secret hitler round 3 [7/7] (fascists win!)

[OkaPoka]

Im too sick to figure out toad/unwnd and convince mena and nero autonein is easy lets roll

[The toad]

for what it's worth topdecking gives us a 45% chance of winning i think lol

wait really? I had 2f 1L

if the first one was true from poker then that was 3f

so it's like 5f 1l left? not sure how you're getting 45% lol

fuck you're right it's 33% i forgot to change 4/6 to 4/5

[Bingle]

topdecking is exactly 50/50 I think.

[Nero Cain]

what is hitler zone?

[Menalque]

I'm pretty sure top decking is 1/6 ?

[The toad]

o wait fascs need 6 policies

this is a lot easier when you just have three numbers to adjust every round

[OkaPoka]

We have multiple top decks just nein

[Menalque]

what is hitler zone?

if hitty elected as chancellor we lose

[Bingle]

Assuming 2/4 left in deck... actually better. I'm high.

[OkaPoka]

I have autonein on gogogo

[Menalque]

oh you mean top deck until the end?

[The toad]

yeah bingle is right it's 50/50

[PokerFace]

6Ls and 11Fs in deck

Shuffle 1: FFL/FFL/FFL/FFF/FLL is claimed (Unclaimed was 1 F and 1L)
Okapoka and chancellor Bingle led to liberal = FFL?
menalque and chancellor the toad led to liberal = FFL?
nero and chancellor pokerface led to liberal = FFL?
the toad and chancellor menalque led to Fascist = FFF?
bingle and chancellor pokerface led to liberal = FLL?

2Ls and 10Fs in deck?

Shuffle 2: FFF/FLF is claimed
unwnd and chancellor the toad FAILS
pokerface and chancellor nero led to facist = FFF?
okapoka and chancellor bingle FAILS
menalque and chancellor bingle led to fascist = Mena says 2f 1L and bingle says 2Fs

I guess that is best way to note it

I know okapoka is fasc. One of bingle and mena must be face too

[OkaPoka]

Yes

[The toad]

i don't think we should do this because random.org is a fascist-siding worm

[Bingle]

I'm autoneining to flip

[The toad]

after the 9% and rolling 3F today with a liberal favourable deck there is absolutely no way i am going to entrust our victory to that website

[OkaPoka]

So its toad/bingle/poker

Yeah nero/mena/unwnd/oka takes the flip

[Menalque]

toad shall I pick you

who would you pick as chancellor?

[PokerFace]

So is mena getting to kill someone now?

[Menalque]

is unwnd even here?

[Bingle]

It's better than 50% if mena discarded fasc, 50% exactly if mena discarded a liberal.

Assuming pf is telling the truth, which is p fucking obv.

[OkaPoka]

Unwnd afk

Nero and mena sr me

Gimme flip

[PokerFace]

So is mena getting to kill someone now?

or is another super power in effect?

[Nero Cain]

So its toad/bingle/poker

Yeah nero/mena/unwnd/oka takes the flip

shut up u facist bird