Starting from the beginning. Usually I don't do this, but I'm going to use post hoc info while reading through.
20s- rofl and sera lead oozing wagon [+, obv]
29, 31- rofl and sera acknowledge each other [mason buddies]
46- caboose joins iamausername in voting alvinz [+]
49- korts votes sera [-, derailment of ogb wagon]
76- mufasa bizairrely claims "Jack of All Trades" [turns out to be true...]
93- IAUN points out mufasa wouldn't know his name [++, wrong, obv, but good logic]
94- charter agrees
101- caboose defends mufasa's claim
104- IAUN chides caboose for playing OGB's game [+]
127- axel cites precedence to say mufasa is crazy, not scummy [+, would be EASY to jump on this wagon!]
128- Spyrex votes OGB [+, policy lynch]
133- ekim votes OGB
134- mix votes mufasa [-, opportunistic, right after OGB threat]
136- starbuck votes mufasa
138- inhim votes caboose
142- rofl explains mufasa's motivation [+, true]
156- mufasa and OGB tied w/ 4 votes
157- skitzer votes mufasa [-, derailment?]
181- sera agrees w/ rofl, votes skitzer [-, derailment of OGB]
180s- caboose ominously warns all to lynch alvinz [+, role?]
190- good post my howard, votes korts for bad case on sera [+]
196- spy keeps pushing OGB wagon, questions others [+ +]
204- IAUN votes skitzer for pushing mufasa wagon [+]
208- inhim votes sera
210- rofl supports death for OGB, sera, or skitzer
211- spy continues to support rofl
213- mixologist votes OGB [+, good save to post 134]
225- inhim votes OGB, says howard and korts same faction
231- X jumps from OGB, votes mufasa [??? why?]
232- alvinz votes OGB
253- mufasa leads w/ 7 votes, OGB 5
269- X, uh, again unvotes, votes mufasa [-, ???]
277- sera votes inhim [+, not italian]
282- IAUN votes OGB [+, regains bandwagon momentum]
286- rofl gives scumlist
303- OGB leads w/ 6 votes (rofl, spy, ekim, mix, alvinz, IAUN)
315- tubby votes OGB
323- charter abadons mufasa, votes OGB
324- starbuck joins OGB wagon
330- OGB offers no defense
331- korts votes OGB
334- howard votes darkdude [???]
335- axel votes OGB due to 330 [+]
340- mufasa votes OGB, hammers
345- scum die horrible deaths (OGB-russian; ThAdmiral/inhim- Italian)
357- rofl votes sera
359- charter votes axel
363- korts votes sera
367- tajo votes sera
368- starbuck votes sera
369- spy votes starbuck
371- mufasa votes sera
372- rofl points out all scum on mufasa, argues against killing him [+]
380- sera quasi-claims mason
395- howard votes alvinz, no explaination
414- alvinz votes caboose
417- spy votes sera
419- tubby votes starbuck
421- tajo uses back info to determine alignment [+, mostly]
422- tajo votes caboose
430- caboose has role-based info skitzer is scum, and alvinz is scum
431- rofl switches, vote alvinz
432- spy join alvinz wagon
434- darkdude votes alvinz
435- axel votes alvinz
436- mufasa votes alvinz
437- tubby votes alvinz
438- starbuck votes alvinz
439- ekim votes alvinz
452- alvinz leads w/ 9 votes
464- alvinz submits last-minute defense
465- X hammers [+]
alvinz dies, scum, several others die, town
483- charter votes darkdude for trying to save alvinz [-]
484- ekim votes darkdude for defending both russians [+]
492- tajo votes howard for alvinz dying speech [-, disagree, think this clears howard of being russian]
500- tubby claims rofl's mason partner
515- tajo promotes massclaim [+, gut feeling]
521- spy votes darkdude
526- dark admits to "faking" to look town [+, gut feeling]
527- howard votes tajo
528- sera votes darkdude
529- X votes darkdude
532- IAUN votes darkdude
535- DD claims vanilla
539- korts votes sera
540- ekim votes sera
556- sera claims to have a gun, but can't use it [+, gut feeling]
557- caboose votes sera
559- sera elaborates [+]
562- caboose unvotes, votes dd
567- spy votes sera
579- tubby votes sera for half-assed claim [+]
584- X claims sera's partner
586- spy votes dd
607- korts votes DD, lynch -1
626- DD leads w/ 7 votes
Thoughts as I read:
axel- town. Post 127 would NEVER be made by a scum, in light of mufasa's alignment
rofl- for the second game in a row, is my hero
korts- possible derailment of OGB wason in 49, scum w/ OGB?
tubby- strong townvibe from his few posts, post 500 confirms
charter- ditto on townvibe
caboose- TOWN. probably not italian (singled out by inhim out of nowhere), definatly not russian (first to point finger at alvinz)
spyrex- DEFINATELY not russian, led the wagon on OGB w/ rofl. Very town, but follows rofl a lot
sera- possible partner to OGB, not partner to inhim (277). I buy the claim.
X- possible partner to OGB based on 231, OBVIOUS derailment. his confirmation of sera is a point in his favor. scum could have easily exploited it as an opportunity to call his partner confirmed town
darkdude- probably not russian (434); in spite of myself, 526 makes me think he's town
tajo- get a strong town vibe from his D3 posts
Some thoughts:
1) Count me among those sold by DD's hilarious explanation in 526. WIFOM notwithstanding, it's almost too bizarre to fake
2) I don't buy the case on Sera either. His claim fits with what we know from his partner, and I doubt he'd create such a convoluted defense if he weren't sure it would exonerate him.
3) Some pro-town players:
Spy
populartajo
caboose
tubby
4) Some scummy players:
korts
howard
I'll vote for DD if it comes down to it, since his role seems to be meaningless, but there are better options. I'd like to see pressure here.
vote korts