Sorry for not posting yesterday. What I said still stands on my last post.
Cop claim / Doc thing, etc. : I also think the cop should claim. Although I don't really believe there is one at the moment (due to the nightkills being on people one could predict would not be protected), it'd surely help alot, specially if we can confirm a townie. At this point, any help one can get is good. Of course, it's also possible we HAVE a cop and that Red Star is lying. That'd actually be consistent with the nightkills (Red star covering up that fact). but assuming Red Star is fakeclaiming in a cop2maf setup, he'd still have to pretend he's the roleblocker, and then again the deaths don't make as much sense as before.
I don't know if it'll be relevant or not if the cop claims before or after Red star shows who he protected.
Skerterg wrote: Exilon: What do you think about horror's death? I have my suspicions; I just want to compare them to yours. Also, between Excedrin and KageLord, who is your top choice and why?
Well, my top suspicion is still up, actually. On my first post of today I said what I thought about Horror's death - I couldn't make much of it, and what I can is a little fuzzy.
I tried to place myself on scum's shoes. Assuming that Red Star is Town, then one of the four of us is scum. Leafsnail was killed Day 1 and Horror Day 2.
The main road to analyze this would be to look at his suspicions:
Leafsnail was suspecting Skerterg (and the rest of the players in his suspicion are now dead.)
Horror suspected Kagelord and Excedrin.
Skert-mafia moves up a little. But now, there's also another way to look at this. An intentional frame. (That's what nightkill analysis text I read somewhere refers to as Level 2 Nightkill).
Assume Skerterg is town, and is protected during the night. Best course of action is to kill the only person that suspected him and use it as a starting argument to get him lynched.
The only person now that openly suspects Skerterg is Red Star... attacking the best town player while still mantaining the appearance that he is the doc is indeed mighty convenient, I'd say.
Now - why would skerterg kill Horror? We can assume that the first night he wanted to avoid suspicion and the second night was intentional framing. Kagelord is skert's top suspicion, that death would only add to the motives to lynch Kagelord. Problem with this is, there's already enough pressure on Kagelord, enough to get him lynched, (as much as I can see), and there's also Horror which is a good target. So it is inconsistent that Skerterg wouldn't kill me or Excedrin or even Red Star instead during the night.
Kagelord was the person who replaced Kelikar, and that happened on Day 2. therefore, if he's scum, then Kelikar would be the one killing Leafsnail. USing reasoning above, I don't know if Kelikar would pull killing Leafsnail to frame skerterg, but I can see Kagelord killing Horror, with a small "if". First, it avoids a suspicion on him - next, he can use WIFOM and say that he was the next in line for a lynch. But that doesn't make sense. He could just kill one of the remaining three, or even Red Star, and Horror would still have some pressure on him.
Finally, there's Excedrin. He's my top choice between him and Kagelord, for various reasons, including my suspicion on him from Day 2 (and part of the counter-argument I presented to his case that still stands), and both nightkills are consistent with him.
First, a quick ISO reveals right from the get go that Excedrin had known Leafsnail before this game; he was also the one that pointed that one of the reasons to kill Leafsnail could have been because "he was a good player" (correct me if I'm wrong). For Horror, it seems safe for him to kill him, even if it's his top suspicion - first, he doesn't have to bother pressuring any more, second - Kagelord is still a little hanging for a lynch, and he begins the day by pointing out Red Star. And if all else fails, there's still me, which is (still) in temporary reprieve.
I can expand upon Excedrin's suspicion if need be, as I believe I have some points against him.
Feels like I've been here before.