Open 120 - Rebels in the Palace - Game Over! before 756

[Empking]

This is not realated to lynching scum. This is not scum huntng.

Ort: You think

breaking

the set up is half of the fun? Couldn't you just point out the flaws in the queue then?

[ortolan]

Probably, were it not for general lack of experience compared to others who post there plus the fact I'm not inclined to even discuss uninteresting/unoriginal setups there to begin with (I've only commented on the ones that look interesting).

[Empking]

Would you call what we're doing breaking the set up?

[ortolan]

Well, assuming what you told me recently in that thread I believe (that 60% town odds of winning are heavily imbalanced), then 65% town odds of winning are worth just going with the setup-breaking strategy instead of trying to scum-hunt.

[zwetschenwasser]

I also find it interesting that Wall-e hasn't posted his thoughts on us random-lynching him.

[Qanqan]

To all people complaining about "breaking setups", please do not play in open setups if this is an issue for you. It's half the point. Play in a mini normal (or mini theme) instead if you want less knowledge about the setup, which in turn leads to it being less likely to being discussed and less likely to be broken if the potential exists.

Wish I knew this before >.<

...yeah

Trumpet of Doom, could you post the full maths behind those statistics so that I can make sure they aren't made up please

[ortolan]

^^ I reiterate that request.

[Empking]

Quanqan: Did you check the page posted?

[Qanqan]

I'm talking about post 170, not 168.

[Empking]

Quan, can you vote Wall-E please.

[Trumpet of Doom]

Trumpet of Doom, could you post the full maths behind those statistics so that I can make sure they aren't made up please

Check post 172 again. I didn't want to copy the entire thing into a post because it takes up over 15 pages in Word, and our mod won't let us link to the wiki, so I did the next best thing.

[Corvuus]

you guys voting for Wall-E do realize that once we start we are going to lynch all 4 right?

Vote Wall-E

I think the votecount has Wall-E at L-1.

C

[sekinj]

Vote Count 8

(# of votes against) Voted Player - by Voter(s)

(6) Wall-E - by Corvuus, Empking, Numberfourteen, ortolan, Trumpet of Doom, zwetschenwasser

(0) BlakAdder
(0) orangepenguin
(0) Corvuus
(1) Empking - by Lynx the Antithesis
(0) Lynx The Antithesis
(0) Numberfourteen
(0) ortolan
(1) Qanqan - Wall-E
(1) Zachrulez - orangepenguin
(0) Trumpet of Doom
(0) zwetschenwasser

Seven (7) votes to Lynch.

Mod Notes:
- orangepenguin replaces Citytube.
- Wall-E replaces afatchic.
- Seeking replacement for the following lurkers: BlakAdder, Numberfourteen

[Lynx The Antithesis]

Should I even wait for Wall-E to respond before I hammer? It's random anyway.

[Zachrulez]

you guys voting for Wall-E do realize that once we start we are going to lynch all 4 right?

Vote Wall-E

I think the votecount has Wall-E at L-1.

C

Eh, I think there's a lot of curiosity about these percentages, and a large willingness to actually do this and see what happens.

I will just throw out a stern warning to not necissarily expect the return that has been mathmatically calculated and...

Vote : Wall-E

[Empking]

How many extra days does lynching a guard give us?

[Trumpet of Doom]

Two days per guard.

If we lynch a rebel D1, the odds go from 66%, 26% and 9% to 60%, 33% and 9%, respectively. If we lynch a guard D1, they become 70%, 17% and 12%.

[zwetschenwasser]

It would be amazing if Wall-e were the king...

[sekinj]

End of Day 1

(# of votes against) Voted Player - by Voter(s)

(7) Wall-E - by Corvuus, Empking, Numberfourteen, ortolan, Trumpet of Doom, zwetschenwasser, Zachrulez

(0) BlakAdder
(0) orangepenguin
(0) Corvuus
(0) Empking
(0) Lynx The Antithesis
(0) Numberfourteen
(0) ortolan
(1) Qanqan - Wall-E
(1) Zachrulez - orangepenguin
(0) Trumpet of Doom
(0) zwetschenwasser

[/color]

And without a sound Wall-E explodes in the firey self-destruct of the escape pod. Another Rebel bites the dust!

Mod Notes:
- Seeking replacement for the following lurkers: BlakAdder, Numberfourteen

[sekinj]

Important Clarification:

The King and the guard win if they

EQUAL OR OUTNUMBER

the Rebels.

The Rebels lose if the king+guards

EQUAL OR OUTNUMBER

them.

I will re-send the Role PMs with this clarification.

[sekinj]

Begin Day 2!!

[ortolan]

P02 - (BlakAdder)
P03 - orangepenguin (Citytube)
P04 - Corvuus
P05 - Empking
P06 - Lynx The Antithesis (erikw11)
P07 - Zachrulez (Shinnen_no_Me, Magus_Stragus)
P08 - (Numberfourteen)
P09 - ortolan
P10 - Qanqan
P11 - Trumpet of Doom
P12 - zwetschenwasser

Original Roll String: 1d11

1 11-Sided Dice: (5) = 5

[ortolan]

Vote: Empking

[Lynx The Antithesis]

Vote:Empking

[Lynx The Antithesis]

Mod

, I never voted Wall-E in your last vote count.