I realize I haven’t posted too much of worth the past couple days. I hope this makes up for it. This is pretty much how I feel about the behavior of each and every player thus far in the game. But first, here’s a post count, to give my analysis some sort of context. When I say “high activity” or “low activity”, it simply refers to the post count. When I say high or low content, it refers to the percentage of a players posts that I feel are relevant and at least somewhat helpful to finding scum. I realize this is completely subjective, but well, thats mafia.
Post Count
: As of Post 201
Shotty to the Body: 25
Super Awesome...: 23
Elias_the_Thief....: 23
Hasdgfas..............: 19
ShatteredViewpo..: 19
Confidanon...........: 16
The Buttonmen.....: 16
SuperSmashBros..: 15
Rover9000............: 13
JDodge..................: 11
MafiaSSK...............: 8
Socrates.................: 6
Ok so there’s that. By the time we’re at page nine, I’d expect 15 or more posts from everyone playing. Anyone under 10 is just disgraceful. I’d appreciate it if Socrates and JDodge got back in this game. If I recall correctly, JDodge promised a post today. I would love for that to show up sometime soon. Anyhoozle, on to the analysis. I’ll start with the scummiest and work my way down to the neutrals (really, there’s no one that I can confidently say strikes me as town at this point).
The Buttonmen
Medium activity level, low content level.
Buttonmen’s first act of scumminess was evading a simple question from Shotty. He calls it nonsensical and ignores it on this basis. When I call him on “ignoring a question” he denies it and says he was “refusing to apologize”. After I call BS, he changes the story back to “oh, the question made no sense”. He challenges me to explain how he could answer the question. I gladly oblige him. The question asks why he goes out on a limb to defend JDodge. Although Button never expressly said anything along the lines of “Hey! Stop attacking JDodge!”, he DID attack a vote on JDodge. Any old person should at least be able to see where Shotty is coming from, and dismissing his question as nonsensical is well, a cop-out. Despite asking twice for Button to respond to my explanation for Shotty’s question, Button still refuses to answer.
Instead he focuses on “quote-striping” and then attempts to drive home a lurker lynch. I find this scummy because we still have plenty of time left in the day. If lynching lurkers is your thing, well thats a matter of theory. However, going for the lurker lynch right away is just plain anti-town. There’s plenty of scum to find still. If a better lynch doesn’t come up, the lurker lynch will still be right where you left it. Hell, the player might even have come around and started playing. I feel like this behavior is indicative of eagerness to get to night. I have a scum read. My top suspect.
MafiaSSK
:
Low activity level, low content level.
MSSK’s only lengthy and content filled post was, in my honest opinion, a complete joke. He suggests that JDodge is buddying up by using smilies, and uses another players return of a smilie as confirmation of that buddying. Uh...its called being friendly. Refer to my post 164-165 for more on why this analysis was really bad. I mean, he accuses me of paling in comparison to JDodge’s contribution, yet has JDodge as his top suspect for a myriad of reasons that are completely uncompatible with a high level of contribution. The fact that all of these points are stretches is especially interesting, given that MSSK considers trying too hard to look like you’re hunting for scum one of his top scumtells.
I feel that MSSK has been behaving pretty scummily, but there really isn’t much content to tell. The admitting to active lurking point isn’t very strong in my opinion. I’m not even sure what “active lurking” means, though I imagine its somewhat similar to Lurking in Plain Sight. If this is the case, the fact that he admitted to it definitely doesn't make him the only one doing it, or the worst culprit at it. I definitely get a scummy vibe, but I don't think MSSK should be top priority right now.
Rover9000
:
Low activity level, low content level.
Rover seems to be trying very hard to not try very hard. He has been skimming by with very minimal participation and scumhunting. When he does make a post, its usually a good page or two behind relevant discussion, and it usually mimics previously expressed opinions on key points. It seems like this is a real good strategy for coasting through day one and into the night stage. I get a scummy vibe from Mr. Rover, for sure.
Confidanon
:
Medium activity level, low content.
Very few of his posts contain anything useful. Like Rover, many of them mimic points that have already been raised, or simply agree with points made. Very little actual scumhunting going on. I would say that he is slightly less scummy than Rover, simply because he does less mimicking. But I find him pretty scummy.
Shotty to the Body
:
High Activity, medium to low content.
Almost completely and totally tunneled on Buttonmen. He’s scummy and all, but there are other fish in the sea, so to speak. More than one mafia per game. Beyond the attacks on Button, not too much in the terms of scum hunting. His accusation that SSBF is too focused on SAMP is both ironic and hypocritical. I have a neutral-scummy read.
Super Smash Bros Fan
:
Medium activity level, medium content level.
So far, not too many examples of strong scum hunting, though the effort appears to be there, to a certain extent. However, when your top suspects list of grievances includes an OMGUS vote, there’s a problem. Especially an OMGUS vote against you. That just turns the whole case into “No, YOU suck!” I have a neutral-scummy read on SSBF.
JDodge
:
Medium to low activity level, low content.
Really, not much to go on besides the theory discussion. I’m pretty sure that JDodge knows that theory discussion gets us no closer to finding scum, so I find his insistence to the contrary and stubborn refusal to drop the theory pretty suspicious. I have a neutral scummy read for Mr. JD.
Super Awesome Mega Pimp
:
High activity, medium content.
Honestly, I don’t think SAMP is a village idiot, nor do I think he is overly scummy. He’s doing some scumhunting, and he has the ability to back down after discussing points with one of his top suspects, which I generally count as protown. Then again, there’s a such thing as the intentionally weak argument tell, which could apply here. Really, I could go either way. For now, I call him neutral-scummy.
Hasdgfas
:
High activity, medium content.
Seems to actively be looking for scum, though he seems somewhat tunneled on SAMP for the beginning of the game. This is odd because he doesn’t list SAMP as his top suspect. He attacks confidanon for lack of contribution, which I can’t really argue, but this attack leads me to wonder why he doesn’t attack any of the other players who are posting but not adding much. I have a neutral vibe, but I feel that something is off here. I will be reviewing my past game with him (in which he was scum) to give me a better idea later in the game. For now, he remains neutral.
Shattered Viewpoint
:
High activity level, medium content.
Started out strong, but seems to be doing less and less hunting as the day goes on. His vote for MSSK makes sense given the anti-lurker notion he’s expressed all game. But as I said earlier in this post, a lurker lynch this early on is a major waste. I have a neutral read on SV but it’d probably start leaning town if he backed off of SSK long enough to hunt around a little more before settling on that lynch. And I don’t think “pressure wagon” is valid here, to preempt that argument. MSSK is V/LA so we’re really not accomplishing much voting him.
Socrates
:
Extremely low activity, no content.
Post goddammit! Post! When he actually was posting, in the very beginning of the game, he wasn’t very helpful. I have a neutral read on Socrates simply because there’s nothing to analize really.
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And there you have it. Hope you liked it. If you want further explanation for anything I said, please ask. I encourage you all to tear to shreds the sections I wrote on you. Make me believe that we have someone remotely protown in this game.
That all being said,
unvote, vote: TheButtonmen
I play the games rul gud.
