ortolan wrote:This may be consistent with how he normally plays, are you therefore saying it is a town-tell or a null-tell?LC (528) wrote:-That he said that those who were voting Mastin are good to look at, but not doing this.Probably in line with meta.
-The ad hom attacks against you as they are saying that you have been wrong about some players before, and therefore you are wrong now.Definitely in meta.I will let him defend himself.
Do you think he is capable of deliberately subverting his town-meta to do the same thing as scum?No. His meta clearly shows he getsextremelyflustered under voting pressure; I am going to call this emotional flustering a null tell.
Have you played with him where he was scum before?LC (551) wrote:2) I unvoted him because he cannot be scum using the criteria cited in #1 because:
a) He clearly has a reason for believing in Mastin's townliness (though a terribly flawed reason) and it is within his meta to believe that.
b) He clearly cannot be making that up which is 99% in line with his meta.No.
Playing in a manner consistent with his town meta does not mean he is not also playing in a manner consistent with his scum meta (it might be a null-tell in this particular case).Agreed.
It just seems not only are you dismissing his actions as scum-tells but you seem to think theyclearhim at present which I'm definitely not seeing.His meta does not suggest to me that he would befakingthe error -- your point is he could actually do this as scum. I have to agree based on the cause being emotional flustering which is a null tell; i.e. he would be flustered both as town & scum. I'm calling the mistake a null tell. That's how I feel comfortable.
LC (554) wrote:If you are 99.9% sure he is "being genuine" that, to me, implies you think he is 99.9% likely to be town. [color=blueLamont_Cranston wrote:Ya. I see his play in this game as 99.99% probable of being genuine.mykonian wrote:@lamont. If I read you correctly, Kise more often doesn't understand the rules/plays a little weird, and it can't be that he uses it as an excuse for his mistake?
I will point out that hecouldstill be scum here but I just don't have a case on him any longer.No, just that he's not faking his belief that Mastin would be Mod killed (this differs fromyourcase which I talked about above).[/color]
Yet you are leaving open the door to him being scum here. If you "don't see a case on him any longer", what probability do you think he has of being scum?I'm calling it rand() odds until I see something better.
What probability of scum does someone have to have before you normally vote them?[Logical fallacies that represent non-town actions/scum actions
What does their probability normally have to lower to before you unvote them?My case against them must become a logical fallacy.
Kise - 3 (Starbuck, ortolan, populartajo)
Spolium - 2 (Kmd4390, mykonian)
Lamont_Cranston - 1 (magnus_orion)
mykonian - 1 (LlamaFluff)
Kairyuu - 1 (Spolium)
Not voting: zwetschenwasser,