I expect either one or three of the claimed masons are scum; I'm leaning heavily towards one. I would like to hear a lot more from Kinetic. Since replacing in he has posted almost no content, mostly just a discussion about the quicktopic. He has not voted, even once. Kinetic: Who (plural) do you expect? Why? Why have you not voted since joining the game?
@Tajo
: You are voting Xyl, and promised reasoning when you weren't at your office. You say you find a high probability of a scum in the Xyl-ort pair. Why? Why do you think the scum is more likely to be Xyl?
@Steph
:
[url=https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?p=1683169#1683169]ortolan wrote:[/url]
image (2569) wrote:The switch of opinion from "Oh look tajo is the only claimed active power role" to "Oh look Emp claimed doc so he and tajo are scumbuddies" worries me; if tajo is suspicious for being the only claimed active power role, you can't say it makes him look more scummy when another power role claims. That's just silly.
That is not the argument. The argument is that Empking's claim is itself scummy
[url=https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?p=1681668#1681668]ortolan wrote:[/url]
tajo (2544) wrote:Well, then you ahve a doctor and 3 masons, are you going to listen me now? Even after Emp claimed you came out with "oh, look, this is so easy, Emp and Tajo are scum, lynchplox".
The thing is I really wasn't expecting someone to actually claim another power role at that point. The fact it comes from one of the most unconfirmed players is also scummy. tajo may well have asked Empking to claim a power-role to help mask his own fake-claim (
which would be a bad move imo cause ironically it makes me more skeptical of each of their claims
).
Liar.
I'm not trying to defend either, just saying that I have a mild town read on each. And I'm pretty sure Empking and tajo both said I was scum in response to that question, so your point is simply wrong.
[url=https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?p=1683169#1683169]ortolan wrote:[/url]
image (2569) wrote:@ort: Why did you decide it was a good idea to hammer pre-claim, again once Nuwen had promised content and a claim? What changed from before, when you posted:
Why does it seem like a good idea to
hammer
someone
pre-claim
based off of ties to someone
who has not flipped
?
It wasn't really a good idea, especially as she flipped town. However I was under pressure e.g. from Xyl who seemed to be suggesting I shouldn't be detracting from a healthy bandwagon by starting a new one. There was also the obvious point made that whatever Nuwen claimed she wasn't going to be believed- certainly if she'd claimed vanilla townie, which she was and which she would have; that wouldn't have stopped her lynch.
You should be detracting from a healthy bandwagon if, in your opinion, (as you had seemed to claim) it is not a good lynch for the day.
[url=https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?p=1683169#1683169]ortolan wrote:[/url]image: in 2569, I see a whole bunch of questions, mainly directed at Xyl, but not really a whiff of your suspicions. This is apart from you inexplicably (along with both tajo and Empking) suggesting the others in your posse are town without providing reasons. You should have strong suspects at this point in the game- odds are at least 1/3 of the currently living players are scum- I know I certainly have strong suspects. Who are yours? I will need at the very least 2 names with strong cases against them, and up to 4 names would be desirable. My thoughts are that there were probably five scum leaving us three left.
The reason my post contained a lot of questions and not a lot of case was because I was suspicious of Xyl but unsure of the read. A lot of his reasoning seems to deal more with meta and gut, and he waffles much. This enforces my suspicions. I particularly disliked the way he switched from saying that lynching nuwen was a bad idea to driving for her lynch, despite admitting he himself did not see this as the ideal wagon. His argument was that he didn't want to detract from the elvis/rofl wagon since he thought both of them were town, but they had both stated that they thought I was scum has well.
[url=https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?p=1683171#1683171]ortolan wrote:[/url]oh, plus, image again directing us to a specific post of DGB's (701) where she gives us a scum-list is very scummy (oh look she was town, let's lynch down her scum-list). I personally think the only person on that list with a good probability of being scum is Empking (nice going DGB
)
Remember Mastin tried to do exactly the same by linking to Troll's earlier post.
We should not discount peoples reasoning merely because they got killed, especially in the case of DGB, as her death was not entirely, and perhaps not at all, scum controlled. She was not killed to introduce WIFOM about her scum list, but Xyl saying we should flat out ignore it regardless of her alignment strikes me as scummy.
[url=https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?p=1682513#1682513]Xylthixlm wrote:[/url]
At the start of D2, ortolan inexplicably shows up on your scumlist, and yet you vote DGB who is
not
on your scumlist. Why? What are your current thoughts on ortolan? Why?
I have completely forgotten what my "total read" on DGB was before she went on her berserk self-destruct. I think it was something in
this post, or maybe something from rereading the previous day. My memory for why I did stuff that happened 50 pages ago is not that great. Did you ask these questions earlier?
I did not ask them earlier, but that doesn't make them less valid. If you had a "total read" on DGB,
why wasn't she on your scum-list
? More importantly, that post (
1374) gave you such a strong read on DGB, you
travelled back in time and voted her, then confirmed the vote, before she even made it
? (Posts
1208,
1274)
Do you think scum-orto would be disagreeing with your reads? Why?
My current suspicions are Xyl + Ort + 1 mason (+ 1 non-mason if there are 4 scum)
Vote: Xyl
"Have you noticed how people's intellectual curiosity declines sharply the moment they start waving guns about?"
--The Doctor