Mafia 68: Ork - Game over!
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Kinetic Mafia Scum
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IH Always Scum
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IH Always Scum
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Shanba So win
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Guardian Mafia Scum
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Shanba So win
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Kinetic Mafia Scum
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Shanba So win
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Mastermind of Sin Cassandra Complex
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Shanba So win
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Kinetic Mafia Scum
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Pie_is_good Massclaim_is_Good
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The doc would be protecting the inspector, I'd think. Is it really worth the risk?CoolBot wrote:Pie, I think the vig should choose who to target. The danger of the cop investigating the target is mitigated by the chance the scum will target the same person. I also think the vig should claim so he has at least some protection from the doc.
This is wrong. The scenario that ensures everything to be "average" would be to weight the decision exactly according to the role's value to the town (if the cop is twice as valuable as the vig, 2:1 odds of protecting the cop).Mastermind of Sin wrote:Also, the doctor should literally roll a die and protect one of the vig/cop. This way, it keeps the scum from being able to kill either power role, because there is no psychological WIFOM to go through. There would be exactly a 50% chance of protecting either role, so the scum can't predict that.I am a stand-up dude of genuine flyness.-
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Kinetic Mafia Scum
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The doc is 50/50 on the cop vig. Reasoning below.Pie_is_good wrote:
The doc would be protecting the inspector, I'd think. Is it really worth the risk?CoolBot wrote:Pie, I think the vig should choose who to target. The danger of the cop investigating the target is mitigated by the chance the scum will target the same person. I also think the vig should claim so he has at least some protection from the doc.
No, MOS is correct. With a 50/50 on cop/vig the scum have at best a coin flip arrangement. And since we're forcing them into a corner with Mass Claim they cannot afford a no kill night. If it is like you say they might consider going for the Vig since he only has a 30% chance of being protected. Not so much a coin flip anymore.Pie_is_good wrote:
This is wrong. The scenario that ensures everything to be "average" would be to weight the decision exactly according to the role's value to the town (if the cop is twice as valuable as the vig, 2:1 odds of protecting the cop).Mastermind of Sin wrote:Also, the doctor should literally roll a die and protect one of the vig/cop. This way, it keeps the scum from being able to kill either power role, because there is no psychological WIFOM to go through. There would be exactly a 50% chance of protecting either role, so the scum can't predict that.Large Theme List Mod Emeritus
On hiatus due to Real Life-
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IH Always Scum
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Yosarian2 (shrug)
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No, that's silly. If the mafia had a 50/50 chance of killing the cop, they would definatly take it, I'd think, and keep taking it every night, rather then shoot at the "townies" and thus limit the pool of potential lynches trying to find the doc. It'd be worth it for the scum to take 2 or 3 shots in order to kill the cop, I'd think.Kinetic wrote: No, MOS is correct. With a 50/50 on cop/vig the scum have at best a coin flip arrangement. And since we're forcing them into a corner with Mass Claim they cannot afford a no kill night. If it is like you say they might consider going for the Vig since he only has a 30% chance of being protected. Not so much a coin flip anymore.
Can we please just stop trying to tell the doc what to do here?I want us to win just for Yos' inevitable rant alone. -CrashTextDummie-
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Tarhalindur Mod Screw
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scotmany12
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Guardian Mafia Scum
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Mastermind of Sin Cassandra Complex
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Mastermind of Sin Cassandra Complex
- Cassandra Complex
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- Location: Sleeping with the Godfather's Daughter
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IH Always Scum
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Flameaxe Comma Police
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curiouskarmadog This Space for Rant
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Flameaxe Comma Police
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IH Always Scum
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