain Bead wrote:random vote: Tony Moonshine
Because I'm impatient.
With what we know now, I kinda doubt Thok (replaced Drain Bead) is scum.Romanus wrote:Vote: Drain Bead
For starting a wagon on an easy target.
Wouldn't be surprised if this was a bus. Blahgo is now Guardian.blahgo wrote:vote:John
I can see this as a scum response too.Elias_the_thief wrote:um, i actually had similar questions about the game, seeing as this is my first nightless as well. i think any intelligent scum would make it a point not to ask that, but ask about some other power role (i know this is WIFOM). I dont know. i admit it makes him more suspicious than anyone else so far, but im not comfortable with lynching him for ignorance.
Anyways, bandwagons are not inherantly scummy. I mean, a bandwagon to start conversation is a good thing, as long as there's no random lynch. But i dont like how blahgo just jumped on without saying anything.
sofos: blahgo, andunvotefor now.
NAR vote is too easy.Elias_the_thief wrote:well, i know that NAR saw that the site was up, i talked to him on scumchat. wierd that he didnt post. anyways, ill go back to myvote: NARin case it isnt registered. sadly we lost the post where i laid out my six reasons that NAR is scum. but i think you guys remember so its all good.
Reading on, I'm siding with Elias over NAR in this discussion. Also thought this was interesting. NAR is Skruffs now.John wrote:Implications are hard to acertain with text, NAR. try cold hard evidence.
Unvote, FoS: NARJust cause i think i had a vote on him, but i forgot so this is just in case. this new server thing is almost like a fresh start to me.
I can see BM (now Guardian) drawing this conclusion about a townie + scumbuddy.Battle Mage wrote:Well those are my thoughts. ill start with aVote: Occult. I think its quite possible that him and John are a scumpair.
Mod: a Votecount would also be nice
This kinda comes out of nowhere. Inclined to see this as a point in Guardian's favour.Romanus wrote:Battle Mage's post #112 comes off as very scummy to me. He manages to accuse and defend just about everyone in that post. It is a typical "scum covering their bases" type of post.
UNVOTE
VOTE: Battle Mage
The scum pairing of John and Occult because of that post 62 is a little ridiculous in my opinion. And to call it the "scummiest" post thus far is quite a stretch. It is also a very safe post to criticize because it really has little to do with the game itself. Also, that early in the game, I severely doubt that scum would buddy up like that.
I believe Skruffs' attack on Occult and he does a huge post filled with analysis that is quite good.
There was also a bit of interaction between Skruffs and Romanus (Skruffs asking Romanus for a summary of his suspicions) that looked sincere enough (didn't feel like scum interaction).
Recap:
Thok = probably town
Elias = more townish than not
Skruffs = townish and scummy things
BM = more scummy than town-
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VitaminR Mafia Scum
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Pages 10 - 20
This stubbornness is a bit weird.Romanus wrote:I'm going to hold on to my Battle Mage vote. He is still the scummiest player in my eyes, but I also realize the need for a solid choice for a lynch, and I will not hold that up if we near a deadline.
Ambivalent about this.Battle Mage wrote:you've REALLY lost me now. My argument for voting Occult, was mainly that i felt him and John were scumbuddies. the fact that Occult WASNT scum, implies that the original voting logic was flawed, and thus John probably isnt scum-UNLESS he is much cleverer than he looks, and has succeeded in attaching himself to a townie, which i find unlikely.
BM
MissMoo's first post with analysis seems sincere enough. I don't see scum accusing three town players of an alliance.
Right after Simenon threatens with a modkill:
I don't see a scumbuddy doing that.Battle Mage wrote:lol i thought u were kidding about the deadline.
cant you find a replacement for John?
Skruffs redirects discussion towards John. Again.
Guardian comes in concluding that John is likely scum because IH and me are scum and have been bussing John. Agrees to vote John with us for now, though. That is so scummy.
This reads like scum interaction. I don't like how passive Elias is here, btw. Granted, he was pretty busy at the time, but still.Elias_the_thief wrote:
There arent power roles? This is my first open game, and I'm unfamiliar with the rules of open games I guess. I think you meant to say in a nightless, and in that light I now see that my comment was pretty dumb, though not necessarily suspicious. My opinion of Guardian is that he is an experienced player who will contribute, but I havent got much of a read alignment wise as of yet.Guardian wrote:
This is an open setup... power roles? Scum who forgot there were no power roles? Only scummy thing I saw by you.Elias_the_thief wrote:i think any intelligent scum would make it a point not to ask that, but ask about some other power role
Recap (impressions in these 10 pages):
Thok = slightly townish
Elias = scummy
Skruffs = probably town
BM = more scummy than town-
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VitaminR Mafia Scum
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20-30 pages
I don't like how easily Elias throws his lot in with the Aimee camp, without seeming to retain any of his own earlier suspicions.Elias_the_thief wrote:
What are you getting at with this point? I was just curious. (im sorry this is the best my reread came up with) Also, Im a fairly experienced player, so the point doesnt really make sense, as I'm not up there.IH wrote:
Notice that all three of Guardians scumlist, other than YB, are the experienced players.Guardian wrote:I think that three scum are thowing their new comrade under the bus - but I have no problem with this. If not, then we have mystery scum #4 and Skruffs IH and Vitr still seem scummy to me, though I would be wrong about Skruff's leading his buddies. I am like 80% sure YB is scum though... IH still would have been a better lynch for today, I'm like 90% sure on him.
Im waiting on Aimee's response to Vits points. Up until now I havent found much wrong with her play (besides the "If I had to choose between John and IH, I would pick John. IH isn't the target today really. I will vote YogurtBandit, unless he comes up with some reasons why I shouldn't." post), but now that those points have been brought out into the open she's moved up a spot on my LoS.
Strange that Romanus leaves in a comment about Elias, but doesn't say anything about the other players he doesn't have anything to say about that. Could be because he wouldn't forget his scumbuddies.Romanus wrote:Impressions:
VitR is town. I will be shocked if he comes up scum.
I do not like IH's play on this page. It looks like deflection by way of a pro-town post.
The only post by Aimee only confirms my position on her, but admittedly, I am reading a lot into it.
Not much on Elias
Blahgo, well, is just being blahgo.
There seems to be something up between Tony and IH. I don't know that it is due to alignment or what, but something to keep an eye on.
Having said that, Elias then posts a pretty good case against Romanus. No vote, though. I'd like to see where he goes with that.
This is interesting. I would kinda doubt Tony would say that about 2 scumbuddies, but he is ballsy enough.TonyMoonshine wrote:Romanus, Elias - Both seem to be suspicious of at least several players and seem to be seeking scum. I get a protown vibe from both of them.
Doubt Guardian is scum.Guardian wrote:OK Elias, I asked you to do it for the following reason:
I thought we had a group of four likely town like players who all trusted each other's townness, minus me trusting Vitr. If I were willing to let slide for a moment that I don't trust Vitr, and I was right about my impression of having four town like players who thought the other three were town like, then we would have an interesting alternate strategy/side strategy for winning.
As long as the four players kept seeming townlike, and we still trusted each other, we could just keep lynching people not in our group, and would eventually get all the scum. Even if we got all the scum except one (Vitr? ), there would be four of us left with two chances to get that scum lynched.
Also in Guardian's favour.Romanus wrote:I am no longer leaning to the side of you being a misguided townie, but rather to the side that you are scum.
UNVOTE
Vote: Guardian
Aimee can now wait. You have become top priority.
Too wildly inaccurate to come from scum.Skruffs wrote:So, I'm going to say that my attentions will be on mustafa, AImee, Elias, VitR, and IH, (or their replacees), in that order. Not all of them are scum but i'm sure one or two of them are.
more later!
If this is still true here, why weren't you voting him?Elias_the_thief wrote:I have to apologize for my post earlier. I let my RL interfer with the game. But I still think Romanus' post was really dumb
I think the case on IH is decent, but I have to go back and reread to get a clearer idea of the reasons behind the Occult wagon. If theyre what Guardian is saying, I'm pretty suspicious of IH, because thats the most important part of the case. Also, after rereading the linkage case, I see it as feasible. Its not enough to convince me fully, but there are a couple of good points in there.
Anyways, I'm most suspicious of Romanus right now, for the reasons in my case 3 pages ago, for his flipflopping on Guardians case, and for his recent dodging of my question and that incredibly dumb post refusing to respond to questions.
Recap:
Thok = town
Skruffs = townish
Guardian = town
Elias = scummy
I'm really inclined to see Elias as scum at this point. His behaviour today is another example. Skruffs and Guardian come blasting out of the gates, with reasoned, consistent (pretty much) votes. Elias just seems to be standing by, prodding at Guardian, but with no real indication that he has an idea of who is scum.-
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VitaminR Mafia Scum
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Elias_the_thief He/HimNot Statistically SignificantHe/Him
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Um...why?VitaminR wrote:
I can see this as a scum response too.Elias_the_thief wrote:um, i actually had similar questions about the game, seeing as this is my first nightless as well. i think any intelligent scum would make it a point not to ask that, but ask about some other power role (i know this is WIFOM). I dont know. i admit it makes him more suspicious than anyone else so far, but im not comfortable with lynching him for ignorance.
Anyways, bandwagons are not inherantly scummy. I mean, a bandwagon to start conversation is a good thing, as long as there's no random lynch. But i dont like how blahgo just jumped on without saying anything.
sofos: blahgo, andunvotefor now.
"XXX vote is too easy" is a RETARDED scumtell. For a person to decide a vote to be easy to begin with, they have to be scum. So basically you're saying I'm scum because I'm scum. Doesnt make sense. Not to mention that despite 2-3 people voting him already, I added entirely new reasons to his case.VitaminR wrote:
NAR vote is too easy.Elias_the_thief wrote:well, i know that NAR saw that the site was up, i talked to him on scumchat. wierd that he didnt post. anyways, ill go back to myvote: NARin case it isnt registered. sadly we lost the post where i laid out my six reasons that NAR is scum. but i think you guys remember so its all good.
Except that no one ever adequately explained the "connection"?VitaminR wrote:
I can see BM (now Guardian) drawing this conclusion about a townie + scumbuddy.Battle Mage wrote:Well those are my thoughts. ill start with aVote: Occult. I think its quite possible that him and John are a scumpair.
Mod: a Votecount would also be nice
I had the same stance...so why not bring that up?VitaminR wrote:
This kinda comes out of nowhere. Inclined to see this as a point in Guardian's favour.Romanus wrote:Battle Mage's post #112 comes off as very scummy to me. He manages to accuse and defend just about everyone in that post. It is a typical "scum covering their bases" type of post.
UNVOTE
VOTE: Battle Mage
The scum pairing of John and Occult because of that post 62 is a little ridiculous in my opinion. And to call it the "scummiest" post thus far is quite a stretch. It is also a very safe post to criticize because it really has little to do with the game itself. Also, that early in the game, I severely doubt that scum would buddy up like that.
VitaminR wrote: There was also a bit of interaction between Skruffs and Romanus (Skruffs asking Romanus for a summary of his suspicions) that looked sincere enough (didn't feel like scum interaction).
Yes, granted I was busy (aka, having 2 days access a week), and also that it's my playstyle to be passive much of the game? The only time I really get much into it is in my own defense.VitaminR wrote:
This reads like scum interaction. I don't like how passive Elias is here, btw. Granted, he was pretty busy at the time, but still.Elias_the_thief wrote:
There arent power roles? This is my first open game, and I'm unfamiliar with the rules of open games I guess. I think you meant to say in a nightless, and in that light I now see that my comment was pretty dumb, though not necessarily suspicious. My opinion of Guardian is that he is an experienced player who will contribute, but I havent got much of a read alignment wise as of yet.Guardian wrote:
This is an open setup... power roles? Scum who forgot there were no power roles? Only scummy thing I saw by you.Elias_the_thief wrote:i think any intelligent scum would make it a point not to ask that, but ask about some other power role
Wow, I like how I went from mostly towny to scummy based on one post which was too passive, and based on a vague claim that that's a scum interaction. Nice. Even while at the same time, you admit that I was busy.VitaminR wrote: Recap (impressions in these 10 pages):
Thok = slightly townish
Elias = scummy
Skruffs = probably town
BM = more scummy than town
What suspicions did I have of Aimee, pray tell? I thought she was townie the whole time, based on the fact that there was no real case against her. Oh, by the way, she came up town.VitaminR wrote:20-30 pages
I don't like how easily Elias throws his lot in with the Aimee camp, without seeming to retain any of his own earlier suspicions.Elias_the_thief wrote:
What are you getting at with this point? I was just curious. (im sorry this is the best my reread came up with) Also, Im a fairly experienced player, so the point doesnt really make sense, as I'm not up there.IH wrote:
Notice that all three of Guardians scumlist, other than YB, are the experienced players.Guardian wrote:I think that three scum are thowing their new comrade under the bus - but I have no problem with this. If not, then we have mystery scum #4 and Skruffs IH and Vitr still seem scummy to me, though I would be wrong about Skruff's leading his buddies. I am like 80% sure YB is scum though... IH still would have been a better lynch for today, I'm like 90% sure on him.
Im waiting on Aimee's response to Vits points. Up until now I havent found much wrong with her play (besides the "If I had to choose between John and IH, I would pick John. IH isn't the target today really. I will vote YogurtBandit, unless he comes up with some reasons why I shouldn't." post), but now that those points have been brought out into the open she's moved up a spot on my LoS.
He probably left a comment about me because we had been arguing the whole game up to that point, and wanted to post an official stance. I find it even more interesting that he places you as definate townie. I don't have anywhere to go with my Romanus case, he's dead.VitaminR wrote:
Strange that Romanus leaves in a comment about Elias, but doesn't say anything about the other players he doesn't have anything to say about that. Could be because he wouldn't forget his scumbuddies.Romanus wrote:Impressions:
VitR is town. I will be shocked if he comes up scum.
I do not like IH's play on this page. It looks like deflection by way of a pro-town post.
The only post by Aimee only confirms my position on her, but admittedly, I am reading a lot into it.
Not much on Elias
Blahgo, well, is just being blahgo.
There seems to be something up between Tony and IH. I don't know that it is due to alignment or what, but something to keep an eye on.
Having said that, Elias then posts a pretty good case against Romanus. No vote, though. I'd like to see where he goes with that.
Exactly, I doubt he wouldnt put two scumbuddies. I like how you include the last part, so even though this should really be a point in my favor, you try to turn it so at least it won't be remembered that way.VitaminR wrote:
This is interesting. I would kinda doubt Tony would say that about 2 scumbuddies, but he is ballsy enough.TonyMoonshine wrote:Romanus, Elias - Both seem to be suspicious of at least several players and seem to be seeking scum. I get a protown vibe from both of them.
Why.VitaminR wrote:
Doubt Guardian is scum.Guardian wrote:OK Elias, I asked you to do it for the following reason:
I thought we had a group of four likely town like players who all trusted each other's townness, minus me trusting Vitr. If I were willing to let slide for a moment that I don't trust Vitr, and I was right about my impression of having four town like players who thought the other three were town like, then we would have an interesting alternate strategy/side strategy for winning.
As long as the four players kept seeming townlike, and we still trusted each other, we could just keep lynching people not in our group, and would eventually get all the scum. Even if we got all the scum except one (Vitr? ), there would be four of us left with two chances to get that scum lynched.
*shrug*VitaminR wrote:
Also in Guardian's favour.Romanus wrote:I am no longer leaning to the side of you being a misguided townie, but rather to the side that you are scum.
UNVOTE
Vote: Guardian
Aimee can now wait. You have become top priority.
Um...what? This doesnt even make sense.VitaminR wrote:
Too wildly inaccurate to come from scum.Skruffs wrote:So, I'm going to say that my attentions will be on mustafa, AImee, Elias, VitR, and IH, (or their replacees), in that order. Not all of them are scum but i'm sure one or two of them are.
more later!
I was waiting for everyone's input. Though I don't entirely remember the context, I can't really explain it off the top of my head.VitaminR wrote:
If this is still true here, why weren't you voting him?Elias_the_thief wrote:I have to apologize for my post earlier. I let my RL interfer with the game. But I still think Romanus' post was really dumb
I think the case on IH is decent, but I have to go back and reread to get a clearer idea of the reasons behind the Occult wagon. If theyre what Guardian is saying, I'm pretty suspicious of IH, because thats the most important part of the case. Also, after rereading the linkage case, I see it as feasible. Its not enough to convince me fully, but there are a couple of good points in there.
Anyways, I'm most suspicious of Romanus right now, for the reasons in my case 3 pages ago, for his flipflopping on Guardians case, and for his recent dodging of my question and that incredibly dumb post refusing to respond to questions.
wtf? You think Guardian came out with strong reasoning? That's bullshit, he came out saying, "der, that guy aint scum, dat guy is!". Skruffs also just votes.VitaminR wrote: Recap:
Thok = town
Skruffs = townish
Guardian = town
Elias = scummy
I'm really inclined to see Elias as scum at this point. His behaviour today is another example. Skruffs and Guardian come blasting out of the gates, with reasoned, consistent (pretty much) votes. Elias just seems to be standing by, prodding at Guardian, but with no real indication that he has an idea of who is scum.
Ok, could you compile seperate cases on people, instead of just this mumbo jumbo then declaring various people one thing or another? As far as I can tell, most of your cases for people being town, and me being scum, are bullshit.I play the games rul gud.-
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Thok Disgrace to SKs everywhere
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VitaminR Mafia Scum
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This is unwarranted. You misinterpret half of what I say. I went through the thread, spewing out things as they struck me. Yes, they're not going to come out perfectly worded.Elias_the_thief wrote:Ok, could you compile seperate cases on people, instead of just this mumbo jumbo then declaring various people one thing or another? As far as I can tell, most of your cases for people being town, and me being scum, are bullshit.
If you can't read someone else's posts with an open mind, maybe you just should kneejerkvote everyone who has suspicions of you.-
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Skruffs Pantsman
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I think VitaminR has posted a good analysis, although it *might* be because his neck is starting to chaff from the rope around it.
I think it's interesting that he pulled Elias out of the mix as the dark horse last scum. Guardian would be a much easier target, but perhaps, if VitR is scum, he wants to save Guardian for tomorrow.-
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Elias_the_thief He/HimNot Statistically SignificantHe/Him
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Dude, my problem isnt that it isnt worded perfectly. My problem is that I don't even know what to defend, yet youre naming me your top suspect. My problem is at the end you declare that everyone looks town except for me, but I can't at all tell whats backing that up. If you could provide a few solid reasons for each, then I'd be happy.I play the games rul gud.-
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Thok Disgrace to SKs everywhere
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Elias_the_thief He/HimNot Statistically SignificantHe/Him
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VitaminR Mafia Scum
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I realise and you deserve a clearcut answer. However, what's up there is only 3/8ths of the way through the game and it's not that clearly organised. I'll clarify what I meant on the basis of your responses at some point, but those posts alone were never meant to be taken as my case against you.Elias_the_thief wrote:Dude, my problem isnt that it isnt worded perfectly. My problem is that I don't even know what to defend, yet youre naming me your top suspect. My problem is at the end you declare that everyone looks town except for me, but I can't at all tell whats backing that up. If you could provide a few solid reasons for each, then I'd be happy.
The fact that you called bullshit before you even really knew what I was saying just grated on me.
Also, the lists at the end of each post reflect my impression of those 10 pages alone, not my impressions of the whole game at that point.-
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Thok Disgrace to SKs everywhere
- Disgrace to SKs everywhere
- Disgrace to SKs everywhere
- Posts: 7013
- Joined: March 28, 2005
Feh, I don't really mind Elias calling bullshit on this, since most of your arguments feel guttish, and your gut hasn't been particularly accurate this game.VitaminR wrote:The fact that you called bullshit before you even really knew what I was saying just grated on me.
Also, the lists at the end of each post reflect my impression of those 10 pages alone, not my impressions of the whole game at that point.
I feel like the only really major point you have on Elias is a conflated lurker wagon/not hunting scum wagon, half of which I'm neutral to (the lurker part) and half of which is worthwhile persuing (hence why I asked Elias for a list of his suspicions).
To be fair I haven't been saying much about my suspicions today, but that's mainly because I want to see how everybody reevaluates the game knowing Tony is scum. Given that I'm the only person that voted Tony yesterday with the expectation that he would be scum, I've got the least amount of reevauation to do. (Although somewhat surprisingly, I have done some reevaluation based off of people's initial reactions today.)I replaced into Chess Mafia for 6 months, and all I got was a win and this lousy sig.
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