Open 530 "WSoB" (Stack the Deck): GAME OVER

[Sakura Hana]

Unvote
Vote: Ank

Forgot.

[JacobSavage]

Hell I protected you last night IP.

To be honest if I don't die and IP doesn't die we lynch in the non town

{Scum have to kill IP at some point, leaving a Roleblocker alive seems stupid espically given the mafia win conditions and the possiblity of quick hammer. This means that I have to die sometime before final Lylo (RBer, BG, Mafia Goon is Happily Ever After, lynch BG, RB scum for trolololol).

AND we know that there has to be at least one scum in the remaining group either traitor or goon, either way with a correct lynch.

Basically if IP dies at any point lynch me with extreme presendence}.

[DoctorEagle]

Ok, I'm fine with a Ank lynch.

If Ank is scum, then it's either JS or Hiraki as the last scum. Depends if IP is alive tomorrow, if he's alive, then it's probably Hiraki. If IP dies, then it's JS.

If Ank is town, then it either JS/Hiraki or Ald/Hiraki.

VOTE: Ankankius

I know I probably failed on the spelling.

[DoctorEagle]

I think that's L-2.

[Alduskkel]

Is it just me or does DE get on any wagon that looks like it's going to get a lynch? First Hiraki and now Ankamius.

[Alduskkel]

DE do you have a townread on anyone who is not IP or Sakura?

[Ankamius]

Why should I be? Also thanks.

It's in my ISO somewhere. Your posts leading up to that statement were also painfully passive in a really bad way.

[Alduskkel]

I don't know what to make of the fact that you, with a wagon on your head, come in here just to tell me to look at your iso to find your attack on me.

Plus I think I already gave my defense.

[InflatablePie]

yeah, if we lynch town here and JS is scum, scum can kill me tonight to trade for JS if I block wrong, leaving us at a 3:1 LYLO/MYLO situation. gonna guess it's gonna be Sakura/Hiraki/notscience/Eagle, because Aldusk is at least competent. unless he's wrong, then he's left alive and someone else dies.

if we lynch town and JS is town, he dies tonight and we're at 4:2, which I

think

we lynch at that point since I can still block.

if we lynch Ankscum and JS is scum, he basically can't kill me. lols.

if we lynch Ankscum and JS is town, we're at 5:1 assuming a NK goes through (JS dies), and 3:1 LYLO/MYLO if I block wrong again. I can announce my blocks beforehand to either squeeze another lynch or force scum to no-kill over and over.

eh, all situations look fine to me.

[Alduskkel]

What if they don't trade JS for you? What if we lynch town, JS is town, and he doesn't die tonight?

[JacobSavage]

Then we look at my post and go lol lol lol lol.

They have to do the trade.

With 6 alive tommorrow and one of which is me and one of which is IP, we have a 1 in 2 chance of hitting scum. PLUS

If me IP and a Goon are left alive in 3person lylo we win / draw depending.

[Alduskkel]

Yeah, but there's no way we can ever know you're town, so it's NOT a 1 in 2 chance of hitting scum.

Also I don't know how the mod wants to resolve the RB vs. Goon thing.

@Mod: Is RB vs. Goon a draw?

[JacobSavage]

Fine lets assume I'm scum.

Either way lynching in that pool gives us a 1/4 and a 1/2 chance of lynching scum (two lynches)

This gives us (assuming we lynch correctly once)
RB / VT / VT / Me (Scum) <- No lynch
RB/ VT / Me(Scum) <- Lynch me to win.

[yabbaguy]

Vote Count 4.4

8 alive, 5 to lynch

Ankamius (3): InflatablePie, Sakura Hana, DoctorEagle
Alduskkel (2): Hiraki, Ankamius
Hiraki (1): JacobSavage
InflatablePie (1): notscience
notscience (1): Alduskkel

* Deadline: November 6 @ 9 AM EST ((expired on 2013-11-06 09:00:00))
* Prodding: notscience
* RB vs. Goon, being a forced repetitive loop of No Lynch and blocked kill, would result in a tie.

[JacobSavage]

Okay we can win this then.

[notscience]

Jesus this game goes slow

[Sakura Hana]

Jesus this game goes slow

Then vote Ank and speed it up.

[InflatablePie]

What if they don't trade JS for you? What if we lynch town, JS is town, and he doesn't die tonight?

if scum kill someone else tonight and JS is town they're dumb. (4:2 with 3 confirmed town gg).

if I block right or they no-kill we get an extra lynch for sure (5:2).

[notscience]

VOTE: Ankamius

[InflatablePie]

well, not 3 confirmed town exactly (since I have no idea if Jacob is town tbh), but it might as well be in that situation. we're lynching from whoever isn't me, JS, or my block target for tonight. giving us a 2/3 chance of lynching right (if JS is town, even if we don't know it, it's still 2/3).

now, before we hammer... should I divulge who I'm blocking tonight or not?

I'm going to say no only because if JS is scum, they make the trade tonight (assuming I block wrong) and it doesn't matter (since if I announce who I block they'll just die the night after to avoid a conftown in lylo).

if JS is town I'll still be alive tomorrow.

just not sure if I want to WIFOM the scumz or not.

[InflatablePie]

eh I guess it depends on what Ank flips, too.

I think I'll keep it secret.

[JacobSavage]

I'd keep it a secret.

You're going to be here tommorrow no matter what. If they pull a no kill gambit then they're just silly.

[InflatablePie]

Feel like hammering?

And who do

you

think I should roleblock?

[JacobSavage]

Sure.

Honestly the less said the better.

VOTE: Ankamius

[DoctorEagle]

Is it just me or does DE get on any wagon that looks like it's going to get a lynch? First Hiraki and now Ankamius.

Oh, sorry for voting for my scumreads. :/

DE do you have a townread on anyone who is not IP or Sakura?

Yeah. JS is town unless if IP dies while JS is alive. Depending on Ank's flip, you are probably town if Ank flips scum and scum if Ank flips town. Again, it depends on if IP dies while JS is alive.

eh I guess it depends on what Ank flips, too.

I think I'll keep it secret.

Keep it a secret. It works best that way.