Norinel wrote:Wuffles wrote:A Straw man fallacy is when you are misquoting someone’s arguments or deliberately not placing them in the strongest possible light in order to make their arguments seem weaker or less logical.
I hope you now understand EXACTLY what I was trying to do – put Arafax’s unspecified suppositions in a more concrete form so that I could better refute them.
And you're specifying them in a way that directly contradicts something that he actually said to make it into an arguments that's logically flawed ("Weaker or less logical", as you put it). Here's what Arafax has actually said about a deadline being suspicious:
Arafax ends post 393 with:
Arafax wrote:Wuffle wrote:Mod, can we have a deadline, please?
Wuffles, this does not take away any of my suspicions of you...This does not come across as pro twon at all!
This was vague, I'll admit. Wuffles says in 397 that requesting a deadline is neither inherently pro-town or anti-town. In post 398, Arafax clarifies his position: (Emphasis mine)
Sometimes
a deadline without a lynch equals a no lynch...A no lynch is never a pro town move...You asking for a deadline makes me find you scummy...Not trying again, you're doing it well yourself to become more scummy to me.
Dictionary.com defines "sometimes" as "on some occasions; at times; now and then." In other words, not at all occasions. In post 400, Wuffles somehow gets from this to "If a deadline is set, then there will be no lynch." as a key part of Arafax's argument, and the only conclusion as "There will be No Lynch".
In post 413, after a bit more discussion, Arafax adds:
Wuffles - I think that a speed lynch or a no lynch is never good for the town...That's why I am suspicious of you for asking for a no lynch.
And then corrects a typo/slip a few posts later:
My apology...This is a typo...I meant "deadline" not "no lynch" - That's what my argument was and still is.
In post 426, he clarifies further, and adds some new points (Which Wuffles' argument also doesn't address):
3. I think wanting a deadline is not a protown thing to do, and I assumed everyone would know why a deadline isn't protown...Mostly, it could lead to a no lynch. Plus, it shortens the day, shortens the discussion, puts pressure on the town, and could also lead to a lynch without a claim. Anyone who asks for a deadline will be suspicious to me...I think this is both a reasonable and common opinion, and not bollocks.
I don't agree that a no lynch is never a pro town move. On Day 1, it almost certainly isn't, but there are situations where it's the best thing to do, and there are situations where it's better than other options. That's a blanket statement I disagree with, but Wuffles has invented a blanket statement in his argument that I don't think anyone in this game agrees with ("If a deadline is set, then there will be no lynch"), and demonstrates how an argument based on that false premise is false. That's a strawman. You're not going out of your way to avoid a fallacy, you're going out of your way (Maybe possibly unintentionally, but I doubt it) to commit it.
Also, Wuffles, please tell me what's wrong with my characterization of Arafax's point regarding deadlines and no lynch from post 401:
Norinel wrote:1. Sometimes, if a deadline is set, there will be no lynch.
2. No lynch is bad for the town.
3. Therefore, setting a deadline can hurt the town.
4. Wuffles is asking to set a deadline.
5. Therefore, Wuffles might be trying to hurt the town.
I'm going to have to repeat myself again, I see.
I don't see the possibility of a no lynch at even 1% right now, with this many people already at 2 (or three !!) votes already.
That is why I am fervently denying that my wish for a deadline was for any reason other than to MOVE THE GAME ON.
Here is the way I perceive your attempts to clarify fax's argument. Note well that I fully believe anyone who goes for this argument is resting their propositions upon a flawed base - that is, that there is a possibility worth considering that a deadline today will result in a no lynch.
Even a freaking muppet could see that, with this many people this close to lynch (assuming a deadline is in place, three votes is all thats needed) the chance of everyone suddenly going "SCREW THIS I CANT DECIDE" is infinitessimal.
1. Sometimes, if a deadline is set, there is a very small chance that there will be no lynch.
2. No lynch is bad for the town. (no disagreements here)
3. Therefore, setting a deadline has a very small chance of hurting the town.
4. Wuffles is asking to set a deadline. (True, obviously)
5. Therefore, there is a very small chance Wuffles might be trying to hurt the town.
This is how I would phrase Arafax's claims, were I in his shoes and attempting to tell the truth about Wuffles' deadline comments. Of course, this also shows that if I were Arafax, I would not be placing suspicion on wuffles because of this.
I stand by my claim that for Arafax to remain suspicious of me based upon my deadline request, his opinions would have to AT VERY, VERY LEAST be:
1. If a deadline is set, there is a decent chance of a no lynch.
2. A deadline has been set
3. Therefore, there is a decent chance of a no lynch.
I just see premise one to be totally false. There is not a good chance of no lynch at all.
I just don't see how Arafax can be suspicious of me because of this, or the other reason he provided relating to my content. I still say that his suspicion of me based upon my TSQ opinions is somewhat justified, but also that it is not something that he should continue to pursue when I am making this much of an attempt to make my opinions clear.
If anyone here sees good reason to believe that there is a better chance of no lynch than I thought, please, make your thoughts clear.
Come on, guys, once more, I just don't see how this is......at all hard to understand...
Perhaps I am just a legend in my own mind, norinel, but that really seems to me to simply be the correct way of looking at my actions regarding a deadline.
rawr.