Open 571- Pick Your Poison Game over

SXTLHGaiden · Post Post #1200 (ISO) » Fri Oct 24, 2014 7:16 am

In post 1199, Fluminator wrote:I trusted you Alchemist
Intent to hammer.

are you waiting for his last words or something?

Fluminator · Post Post #1201 (ISO) » Fri Oct 24, 2014 7:20 am

Giving everyone a chance to comment before the day ends. I hate it when the day ends while I have something I want to say.

Alchemist21 · Post Post #1202 (ISO) » Fri Oct 24, 2014 7:49 am

Hmm, you're right. I didn't go 100% because people would have attacked me for tunnel vision. I didn't want people to attack for not considering alternate possibilities. My statement was geared toward I can't see you and Cal as scum, so the 5% is highly unlikely.

But you're right, you didn't hammer so you can't be scum. This pretty much reinforces my view of a Gaiden-Cal scumteam.

Krystal Bald · Post Post #1203 (ISO) » Fri Oct 24, 2014 7:54 am

In post 1196, Fluminator wrote:If Alchemist was town, he would be 100% positive Gaiden and Caled is the scum team. The fact he thinks it's possible I'm scum is a slip I think. If he was town he would have ruled me out when I didn't quick hammer him given the opportunity.
I don't think this a newb tell. He ruled out Krystal using the same logic.

The only way it's a slip is if you're scum with him and the reason he's not ruling you out is because he knows you're scum.

SXTLHGaiden · Post Post #1204 (ISO) » Fri Oct 24, 2014 12:35 pm

In post 1203, Krystal Bald wrote:
In post 1196, Fluminator wrote:If Alchemist was town, he would be 100% positive Gaiden and Caled is the scum team. The fact he thinks it's possible I'm scum is a slip I think. If he was town he would have ruled me out when I didn't quick hammer him given the opportunity.
I don't think this a newb tell. He ruled out Krystal using the same logic.

The only way it's a slip is if you're scum with him and the reason he's not ruling you out is because he knows you're scum.

ummm... What?

Krystal Bald · Post Post #1205 (ISO) » Fri Oct 24, 2014 2:25 pm

If Alc is scum who doesn't know that L-1 in a lylo situation gives us a mexican standoff scenario, he wouldn't have ruled us out for that reason. So it's not a slip.

Fluminator · Post Post #1206 (ISO) » Fri Oct 24, 2014 9:04 pm

Late night where I am. I don't follow Krystal's logic but it may be because I'm super tired. I still want Called to expand on her read before day ends.

Fluminator · Post Post #1207 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 7:49 am

I think the slip makes more sense if he knows I'm town in the first place. He simply wouldn't have made the connection that I would be confirmed town because he had always been assuming I'm town and wasn't paying much attention.
Also, I still have a decent scumread on Krystal and the only way Krystal is scum is if Alchemist is.
Although the only way Alchemist isn't scum is if the scum team is Matsumi, Caled, and Gaiden. I'll re-read the game and see how likely that is. I want to be absolutely sure. I thought Randommidget slipped and was wrong.

Alchemist21 · Post Post #1208 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 10:22 am

Flum, I've been townreading you the whole game. Our working together since the last dayphase solidified that townread. When you asked me to put a percentage to my reads, my mind went into statistics logic mode, where they teach you that you are never 100% sure of your conclusions, and instead that you reach conclusions based on confidence intervals, 95% being the most common. My explanation for the 5% was weak, but only because I couldn't imagine any good scenario for it.

I should have put 100%, but enter the argument, "you can only be 100% sure of their alignments if you're scum."

Fluminator · Post Post #1209 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 10:55 am

Can you change your avatar to this so I feel less guilty if you turn up innocent.

Vote: Alchemist

Fluminator · Post Post #1210 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 10:56 am

I don't want to wait for notscience so can you just tell me right now what you are?

Alchemist21 · Post Post #1211 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 10:57 am

In post 1209, Fluminator wrote:Can you change your avatar to this so I feel less guilty if you turn up innocent.

Vote: Alchemist

No. However, after this game I will feature you in a thread about times a user's post perfectly matched their avatar.

Fair enough?

Fluminator · Post Post #1212 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 10:59 am

The fact that the person in my avatar is a mad genius?

Alchemist21 · Post Post #1213 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 11:00 am

In post 1004, Fluminator wrote:Come at me bro!

No, this.

Alchemist21 · Post Post #1214 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 11:01 am

It'll go with Beck and his "Well I suggest we nip that in the bud" post.

Alchemist21 · Post Post #1215 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 11:03 am

In post 1210, Fluminator wrote:I don't want to wait for notscience so can you just tell me right now what you are?

Vanilla Town.

Fluminator · Post Post #1216 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 11:06 am

Shoot. Sorry Krystal. I wasn't expecting us to win this anyway.
So it was Doublade, Gaiden, and Matsumi after all.

Alchemist21 · Post Post #1217 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 11:07 am

Technically, your vote wasn't the hammer since you didn't bold it. It's not too late to change it.

Fluminator · Post Post #1218 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 11:08 am

Crap! You noticed!

Fluminator · Post Post #1219 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 11:08 am

HAHAHAHA! It was worth a shot.

Alchemist21 · Post Post #1220 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 11:10 am

What was the point of that?

Fluminator · Post Post #1221 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 11:17 am

I'll be back later. This was a nice break from studying for midterms.

Alchemist21 · Post Post #1222 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 3:36 pm

In post 1220, Alchemist21 wrote:What was the point of that?

Again, what were you trying to do?

Fluminator · Post Post #1223 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 3:39 pm

Just trying to trick you into thinking you'd been hammered. I knew it was a longshot, but it was fun.

Alchemist21 · Post Post #1224 (ISO) » Sat Oct 25, 2014 3:42 pm

I know I haven't had that many beers yet.