California Trilogy: City of Angels - On Camera (Game Over)


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Post Post #1350 (ISO) » Tue Dec 08, 2009 5:51 pm

Post by StarKiss »

In other words, why not have the more townish-looking players bully the scummy one.
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Post Post #1351 (ISO) » Tue Dec 08, 2009 7:41 pm

Post by Talilan »

Stunting you was just one of the possible scenarios I imagined. I was only guessing how it would play out. 3 scum off camera would have been fine. They would've had to lynch one or risk exposing all three.

StarKiss, what do you think about Hewitt? More likely scum or more likely town?

I've been having internet connection probs at home which is such a pain because I wanted to read over most of the game by now :/

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Post Post #1352 (ISO) » Tue Dec 08, 2009 8:45 pm

Post by Talilan »

It's the last week of school (Nah I'm not a student, I am school secretary/office manager). The rest of my week is hellish.. I will probably only get quality re-reading time in the 24 hours prior to deadline (and even then I have a Christmas party I'm s'posed to be at).

So probably nothing new from me until "tomorrow".

I do wonder if StarKiss is a better first lynch than Hewitt. The way CKD's lynch went down made me wonder about a StarKiss/Thesp link. I don't want to be suckered by Hewitt if he's trying to play us though. Has anyone played with him before and is he normally so negative?

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Post Post #1353 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 12:46 am

Post by VP Baltar »

I've played with Hewitt before and I've seen him get pretty angry as both town and scum...but I don't recall him being so fatalistic. I'd probably be willing to lynch Starkiss first I suppose.

@Starkiss-leaving 3 scum off stage would have been an optimal strategy that scene. It would have given us a good chance of winning the onstage and at the same time forced the scumbags to lynch one of their own (though the downside of that I guess would be giving them mild town points for lynching scum).
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Post Post #1354 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 2:15 am

Post by Mr. Grey »

Vote Count:
4 to lynch.

hewitt: 2 (Mighty Orbots, VP Baltar)
StarKiss: 1 (Thesp)
Talilan: 1 (hewitt)

Not Voting: 3 (StarKiss, Talilan, zu_Faul)

Current Condorcet Winner:
None. Current Smith Set: hewitt, Mighty Orbots, StarKiss, Talilan, Thesp, VP Baltar

To view the complete table of pairwise results, put the following information into this form.

1,hewitt
2,Mighty Orbots
3,StarKiss
4,Talilan
5,Thesp
6,VP Baltar
7,zu_Faul
8,No Lynch

1:4>3>2>5>6>7>8>1
1:1>3=4=5=6=7=8>2
1:1=2=4=5=6=7=8>3
1:1=2=3=5=6=7=8>4
1:3>1=2>4=6>8>5=7
1:1>3>5>4>2>8>6=7
1:3>6>2>1>4>5>8>7
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Post Post #1355 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 3:19 am

Post by hewitt »

Talilan wrote:I do wonder if StarKiss is a better first lynch than Hewitt. The way CKD's lynch went down made me wonder about a StarKiss/Thesp link. I don't want to be suckered by Hewitt if he's trying to play us though. Has anyone played with him before and is he normally so negative
If you think I'm suckering you then clearly you should be voting for me. Why the change of heart all the sudden? Why Starkiss and not me? What has Starkiss done that is so overwhelmingly more anti-town than me? Do I not have the most anti-town voting record? Isn't that what you were basing this whole thing off anyway?
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RECORD

Town-Win- 2
Town-NightKilled-Loss- 3
Town-Loss- 4
Mafia-Win- 1
Mafia-Loss- 3

Team Win Percentage- 23.08%
Basically...my teams usually lose. How fun is that!
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Post Post #1356 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 4:25 am

Post by VP Baltar »

For hewitt (and everyone else):


DGB


Scene 1: Off-Stage-Good Decision (Lynch Gaspar)
Scene 2: Off-Stage-Good Decision (Lynch KY Krew)
Scene 3: On-Stage-Bad Decision (Pick Crone)
Scene 4: On-Stage-No Decision
Scene 5: Off-Stage-No Decision
Scene 6: On-Stage-No Decision

We can see here that DGB made it her goal in this game to never take a side. She was prodding people toward bad decisions and then simply wasn't voting. Scene 1 was really the only time where she took a definitive stance against a wrong decision, and in hindsight we can see that is even to lynch a townie. If you look at her voting on the KY Krew lynch, she waited until the last possible moment to vote for him even though she was saying he was scum.

Thok

Scene 1: Off-Stage-Good Decision (Lynch DGB)
Scene 2: On-Stage-Good Decision (Choose Door 1)
Scene 3: On-Stage-No Decision
Scene 4: On-Stage-Good Decision (Don't Push the Button)
Scene 5: On-Stage-No Decision
Scene 6: On-Stage-No Decision

Thok's voting record would somewhat support your theory hewitt, and I would believe that the scum were grooming him for endgame. There isn't anyone who is alive now that has a better voting record than him. However, you should also note the 2/3 of his good decisions come on scenes where the town made the wrong decision. Not only does this look too good to be true, but it makes me suspect that he had to have had at least one buddy in those scenes who was already pushing for the incorrect decision. I don't believe for a second that town would be inclined to reach the incorrect decision on their own volition in all of those scenes. Just as in a normal game of mafia, you will always have some scum pushing a mislynch while others stay off to build town points. So, if Thok was on the good decisions, who was the scum pushing the bad ones?

Partially I believe it was DGB, but she still wasn't voting for the incorrect choices. This is why I think at least one of you and Starkiss has to be scum. That vote to push the bad decision over the edge has to be there in someone.

I'd like you to respond to my point about the scum not getting a real choice of who to send to endgame. If Talilan is town, do you really think the scum had an option of who to send given that Thok and DGB were forced to get the final mislynch?
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Post Post #1357 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 4:33 am

Post by hewitt »

No I think the scum sent the two players who they knew would be able to control the town the best. This whole game has been about control and power, two things that DGB and Thok had none of. The two scum players are inside Talilan, MO, VP, and Thesp.
Show
RECORD

Town-Win- 2
Town-NightKilled-Loss- 3
Town-Loss- 4
Mafia-Win- 1
Mafia-Loss- 3

Team Win Percentage- 23.08%
Basically...my teams usually lose. How fun is that!
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Post Post #1358 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 4:51 am

Post by VP Baltar »

WTF do you mean they had no power to control the town! DGB was instrumental in picking the wrong decision in both the Crone scene and the Bingo Scene. Thok played a big part in the Bingo scene as well, and as far as I can recall shoveled a lot of shit on Gaspar.

Also, you're completely ignoring the point I was making. If Talilan is town and made the decisions they made in the final scene, how do you propose the scum even had a choice of who went to endgame?

Stop being emotional and be logical for a second.
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Post Post #1359 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 5:04 am

Post by hewitt »

That doesn't matter anymore. We're not in a scenario where we're blindly picking to either push the button or not push the button. We're back to regular Mafia and neither DGB or Thok would be able to control the town's decision making like you four, that's a fact. I don't see your point about Talilan being town, I don't think there's any possible way Talilan is town so I don't give a fuck. Logic is out the door at this point, no one cares about logic otherwise we wouldn't be in this position to begin with. I know that I've at least thought this out logically and I know that I'm correct and at least two other players know that I'm correct and they're going to fight against it. So don't tell me to stop being emotional because you, right now, are a very significant contributing factor in the town loss.
Show
RECORD

Town-Win- 2
Town-NightKilled-Loss- 3
Town-Loss- 4
Mafia-Win- 1
Mafia-Loss- 3

Team Win Percentage- 23.08%
Basically...my teams usually lose. How fun is that!
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Post Post #1360 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 5:08 am

Post by VP Baltar »

I don't know why I'm even bothering to try with you. This whole hissy fit of yours just assures me that I was right in the first place. I really have to stop giving people the benefit of the doubt.
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Post Post #1361 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 5:14 am

Post by hewitt »

If you're scum VP then you're doing exactly what you set out to do prior to this scene and I have to give you props for it. The whole point of the scum in this scene was to beat down Starkiss and myself so badly that there's absolutely no chance that we will not be lynched. And now, you've done it. So congrats if you're scum, if you're not, then you're the reason why we've lost.
Show
RECORD

Town-Win- 2
Town-NightKilled-Loss- 3
Town-Loss- 4
Mafia-Win- 1
Mafia-Loss- 3

Team Win Percentage- 23.08%
Basically...my teams usually lose. How fun is that!
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Post Post #1362 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 6:05 am

Post by VP Baltar »

And if you're town, I'll await your full apology once this game is over.
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Post Post #1363 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 6:11 am

Post by hewitt »

Don't wait up for it.
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RECORD

Town-Win- 2
Town-NightKilled-Loss- 3
Town-Loss- 4
Mafia-Win- 1
Mafia-Loss- 3

Team Win Percentage- 23.08%
Basically...my teams usually lose. How fun is that!
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Post Post #1364 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 6:26 am

Post by zu_Faul »

MO, [StarKiss], Talilan, do two things asap:

Vote (concordet).

Give a reason why you haven't done already.



[] for StarKiss because she promised stuff tomorrow.
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Post Post #1365 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 10:41 am

Post by Mr. Grey »

Deadline:
Approximately 70 hours from this post.
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Post Post #1366 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 11:25 am

Post by Talilan »

hokay I'll do one (ortolan)

Vote: StarKiss
, Thesp, [hewitt, Mighty Orbots], VP Baltar, Talilan, zu_Faul
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Post Post #1367 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 4:16 pm

Post by Mighty Orbots »

zu_Faul wrote:MO, [StarKiss], Talilan, do two things asap:

Vote (concordet).

Give a reason why you haven't done already.
I already have voted. Condorcets are ridiculous. I said that at the very beginning.
Mighty Orbots wrote:Meanwhile, the off-camera crew is busy lynching people. I'm guessing this functions like a regular mafia game. That weird voting system (which I think we should avoid, really) comes into play here.
My list:

hewitt
Talilan
[StarKiss, Thesp]
VP Baltar
zu_Faul
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Post Post #1368 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 4:20 pm

Post by Talilan »

hewitt's town. Lynch StarKiss/Thesp instead please.
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Post Post #1369 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 4:27 pm

Post by Mighty Orbots »

Talilan wrote:hewitt's town. Lynch StarKiss/Thesp instead please.
wat

I don't see how hewitt's town. At all.
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Post Post #1370 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 5:14 pm

Post by Thesp »

I lean towards lynching Starkiss first, but as a practical matter, while Starkiss at least promises to do some serious evaluation and hewitt promises to taunt us into lynching him, I see little reason to pursue this preference with any conviction.

In all seriousness, I don't think I want to play with hewitt again if he's town. (I agree with zu_Faul's sentiments, as well as others that seemed to be intoned.)
Talilan - Tal wrote:I don't want to be suckered by Hewitt if he's trying to play us though. Has anyone played with him before and is he normally so negative?
I've played with him before, and he was somewhat negative, but I don't recall defeatist. (Looks like VP Baltar echoes this.)
hewitt wrote:
Talilan wrote:I do wonder if StarKiss is a better first lynch than Hewitt. The way CKD's lynch went down made me wonder about a StarKiss/Thesp link. I don't want to be suckered by Hewitt if he's trying to play us though. Has anyone played with him before and is he normally so negative
If you think I'm suckering you then clearly you should be voting for me. Why the change of heart all the sudden? Why Starkiss and not me? What has Starkiss done that is so overwhelmingly more anti-town than me? Do I not have the most anti-town voting record? Isn't that what you were basing this whole thing off anyway?
Any second-guessing of myself on hewitt's "poor me I'm going to be lynched" was lost with this post. This looks like he's baiting rather than hunting.
hewitt wrote:No I think the scum sent the two players who they knew would be able to control the town the best.
So they forced Talilan to axe GoofballsAndBalloons, or had Talilan deliberately choose to axe GaB and Thok over nearly everyone still in the endgame? Really?

(VP Baltar keeps posting my thoughts right after I have them.)
Mighty Orbots wrote:
Talilan wrote:hewitt's town. Lynch StarKiss/Thesp instead please.
wat

I don't see how hewitt's town. At all.
QFT. (Is it wrong that it makes me think hewitt's more likely to be scum because ortolan thinks he's town?)

I'm looking forward to StarKiss's efforts.
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Post Post #1371 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 5:18 pm

Post by Thesp »

Mighty Orbots wrote:
zu_Faul wrote:MO, [StarKiss], Talilan, do two things asap:

Vote (concordet).

Give a reason why you haven't done already.
I already have voted. Condorcets are ridiculous. I said that at the very beginning.
Mighty Orbots wrote:Meanwhile, the off-camera crew is busy lynching people. I'm guessing this functions like a regular mafia game. That weird voting system (which I think we should avoid, really) comes into play here.
My list:

hewitt
Talilan
[StarKiss, Thesp]
VP Baltar
zu_Faul
If you're willing to provide a list, why are you avoiding an honest-to-goodness Condorcet vote? (For the record, if this game approaches the deadline (which it is!), I fully expect you to put your vote in Condorcet form. If the day hits deadline and your failure to vote in Condorcet form results in a different lynch than it otherwise would, I will pursue a lynch against you.)
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Post Post #1372 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 5:21 pm

Post by Mighty Orbots »

Thesp wrote:If you're willing to provide a list, why are you avoiding an honest-to-goodness Condorcet vote? (For the record, if this game approaches the deadline (which it is!), I fully expect you to put your vote in Condorcet form. If the day hits deadline and your failure to vote in Condorcet form results in a different lynch than it otherwise would, I will pursue a lynch against you.)
Condorcets are fail. Look at the Day 1 vote. How the hell can you analyze that with the Condorcet mess in the way?

There's seriously no reason why we can't just ignore the concept entirely and just outright vote like normal. I still maintain that Condorcets can be manipulated and shouldn't be used.
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Post Post #1373 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 5:27 pm

Post by StarKiss »

Don't want to rush things. I'm hoping to review at least 2 other players tomorrow. What are you looking for, zu?

To be honest, I do think the only incriminating thing about VP is the player he replaced. Whoever said town is f*cked if he's scum is right. Won't bother iso'ing VP tomorrow since deadline is less than 3 days away.
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Post Post #1374 (ISO) » Wed Dec 09, 2009 5:44 pm

Post by Thesp »

Mighty Orbots wrote:
Thesp wrote:If you're willing to provide a list, why are you avoiding an honest-to-goodness Condorcet vote? (For the record, if this game approaches the deadline (which it is!), I fully expect you to put your vote in Condorcet form. If the day hits deadline and your failure to vote in Condorcet form results in a different lynch than it otherwise would, I will pursue a lynch against you.)
Condorcets are fail. Look at the Day 1 vote. How the hell can you analyze that with the Condorcet mess in the way?

There's seriously no reason why we can't just ignore the concept entirely and just outright vote like normal. I still maintain that Condorcets can be manipulated and shouldn't be used.
Do you think they can be manipulated by not using them when they might otherwise swing a lynch?

(Also, I don't see how the Condorcet "mess" interferes with looking at D1. Perhaps I'm missing something?)
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