Claim status: Believed. You better pick a good player to choose, and it's theory debatable that you should wait with your 1 night-vig. Doing it now makes it less likely that you'll hit scum, but it will also help narrow the suspects for the duration of the game. Doing it later, while being more likely to hit scum (assuming all mislynches) also adds to it being more detrimental if you miss scum.
I've been sick so I'm home from work.. We'll get people back tonight.
Also, lol at rule 18 and 19. Go back and read them if you want. Further evidence that the claim (I think) should be believed.
One last thing: @Net: what about my playstyle did you think was erratic?