Marathon 2 (Semi-Open 1: Mafia)

[BeHappyNewyear]

Uh, I just realized one major problem with the whole "Fos now, vote later" strategy. In the original game, all we had to do was wait until about 5 minutes until the deadline to vote.

There is no set deadline for this game.

Still, I'm not absolutely sold either way on Atticus to change/remove the Fos. That's where it'll stay for now.

[MeMe]

Vote Count

:

BeHappyNewyear

(1):

Atticus

not voting

(5):

BeHappyNewyear, Glork, Jack, klebian, Vel-Rahn Koon

Four to lynch.

~~~~~~~~~

FOS Count

:

Atticus

(4):

Jack, BeHappyNewyear, klebian, Vel-Rahn Koon

klebian

(1):

Glork

[Glork]

UnFoS, FoS: Atticus

Call it a hunch.

[MeMe]

Setting deadline for 30 minutes from this post. If there's not four votes on anyone, it'll be a no lynch.

Got it?

[Jack]

Well, if two people do claim the same thing we have a 50% shot at choosing the right one. But right now we have 33% at scum anyway, and the odds of scum killing one of eachother are quite high. While if we massclaim we could just reveal the prime choice roles without learning anything.

[Glork]

Actually...

UnFoS, FoS: VRK
IGMEOY: Klebian

I didn't realize the Atticuswagon had grown so quickly.

[Jack]

Uh, I just realized one major problem with the whole "Fos now, vote later" strategy. In the original game, all we had to do was wait until about 5 minutes until the deadline to vote.

There is no set deadline for this game.

This isn't a problem.

[Atticus]

Ow, I died of FoS.

[Glork]

Well, if two people do claim the same thing we have a 50% shot at choosing the right one. But right now we have 33% at scum anyway, and the odds of scum killing one of eachother are quite high. While if we massclaim we could just reveal the prime choice roles without learning anything.

The odds of scums killing each other are not high.

It's 25% that one kills the other, and 1/16 that they both kill each other... and this is, of course, assuming no interference from a Roleblocker or Doctor.

[BeHappyNewyear]

Uh, I just realized one major problem with the whole "Fos now, vote later" strategy. In the original game, all we had to do was wait until about 5 minutes until the deadline to vote.

There is no set deadline for this game.

This isn't a problem.

It isn't now. Okay, FOS stratemegy holds

[Glork]

Holy crap, everybody FoSed Atticus except himself.

Everybody.

I'm trying to decide if this means Atticus is more likely to be town or scum.

[klebian]

BHNY, what are you talking about? Do you expect meme to all of a sudden say, time up, deadline reached, no lynch? Preview edit: that wasn't even a problem before the deadline.

I started to calculate probabilities, but I was being stupid. Never mind that for now.

[Atticus]

Am I only being voted for talking to myself? Or is it the vibe of trying to please town coming from that same post? Or is this just a randomwagon.

[Jack]

Well, if two people do claim the same thing we have a 50% shot at choosing the right one. But right now we have 33% at scum anyway, and the odds of scum killing one of eachother are quite high. While if we massclaim we could just reveal the prime choice roles without learning anything.

The odds of scums killing each other are not high.

It's 25% that one kills the other, and 1/16 that they both kill each other... and this is, of course, assuming no interference from a Roleblocker or Doctor.

Eh that's still quite high imo. Especially when you consider that 50-33 is only 17.


@bhny: fos strategy wasn't a problem even without deadline. The reason for fos is because of simulposts.

[klebian]

Actually, that FoS of mine was not meant to count in the FoS count, that's why i called it small. But that was a scummy post.

[Jack]

Holy crap, everybody FoSed Atticus except himself.

Everybody.

I'm trying to decide if this means Atticus is more likely to be town or scum.

Since there aren't any scum partners I don't think it says anything. I also don't think it's that shocking.

my fos was not particularly serious.

[Glork]

I think it's mostly random, Atticus... but I think that you should claim anyway.

[BeHappyNewyear]

No, I meant that the problem was that we couldn't vote right before the deadline if there was no deadline. Since there is a deadline now, there's nothing to worry about. I guess I was just thinking a little too shallow for the idea, really.

[Atticus]

O rly?

[Jack]

Unfos:atticus,fos:bhny

Not really liking your play here. Random vote, avatar comments, weird criminal insanity comment, incorrect fos-strategy comments.

[Glork]

O rly?

Sure, why not?


Also, I would *highly* suggest quoting posts that you respond to. It's much easier with this much simulposting.

[Atticus]

Sorry.

[klebian]

BHNY: the FoS's were established so we could vote without accidentally killing someone in a multi-post. The intent is that when someone has enough FoS's, we lynch him or vote him up to -1, or something similar.

[Atticus]

Anyone else want me to claim?

[Jack]

I think it's mostly random, Atticus... but I think that you should claim anyway.

hmm interesting, why?