Earth's Struggle - Game Over!
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Haylen Life of the Third Party
- Life of the Third Party
- Life of the Third Party
- Posts: 6831
- Joined: April 1, 2009
- Location: Southern England
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diginova Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 462
- Joined: August 8, 2007
- Location: Redmond, WA
I originally didn't want to do this, as having the Holy Water can give abilities to the mafia that would be horrible for the town. However, after clarification from the All-Powerful Hayl, I realized 2 things:
1) There are only 5 items, and 20 players. That means, on average, each item is owned by 8 people.
2) Items were assigned randomly, regardless of alignment.
Based on 1) and 2), the chances of Holy Water already being in the scum's hands is very high. 87% actually if you do the math assuming 4 scum: 1 - ((4/5)*(3/4))^4 = 0.8704.
In addition, from IRL play, I make an absolutely horrible NK-immune or doc. So, let's throw caution to the wind.
DROP: Holy Water
PICK UP: Mystery Box-
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Haylen Life of the Third Party
- Life of the Third Party
- Life of the Third Party
- Posts: 6831
- Joined: April 1, 2009
- Location: Southern England
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animorpherv1 Honey Trap
- Honey Trap
- Honey Trap
- Posts: 5763
- Joined: April 12, 2008
- Location: Untraveled Road
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Battle Mage Jester
- Jester
- Jester
- Posts: 22231
- Joined: January 10, 2007
Ooh, let's give this a try!
Pick Up: Holy Water
BM
Access denied.Show2020 Stats - 31 completed games:
Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4
winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%-
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Battle Mage Jester
- Jester
- Jester
- Posts: 22231
- Joined: January 10, 2007
LAME.
Also, it just occurred to me. I know why people are in heaven and hell.
BMShow2020 Stats - 31 completed games:
Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4
winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%-
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animorpherv1 Honey Trap
- Honey Trap
- Honey Trap
- Posts: 5763
- Joined: April 12, 2008
- Location: Untraveled Road
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animorpherv1 Honey Trap
- Honey Trap
- Honey Trap
- Posts: 5763
- Joined: April 12, 2008
- Location: Untraveled Road
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diginova Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 462
- Joined: August 8, 2007
- Location: Redmond, WA
Not sure. All Hayl told me was that the items are randomly distributed, and that's what I used when doing the calculations.animorpherv1 wrote:digi, comptlley random question, but do all Items share the same 100% chance?-
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diginova Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 462
- Joined: August 8, 2007
- Location: Redmond, WA
You mean, they have either 3 items or 1? That's the obvious conclusion.Battle Mage wrote:LAME.
Also, it just occurred to me. I know why people are in heaven and hell.
BM-
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AlmasterGM Mafia Scum
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Toogeloo Jack of All Trades
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Toogeloo Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8437
- Joined: October 21, 2009
- Location: Jusenkyo
Two problems with this argument. First off, I haven't seen one GOOD argument to favor the Nobody Special lynch. Secondly, if my goal is to incite the town as scum, and I have garnered votes from it, doesn't that defeat the purpose of being scum doing it?diginova wrote: Constantly insulting your fellow players does not help lend your arguments any weight. At best, it makes you seem like an arrogant person who won't listen to any logic as they think they are so far above everyone else, which is almost useless for the town. At worst, it makes you seem like scum who are trying to get people riled up.-
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Toogeloo Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8437
- Joined: October 21, 2009
- Location: Jusenkyo
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diginova Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 462
- Joined: August 8, 2007
- Location: Redmond, WA
Right, but the only people that had even posted about Chronopie being scum were you and Rena. I don't call 2/20 a majority. 10%, yes, but not a majority.Toogeloo wrote:
I said YOU were sheeping the vocal majority with that post.diginova wrote: You may have missed it, so the question I asked: How are you and Rena "the vocal majority"?-
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Starbuck Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 7324
- Joined: April 24, 2009
- Location: Jacksonville, FL
Sorry guys, the military (as always) made me their bitch the past few weeks. I'm back now though.
List of people I have never had any contact with (this list is shorter )....
AdumbroDeus
Ghostwriter
SharkFinn
Rena
Adrien C
I wasn't really seeing the case on Nobody Special until Rena's 255.
I really don't see the "idiotic question point" because that feels more like ad hom, than an actual point against his scumminess. As for his pushing of the answer, maybe he really felt that DGB really did have a posting restriction. I think these points are being overreacted about.
On the other hand, I definitely do see the points about refusing to leave RVS (I mean, how many RVS votes can you really make?) and being surprised for being suspected.
Can someone give me a good summary of the Toogeloo case?<3 Kise, Reck, dram, tans, & Kats <3-
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Toogeloo Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8437
- Joined: October 21, 2009
- Location: Jusenkyo
I still don't think you get it...diginova wrote:
Right, but the only people that had even posted about Chronopie being scum were you and Rena. I don't call 2/20 a majority. 10%, yes, but not a majority.Toogeloo wrote:
I said YOU were sheeping the vocal majority with that post.diginova wrote: You may have missed it, so the question I asked: How are you and Rena "the vocal majority"?-
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AlmasterGM Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 4471
- Joined: May 29, 2009
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DrippingGoofball Mafia Piñata
- Mafia Piñata
- Mafia Piñata
- Posts: 40662
- Joined: December 23, 2005
- Location: Violating mith's restraining order
He's scummy, but he's town.Starbuck wrote:Can someone give me a good summary of the Toogeloo case?
Nobody Special has yet to drop a town tell in his ocean of scum.Paraphrasing a role PM takes seconds, fabricating a good fakeclaim takes an eternity.
"Metadiving DGB is like playing Roblox" - T3
"She's sort of like a quantum computer, her reads exist in multiple states at once. u have to take into account the other dimensions." - Morning Tweet-
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animorpherv1 Honey Trap
- Honey Trap
- Honey Trap
- Posts: 5763
- Joined: April 12, 2008
- Location: Untraveled Road
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DrippingGoofball Mafia Piñata
- Mafia Piñata
- Mafia Piñata
- Posts: 40662
- Joined: December 23, 2005
- Location: Violating mith's restraining order
What with the FOS, and what details do you speak of? It's pretty obvious, scum. Whatsamatta, don't like the wagon on your buddy NS?animorpherv1 wrote:FOS: DGB
More details, please.Paraphrasing a role PM takes seconds, fabricating a good fakeclaim takes an eternity.
"Metadiving DGB is like playing Roblox" - T3
"She's sort of like a quantum computer, her reads exist in multiple states at once. u have to take into account the other dimensions." - Morning Tweet-
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CSL Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 6208
- Joined: August 2, 2009
- Location: Mitakihara
^QFTDrippingGoofball wrote:
What with the FOS, and what details do you speak of? It's pretty obvious, scum. Whatsamatta, don't like the wagon on your buddy NS?animorpherv1 wrote:FOS: DGB
More details, please.Show"I can't kill my own best friend, especially when I can't do shit at all!" - Tragedy
"" - AmrunTHETIGERBLOODLUSTWASRUNNINGTHROUGHMYVEINS
V/LA from Mafia on weekends. Sorry!-
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animorpherv1 Honey Trap
- Honey Trap
- Honey Trap
- Posts: 5763
- Joined: April 12, 2008
- Location: Untraveled Road
DGB, you never eesponded to this:
animorpherv1 wrote:
That makes 0 sense, even with your normal. Let me explain it like this:DrippingGoofball wrote:
Another scumtell? I challenge you to make a post that isn't a scumtell.Nobody Special wrote: You aren't fooling anyone, you know. Except possibly yourself.
Your scummiest post was your Ellibereth vote post. The post after that was the scummiest, too. Then the rest of your posts are scummier.
NS's SCUMMIEST post is when he votes Ellibereth. You then say, his scummiest post was also the one after that. You continue on to say EVERY OTHER POST HE MADE is scummier than his scummiest posts.
therefore, DGB is making up stuff, and not actually looking for something vote worthy."Animorpherv1's posts are so powerful that prolonged exposure may cause vertigo, nausea, acute tinnitus, and in rare cases, death." - vonflare
"Ani is right 100% of the time" - Alisae-
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DrippingGoofball Mafia Piñata
- Mafia Piñata
- Mafia Piñata
- Posts: 40662
- Joined: December 23, 2005
- Location: Violating mith's restraining order
It's a reference to Marvin the depressed robot in The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy, describing his ordeal waiting for his owners in a parking lot with only a coffee machine to talk to.animorpherv1 wrote:DGB, you never eesponded to this:
blah blah blah nonsense
I was using this vivid imaginary to explain how I felt about your scumpal's posts.Marvin wrote:The first ten million years were the worst, and the second ten million years, they were the worst too. The third ten million I didn't enjoy at all. After that I went into a bit of a decline.Paraphrasing a role PM takes seconds, fabricating a good fakeclaim takes an eternity.
"Metadiving DGB is like playing Roblox" - T3
"She's sort of like a quantum computer, her reads exist in multiple states at once. u have to take into account the other dimensions." - Morning Tweet-
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animorpherv1 Honey Trap
- Honey Trap
- Honey Trap
- Posts: 5763
- Joined: April 12, 2008
- Location: Untraveled Road
Not everybody reads THGTTG, BTW.Also, All I see when you explain your vote on NS is "he is scum" or some deivative of. Care to further explain?DrippingGoofball wrote:
It's a reference to Marvin the depressed robot in The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy, describing his ordeal waiting for his owners in a parking lot with only a coffee machine to talk to.animorpherv1 wrote:DGB, you never eesponded to this:
blah blah blah nonsense
I was using this vivid imaginary to explain how I felt about your scumpal's posts.Marvin wrote:The first ten million years were the worst, and the second ten million years, they were the worst too. The third ten million I didn't enjoy at all. After that I went into a bit of a decline."Animorpherv1's posts are so powerful that prolonged exposure may cause vertigo, nausea, acute tinnitus, and in rare cases, death." - vonflare
"Ani is right 100% of the time" - Alisae
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