open 894: near vanilla (game over)

[JupiterXV]

my thoughts come down to black is either pocketing project because he's a newbie or they're heavily partnered. i think out of any people here project is the most likely to be partnered with black though i'm not sure what the exactly probability on it being actual partnering or just pocketing.
it could be pocketing bc black was doing same think with kurta and kurta turned out to be town. however black seems like the type of player to help compensate for her scum partners (since that streak is like an Actual Thing yk) so it could be black also defending her newb partner

[JupiterXV]

thats all. il find quotes later i have maths test tomrorw

[shiki]

trying not to think too too hard about people suggesting alternate eliminations today

would have to be willing to fully bet game on skygazer being town and then just treat her as confirmed if wanted to take that path i think

rejail bad but in theory treat as confirmed town has significant upside if she is in fact town

obviously disaster if she is not

[shiki]

however black seems like the type of player to help compensate for her scum partners (since that streak is like an Actual Thing yk) so it could be black also defending her newb partner

i have like, ~thoughts~ on this but i am not sure how game related they are

[OutWorldER]

torn between following the plan and limming skygazer or sticking to my guns and killing project

[shiki]

is everyone afraid of projectry endgaming or something?

[shiki]

like how does everyone see that playing out? and if not, then, uh,

[shiki]

projectry maybe(?) the second most likely scums to me right now? like there are aspects that don't make any sense to me but maybe on balance that's where projectry would be,

but there's also downside in jailkeeping projectry tonight if projectry is town compared to other options

and! importantly, even if not jailkept and there is a nightkill projectry very unlikely to be the one left standing days later

[shiki]

and if projectry is town and eliminated today then have to either jailkeep skygazer again which has significant downsides - gives up chance at outright winning the game that eliminating skygazer and jailing elsewhere comes with - or! treat skygazer as confirmed town from here on out which autoloses to all scum!skygazer worlds

[shiki]

gives up chance at outright winning the game that eliminating skygazer and jailing elsewhere comes with

right because the only situation in which jailing skygazer again is good is if skygazer is a scums

and if skygazer is a scums then!!! elimination better

[shiki]

if we treat skygazer as definitely absolutely 100% town then eliminating elsewhere gives us smaller pool if we're correct better maths sure

and if so i guess show me that skygazer is definitely absolutely town because for it to work would need everyone to accept as fact

[shiki]

(which like, it's so so difficult for it to be a surety based simply on situation and how advantageous it would have been for scums to act)

[Dannflor]

VOTE: sky gazer

Unless you want more time in the day shiki

[shiki]

idk i would use it certainly

kinda think there’s pretty tangible benefit

[shiki]

it's actually maybe towny for dannflor to suggest because confirmed skygazer kinda hmmmmm for scum!dannflor

eh maybe

hmhmhm

also up until half a page ago you had not obviously claimed not Doctor

hmmmm

[Bellaphant]

VOTE: skygazer

[ProjEctRy]

Are we sticking to the plan? Skygazer is E-1. Should I hammer or wait?

I see my name is being throw about. If it needs to be me to get us closer then so be it, but I’ve yet to be targeted by Titus so me next would be off plan.

[Skygazer]

lolhammering

VOTE: skygazer

[Skygazer]

lolhammering

VOTE: skygazer

how could you hammer me like that?!? elim this 2morrow

[shiki]

lolhammering

VOTE: skygazer

how could you hammer me like that?!? elim this 2morrow

do you do you do you

think

this:

also up until half a page ago you had not obviously claimed not Doctor

was an actual factor in how dannflor was weighing things there?

[shiki]

VOTE: skygazer

i know i have done a pretty terrible job of encouraging instead of discouraging if you're town here but could you maybe talk about how you are viewing the game at this point?

it is like, part of what worries me is that it has felt like you identified titus as a potential win condition and have since just played towards that ,

[shiki]

Are we sticking to the plan? Skygazer is E-1. Should I hammer or wait?

I see my name is being throw about. If it needs to be me to get us closer then so be it, but I’ve yet to be targeted by Titus so me next would be off plan.

would also like to know where your head is at

[shiki]

VOTE: skygazer

i know i have done a pretty terrible job of encouraging instead of discouraging if you're town here but could you maybe talk about how you are viewing the game at this point?

it is like, part of what worries me is that it has felt like you identified titus as a potential win condition and have since just played towards that ,

(most obvious counterpoint to me is the waiting but the waiting doesn't really make much sense for anyone save maybe dannflor and outworlder? or well, skygazer i suppose)

[shiki]

[Skygazer]

lolhammering

VOTE: skygazer

how could you hammer me like that?!? elim this 2morrow

do you do you do you

think

this:

also up until half a page ago you had not obviously claimed not Doctor

was an actual factor in how dannflor was weighing things there?

idk i can see the logical threads there