This is such a weird question to ask. Why did you ask this, Pless?
TGAH's vote on Jason is pretty poor; to be honest I'm completely unconvinced as to why anyone would consider Jason a good vote today. Sotty and Zach have vouched for his towniness, which is NOT a reason to count him out completely but is a great reason to go after other people on Day 1. Indeed, in the situation TGAH seems to suspect, I'd want to vote Sottyrulez instead of Jason. Wouldn't their flip tell you more about a partnership between them than Jason's would?
The more I read Shadoweh's bit about not getting involved with the SD wagon because of the people on it, the less I like it.
DeasVail's 483 goes a way to making me feel better about him as town. The only thing I don't get, DV, is the inconsistency you're pointing out about SD in the two quotes you picked out. Could you explain that to me? Otherwise the arguments above make me pretty happy about where my vote is.
Depending on DeasVail's answer to the above, there's a good chance I'll move my vote to McStab.