Consulmaker - Carthage wins!


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Post Post #825 (ISO) » Sat May 05, 2007 2:34 pm

Post by Mastermind of Sin »

Occult wrote:*Eats Popcorn*

I got a question....

I'm finding BM quite scummy from all of this, yet he really isn't considered to be anti-town by most of the players it seems. Why is that? Is this just the way he happens to play?
I've tried SO hard to give him benefit of the doubt...

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Raffles - 4(Cephrir, Shanba, Yosarian2, Mastermind of Sin)
Yosarian2 - 2(Battle Mage, Raffles)
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Post Post #826 (ISO) » Sun May 06, 2007 1:34 am

Post by Battle Mage »

note that my affiliation in both those games is unknown, thus such analyses cannot be made accurately. note that in neither did i ever make a strong case against you. I would go into more detail, but the last time i did that, i got warned for talking about games currently in progress. :(
note also that YOUR affiliation in those games is not necessarily known to me either. :roll:

Mastermind of Sin wrote:So are you denying that you repeatedly said that I should be executed in Kingmaker and told your replacement to get me killed, or that you, until quite recently, were heavily advocating lynching me in Mafia vs. Wolves? Not to mention that you were not advocating that I was scum in RFM until you came up with a guilty investigation on me. I don't know your alignment in either game, so I won't speculate on it (plus, we can't do that anyways), but regardless of alignment, it still stands that you have repeatedly thought I was scum in most of the games I'm in with you.
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2020 Stats - 31 completed games:

Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4

winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%
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Post Post #827 (ISO) » Sun May 06, 2007 2:00 am

Post by Raffles »

Will you stop discussing who has the bigger penis and get back to the task at hand, finding second tribune.
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Post Post #828 (ISO) » Sun May 06, 2007 2:13 am

Post by Battle Mage »

lol what do you mean?
YOU are the second tribune :P :lol:


Raffles wrote:Will you stop discussing who has the bigger penis and get back to the task at hand, finding second tribune.
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2020 Stats - 31 completed games:

Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4

winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%
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Post Post #829 (ISO) » Sun May 06, 2007 2:33 am

Post by Raffles »

Have I missed something? Who's the first? TEOM got unvoted.
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Post Post #830 (ISO) » Sun May 06, 2007 3:12 am

Post by Battle Mage »

Yos.

Raffles wrote:Have I missed something? Who's the first? TEOM got unvoted.
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2020 Stats - 31 completed games:

Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4

winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%
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Post Post #831 (ISO) » Sun May 06, 2007 3:16 am

Post by Yosarian2 »

Yeah, me and raffles being tribune sounds fine to me.
I want us to win just for Yos' inevitable rant alone. -CrashTextDummie
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Post Post #832 (ISO) » Sun May 06, 2007 6:23 am

Post by Mastermind of Sin »

Battle Mage wrote:note that my affiliation in both those games is unknown, thus such analyses cannot be made accurately. note that in neither did i ever make a strong case against you. I would go into more detail, but the last time i did that, i got warned for talking about games currently in progress. :(
note also that YOUR affiliation in those games is not necessarily known to me either. :roll:

Mastermind of Sin wrote:So are you denying that you repeatedly said that I should be executed in Kingmaker and told your replacement to get me killed, or that you, until quite recently, were heavily advocating lynching me in Mafia vs. Wolves? Not to mention that you were not advocating that I was scum in RFM until you came up with a guilty investigation on me. I don't know your alignment in either game, so I won't speculate on it (plus, we can't do that anyways), but regardless of alignment, it still stands that you have repeatedly thought I was scum in most of the games I'm in with you.
ROFL. Did you even READ my post, or did you just assume that I didn't think it through? Had you read my post, you would notice that I already addressed the fact that our alignments are unknown. What your alignment in those games is is irrelevant, which is the only reason I CAN refer to those ongoing games in passing. The fact that you do not know my alignment in those games is also irrelevant, since the original point was asking if you truly believed that I could be scum in all those games at once. In addition, you have not made a strong case against me in ANY game, including this one (RFM excluded, for obvious reasons), so that's why I pointed out that you think I'm scum in almost every game. You repeatedly try to build suspicion against me in games we play together, without actually putting together a decent set of logic to show that I'm scum. So, your post was pretty much completely irrelevant, BM. Please try to read my posts before bringing up points that I've responded to in advance. :wink:
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Post Post #833 (ISO) » Sun May 06, 2007 6:23 am

Post by Mastermind of Sin »

Raffles wrote:Will you stop discussing who has the bigger penis and get back to the task at hand, finding second tribune.
Yos seems fine to me, I suppose.
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Post Post #834 (ISO) » Sun May 06, 2007 10:24 am

Post by Cogito Ergo Sum »

Raffles and Yosarian2 have been elected to the office of Tribune.
Scumchat is awesome. Yarr!

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Post Post #835 (ISO) » Sun May 06, 2007 10:24 am

Post by Battle Mage »

yes i did read the post, and saw your comment, but at the end i had the displeasure of reading:
Mastermind of Sin wrote: it still stands that you have repeatedly thought I was scum in most of the games I'm in with you.
[/quote]
Obviously you hadnt been paying attention to your OWN comments, so i felt the inclination to reiterate them for you.
Even NOW you are backtracking on your comments, so ill explain it again for you. MY ALIGNMENT IN THOSE GAMES IS
NOT
IRRELEVANT, BECAUSE YOU HAVE DRAWN A CONCLUSION FROM THEM THAT IS BASED UPON AN ASSUMPTION OF WHAT THEY WERE.

In your favour, i DO often find you scummy, however i have now learnt to look further than that with you. This game is your scummiest i have played with you, and as such i stand by my observations. You will notice that in other games, my view has changed in accordance with my adaption towards your behaviour.
Regardless, its not my decision anyway. If my case is so bad, you wont be executed. its as simple as that. However, from what people have been saying, many others see you as potential scum in this game-not just me.
Good luck persuading the people who count.
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2020 Stats - 31 completed games:

Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4

winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%
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Post Post #836 (ISO) » Sun May 06, 2007 2:52 pm

Post by Mastermind of Sin »

Where have I made any assumption as to your alignment? Saying that you said I was scum does NOT presume you to be of a particular alignment. It merely points out the fact that there is a recurring theme in your posts concerning your apparent views on my own alignment throughout most of our games.
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Post Post #837 (ISO) » Mon May 07, 2007 4:50 am

Post by Shanba »

MoS: I'll post my responses to your responses when Zindie responds too and do them all at once. On the whole I'm happy with what you've written however.

I'm relatively happy with our tribune choices: I'm not overjoyed about Yos tribune as I'd rather we'd had some time to discern his alignment first, but meh.

I do believe I missed doing my TEOM analysis, so I'll get to that now. I'll also post my thoughts on those Zindie picked out.

TEOM: Starts the game well, getting opinions down early and making his thoughts known while others were still arguing over things such as whether MoS was a good player or not. +points for that. Since then he has posted regularly (if not too often) and has used relatively well reasoned arguments. He has been consistent (notably on his position about the rafflewagon).

Then there's his play today. It's been off, frankly. His position on self-voting is odd, and it looks like (to blatantly copy Yos) look good. Post 33 sticks out to me especially.

I may as well take this opportunity to say what I feel about self-voting. You are the only player you know to be pro-town. Therefore, if there is a chance for you to elect yourself tribune, I see no reason not to. If your vote on yourself however is a useless one that noone is following you on then that's different, as useless voting that says nothing about your opinions is, obviously, useless.

Pos 33 sticks out to me. A townie can win if he is dead. Sure, getting yourself killed is never a good thing, but staying alive and out of the spotlight is much more of a concern for scum than town. So that post strikes me the wrong way.

As for the voting history... you've so far voted on the scum laden MoS wagon and for Primate scum. Then you refused to self-vote. So while you may have supported the AndrewS tribune push, you never voted for him and therefore you have a terrible voting record.

Thinking not scum, unless MoS is.

Battle Mage: Battle Mage seems no different here to other games where he was pro-town. I believe he is not scum. My only concern is that I don't have enough examples where he was scum to compare with, but for me he is a 2 on the scale.

Cephrir: Has lurked pretty much the entire game. Any of the posts he has made have been fairly useless arguing with BM or making fairly unsupported statements about who he feels is scummy.

[quote=Cephrir]I could go with any of those executions, I just reread Raffles and Kison (I don't need to reread BM), and I don't like how Kison posts a lot of nothing. Raffles has slightly more content, and I think BM is just being BM.

Vote: Kison[/quote]
I don't like this post. Going with the flow of the consuls doesn't sit well for me, especially as he hadn't mentioned any of these players at all before that point (save to say he had a minor townie feel from raffles.)


[quote=Cephrir]In what way has my logic been poor? I’ve hardly had any logic that could be poor.[/quote] From his last post: This is ironically true. There has been little logic used by him.

6/9. I could go with a Cephrir execution.

I won't quantify my suspicions of MoS until I've finished discussing with him.
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Post Post #838 (ISO) » Mon May 07, 2007 11:17 am

Post by Mastermind of Sin »

Remind me that I have something else to say about Cephrir once everyone posts their input.
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Post Post #839 (ISO) » Tue May 08, 2007 9:11 am

Post by Zindaras »

Shanba wrote:Note the discrepancy between the three quotes. In the first he is taking a jokey attitude, saying that there might be elephant mafia. Night 1 there was a stomped kill, so that whole first post feels off, and looks like prior knowledge.
It was a joke. The fact that I was proven right about Elephants when Cessy finally posted the flavour for Night 1 (which was done after I made that post) says nothing. I simply know a lot about ancient history, because I've always been interested in it. I could've predicted you the inclusion of roles like Hasdrubal and Quintus Fabius too. I'm probably right in stating that Maharbal and Hannibal are two of the remaining scum (depending on how many scum there are. At the very least I'm sure about those, another one I don't know). Does that look like prior knowledge to you?
In the next post mentioning elephants he insinuates that he knew that the kill was elpehantine. While this may be the case, and I strongly suspect it is, he never explicitly said it day 1, instead calling the idea of an elephant mafia awesome. So he's contradicted himself slightly there. Then finally, his last post he clearly indicates that he thinks it's an SK and not a mafia, as he implied in his first post.
It was something I had put in my mind a while before and I thought I had posted about it.
This post explains that, but then there's a different contradiction. He says in his first post that the elephants would be an awesome mafia, indicating that he there is a possibility of a second mafia. Plus I just disagree with this post generally, I can't see from the flavour, especially given two night 1 kills, any reason for the elephant(s) to be Sk and not mafia.
It was a joke answer to TEOM's question. TEOM said a second Mafia were possible. The only possibility, flavour-wise, for a second Mafia, are the elephants, as I said.
Now, secondly, there's his suspicions history. Day 1 he indicates a suspicion of Panzer (me).
An IGMEOY is hardly something one has to follow on.
All the rest of his day 1 posts are basically fluff, theory discussion, before his one big post where he concludes that ~N9v~, Cephrir and Toaster Strudel are his LoE and N9V is his execution. Granted, he hit scum, but SK at that point is looking for scum just as avidly as town and the way he went about it leaves me distinctly uneasy. That was the first time he mentioned N9V except for once where he quotes him for his theory discussion. I'll go back to that big post later, as there's something interesting Zindie caught there.
Yes, I caught scum.

The way I went about it? I made a clear analysis. I don't see how that is scummy. It's not different from things I've done before. Besides, by executing N9V I stuck my head out. Livingod was the vote leader at that point, an easy execution. By killing N9V I put myself down as someone who doesn't necessarily follow popular opinion, something the Mafia doesn't really like.
April 4: Zindie makes this post:
Zindaras wrote:]I think Kison, Battle Mage and Raffles would all be reasonable executions for the day.
Shall we have another look at his LoE? N9V he executed and came up scum. Tosater Strudel was elephanted at night. Cephrir's still alive. Bm he has found scummy consistently through the game, but frankly, BM looks no different here to when he was town in other games. I know Zindaras has indicated he will not try and metagame him yet, but it still smells opportunistic.
The fact that BM looks no different to you says squat. You have no info confirming BM as town. I am consistent in my suspicion of BM.
Kison I can also agree with, having just previously fosed him myself, but where on earth did raffles come from and where did Kison go? Again, no reasoning provided. Then suddenly, today
Zindaras wrote:I want everyone to give their opinions on Battle Mage, Cephirir and MoS.
I can see the progression here, so this is not as important.
There were reasons behind all of them, which will be posted later.
Next, there's a trend. I will not quote posts for this section, beacuse I would need to quote far too many, but look for yourself: when Zindie defends himself, he only mentions the possibility of him being carthaginian and not the SK, but when he attacks (specifically Livingod), he mentions the possiblity of an SK.
The only time I ever mentioned the possibility of an SK on someone else was, if I remember correctly, livingod. I don't exactly see how that's odd. He's been useless, which is an SK-tell. He has several points for him not being Mafia, which an SK usually isn't. Which is one out of, what, nine suspicions I've voiced? Also, you seriously expect people to defend themselves from an accusation of being scum by proving they're not an SK? How many people that have been attacked in this game have attempted to prove they're not an SK?

Catching SKs is an entirely different thing from catching Mafia. Therefore, the tells, the arguments, are entirely different from an argument about being Mafia. The arguments I used to defend myself were arguments against being Mafia, because they are the clearest (see the connection between N9V and me).
Anyway, so that's my thoughts on Zindaras. I think his erraticness about his suspicions and his quietness about his reasoning, while still having that reasoning there is indicative of him being SK.
Exactly why do these indicate SKness?
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68 Wins, 71 Losses
Town: 52 Wins, 54 Losses (2 Wins as Cult)
Mafia: 13 Wins, 15 Losses (1 Win as Cult)
Other: 3 Wins, 1 Loss (1 Win as Cult)
Cult: 0 Wins, 1 Loss
Cultivated: 4 Wins, 0 Losses
59 Survived, 31 Lynched, 60 Killed
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Post Post #840 (ISO) » Tue May 08, 2007 9:14 am

Post by Battle Mage »

fyi, consistency is not a town-tell. Its a stubborn-tell. Trust me-i do it enough. :P
I can see your point about excuses for scummy behaviour 'because thats just BM' as being stupid, however its equally as stupid as not using knowledge about my play ATALL.
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2020 Stats - 31 completed games:

Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4

winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%
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Post Post #841 (ISO) » Tue May 08, 2007 9:20 am

Post by Twito »

I guess I gotta do a new re-read now with my head completely fucked up by 2 weeks of constant drinking..
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Post Post #842 (ISO) » Tue May 08, 2007 9:27 am

Post by Zindaras »

Battle Mage wrote:fyi, consistency is not a town-tell. Its a stubborn-tell. Trust me-i do it enough. :P
You are incorrect. Scum tends to be more opportunistic.
I can see your point about excuses for scummy behaviour 'because thats just BM' as being stupid, however its equally as stupid as not using knowledge about my play ATALL.
You can hardly say I haven't used knowledge about your play at all. I have taken into account the fact that you tend to play oddly.
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68 Wins, 71 Losses
Town: 52 Wins, 54 Losses (2 Wins as Cult)
Mafia: 13 Wins, 15 Losses (1 Win as Cult)
Other: 3 Wins, 1 Loss (1 Win as Cult)
Cult: 0 Wins, 1 Loss
Cultivated: 4 Wins, 0 Losses
59 Survived, 31 Lynched, 60 Killed
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Post Post #843 (ISO) » Tue May 08, 2007 9:36 am

Post by Battle Mage »

Tends
to be?
frankly thats not my opinion-but regardless, it is only your
opinion
.
any scum with an iq above 100 will try and be consistent to look good in the eyes of the down-in part based on logic such as that you have given. considering the experience of most players in this game, i dont think consistency can be used as a scumtell accurately.

You may have taken your knowledge of my play into account, but you havent reflected this in your stalwart attacks upon me. :roll:
Zindaras wrote:
Battle Mage wrote:fyi, consistency is not a town-tell. Its a stubborn-tell. Trust me-i do it enough. :P
You are incorrect. Scum tends to be more opportunistic.
I can see your point about excuses for scummy behaviour 'because thats just BM' as being stupid, however its equally as stupid as not using knowledge about my play ATALL.
You can hardly say I haven't used knowledge about your play at all. I have taken into account the fact that you tend to play oddly.
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2020 Stats - 31 completed games:

Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4

winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%
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Post Post #844 (ISO) » Tue May 08, 2007 10:37 am

Post by Mastermind of Sin »

Ok, now I'm scared. that was probably the most coherent and cohesive post I've ever seen from BM.
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Post Post #845 (ISO) » Tue May 08, 2007 11:17 am

Post by Zindaras »

Battle Mage wrote:
Tends
to be?
frankly thats not my opinion-but regardless, it is only your
opinion
.
any scum with an iq above 100 will try and be consistent to look good in the eyes of the down-in part based on logic such as that you have given. considering the experience of most players in this game, i dont think consistency can be used as a scumtell accurately.
All scum, even the most experienced ones, love easy lynches. Even this game shows us nice examples, see N9V's and Primate's votes on livingod.
You may have taken your knowledge of my play into account, but you havent reflected this in your stalwart attacks upon me. :roll:
If it weren't for the knowledge of your play, I'd be much more adamant about your death.
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68 Wins, 71 Losses
Town: 52 Wins, 54 Losses (2 Wins as Cult)
Mafia: 13 Wins, 15 Losses (1 Win as Cult)
Other: 3 Wins, 1 Loss (1 Win as Cult)
Cult: 0 Wins, 1 Loss
Cultivated: 4 Wins, 0 Losses
59 Survived, 31 Lynched, 60 Killed
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Post Post #846 (ISO) » Tue May 08, 2007 6:40 pm

Post by TheEyeOfMordor »

Consistency is a TEOM tell. I am very consistent both as scum and Town. It says nothing whatsoever about my alignment if I stick to my opinions.
Been reading a bit in, OOG content should stay OOG, if the games in question are still going on.
Don't really have much to add to Shanba's analysis except that I do not see how it is possible to come to his conclsion. If MoS is scum, why did all the scum support him and give themselves away? In my opinion, scum should try to aim for balance, not inbalance.
I think the chances are higher that if MoS is Town, then I am scum. Besides, BM said that one of us was scum, so obviously if MoS is Town then I must be scum.
Where are our lurkers? I have noticed Cephrir posting a bit more, but that is all...
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Post Post #847 (ISO) » Tue May 08, 2007 7:59 pm

Post by Raffles »

One thing I want to be clear with Zindaras is the execution regarding N9V. Yes, he did make a clear analysis, but the reasons for executing was rather reliant on gut. Yes?

As much as I do trust my gut, in the game like this, I would be a little more careful about using gut as a reason for execution. In this game Consuls effectively hold all the vote. I would rather use it as a safety zone to fall back to, rather than my main reason for execution. If you get what I mean.
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Post Post #848 (ISO) » Wed May 09, 2007 5:24 am

Post by Zindaras »

Raffles wrote:One thing I want to be clear with Zindaras is the execution regarding N9V. Yes, he did make a clear analysis, but the reasons for executing was rather reliant on gut. Yes?
It was a combination of the two. I had a bad gut feeling on him, and I had logic.
As much as I do trust my gut, in the game like this, I would be a little more careful about using gut as a reason for execution. In this game Consuls effectively hold all the vote. I would rather use it as a safety zone to fall back to, rather than my main reason for execution. If you get what I mean.
I use whatever works. I carry the responsibility of making a correct execution, whatever way I do it.
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Finished: 159 (120 Town, 33 Mafia, 5 Other, 1 Cult, 4 Cultivated)
68 Wins, 71 Losses
Town: 52 Wins, 54 Losses (2 Wins as Cult)
Mafia: 13 Wins, 15 Losses (1 Win as Cult)
Other: 3 Wins, 1 Loss (1 Win as Cult)
Cult: 0 Wins, 1 Loss
Cultivated: 4 Wins, 0 Losses
59 Survived, 31 Lynched, 60 Killed
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Post Post #849 (ISO) » Wed May 09, 2007 9:26 am

Post by Yosarian2 »

Raffles wrote: As much as I do trust my gut, in the game like this, I would be a little more careful about using gut as a reason for execution. In this game Consuls effectively hold all the vote. I would rather use it as a safety zone to fall back to, rather than my main reason for execution. If you get what I mean.
Eh, I've got no problem with seeing someone execute a semi-lurker on day 1 due in part to a scummy vibe coming from them. Day 1 lynches usually aren't based on much more then that anyway...
I want us to win just for Yos' inevitable rant alone. -CrashTextDummie

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