When should the cop come forward?

Post Post #3 (isolation #0) » Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:21 am

Even with that extra info: no. 2 innocent results are not worth coming out over that early in the game unless you are sure the scum are on to you. Better EV waiting. Not that I've run numbers on it, but that's the intuition.

Post Post #8 (isolation #1) » Mon Jul 25, 2005 11:05 am

I've been meaning to run numbers on this for a while now. I'll get around to it eventually, I'm sure.

It is, of course, very dependent on how likely you (and your confirmed innocents) are to be killed before you come out. I'd guess 1/3 (counting yourself) if you haven't found any scum, though. We'll see.