Mini 1228: 80's Mafia: Everyone wins. (Mod error)

[Bogre]

Ah.... probability fallacy there.

Saying someone is either scum or not does -not- make it a 50% chance they are scum.

[Nikanor]

Vote: Mego.

Yeah a quicklynch would be awesome.

[haoala]

@DRK
I was referring to his options 1&4, and "statistically" referring to the general case, not this game in particular.

Why are you afraid of getting lynched if it confirms Maruchan town?

@Bogre
I know, shhhh

[Nikanor]

^This guy might be his buddy.

[haoala]

Ah.... probability fallacy there.

Saying someone is either scum or not does -not- make it a 50% chance they are scum.

You jumped on Mego for using numbers, but not me. Why not?

[DeathRowKitty]

@haoala
I tend to object to mislynching without any gain. Especially when I know it will be a mislynch.

Also, in the general case, it's still not 50%. In the general case, the probability of each circumstance depends on whether or not you think I'm scum.

[DeathRowKitty]

Also @haoala
Do you know why giving numbers like Mego did is scummy?

[haoala]

No, not really.

On a separate note, he has experience playing with you, while Bogre does not.

Tell me more about numbers.

[haoala]

@haoala
I tend to object to mislynching without any gain. Especially when I know it will be a mislynch.

A confirmed town isn't any gain?

[Nikanor]

Too much useless discussion.
Not enough death.
Get with the lynching already.

[Bogre]

And the only thing we can be certain of: if DRK flips town, Maruchan will be confirmed, assuming he's not trolling or mod mindscrew. If he flips scum, it goes to WIFOM.

I think its something that we can confirm in the later days.

I jumped on Mego for using 62%. Seems like it took too much thought.

[DeathRowKitty]

No, not really.

On a separate note, he has experience playing with you, while Bogre does not.

Tell me more about numbers.

There is no way for him to have objectively measured how sure he was. Giving a number is a pre-emptive overrationalization for holding his opinion. A scum player giving an opinion is considerably more likely to wonder whether or not others will question it and therefore more likely to try to overrationalize.

A confirmed town isn't any gain?

It's only a gain if he's either likely to be lynched (which he isn't) or if he has information that would be immediately valuable if he's town. Otherwise, there's no benefit to confirming him now as opposed to later.

[Nikanor]

I'll save you some time. DRK isn't actually serious about the mod-confirmation on Maru.

Spoiler: In other news, my mind upon seeing that Mego isn't dead yet:

[DeathRowKitty]

Spoiler: In other news, my mind upon seeing that Mego isn't dead yet:

Seeing Mego not dead made you pee?

[haoala]

Surely

you saw that one.

[Nikanor]

No, it made me have a wacru spree.
Sheesh you people have dirty minds.

[haoala]

Actually I'm very

pure

.

[Bogre]

Puree is a better score.

[Ghostlin]

Ghostlin sat down with his headphones, going tappa tappa tappa with his computer as he analyzed the readout from the data from the jukebox.

Day 1 officially begins. With 13 alive, it's 7 to lynch.

Deadline: Monday, September 12th, 12:35 PM MTN (2: 35 PM EST) time.

[Nikanor]

Vote: Mego.

[haoala]

Purely

[Maruchan]

Vote: Nikanor

RVS AHOY!!!!!!!

[Bogre]

Vote: Mego

[DeathRowKitty]

Vote: Mego

RVS AHOY!!!!!!!

No.

[Maruchan]

Damn I wanted to see what happens if I tried to call it RVS.

Unvote, Vote Mego

On another note, any non-roleblocking PR should visit me tonight. Just Saying. Investigative, tracking, watching, saving, any of it. I'll explain more D2 if you guys actually DO visit me tonight.

Also if anyone roleblocks me tonight. I WILL find you. And I WILL kill you.