I'm a vanilla townie.
I wish I had gone after ortolan Day 1, but I wasn't going to do that until he got replaced and his replacement caught up. That didn't happen. Yesterday I had the wrong opinion on the main wagon and obviously that costs me.
If anyone has any specific questions, shoot.
The main reason I pegged Jahudo as town was him being the third vote on otolan. That was a bad assumption. He may have been distancing and got stuck there, he might just like bussing early, I don't know.
A hard bus yesterday is much less likely. Going into the first proper night with 1 scum and 9 townies left means the scum can lose straight-up to all sorts of power roles every night for the rest of the game. That thinking clears Jack, DDD, Sotty, Amished.
Jack was fourth on the ortolan wagon and the main driver of Jahudo. DDD was early on both. Sotty was the tipping point for both. Locke was against ortolan wagon, but I don't see why Jahudo and Amished would mutually bus so hard, it's just too risky.
I'm not clearing hohum or xRx here. hohum showed up to hammer when it was him or Jahudo. No credit there. I don't think their being the two final wagons yesterday clears hohum either. hohum was not involved in the game yesterday, and Jahudo repeatedly argued against the hohum wagon. Add to that the three weeks of saying nothing while waiting out suspicions but also avoiding replacing out. Also, hey, Percy got shot last night.
As for xRx, he's short-sighted enough for his "LYNCH JAHUDO!!" with no reasoning to be a bus. He tried to switch to hohum at the end, too. His interactions with kyle are suspect, go back and read them. Also look at how Jahudo tried to reason with Reck on page 30 then got frustrated. There's also the fact that he's spent the entire game openly stating his intention to be useless then appealing to emotion whenever this is challenged.
This leaves Vi and Zach. They both look pro-town, but I guess they would as any alignment. Zach voted ortolan when it was inevitable. Vi was the ortolan wagon. At the start of D2 Zach voted Jahudo but that went away pretty quickly and later on he said "Jahudo's moved down my suspicion list quickly from the start of the day. As it is now, I suspect his wagon is getting pushed along by scum.", and he ended up on the opposing wagon. Vi was never strongly opposed to a Jahudo wagon, actually she asked Amished to join it. At the end of the day she said hohum was a better lynch, but, hey, I agree. Vi being scum would put a fun new light on ortolan's meltdown and Vi's condolences to Jahudo, but of the two I think Zach is more suspect. He still looks way better than hohum and xRx but I'm not sure why people are discounting him altogether.
The problem I have with enjoying this game is the lazy twosome. They could easily be scum coasting. At least one of them, annoyingly, is town. They cannot be allowed into LYLO.
It's likely that we're in a 9-3 game. If so we have 3 lynches before LYLO. hohum and xRx have to be two of them and they've claimed vanilla. Let's lynch them. If they somehow flip town hopefully a power role will have found the last scum by then, otherwise we have tricky decisions. It'd be better if we don't lynch me because then we'll have one more lynch to play with, but I'm not sure whether you guys can be convinced of that.
