There is a "theorum" that explains why Bogre is scum...IH wrote:I'm still not getting the wagon on Bogre, he just hasn't made any posts for us to tell. He should be on the neutral list according to LL, as he hasn't gotten a read, but he's siding with him being scum.
Why not Jack, if he's the other person on your suspicions LL? You don't feel like voting for him? You should be able to get a better read on him since he's posted. I find it curious that you are focusing on Bogre instead of Jack...
I asked LL for clarification on this theorum since it seems to draw more than a few conclusions, but I got no response.LuckayLuck in post 105 wrote:Silent Speaker,
This looks mafia-ish.the silent speaker wrote:So... not random, then. Unvote: Ether, vote: Canucklehead.
Also, you were the first vote on Ether, who at the time of my suspicion, had the highest bandwagon. The "first day first wave mafia bandwagon" theorem dictates that there is usually exactly one mafia on the first 4-vote wagon on day1, and the 4th vote is not a mafia. IH is townie, and Ether is townie, thus: it's either you or Bogre.
FOS: Bogre
P.S. I'm a nut, but not crazy
HackerHuck wrote:Luckay, please confirm my understanding of your logic behind Bogre being scum.
1. Ether is town
2. The Ether bandwagon is the "first day first wave mafia bandwagon" and it consisted of these votes (in order of placement): SilentSpeaker, IH, Bogre, Fritzler, CES, Canucklehead
3. One (and only one) voter on the "first day first wave mafia bandwagon" is scum.
4. Fourth vote is not scum (Clears Fritzler)
5. IH is not scum
6. Between SilentSpeaker and Bogre, you fancy Bogre as scum.
Assuming the above is correct, I have a few questions.
Do your numbers apply to games of all sizes or do you scale it accordingly?
Why are you so certain of Ether's innocence? Is it her singing or your spreadsheet?
Same question about IH, except for the singing.
Why no mention of CES? He should be one of your options unless he's considered town.
"Can we vote for the silent speaker now?" was posted twice in closing your posts and now you've flipped over to Bogre. That's the explanation I'm most curious about now. Why is Bogre suddenly more suspicious than SilentSpeaker?