Open 34 - Dethy (Game Over) - before 474
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Seems decent if we can make it work. My timezone is GMT+1. Maybe we can do it today, four of us seem to be around, we just need the last one. I'll be around for a few more hours probably.Thok wrote:I think a good idea would be to try to get everybody to agree on a particular time, and get everybody to try to simulpost there results at once.Primpod 11:13 pm
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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When I played it on scumchat, the usual way we were looking at things was to assume each player is scum (in turn) and see if that was possible from the results we had, and what each cop would be in that case. I'll probably do that when we get JDodge's result if someone else hasn't.
As a general observation, I asked the mod before the game, and you can't investigate yourself (you can but you will get an innocent result regardless of sanity). Not sure if that would be a good strategy night 0 but it's out anyway.Primpod 11:13 pm
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Meh. I haven't yet found a way to force a win from this. I'll keep trying though. SSF is the most likely scum because Ms Piggy has an innocent on JDodge, and there's a 50% chance Ms Piggy is a sane cop, but there's nothing to seperate me from SSF yet.Primpod 11:13 pm
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Yeah, it was rushed. I wasn't sure whether we were doing it then or waiting until :45 or possibly for JDodge. When I saw one guy post a result, I quickly posted mine too.Ms Piggy wrote:I see how you might feel it's Patrick, especially his quick x:38 result giving that just said Thok Guilty. It seemed rushed a bit as if he had to think quick of a result, though I think it's just a feeling that doesn't mean anything.
I don't mind the plan. Everyone investigating me right? And I check Dodge or SSF. Should I say who or keep it to myself?Primpod 11:13 pm
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Blah. Ok. Checking in after work I see that I am cleared by virtue of these two both having a guilty on me. Unfortunately, we haven't got this one in the bag yet it seems. I investigated SSF, and got a guilty. I'll think about this. Don't no lynch or do anything until I get a chance. We can probably still have good odds here.Primpod 11:13 pm
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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So I'm 50/50 insane or paranoid. Ms Piggy is 50/50 sane or naive. SSF has a guilty result on him from me which makes it more likely he's town (if I'm insane, SSF is town). JDdodge has an innocent on him from Ms Piggy which makes it more likely he's town (if Piggy is sane, JDodge is town). So they're on an equal standing from that point of view. Unfortunately, at least one of myself and Piggy must be a useless cop, and possibly both of us are useless.
The play tonight is for me to investigate JDodge, and Ms Piggy to investigate SSF. JDodge and SSF investigate each other. Whoever is nightkilled, tomorrow the two suspects should probably have to claim their results simultaneously, and before the confirmed innocent.
It's late here, so if that doesn't make any sense, someone point out why. I think that's the situation though. I'll think a bit more but that may be the best we have.Primpod 11:13 pm
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Meh. There's no way to force victory, so all I can do is play the odds.
Vote: SSF
The biggest thing I can see is that Ms Piggy (either naive or sane) got an innocent investigation on JDodge, which makes it more likely he's town. There is no equivalent investigation on SSF now that it's been shown that I always get guilty results.Primpod 11:13 pm
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I didn't think I could justify voting the other way. Statistically it was more likely for JDodge to be innocent because of Ms Piggy's investigation on him. There were a few smaller things going around but that seemed to be the biggest thing to base a decision on.Primpod 11:13 pm
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Well that's a relief. I thought the late result on day 1 was a slight point in his favour, I thought as scum he could come up with a result less helpful to the town. Last night's kill gave me mixed feelings though, I could have seen an argument either way.Primpod 11:13 pm
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Yeah, I thought Thok would check JDodge even though the plan was officially to have everyone investigate me. Investigating JDodge was better play but needed to be kept quiet.
Bad luck SSF, nobody wants to be scum in this setup.Primpod 11:13 pm
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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Ms Piggy, it was statistically (if thats the word?) less likely that he was scum because of your innocent investigation on him. Even without that I'd probably have voted SSF because of the point about JDodge giving the town such a useful result on day 1 (as scum he could have made up a less helpful result).Primpod 11:13 pm
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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This is what I thought at first. But then I thought that if JDodge as scum had killed me, he'd know Piggy would turn up an innocent on SSF, and then JDodgescum would likely be lynched in the endgame (because my guilty on SSF would make SSF look more innocent). So I could see an argument for JDodge as scum wanting to avoid that likely loss and gambling on me being a useless cop.Thok wrote:Last night's kill was actually an argument in favor of SSFscum; JDodgescum has less incentive to kill Piggy, as he knows she's naive (and that you could be scum).Primpod 11:13 pm
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