Open 482: Popcorn Mafia {Game Over}

[HadMatter]

Sorry for inactivity. This game is hard to get into. I'll publish a would shoot to would not shoot list tonight.

[Limo]

As of a quick skim, Mac and Siv would be optimal shots. I'll get around to a more thorough read-through by tonight.

[Jal]

I've been informed that mcqueen has been site banned, and as consequence has been ejected from this game.

RedPanda replaces mcqueen's slot immediately.

[RedPanda]

Hey guys!
first thing I want to say is that I think we should reduce the deadline a little bit to give the scumbags a chance

[RedPanda]

You shouldn't shoot Limo or hadmatter. I'm at page 2 and they're obv town.

[RedPanda]

Mac too

[RedPanda]

wouldn't shoot regfan

I'm on the fence about CDB.

Bum, I'm in agreement of not liking Mantis' entry, but what makes her less suspect is that I think she actually does suspect people that have scum reads on her more. The same happened when she was town in the game I played with her in.

Don't like this post.

[RedPanda]

you should shoot

Siveure DtTrikyp
Mantisdreamz
Cherry Nog
Juke

in that order. most if not all of the scumbags are in there.

[Bumfuzzled]

Posting this quickly, since I need to go in like 10 minutes; to let you all know that, Regfan and I have been quite busy over the weekend and we haven't had much of a chance to talk lately, so I'm unsure as to what his current reads are, or if he had any chance to catch up for that matter. With that being said, I like RedPanda's replace in posts; but I'm not quite sure how many of your reads I agree with.

[HadMatter]

I like Bumfuzzled and Limo for town. Not McQueen, but no fault of Panda.

[HadMatter]

I'm going to read through and put $PN for would not shoot because of post number PN, and !PN for would shoot because of post number PN. Also expect double $$ or !! for supertown or superscum posts. Leaving Human Destroyer and myself off for obvious reasons.

1. Bumfuzzled $64 $117
3. Mac !8
4. Cherry Nog !45 !128 !134
5. Siveure DtTrikyp !73 $138
6. ChannelDelibird $13 !15 $20 !125 !171
7. Limo

Spawnisen

!14
8. RedPanda

mcqueen

!56 !98 !105 !168
9. Juke $36 !57 !65
11. Mantisdreamz !112

I see a pretty strong Channel/mcqueen link for posts 171 and 182.
I'd shoot mcqueen to check that link, and likely only shoot Channel if mcqueen was scum. If they weren't both scum, I'd start looking at Mantis and Cheery.

I know we're looking for 3 scum, not 2, but I don't trust my reads enough to pick out all 3 scum at this time. Maybe once at least one of them gets shot.

Not sure about town reads. I'd be pretty hesitant to shoot Bum or Limo or Juke, but I'm not going to say I'd never shoot them.

Put Mac and Siv as neutral. Both need to provide a lot more content.

Note: I apparently see way more scummy ! things than townie $ things so maybe have one $ be enough to cancel 3 !s or so. Not that my analysis is anywhere near that precise, but what the hey.

[RedPanda]

4 scum not three.

[Juke]

4 scum not three.

Was just about to say this.

Also, never shoot HadMatter.

Reading up on this soon, getting into a game I replaced into first.

[HadMatter]

I fully and completely thought it was 8/3. No wonder the average scumminess level in this thread is so high. 7/4 is going to be really tough to win.

[Juke]

Well, 7/4 with an Innocent Child and a lynch decided by town alone.

[HadMatter]

It will be tougher than the 8/3 I thought we had. No denying that much.

[RedPanda]

you're wrong.

7/4 is easier than 8/3

[RedPanda]

especially with this setup.

[HadMatter]

And I imagine 6/5 would be easier yet? I don't k ow why you think more mafia and less town is easier

[RedPanda]

The hardest part of mafia is town hunting. the smaller the number of town, the easier the game will be.

The only problem with large numbers of scum is that can control the lynch with votes which is why we need more town players. This setup doesn't require numbers only skill.

[RedPanda]

is that they*

[HadMatter]

While some of that makes sense, the conclusion seems obviously false. More town and less scum gives higher odds of winning.

[RedPanda]

No it doesn't.

[RedPanda]

You have higher odds of lynching town rather than scum.

[Cherry Nog]

I agree with juke about hadmatter.

And redpanda is looking much more town than mcqueen ever could.

UNVOTE:

I can't see the confection between 171 and 182 - us it that they're both giving lists?