We either lynch or shoot the person we think is scum, then the scum kills one of us after the lynch/nolynch, and then we are at 3 p lylo if we fail to get the scum.
5 players left.
You shoot, 4 players left before lynch.
3 Players left after lynch.
3 players at night (assuming the kill and the lynch miss scum) Game over.
So if you use your power we are in Lylo. If you don't we can go another day if we still miss scum.
They tell you never hit a man with a closed fist, but it is on occasion hilarious. - Malcolm Reynolds
Wolf, I fucking hate your face, but still <3 you as a whole. - Starbuck
So, if RayFrost is town, don't we have guaranteed win if we go to 4P night?
Example, RayFrost kills me, we nolynch, it's 4p night with Nikanor as the only possible remaining scum. If he kills Kise or wolframnhart then RayFrost simply shoots Nikanor next day.
If Nikanor kills RayFrost, then it's Kise, wolframnhart, Nikanor, guess who to lynch?
So, 2 obvious problems:
1) RayFrost might not be town
2) Nikanor might decide to nokill (I suppose RayFrost could just kill him in that case)
FMPOV, RayFrost should shoot Nikanor, then if game doesn't end we could NL to go to 3p (or 4p again if no death occurs).
What do we gain from voting analysis? Isn't it narrowed down to Nikanor and I, with the possibility of RayFrost as SK (daykilling mafia with a NK too would be odd)?
I don't really see this going any other way. wolf and Kise are cleared, even if Ray is sk he'll be lynched tomorrow when Exc flips mafia and the game is still going. Interesting to note is that Excedrin did not vote me even when he knows it's down to him and I.
Personally, I'd prefer to just lynch nikanor right off the bat, but... if you guys want to wait 'till after the night phase to kill him, that's cool too.
some kind of daykilling SK, then there is incentive for me to have this go to night rather than lynch.
If we lynch now, there is the possibility of (assuming nikanor-scum and the game doesn't end along with assuming me-sk) you guys lynching me while I'm offline (and, hence, before I can send in a daykill to win).
It is therefore superior to lynch rather than to no lynch.
You'd obviously leave me alive due to the fact you could possibly sway the other townsperson to vote for me while I'm sleeping irl (and, therefore, can't send in the kill on you).
If you killed me, there would be no possibility of you winning.
